Logan Cerny — OGILVIE

Logan CernyCF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA H +4%HR -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .228 / .273

PA141

HR3

SB5

K%42

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

30→30

SPD

55→55

EYE

44↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.6peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-14M		$-38M	-$24M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$24M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	43	38	6	1	1	0	5	17	0	6	2	.158	.256	.237	.493	.079	.286	40	12	.203	14	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	372	333	61	12	2	12	30	159	7	35	7	.183	.265	.339	.604	.156	.299	43	8	.261	58	-18	+4	+0	+1	+11	-0.2
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	360	334	49	6	1	8	18	174	5	20	4	.147	.202	.243	.444	.096	.265	48	5	.193	6	-38	+2	+0	+1	+10	-2.5
2024	24	A+	2 teams	448	410	63	15	1	12	30	192	5	32	2	.154	.220	.283	.503	.129	.244	43	7	.220	27	-37	+6	+0	+2	+13	-1.8
2025	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	158	146	22	3	0	2	9	59	3	7	2	.151	.215	.212	.428	.062	.235	37	6	.186	1	-18	+1	+0	+1	+4	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	HOU	141	129	21	4	0	3	9	59	2	5	1	.163	.229	.264	.492	.101	.275	42	6	.229	34	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	HOU	211	193	34	6	1	5	14	85	2	7	1	.176	.239	.295	.535	.119	.278	40	7	.239	41	-14	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2028	28	MLB 22%	HOU	276	252	46	9	1	6	19	108	3	8	1	.183	.248	.298	.546	.115	.279	39	7	.244	45	-17	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.8
2029	29	MLB 34%	HOU	310	282	52	10	1	7	22	120	3	8	1	.184	.251	.301	.552	.117	.279	39	7	.246	47	-19	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.9
2030	30	MLB 44%	HOU	333	303	54	10	1	7	23	128	4	8	1	.178	.245	.287	.533	.109	.277	38	7	.245	46	-20	+1	-2	+1	+9	-1.1
2031	31	MLB 58%	HOU	330	301	53	10	1	7	23	129	3	6	0	.176	.242	.286	.527	.110	.276	39	7	.241	43	-21	+1	-3	+1	+9	-1.3
2032	32	MLB 76%	HOU	319	291	51	9	1	7	22	126	3	5	0	.175	.241	.285	.526	.110	.274	39	7	.237	39	-22	+1	-4	+1	+9	-1.5
2033	33	MLB 93%	HOU	294	269	46	8	1	6	20	118	3	4	0	.171	.236	.275	.511	.104	.272	40	7	.231	35	-22	+1	-4	+1	+8	-1.6
2034	34	MLB	HOU	254	233	39	7	1	5	17	104	2	3	0	.167	.230	.270	.501	.103	.270	41	7	.225	30	-20	+1	-5	+1	+7	-1.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3849	3514	597	110	13	87	261	1578	45	154	22	.170	.236	.283	.519	.113	.273	41	7	.232	35	-281	+22	-20	+14	+109	-15.9
/ 162G	—			650	593	101	19	2	15	44	266	8	26	4	.170	.237	.285	.522	.115	.272	41	7	.232	35	-47	+4	-3	+2	+18	-2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	17	15	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	.133	.235	.133	.369	.000	.182	24	12	.189	3	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	21	ROK	FCL Phillies	26	20	5	1	1	0	6	8	0	6	1	.250	.423	.400	.823	.150	.417	31	23	.377	147	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	372	316	80	16	4	15	47	110	7	35	7	.253	.362	.472	.834	.218	.337	30	13	.368	140	+17	+4	—	—	+11	3.2
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	360	321	71	10	1	13	31	128	5	20	4	.221	.300	.380	.680	.159	.317	36	9	.304	91	-4	+2	—	—	+10	0.9
2024	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	130	122	22	5	1	2	8	37	0	6	1	.180	.231	.287	.518	.107	.241	28	6	.234	37	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	318	271	61	17	0	14	39	109	5	26	1	.225	.333	.443	.776	.218	.311	34	12	.343	120	+7	+5	—	—	+9	2.2
2025	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	158	143	24	3	0	2	12	48	3	7	2	.168	.247	.231	.478	.063	.237	30	8	.226	32	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Cerny (OGILVIE)	26	25	30	55	35	.167/.228/.273	.106	.275	3	5	42%	6%	34	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→33	44→45	54→55	37	.193/.254/.311	.118	.297	12	18	37%	6%	54	-1.4	.184/.251/.289	.105	.364	11	16	48%	7%	47	-1.9	.105/.185/.185	.080	.240	12	21	58%	8%	-9	-1.7
