Gage Workman
3B El Paso Chihuahuas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AADET | 556 | .280/.367/.476 | 18 | 30 | 92 | — | .244/.304/.403 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAADET | 358 | .230/.331/.476 | 15 | 12 | 80 | — | .193/.270/.391 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBCWS | 17 | .188/.235/.250 | 0 | 1 | 37 | -0.1 | |
| 2026 | 26 | AAASD | 500 | .280/.341/.431 | 11 | 26 | 70 | — | .233/.278/.341 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBSD | 41 | .171/.171/.415 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 0.1 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 27 | MLBSD | 70 | .218/.271/.359 | 2 | 3 | 78 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ51% MLB | 28 | MLBSD | 147 | .218/.272/.356 | 3 | 5 | 77 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ53% MLB | 29 | MLBSD | 151 | .215/.270/.351 | 3 | 5 | 76 | 0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 285 | 257 | 61 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 97 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 237 | 305 | 440 | 745 | 202 | 338 | 34 | 8 | 325 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 228 | 195 | 50 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 60 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 256 | 358 | 426 | 784 | 169 | 353 | 26 | 13 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 515 | 475 | 107 | 30 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 206 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 225 | 278 | 415 | 693 | 189 | 359 | 40 | 7 | 302 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 61 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 233 | 386 | 619 | 193 | 281 | 39 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 214 | 178 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 83 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 191 | 321 | 382 | 703 | 191 | 300 | 39 | 14 | 316 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 198 | 177 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 56 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 355 | 435 | 790 | 147 | 388 | 28 | 9 | 351 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 556 | 483 | 135 | 29 | 6 | 18 | 65 | 153 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 280 | 367 | 476 | 843 | 197 | 371 | 28 | 12 | 371 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 62 | 333 | 41 | 6 | 223 | 37 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 358 | 309 | 71 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 137 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 230 | 331 | 476 | 807 | 246 | 352 | 38 | 12 | 353 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 41 | 41 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 171 | 415 | 585 | 244 | 227 | 41 | 0 | 249 | 59 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 500 | 450 | 126 | 29 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 153 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 280 | 341 | 431 | 773 | 151 | 394 | 31 | 8 | 339 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 58 | 57 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 190 | 368 | 558 | 193 | 258 | 41 | 2 | 241 | 49 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +1 | -0.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 285 | 264 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 137 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 167 | 220 | 311 | 530 | 144 | 290 | 48 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 228 | 205 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 83 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 195 | 270 | 312 | 582 | 117 | 314 | 36 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 515 | 484 | 85 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 252 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 176 | 218 | 322 | 540 | 147 | 324 | 49 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 214 | 188 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 107 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 144 | 241 | 271 | 512 | 128 | 278 | 50 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 198 | 183 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 294 | 361 | 655 | 120 | 350 | 36 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 556 | 509 | 124 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 185 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 244 | 304 | 403 | 707 | 159 | 343 | 33 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 62 | 333 | 41 | 6 | 222 | 37 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 358 | 322 | 62 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 153 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 193 | 270 | 391 | 661 | 199 | 311 | 43 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 41 | 41 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 171 | 415 | 585 | 244 | 227 | 41 | 0 | 255 | 59 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 500 | 463 | 108 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 184 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 233 | 278 | 341 | 620 | 108 | 352 | 37 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 469 | 86 | 27 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 219 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 183 | 246 | 326 | 572 | 143 | 311 | 43 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 452 | 111 | 37 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 157 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 246 | 329 | 434 | 762 | 188 | 345 | 31 | 10 | 335 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 576 | 541 | 95 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 282 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 176 | 218 | 320 | 537 | 144 | 329 | 49 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 576 | 532 | 118 | 31 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 230 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 222 | 274 | 412 | 685 | 190 | 351 | 40 | 6 | 298 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 371 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 178 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 191 | 267 | 315 | 582 | 124 | 328 | 43 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 412 | 355 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 139 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 239 | 337 | 408 | 746 | 169 | 350 | 34 | 12 | 333 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 556 | 509 | 124 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 185 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 244 | 304 | 403 | 707 | 159 | 349 | 33 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 556 | 483 | 135 | 29 | 6 | 18 | 65 | 153 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 280 | 367 | 476 | 843 | 197 | 371 | 28 | 12 | 371 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 338 | 65 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 160 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 192 | 268 | 385 | 653 | 192 | 315 | 43 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 375 | 325 | 74 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 144 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 228 | 327 | 465 | 792 | 237 | 351 | 38 | 12 | 347 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 504 | 116 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 201 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 230 | 272 | 351 | 623 | 121 | 357 | 37 | 5 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 541 | 491 | 133 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 170 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 271 | 328 | 430 | 758 | 159 | 382 | 31 | 7 | 332 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 469 | 86 | 27 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 219 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 183 | 246 | 326 | 572 | 143 | 301 | 43 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 576 | 542 | 95 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 282 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 175 | 218 | 319 | 537 | 144 | 324 | 49 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 371 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 178 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 191 | 267 | 315 | 582 | 124 | 313 | 43 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 556 | 507 | 124 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 185 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 245 | 304 | 404 | 708 | 160 | 343 | 33 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 337 | 65 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 160 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 193 | 268 | 386 | 654 | 193 | 312 | 43 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 507 | 116 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 201 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 229 | 272 | 349 | 621 | 120 | 343 | 37 | 5 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 556 | 507 | 124 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 185 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 245 | 304 | 404 | 708 | 160 | 343 | 33 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 337 | 65 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 160 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 193 | 268 | 386 | 654 | 193 | 312 | 43 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 507 | 116 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 201 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 229 | 272 | 349 | 621 | 120 | 343 | 37 | 5 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | SD | 45% | 380 | 351 | 79 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 138 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 222 | 275 | 364 | 639 | 142 | 333 | 36 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -10 | +2 | +3 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | SD | 45% | 70 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 271 | 359 | 630 | 140 | 326 | 36 | 6 | 280 | 78 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | SD | 51% | 286 | 264 | 59 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 102 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 221 | 275 | 362 | 637 | 140 | 329 | 36 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -8 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | SD | 53% | 284 | 262 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 219 | 273 | 356 | 630 | 137 | 324 | 35 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -8 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | SD | 55% | 281 | 260 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 98 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 216 | 271 | 349 | 620 | 133 | 317 | 35 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | SD | 51% | 147 | 136 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 272 | 356 | 628 | 139 | 322 | 36 | 6 | 279 | 77 | -4 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | SD | 53% | 151 | 139 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 215 | 270 | 351 | 621 | 136 | 317 | 35 | 7 | 276 | 76 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | SD | 55% | 154 | 142 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 54 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 267 | 344 | 612 | 132 | 311 | 35 | 6 | 273 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 510 | 474 | 97 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 184 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 205 | 256 | 335 | 592 | 131 | 305 | 36 | 6 | 272 | 68 | -17 | +2 | -0 | +5 | +11 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 123 | 29 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 235 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 204 | 255 | 334 | 590 | 131 | 304 | 36 | 6 | 272 | 68 | -21 | +2 | -0 | +6 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3979 | 3661 | 761 | 177 | 38 | 91 | 261 | 1581 | 23 | 183 | 49 | 208 | 265 | 352 | 616 | 144 | 332 | 40 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -33 | +4 | +2 | +7 | +23 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 124 | 29 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 258 | 4 | 30 | 8 | 207 | 265 | 351 | 616 | 144 | 331 | 40 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -20 | +2 | +1 | +4 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 500 PAwOBA .333 → .272 (−61)K% 30.6% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 25.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 8.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .333 → .272; ISO .151 → .114; BABIP .394 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 358 PAwOBA .345 → .286 (−59)K% 38.3% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.27% | ÷1.073 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.29% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.02% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 16.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.05% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 9.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.905 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 3.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.72% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 7.13% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 81, K 115, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .345 → .286; ISO .246 → .209; BABIP .352 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAErie SeaWolves · 556 PAwOBA .362 → .304 (−57)K% 27.5% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.52% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.33% | ÷1.086 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.85% | ÷0.992 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 24.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.79% | ÷1.036 | ×0.860 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.945 | ×0.950 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 1.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.941 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 102, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .362 → .304; ISO .197 → .166; BABIP .371 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAErie SeaWolves · 214 PAwOBA .311 → .230 (−81)K% 38.8% → 50.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.79% | ÷0.944 | ×1.220 | — | — | 50.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.49% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 9.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.84% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 16.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.47% | ÷0.924 | ×0.860 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 8.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.145 | ×0.950 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.37% | ÷1.055 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 129, K 89, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .311 → .230; ISO .191 → .135; BABIP .300 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 198 PAwOBA .344 → .282 (−62)K% 28.3% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.28% | ÷1.007 | ×1.270 | — | — | 35.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.59% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.40% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 29.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.96% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.96% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.45% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .344 → .282; ISO .147 → .120; BABIP .388 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAErie SeaWolves · 515 PAwOBA .296 → .232 (−64)K% 40.0% → 49.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 49.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.60% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.07% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 18.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.15% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 9.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 3.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.20% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .296 → .232; ISO .189 → .149; BABIP .359 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 285 PAwOBA .318 → .233 (−86)K% 34.0% → 47.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.04% | ÷0.959 | ×1.350 | — | — | 47.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.12% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 15.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.12% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 11.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.009 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.62% | ÷0.841 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 5.62% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 100, 2B 87, 3B 102, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .318 → .233; ISO .202 → .153; BABIP .338 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 228 PAwOBA .341 → .265 (−76)K% 26.3% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | — | 18.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.85% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | — | 9.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.96% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | — | 2.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.90% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 103, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .341 → .265; ISO .169 → .134; BABIP .353 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .