Jose Salas
2B Wichita Wind Surge| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+MIN | 374 | .227/.286/.330 | 4 | 16 | 29 | — | .185/.232/.257 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA/A+/AMIN | 256 | .236/.312/.422 | 9 | 17 | 59 | — | .201/.262/.360 |
| 2026 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 371 | .206/.286/.382 | 15 | 22 | 45 | — | .157/.228/.283 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBMIN | 4 | .179/.238/.301 | 0 | 0 | 50 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 25 | MLBMIN | 74 | .182/.243/.309 | 2 | 3 | 54 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2020 | 17 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 43 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 179 | 412 | 26 | 300 | 44 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 123 | 108 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 250 | 336 | 315 | 651 | 65 | 325 | 23 | 9 | 301 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 107 | 92 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 370 | 458 | 511 | 969 | 141 | 485 | 21 | 10 | 433 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 217 | 191 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 230 | 319 | 340 | 660 | 110 | 274 | 19 | 9 | 302 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 257 | 221 | 59 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 54 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 267 | 360 | 421 | 780 | 154 | 327 | 21 | 9 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 67 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 224 | 318 | 310 | 629 | 86 | 277 | 18 | 12 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 372 | 331 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 97 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 190 | 268 | 272 | 540 | 82 | 252 | 26 | 7 | 248 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 35 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 229 | 242 | 471 | 61 | 261 | 29 | 6 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 374 | 339 | 77 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 104 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 227 | 286 | 330 | 616 | 103 | 316 | 28 | 6 | 275 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 179 | 162 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 210 | 277 | 352 | 629 | 142 | 266 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 55 | 45 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 358 | 533 | 892 | 289 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 375 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 22 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 444 | 500 | 778 | 1.278 | 333 | 538 | 23 | 9 | 498 | 188 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 188 | 166 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 187 | 270 | 343 | 614 | 157 | 242 | 34 | 7 | 275 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 163 | 145 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 214 | 296 | 414 | 710 | 200 | 273 | 31 | 6 | 316 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 350 | 474 | 824 | 158 | 333 | 15 | 0 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 123 | 111 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 216 | 287 | 270 | 557 | 54 | 296 | 30 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 107 | 96 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 271 | 346 | 375 | 721 | 104 | 397 | 31 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 217 | 197 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 51 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 208 | 278 | 310 | 587 | 102 | 260 | 24 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 257 | 227 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 76 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 211 | 292 | 322 | 614 | 110 | 286 | 30 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 372 | 337 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 126 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 160 | 227 | 223 | 449 | 62 | 231 | 34 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 374 | 346 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 136 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 185 | 232 | 257 | 489 | 72 | 284 | 36 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 179 | 166 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 169 | 220 | 277 | 497 | 108 | 234 | 36 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 55 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 217 | 321 | 478 | 799 | 261 | 250 | 33 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 22 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 421 | 450 | 737 | 1.187 | 316 | 459 | 32 | 5 | 446 | 188 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 188 | 170 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 77 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 153 | 222 | 265 | 486 | 112 | 224 | 41 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 163 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 162 | 235 | 304 | 539 | 142 | 231 | 40 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 17 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 43 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 179 | 412 | 26 | 300 | 44 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 17 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 43 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 179 | 412 | 26 | 300 | 44 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 207 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 70 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 237 | 310 | 309 | 619 | 72 | 346 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 230 | 200 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 305 | 393 | 405 | 798 | 100 | 399 | 22 | 10 | 362 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 485 | 103 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 146 | 14 | 37 | 3 | 212 | 286 | 320 | 606 | 107 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 541 | 470 | 116 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 107 | 14 | 37 | 3 | 247 | 338 | 374 | 713 | 128 | 299 | 20 | 9 | 321 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 370 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 138 | 8 | 24 | 10 | 159 | 224 | 219 | 443 | 59 | 240 | 34 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 407 | 364 | 69 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 107 | 8 | 24 | 10 | 190 | 264 | 269 | 534 | 80 | 253 | 26 | 7 | 245 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 374 | 346 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 136 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 185 | 232 | 257 | 489 | 72 | 295 | 36 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 374 | 339 | 77 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 104 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 227 | 286 | 330 | 616 | 103 | 316 | 28 | 6 | 275 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 256 | 231 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 190 | 252 | 333 | 585 | 143 | 270 | 35 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 256 | 225 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 68 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 236 | 312 | 422 | 734 | 187 | 293 | 27 | 8 | 320 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 371 | 336 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 150 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 161 | 232 | 292 | 523 | 131 | 240 | 40 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 371 | 330 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 117 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 206 | 286 | 382 | 668 | 176 | 262 | 32 | 6 | 298 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 206 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 70 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 238 | 310 | 311 | 621 | 73 | 343 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 486 | 103 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 146 | 14 | 37 | 3 | 212 | 286 | 319 | 605 | 107 | 274 | 27 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 373 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 138 | 8 | 24 | 10 | 158 | 224 | 217 | 442 | 59 | 231 | 34 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 374 | 350 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 136 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 183 | 232 | 254 | 486 | 71 | 284 | 36 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 256 | 235 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 187 | 252 | 328 | 580 | 140 | 257 | 35 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 371 | 337 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 150 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 160 | 232 | 291 | 522 | 131 | 227 | 40 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 374 | 350 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 136 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 183 | 232 | 254 | 486 | 71 | 284 | 36 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 256 | 235 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 187 | 252 | 328 | 580 | 140 | 257 | 35 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 371 | 337 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 150 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 160 | 232 | 291 | 522 | 131 | 227 | 40 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIN | 2% | 380 | 349 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 139 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 178 | 237 | 300 | 538 | 122 | 259 | 37 | 5 | 243 | 50 | -22 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIN | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 238 | 301 | 539 | 123 | 259 | 25 | 0 | 243 | 50 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIN | 31% | 239 | 220 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 85 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 182 | 243 | 308 | 551 | 126 | 261 | 36 | 5 | 248 | 54 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIN | 31% | 74 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 182 | 243 | 309 | 551 | 126 | 261 | 35 | 5 | 248 | 54 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 74 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 243 | 294 | 537 | 118 | 250 | 35 | 5 | 248 | 45 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 106 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 35 | 228 | 18 | 26 | 9 | 178 | 245 | 298 | 543 | 121 | 251 | 35 | 5 | 248 | 45 | -36 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2669 | 2425 | 454 | 83 | 11 | 46 | 146 | 909 | 64 | 148 | 32 | 187 | 252 | 287 | 539 | 100 | 274 | 34 | 5 | 235 | 45 | -25 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +10 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 221 | 16 | 36 | 8 | 186 | 252 | 286 | 538 | 100 | 273 | 34 | 6 | 235 | 45 | -37 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 188 PAwOBA .272 → .222 (−50)K% 33.5% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.66% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 17.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 4.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .272 → .222; ISO .157 → .122; BABIP .242 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 163 PAwOBA .309 → .233 (−75)K% 31.3% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.91% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 3.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 16.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.95% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .309 → .233; ISO .200 → .145; BABIP .273 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAWichita Wind Surge · 179 PAwOBA .275 → .218 (−57)K% 27.4% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.37% | ÷0.941 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.26% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.58% | ÷1.025 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×1.042 | 16.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.031 | ×0.840 | ×0.972 | ×1.042 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.972 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.42% | ÷0.986 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .275 → .218; ISO .142 → .110; BABIP .266 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 55 PAwOBA .365 → .303 (−62)K% 25.5% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.45% | ÷0.979 | ×1.270 | — | — | 33.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.989 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.45% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 4.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 15.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.088 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.943 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 8.15% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .365 → .303; ISO .289 → .241; BABIP .286 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 22 PAwOBA .507 → .446 (−61)K% 22.7% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.73% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | — | — | 27.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | — | — | 18.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.898 | ×0.800 | — | — | 6.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .507 → .446; ISO .333 → .301; BABIP .538 → .459. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 374 PAwOBA .267 → .211 (−57)K% 27.8% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.81% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 36.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.15% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.55% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 21.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.146 | ×0.850 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.70% | ÷1.191 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .267 → .211; ISO .103 → .070; BABIP .316 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 372 PAwOBA .244 → .199 (−45)K% 26.1% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.08% | ÷0.977 | ×1.270 | — | — | 33.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.26% | ÷0.966 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×1.042 | 18.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.051 | ×0.810 | ×0.987 | ×1.042 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷0.994 | ×0.850 | ×0.987 | ×1.042 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.134 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 99, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .244 → .199; ISO .082 → .059; BABIP .252 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AJupiter Hammerheads · 257 PAwOBA .341 → .273 (−69)K% 21.0% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.01% | ÷0.967 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.95% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.50% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.75% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×1.045 | 21.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.156 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.045 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.977 | ×1.045 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .341 → .273; ISO .154 → .117; BABIP .327 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .