Logan Cerny — OGILVIE

Logan CernyCF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .254 / .295

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP265

ISO101

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	17	15	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	133	235	133	369		182	24	12	189	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	26	20	5	1	1	0	6	8	0	6	1	250	423	400	823	150	417	31	23	377	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	316	80	16	4	15	47	110	7	35	7	253	362	472	834	218	337	30	13	368	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	360	321	71	10	1	13	31	128	5	20	4	221	300	380	680	159	317	36	9	304	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	130	122	22	5	1	2	8	37	0	6	1	180	231	287	518	107	241	28	6	234	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	318	271	61	17	0	14	39	109	5	26	1	225	333	443	776	218	311	34	12	343	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	143	24	3	0	2	12	48	3	7	2	168	247	231	478	63	237	30	8	226	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	125	176	125	301		162	29	6	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	26	22	4	1	1	0	4	12	0	6	1	182	308	318	626	136	317	46	15	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	331	61	12	3	11	32	153	7	35	7	184	270	338	609	154	284	41	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	360	334	49	6	1	8	18	173	5	20	4	147	202	243	444	96	252	48	5	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	130	124	19	4	1	2	6	45	0	6	1	153	192	250	442	97	225	35	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	318	286	42	10	0	10	24	144	5	26	1	147	225	287	512	140	233	45	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	146	21	3	0	1	9	57	3	7	2	144	209	185	394	41	219	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	43	38	6	1	1	0	5	17	0	6	2	158	256	237	493	79	286	40	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	43	35	7	1	1	0	8	12	0	6	2	200	349	286	635	86	304	28	19	302	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	331	61	12	3	11	32	153	7	35	7	184	270	338	609	154	296	41	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	316	80	16	4	15	47	110	7	35	7	253	362	472	834	218	337	30	13	368	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	360	334	49	6	1	8	18	173	5	20	4	147	202	243	444	96	263	48	5	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	360	321	71	10	1	13	31	128	5	20	4	221	300	380	680	159	317	36	9	304	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	411	63	15	1	12	29	189	5	32	2	153	218	282	500	129	239	42	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	448	393	83	22	1	16	47	146	5	32	2	211	303	394	698	183	286	33	10	311	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	146	21	3	0	1	9	57	3	7	2	144	209	185	394	41	227	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	143	24	3	0	2	12	48	3	7	2	168	247	231	478	63	237	30	8	226	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	43	38	6	1	1	0	5	17	0	6	2	158	256	237	493	79	256	40	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	330	61	12	3	11	32	153	7	35	7	185	270	339	610	155	284	41	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	360	334	49	6	1	8	18	173	5	20	4	147	202	243	444	96	252	48	5	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	411	63	15	1	12	29	189	5	32	2	153	218	282	500	129	231	42	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	145	21	3	0	1	9	57	3	7	2	145	209	186	395	41	219	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	411	63	15	1	12	29	189	5	32	2	153	218	282	500	129	231	42	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	145	21	3	0	1	9	57	3	7	2	145	209	186	395	41	219	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	208	191	36	7	1	3	13	61	2	5	1	193	251	292	543	99	260	29	6	246	53	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	195	254	295	549	100	265	33	0	248	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	HOU	27%	209	192	37	7	1	3	13	61	2	4	1	194	253	293	546	99	261	29	6	247	54	-12	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.7