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	40	.188/.263/.297	.108	.296	12	13	38%	8%	55	-1.4	.201/.277/.307	.106	.299	10	14	34%	8%	63	-0.9	.196/.298/.302	.106	.259	11	24	26%	10%	67	-0.1
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	.193/.248/.281	.088	.293	8	15	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.204/.258/.297	.093	.310	9	12	35%	6%	51	-1.7	.145/.202/.182	.037	.248	4	8	41%	6%	-4	-1.0
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	.202/.252/.327	.125	.285	14	17	34%	5%	57	-1.2	.190/.247/.303	.113	.282	13	22	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.172/.233/.265	.093	.260	10	26	36%	6%	31	-1.4
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	38→35	44→45	56→60	40	.182/.266/.298	.116	.308	12	23	41%	8%	57	-1.2	.188/.270/.297	.109	.289	10	29	36%	8%	58	-1.2	.175/.260/.280	.105	.257	10	34	34%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	43→40	48→50	40	.177/.276/.289	.112	.295	10	15	40%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.277/.284	.098	.306	8	15	38%	8%	58	-1.2	.151/.251/.216	.064	.271	3	16	40%	8%	27	-1.6
✕LeDarious Clark 2019 · A	25	36→33	45	53→55	37	.182/.244/.308	.125	.291	13	20	40%	7%	49	-1.8	.195/.259/.311	.116	.306	13	14	38%	6%	56	-1.3	.149/.196/.259	.110	.216	17	7	39%	3%	17	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	59→60	39	.200/.260/.310	.111	.293	9	26	34%	6%	56	-1.3	.207/.268/.324	.117	.323	12	22	37%	6%	63	-0.8	.189/.251/.296	.108	.301	12	29	39%	5%	47	-1.1
✕Michael O'Neill 2018 · AA	26	41→40	43→45	52→55	36	.205/.252/.312	.108	.296	10	18	34%	5%	53	-1.5	.211/.261/.312	.101	.314	10	21	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.207/.257/.292	.085	.310	9	23	35%	5%	46	-1.5
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA	26	35→45	42→45	57→55	35	.172/.235/.278	.107	.299	8	23	43%	6%	37	-2.6	.182/.237/.281	.099	.308	9	18	41%	5%	38	-2.6	.127/.182/.193	.066	.223	9	22	45%	4%	-10	-1.6
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	36→33	46→50	51→50	31	.186/.228/.311	.124	.286	15	14	40%	4%	42	-2.3	.194/.239/.318	.124	.291	14	15	37%	5%	49	-1.8	.168/.213/.301	.132	.231	17	24	35%	4%	31	-1.0
✕Logan Warmoth 2022 · AAA	26	42→39	40→45	52→55	40	.191/.272/.285	.093	.320	8	17	39%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.277/.305	.106	.301	10	21	35%	8%	63	-0.9	.186/.268/.279	.093	.271	9	24	32%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	39	40	57→55	34	.183/.234/.273	.090	.319	8	17	43%	6%	35	-2.8	.196/.244/.284	.088	.324	7	16	39%	6%	42	-2.3	.187/.217/.248	.061	.297	5	20	38%	3%	15	-0.7
✕Cody Wilson 2022 · AAA	26	32	37→30	53→55	39	.163/.226/.233	.070	.257	5	19	37%	7%	21	-3.7	.173/.233/.242	.069	.311	5	27	43%	6%	27	-3.3	.153/.217/.208	.055	.295	4	33	46%	5%	9	-1.7
✕Connor Lien 2019 · AA	25	34→44	44→45	50→55	29	.167/.225/.285	.118	.311	12	16	48%	5%	36	-2.7	.170/.240/.305	.135	.373	16	12	54%	7%	47	-1.9	.121/.208/.259	.138	.300	18	9	61%	8%	20	-1.3
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	40→37	42→40	48→50	39	.191/.265/.291	.100	.313	9	10	39%	8%	54	-1.4	.196/.279/.296	.100	.292	8	13	33%	9%	61	-1.0	.175/.272/.270	.095	.250	7	16	30%	10%	50	-1.1
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	38→37	42→45	54→55	42	.186/.272/.288	.102	.271	9	21	33%	8%	57	-1.2	.192/.280/.320	.128	.332	14	15	43%	8%	69	-0.4	.147/.256/.292	.145	.254	19	20	46%	10%	50	-0.7
✕Alex McKenna 2023 · AAA	25	42→38	43→40	50	39	.193/.269/.303	.110	.330	11	14	42%	8%	59	-1.1	.200/.274/.306	.106	.335	10	11	40%	8%	61	-1.0	.167/.251/.258	.090	.289	10	3	42%	9%	36	-0.8
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	42	43→45	55	40	.199/.276/.305	.105	.313	10	19	37%	7%	62	-0.9	.199/.267/.312	.113	.279	11	16	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.189/.257/.301	.112	.252	11	16	28%	7%	50	-0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)