Logan Cerny — OGILVIE

Logan CernyCF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+†29

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .226 / .257

PA141

HR3

SB5

K%40

BB%6

ISO95

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	43	38	6	1	1	0	5	17	0	6	2	158	256	237	493	79	286	40	12	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	43	35	7	1	1	0	8	12	0	6	2	200	349	286	635	86	304	28	19	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	333	61	12	2	13	30	164	7	35	7	183	265	348	613	165	304	44	8	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	316	80	16	4	15	47	110	7	35	7	253	362	472	834	218	337	30	13	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	360	333	47	5	1	6	19	182	5	20	4	141	199	216	415	75	277	51	5	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	360	321	71	10	1	13	31	128	5	20	4	221	300	380	680	159	317	36	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	448	407	62	15	1	10	33	196	5	32	2	152	225	268	493	115	255	44	7	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	448	393	83	22	1	16	47	146	5	32	2	211	303	394	698	183	286	33	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	146	22	3	0	2	9	58	3	7	2	151	215	212	428	62	233	37	6	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	143	24	3	0	2	12	48	3	7	2	168	247	231	478	63	237	30	8	226	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	HOU	—	141	129	21	4	0	3	9	56	2	5	1	163	229	264	492	101	261	40	6	223	29	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	HOU	27%	211	193	33	6	1	4	14	80	2	7	1	171	234	275	509	104	265	38	7	233	37	-15	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.7
2027	27	MLB	HOU	27%	57	52	9	2	0	1	4	22	1	2	0	173	246	269	515	96	267	39	7	228	32	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	57	52	9	2	0	1	4	22	1	2	0	173	246	269	515	96	276	39	7	228	32	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	102	23	0	11	46	251	11	23	0	172	245	266	511	94	275	39	7	228	32	-50	+5	+0	+2	+18	-2.5
Career	—			—	1733	1579	252	46	6	38	119	753	24	112	19	160	229	269	498	109	268	43	7	221	28	-142	+15	+0	+6	+49	-7.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	94	17	2	14	45	282	9	42	7	159	229	265	494	106	267	43	7	221	28	-53	+6	+0	+2	+18	-2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	17	15	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	133	235	133	369		182	24	12	189	3	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	21	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	26	20	5	1	1	0	6	8	0	6	1	250	423	400	823	150	417	31	23	377	147	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	316	80	16	4	15	47	110	7	35	7	253	362	472	834	218	337	30	13	368	140	+17	+4	—	—	+11	3.2
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	360	321	71	10	1	13	31	128	5	20	4	221	300	380	680	159	317	36	9	304	91	-4	+2	—	—	+10	0.9
2024	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	130	122	22	5	1	2	8	37	0	6	1	180	231	287	518	107	241	28	6	234	37	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	318	271	61	17	0	14	39	109	5	26	1	225	333	443	776	218	311	34	12	343	120	+7	+5	—	—	+9	2.2
2025	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	143	24	3	0	2	12	48	3	7	2	168	247	231	478	63	237	30	8	226	32	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Cerny (OGILVIE)	26	25	30	55	35	163/226/257	94	261	3	5	40%	6%	29	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	39	40	50	38	192/244/277	85	285	8	15	34%	6%	40	-2.4	202/255/293	91	305	9	12	34%	6%	49	-1.8	138/193/172	34	236	3	8	41%	6%	-10	-1.1
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA	26	34→42	41→40	57→55	32	165/223/271	105	294	8	22	44%	6%	30	-3.1	185/238/285	100	311	9	17	41%	5%	40	-2.4	134/188/202	68	231	9	22	44%	4%	-5	-1.5
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	38	183/255/286	103	300	11	14	40%	7%	49	-1.8	201/273/302	101	301	9	14	34%	8%	59	-1.1	198/297/294	96	260	8	24	25%	10%	65	-0.1
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	34→32	44→45	51→50	31	178/219/289	111	282	12	13	41%	4%	33	-2.9	192/239/307	115	292	12	15	37%	5%	46	-2.0	162/206/278	116	229	14	24	36%	4%	23	-1.3
✕Cody Wilson 2022 · AAA	26	31	36→30	52→55	39	157/224/221	64	259	4	19	39%	7%	17	-4.0	172/233/240	68	317	5	27	44%	6%	27	-3.3	150/215/205	54	296	4	33	47%	5%	8	-1.7
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	42	181/261/245	65	297	4	26	37%	9%	40	-2.4	198/267/279	81	291	6	19	31%	8%	50	-1.7	189/255/261	72	261	6	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	38	39→40	58→55	33	178/229/264	86	313	7	18	43%	6%	30	-3.1	200/247/288	88	324	7	16	38%	6%	44	-2.1	196/224/261	65	303	6	20	37%	3%	22	-0.6
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	38→39	44→45	56→50	38	190/250/299	109	293	12	17	38%	7%	49	-1.8	180/238/289	109	294	12	11	41%	6%	41	-2.3	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	37→34	44→45	56→60	39	177/263/294	117	312	12	24	43%	9%	55	-1.4	190/273/300	110	292	10	29	36%	8%	59	-1.1	177/263/281	104	261	10	34	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	38→40	44→50	38	172/263/245	73	309	5	11	42%	8%	42	-2.3	183/278/292	109	301	9	15	39%	8%	61	-1.0	161/264/270	110	265	10	18	39%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	39→36	40→45	54→55	41	187/268/274	87	283	7	20	34%	7%	51	-1.7	193/279/325	132	326	15	15	42%	8%	69	-0.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→36	38→40	45→50	44	192/263/267	75	276	7	14	31%	8%	46	-2.0	190/249/283	93	268	11	9	32%	6%	45	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	37→35	42→40	49→40	34	180/237/285	105	304	10	9	42%	6%	40	-2.4	191/271/298	107	304	9	9	37%	9%	58	-1.2	169/265/267	98	265	8	6	36%	11%	45	-1.5
✕Rosario Irazoqui 2012 · AAA	26	41	39→30	53→45	35	202/240/287	85	288	7	14	32%	4%	40	-2.4	216/257/294	78	285	6	7	26%	4%	49	-1.8	211/249/263	53	271	5	4	24%	3%	34	-1.0
✕Logan Landon 2019 · AA	26	40→45	44→45	53→50	37	201/248/314	113	286	13	19	34%	5%	52	-1.6	193/242/297	104	287	11	11	35%	5%	44	-2.1	166/218/262	96	245	12	5	37%	6%	23	-1.5
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	37	184/227/263	79	255	7	15	30%	5%	29	-3.2	202/240/304	102	292	9	11	33%	4%	45	-2.1	190/214/293	103	271	9	9	33%	2%	27	-1.1
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→37	40	52→50	37	175/253/268	93	281	8	17	38%	6%	43	-2.2	176/256/285	109	322	11	13	45%	7%	49	-1.8	110/204/224	114	226	14	10	54%	8%	11	-1.7
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7