2028	28	MLB CTX	HOU	27%	56	52	10	2	0	1	3	16	1	1	0	196	255	297	552	100	266	29	5	250	54	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	52	10	2	0	1	3	16	1	1	0	192	250	288	538	96	257	29	5	250	38	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	116	23	0	12	35	186	12	12	0	192	251	290	541	98	256	29	5	250	38	-36	+2	-2	+2	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1731	1581	262	49	8	37	115	691	24	108	19	166	233	277	510	111	261	40	7	225	38	-19	+1	-1	+1	+8	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	98	18	3	14	43	259	9	41	7	165	232	276	508	111	258	40	7	225	38	-36	+1	-1	+2	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Cerny (OGILVIE)	27	25	30	55	35	191/249/289	98	260	2	4	29%	6%	53	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Max Burt 2024 · AAA	27	39→35	45	55	39	200/257/319	119	279	14	22	33%	6%	62	-1.4	182/240/274	92	269	9	24	34%	6%	45	-2.7	162/221/238	76	241	6	29	34%	5%	28	-1.9
✕Jordan Brewer 2024 · AA	26	39	42→45	52→55	42	194/265/298	104	279	10	18	33%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/319	113	269	10	14	26%	6%	67	-1.1	192/257/305	113	242	10	14	24%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	197/257/295	98	265	8	14	28%	7%	56	-1.9	193/260/278	85	288	7	11	33%	7%	53	-2.1	162/233/221	59	250	5	8	35%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2024 · AA	27	36→30	41→45	51→60	43	178/259/280	102	271	8	15	35%	8%	55	-2.0	185/267/304	119	276	12	25	35%	9%	63	-1.3	167/253/282	115	245	12	32	35%	9%	51	-1.2
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	37→42	41→45	51→50	43	188/241/282	94	248	8	12	27%	6%	47	-2.6	198/248/300	102	278	11	12	31%	6%	53	-2.1	173/213/257	84	237	13	13	32%	5%	28	-1.2
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	41	40	50	39	199/252/285	86	292	8	15	33%	6%	52	-2.2	206/261/299	93	307	8	12	33%	6%	59	-1.7	148/205/185	37	247	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	39→44	42→45	49→50	41	199/252/296	97	259	11	12	28%	6%	55	-2.0	206/271/314	108	257	12	13	24%	7%	66	-1.1	199/268/306	107	242	12	14	23%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→40	49→50	41	177/276/292	115	287	11	16	39%	8%	65	-1.2	187/276/282	95	307	7	15	38%	8%	62	-1.4	151/250/213	62	271	3	16	40%	8%	35	-1.6
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	43→37	39→40	52→55	47	207/287/293	86	286	7	17	28%	9%	68	-1.0	195/250/322	127	298	13	14	37%	6%	60	-1.6	154/210/279	125	232	14	17	39%	6%	35	-1.7
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	35→25	44→50	49→50	35	182/236/299	117	270	12	9	36%	5%	50	-2.3	212/272/323	111	293	10	10	30%	5%	69	-0.9	212/282/301	88	289	5	9	26%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	43→40	48→30	40	194/251/303	109	259	11	5	29%	6%	56	-1.9	228/293/329	101	322	9	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	243/313/304	61	352	3	0	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA	27	41→42	41→45	48→50	39	202/258/304	102	274	8	10	29%	5%	59	-1.7	195/258/285	90	288	6	9	32%	7%	54	-2.0	177/243/255	78	274	5	7	35%	7%	39	-1.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/259/292	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/261/302	125	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→42	41→45	53→55	36	205/240/299	95	279	9	22	30%	4%	50	-2.3	215/262/345	130	286	15	24	29%	5%	70	-0.9	205/252/344	139	272	17	25	31%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	208/260/298	90	289	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	218/290/292	74	278	5	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	204/285/234	31	262	0	2	20%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Connor Kaiser 2024 · AAA	27	40	45	55→50	45	198/275/318	121	285	12	18	33%	9%	69	-0.9	194/273/297	103	301	9	10	35%	9%	63	-1.3	184/267/283	99	288	8	6	36%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	34→31	46→45	51→45	43	180/255/306	126	258	14	9	35%	8%	59	-1.6	183/252/297	114	256	13	10	32%	8%	56	-1.9	128/203/219	91	164	14	8	32%	7%	19	-2.0
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	44→49	40	53→50	38	216/256/306	90	283	8	15	27%	4%	57	-1.8	212/259/318	106	284	10	14	28%	5%	62	-1.4	199/246/301	101	262	9	16	27%	5%	49	-1.0