Jose Acosta — OGILVIE

Jose Acosta2B Carolina Mudcats

Age 26 S/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .274 / .318

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	168	141	28	3	3	1	24	29	2	12	3	199	323	284	607	85	241	17	14	286	79	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2019	19	ROK	AZL Reds	—	234	195	77	17	5	3	31	41	3	26	1	395	485	579	1.064	185	484	18	13	457	196	+27	+5	—	—	+5	3.7
2021	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	142	132	33	4	1	4	4	44	3	5	4	250	288	386	674	136	341	31	3	294	85	-2	-1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2021	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	118	101	26	9	0	1	12	31	5	9	3	257	364	376	741	119	362	26	10	340	116	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	248	218	47	6	2	8	24	73	1	10	6	216	296	372	668	156	281	29	10	295	86	-4	-0	—	—	+5	0.1
2022	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	73	61	14	4	2	2	7	21	1	4	1	230	319	459	778	230	316	29	10	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	160	36	10	3	5	10	45	3	5	5	225	283	419	702	194	279	25	6	301	90	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	33	28	4	0	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	143	250	143	393		235	33	9	195	18	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	27	23	5	2	0	1	3	2	0	2	0	217	308	435	742	217	200	7	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	71	66	17	1	0	0	5	14	0	11	2	258	310	273	583	15	327	20	7	271	70	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	168	150	22	2	2	1	15	42	2	12	3	147	234	207	440	60	193	25	9	202	23	-15	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Reds	—	234	208	58	12	3	2	18	59	3	26	1	279	345	394	739	115	362	25	8	323	105	+1	+5	—	—	+5	1.1
2021	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	142	133	26	3	1	3	3	60	3	5	4	195	230	301	531	105	309	42	2	228	40	-10	-1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2021	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	118	105	21	7	0	1	8	41	5	9	3	200	288	295	583	95	317	35	7	255	59	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	248	224	36	4	2	7	18	101	1	10	6	161	226	290	517	129	234	41	7	222	36	-19	-0	—	—	+5	-1.4
2022	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	73	64	12	3	1	2	4	29	1	4	1	188	246	359	606	172	278	40	5	253	57	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	163	27	7	2	4	7	64	3	5	5	166	214	307	521	141	228	36	4	217	33	-14	-1	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	33	29	4	0	0	0	2	13	1	1	0	138	219	138	357		227	39	6	163	-4	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	27	24	5	2	0	1	2	3	0	2	0	208	269	417	686	208	172	11	7	264	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	24	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	71	68	14	1	0	0	3	20	0	11	2	206	239	221	460	15	280	28	4	203	24	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	168	150	22	2	2	1	15	42	2	12	3	147	234	207	440	60	194	25	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	168	141	28	3	3	1	24	29	2	12	3	199	323	284	607	85	241	17	14	286	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Reds	—	234	208	58	12	3	2	18	59	3	26	1	279	345	394	739	115	376	25	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Reds	—	234	195	77	17	5	3	31	41	3	26	1	395	485	579	1.064	185	484	18	13	457	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	260	238	48	10	1	4	11	101	8	14	7	202	261	303	563	101	328	39	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	260	233	59	13	1	5	16	75	8	14	7	253	323	382	705	129	351	29	6	315	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	288	48	7	3	9	22	130	2	14	7	167	231	306	536	139	258	40	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	321	279	61	10	4	10	31	94	2	14	7	219	301	391	692	172	288	29	10	301	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	163	27	7	2	4	7	64	3	5	5	166	214	307	521	141	240	36	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	160	36	10	3	5	10	45	3	5	5	225	283	419	702	194	279	25	6	301	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	131	121	22	3	0	1	7	36	1	14	2	182	233	231	464	50	250	27	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A RAW	3 teams	—	131	117	26	3	0	1	11	27	1	14	2	222	295	274	568	51	281	21	8	261	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	168	149	22	2	2	1	15	42	2	12	3	148	234	208	442	60	193	25	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Reds	—	234	211	58	12	3	2	18	59	3	26	1	275	345	389	734	114	362	25	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	260	239	48	10	1	4	11	101	8	14	7	201	261	301	562	100	313	39	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	294	48	7	3	9	22	130	2	14	7	163	231	299	530	136	244	40	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	166	27	7	2	4	7	64	3	5	5	163	214	301	515	139	228	36	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	131	122	22	3	0	1	7	36	1	14	2	180	233	230	462	49	244	27	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	166	27	7	2	4	7	64	3	5	5	163	214	301	515	139	228	36	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	131	122	22	3	0	1	7	36	1	14	2	180	233	230	462	49	244	27	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		279	27	9	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIL	26%	209	190	41	8	1	4	15	56	2	4	1	216	280	332	612	116	280	27	7	275	73	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	39%	276	250	53	10	1	5	21	73	3	5	1	212	281	320	601	108	280	26	8	278	74	-8	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIL	44%	310	280	62	12	2	6	24	82	3	6	2	221	290	343	633	121	280	26	8	278	75	-9	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIL	26%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	278	26	7	268	73	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	39%	109	99	22	4	1	2	8	29	1	2	1	222	287	343	630	121	279	27	7	271	74	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIL	44%	138	125	27	5	1	3	11	36	1	3	1	216	285	344	629	128	278	26	8	271	75	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	301	273	59	11	2	6	23	79	3	6	2	216	284	337	621	121	279	26	8	270	59	-9	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	127	24	4	13	50	171	6	13	4	215	283	336	619	120	278	26	8	270	59	-20	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2098	1898	382	71	15	36	141	646	27	100	29	201	266	311	578	110	282	31	7	255	59	-25	+1	-2	+3	+17	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	119	22	5	11	44	200	8	31	9	202	267	313	580	111	284	31	7	255	59	-20	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	436	8	9	216	279	330	+2	+2	0.0	0.0
/162	664	12	13	+2.4	+3.0	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Acosta (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	210/274/318	108	279	2	3	27%	7%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→44	43→45	48→50	37	203/250/316	113	283	11	9	32%	5%	58	-1.7	218/263/335	117	297	11	10	29%	5%	68	-1.0	218/263/335	116	292	11	10	28%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/331	126	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	209/262/319	110	263	11	9	24%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/278	87	234	9	6	22%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2022 · AAA	26	34→44	47→50	50	47	182/256/313	131	221	15	11	26%	8%	61	-1.5	197/286/336	139	259	16	13	29%	10%	78	-0.3	191/289/327	136	253	16	12	29%	11%	75	-0.4
✕Blake Perkins 2022 · AA	25	39→49	43→50	51→55	45	194/267/301	107	277	11	15	33%	9%	62	-1.4	220/299/351	131	297	13	20	28%	10%	85	+0.2	226/309/352	126	299	12	25	27%	10%	87	+0.3
✕David Espinosa 2009 · AAA	27	41→48	42→45	54→50	44	203/257/311	108	265	8	15	26%	7%	59	-1.6	211/271/312	101	270	8	15	24%	8%	65	-1.2	191/255/263	73	242	4	18	22%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA	26	41→46	44→50	53→55	39	205/255/330	124	274	11	16	29%	5%	63	-1.3	200/247/326	126	279	11	17	31%	5%	59	-1.6	193/240/322	128	273	11	16	32%	5%	53	-1.5
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	38→40	46→50	50	40	198/250/327	129	260	14	11	30%	6%	61	-1.5	212/256/344	132	247	16	10	22%	5%	67	-1.1	208/243/344	136	220	20	8	17%	4%	60	-1.0
✕Trei Cruz 2023 · AA	25	37→47	41→45	51→50	51	181/275/279	98	273	8	13	34%	12%	61	-1.5	204/283/319	115	288	10	10	30%	10%	72	-0.7	228/304/337	109	310	9	10	27%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Cole Tucker 2022 · MLB	26	44→47	43→45	50→55	47	213/281/328	114	278	10	13	26%	8%	73	-0.6	206/275/298	92	297	8	12	31%	9%	63	-1.3	196/269/270	74	291	5	11	32%	9%	53	-1.0
✕Yusniel Díaz 2023 · AAA	26	41→50	42→45	46→50	42	202/263/297	94	285	10	12	32%	7%	59	-1.7	229/303/370	141	289	16	12	25%	10%	91	+0.6	241/315/397	156	292	17	8	23%	10%	99	+0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	44→45	54→50	42	193/265/307	114	268	12	15	32%	7%	63	-1.4	194/259/303	109	286	10	12	34%	7%	59	-1.6	153/220/251	99	233	9	9	37%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Jimmy Herron 2022 · AA	26	41→45	40→45	50→55	47	201/274/294	93	268	7	15	27%	8%	63	-1.4	221/296/354	133	273	14	21	24%	8%	85	+0.2	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Chuckie Robinson 2021 · AA	26	38→48	41→45	49→45	35	192/238/286	94	282	9	9	34%	5%	47	-2.6	224/279/338	114	288	13	8	26%	6%	74	-0.5	234/287/347	113	292	13	7	24%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Anderson Feliz 2018 · AAA	26	44→51	40	51→50	42	213/264/312	99	296	7	13	29%	6%	62	-1.4	222/272/319	97	321	8	14	31%	6%	67	-1.1	222/272/312	90	322	8	14	32%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Wade Gaynor 2014 · AA	26	37→45	43→45	49→50	39	189/250/305	116	272	11	9	34%	6%	56	-1.9	184/229/303	119	264	12	12	34%	5%	47	-2.5	166/206/285	119	233	12	13	34%	5%	32	-2.6
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→44	41→45	51→50	43	192/246/287	95	253	9	12	27%	7%	50	-2.3	201/251/302	101	282	11	12	31%	6%	55	-1.9	176/217/260	84	242	13	13	32%	5%	31	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps