Jose Acosta2B Carolina Mudcats
Age 26 S/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .273 / .317
PA136
HR2
K%27
BB%7
ISO108
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +3.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.00.00.0262829
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKDSL Reds 168150 22221 15422 123 147234207440 60194 259 202 13
201818 ROKDSL Reds 168141 28331 24292 123 199323284607 85241 1714 286 77
201919 ROKAZL Reds 234208 581232 18593 261 279345394739 115376 258 323 105
201919 ROKAZL Reds 234195 771753 31413 261 3954855791.064 185484 1813 457 208
202121 A+2 teams 260238 47915 111018 147 197257307564 109316 394 241 43
202121 A+2 teams 260233 591315 16758 147 253323382705 129351 296 315 99
202222 A+2 teams 321287 477310 231322 147 164231314544 150252 417 230 34
202222 A+2 teams 321279 6110410 31942 147 219301391692 172288 2910 301 89
202323 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 178163 26823 7673 55 160208288496 129245 384 209 18
202323 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 178160 361035 10453 55 225283419702 194279 256 301 88
202424 A3 teams 131120 22301 8361 142 183240233474 50253 276 201 12
202424 A3 teams 131117 26301 11271 142 222295274568 51281 218 261 58
▸ 2026 Season
202626 MLBMIL 136124 26512 10371 31 210274315589 105279 277 269 64 -6 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBMIL 26% 209190 41814 15562 41 216280332612 116280 277 274 68 -8 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.0
202828 MLBMIL 39% 276250 531015 21743 51 212281320601 108281 278 277 70 -9 +1 -1 +1 +8 -0.1
202929 MLBMIL 44% 310280 611226 24833 62 218287339626 121281 278 278 71 -10 +0 -1 +1 +9 -0.1
202727 MLBMIL 26% 5449 10201 4151 10 204278306584 102278 287 264 61 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202828 MLBMIL 39% 10999 21412 8291 21 212278333611 121278 277 267 63 -5 +0 -0 +0 +3 -0.1
202929 MLBMIL 44% 138125 27513 11371 31 216285344629 128278 278 268 63 -6 +0 -1 +0 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 301273 581126 23813 62 212281333614 121277 278 267 62 -13 +0 -1 +1 +9 -0.4
/ 162G 650590 12524413 501756 134 212280332612 120276 278 267 62 -28 +1 -2 +2 +18 -0.8
Career 22232010 403761639 15268728 10330 200266312579 112281 317 255 53 -118 +9 -2 +8 +63 -4.1
/ 162G 650588 11822511 442018 309 201266311577 111282 317 255 53 -34 +2 -1 +2 +18 -1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKDSL Reds 168141 28331 24292 123 199323284607 85241 1714 286 77 -4 +1 +5 0.2
201919 ROKAZL Reds 234195 771753 31413 261 3954855791.064 185484 1813 457 208 +29 +5 +7 4.1
202121 A+Hickory Crawdads 142132 33414 4443 54 250288386674 136341 313 294 83 -3 -1 +4 0.1
202121 ADown East Wood Ducks 118101 26901 12315 93 257364376741 119362 2610 340 119 +2 +1 +3 0.7
202222 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 248218 47628 24731 106 216296372668 156281 2910 295 84 -5 -0 +7 0.2
202222 ADown East Wood Ducks 7361 14422 7211 41 230319459778 230316 2910 323 105 +0 +0 +2 0.3
202323 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 178160 361035 10453 55 225283419702 194279 256 301 88 -2 -1 +5 0.2
202424 AABiloxi Shuckers 3328 4000 3111 10 143250143393 235 339 195 8 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
202424 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 2723 5201 320 20 217308435742 217200 711 317 101 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202424 ACarolina Mudcats 7166 17100 5140 112 258310273583 15327 207 271 66 -3 +1 +2 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
243689215279329+2+2-0.1-0.1
/1626641213+2.4+3.0-0.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jose Acosta (OGILVIE) 26 209/273/317 108279 23 27% 7% 64 -0.2
Blake Swihart
2019 · MLB
27 43→50 41→45 51→45 45 209/269/304 95280 811 28% 7% 57 -1.2 191/255/314 123263 157 32% 8% 55 -1.4 149/220/26511619816234%8%26-1.3
Riley Unroe
2022 · AAA
26 43→48 44→50 46→55 42 215/270/332 117280 1111 27% 6% 66 -0.6 225/299/355 130294 1422 27% 9% 84 +0.6 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
Coco Montes
2023 · AAA
26 39→43 47→50 51→50 41 200/265/338 138281 1410 33% 7% 66 -0.6 219/284/347 128316 1310 33% 8% 76 +0.0 220/284/33711731711932%7%71-0.2
Arquímedes Gamboa
2023 · AAA
25 42→44 41→40 53→50 47 203/277/300 97290 812 31% 9% 60 -1.0 208/289/309 101313 915 33% 10% 68 -0.5 198/288/2939530281734%11%61-0.6
Chase Pinder
2022 · AA
26 39 43→45 44→45 46 197/280/304 107271 125 30% 8% 64 -0.8 229/320/373 144297 1510 26% 11% 98 +1.6 224/323/376152290161126%12%98+0.8
Kaleb Cowart
2019 · MLB
27 44→52 44→45 53→50 43 217/268/343 126279 1116 26% 6% 68 -0.5 215/262/336 121274 1110 25% 6% 63 -0.9 207/250/31711026010624%5%51-1.1
Brent Wyatt
2011 · AA
26 44→50 41→40 50 49 213/296/312 99266 813 22% 8% 72 -0.2 222/304/314 92288 611 23% 9% 76 +0.1 227/320/312843024923%10%79+0.2
Marcus Littlewood
2018 · AAA
26 44 44→45 47→45 41 219/266/333 114291 115 28% 6% 64 -0.8 203/261/311 108280 126 30% 7% 56 -1.3 157/232/2438721112231%9%25-1.5
David Espinosa
2009 · AAA
27 41→48 43→45 54→50 43 205/257/319 114265 915 26% 6% 56 -1.3 210/266/312 102271 915 24% 7% 59 -1.1 189/253/2647624251823%8%37-1.0
Joseph Rosa
2023 · AAA
26 44 43→40 55→50 40 213/272/327 115309 1019 33% 6% 66 -0.6 214/294/305 91333 615 34% 9% 69 -0.4 200/294/2767632351735%10%61-0.5
Kyle Datres
2022 · A
26 39→40 45→50 54→55 44 194/276/317 123270 1218 31% 8% 66 -0.6 209/287/354 145287 1823 32% 8% 79 +0.3 198/279/346148268202632%8%71-0.1
Drew Jackson
2019 · AA
26 41→43 43→45 50→55 42 206/275/317 112280 1119 29% 6% 65 -0.7 195/273/306 111288 1120 34% 8% 61 -1.0 178/266/27294285102538%9%47-0.9
Anderson Feliz
2018 · AAA
26 43→50 41→45 50 41 208/259/312 104294 813 31% 6% 55 -1.4 217/267/318 101323 914 33% 6% 60 -1.0 214/265/3079332281434%6%53-1.0
Jimmy Govern
2023 · AAA
26 39 47→50 49→45 39 203/247/337 133251 158 26% 4% 57 -1.2 206/258/325 119258 139 25% 5% 59 -1.1 184/241/28510022212623%4%38-1.0
Yusniel Díaz
2023 · AAA
26 42→50 43→45 46→50 41 209/266/311 102293 1212 32% 7% 59 -1.1 234/305/382 148295 1712 25% 9% 94 +1.3 246/322/41316830119824%10%105+1.4
Drew M. Anderson
2009 · AAA
26 46→53 43→45 50→45 44 226/272/348 122281 109 23% 6% 70 -0.3 215/261/325 110266 76 21% 6% 59 -1.1 210/255/3181082586420%5%52-1.1
Angelo Mora
2019 · AAA
26 47→50 42→45 47→45 39 229/261/335 106296 97 26% 4% 62 -0.9 220/260/327 107296 1010 28% 5% 59 -1.1 207/246/297902838829%5%42-1.2
Skye Bolt
2019 · AA
25 40→39 46→50 51→50 41 201/260/336 135284 1312 33% 7% 63 -0.9 214/277/356 142303 1512 32% 7% 75 -0.0 238/304/382144312161228%7%89+0.4
Mel Rojas Jr.
2016 · AAA
26 48→50 42→45 48→50 41 233/281/340 107311 911 27% 6% 72 -0.2 226/272/346 120291 1111 25% 6% 69 -0.4 220/266/349129276131125%6%67-0.3
Danny Worth
2012 · MLB
26 46→52 42→45 52→50 43 225/277/332 106293 916 26% 6% 68 -0.5 208/271/306 98297 715 30% 7% 59 -1.1 221/288/315953247932%8%66-0.4