Jose Acosta — OGILVIE

Jose Acosta2B Carolina Mudcats

Age 26 S/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .273 / .317

PA136

HR2

K%27

BB%7

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	168	150	22	2	2	1	15	42	2	12	3	147	234	207	440	60	194	25	9	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	168	141	28	3	3	1	24	29	2	12	3	199	323	284	607	85	241	17	14	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	AZL Reds	—	234	208	58	12	3	2	18	59	3	26	1	279	345	394	739	115	376	25	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	AZL Reds	—	234	195	77	17	5	3	31	41	3	26	1	395	485	579	1.064	185	484	18	13	457	208	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	260	238	47	9	1	5	11	101	8	14	7	197	257	307	564	109	316	39	4	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	260	233	59	13	1	5	16	75	8	14	7	253	323	382	705	129	351	29	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	321	287	47	7	3	10	23	132	2	14	7	164	231	314	544	150	252	41	7	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	321	279	61	10	4	10	31	94	2	14	7	219	301	391	692	172	288	29	10	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	163	26	8	2	3	7	67	3	5	5	160	208	288	496	129	245	38	4	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	160	36	10	3	5	10	45	3	5	5	225	283	419	702	194	279	25	6	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	3 teams	—	131	120	22	3	0	1	8	36	1	14	2	183	240	233	474	50	253	27	6	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	3 teams	—	131	117	26	3	0	1	11	27	1	14	2	222	295	274	568	51	281	21	8	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIL	—	136	124	26	5	1	2	10	37	1	3	1	210	274	315	589	105	279	27	7	269	64	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIL	26%	209	190	41	8	1	4	15	56	2	4	1	216	280	332	612	116	280	27	7	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIL	39%	276	250	53	10	1	5	21	74	3	5	1	212	281	320	601	108	281	27	8	277	70	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	MIL	44%	310	280	61	12	2	6	24	83	3	6	2	218	287	339	626	121	281	27	8	278	71	-10	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	MIL	26%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	278	28	7	264	61	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIL	39%	109	99	21	4	1	2	8	29	1	2	1	212	278	333	611	121	278	27	7	267	63	-5	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	MIL	44%	138	125	27	5	1	3	11	37	1	3	1	216	285	344	629	128	278	27	8	268	63	-6	+0	-1	+0	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	301	273	58	11	2	6	23	81	3	6	2	212	281	333	614	121	277	27	8	267	62	-13	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	125	24	4	13	50	175	6	13	4	212	280	332	612	120	276	27	8	267	62	-28	+1	-2	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2223	2010	403	76	16	39	152	687	28	103	30	200	266	312	579	112	281	31	7	255	53	-118	+9	-2	+8	+63	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	118	22	5	11	44	201	8	30	9	201	266	311	577	111	282	31	7	255	53	-34	+2	-1	+2	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	168	141	28	3	3	1	24	29	2	12	3	199	323	284	607	85	241	17	14	286	77	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2019	19	ROK	AZL Reds	—	234	195	77	17	5	3	31	41	3	26	1	395	485	579	1.064	185	484	18	13	457	208	+29	+5	—	—	+7	4.1
2021	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	142	132	33	4	1	4	4	44	3	5	4	250	288	386	674	136	341	31	3	294	83	-3	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	118	101	26	9	0	1	12	31	5	9	3	257	364	376	741	119	362	26	10	340	119	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	248	218	47	6	2	8	24	73	1	10	6	216	296	372	668	156	281	29	10	295	84	-5	-0	—	—	+7	0.2
2022	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	73	61	14	4	2	2	7	21	1	4	1	230	319	459	778	230	316	29	10	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	160	36	10	3	5	10	45	3	5	5	225	283	419	702	194	279	25	6	301	88	-2	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2024	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	33	28	4	0	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	143	250	143	393		235	33	9	195	8	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	27	23	5	2	0	1	3	2	0	2	0	217	308	435	742	217	200	7	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	71	66	17	1	0	0	5	14	0	11	2	258	310	273	583	15	327	20	7	271	66	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	436	8	9	215	279	329	+2	+2	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	12	13	215	279	329	+2.4	+3.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Acosta (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	209/273/317	108	279	2	3	27%	7%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Swihart 2019 · MLB	27	43→50	41→45	51→45	45	209/269/304	95	280	8	11	28%	7%	57	-1.2	191/255/314	123	263	15	7	32%	8%	55	-1.4	149/220/265	116	198	16	2	34%	8%	26	-1.3
✕Riley Unroe 2022 · AAA	26	43→48	44→50	46→55	42	215/270/332	117	280	11	11	27%	6%	66	-0.6	225/299/355	130	294	14	22	27%	9%	84	+0.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	41→40	53→50	47	203/277/300	97	290	8	12	31%	9%	60	-1.0	208/289/309	101	313	9	15	33%	10%	68	-0.5	198/288/293	95	302	8	17	34%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Kaleb Cowart 2019 · MLB	27	44→52	44→45	53→50	43	217/268/343	126	279	11	16	26%	6%	68	-0.5	215/262/336	121	274	11	10	25%	6%	63	-0.9	207/250/317	110	260	10	6	24%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Brent Wyatt 2011 · AA	26	44→50	41→40	50	49	213/296/312	99	266	8	13	22%	8%	72	-0.2	222/304/314	92	288	6	11	23%	9%	76	+0.1	227/320/312	84	302	4	9	23%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Marcus Littlewood 2018 · AAA	26	44	44→45	47→45	41	219/266/333	114	291	11	5	28%	6%	64	-0.8	203/261/311	108	280	12	6	30%	7%	56	-1.3	157/232/243	87	211	12	2	31%	9%	25	-1.5
✕David Espinosa 2009 · AAA	27	41→48	43→45	54→50	43	205/257/319	114	265	9	15	26%	6%	56	-1.3	210/266/312	102	271	9	15	24%	7%	59	-1.1	189/253/264	76	242	5	18	23%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44	43→40	55→50	40	213/272/327	115	309	10	19	33%	6%	66	-0.6	214/294/305	91	333	6	15	34%	9%	69	-0.4	200/294/276	76	323	5	17	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	41→43	43→45	50→55	42	206/275/317	112	280	11	19	29%	6%	65	-0.7	195/273/306	111	288	11	20	34%	8%	61	-1.0	178/266/272	94	285	10	25	38%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Anderson Feliz 2018 · AAA	26	43→50	41→45	50	41	208/259/312	104	294	8	13	31%	6%	55	-1.4	217/267/318	101	323	9	14	33%	6%	60	-1.0	214/265/307	93	322	8	14	34%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	39	47→50	49→45	39	203/247/337	133	251	15	8	26%	4%	57	-1.2	206/258/325	119	258	13	9	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/285	100	222	12	6	23%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Yusniel Díaz 2023 · AAA	26	42→50	43→45	46→50	41	209/266/311	102	293	12	12	32%	7%	59	-1.1	234/305/382	148	295	17	12	25%	9%	94	+1.3	246/322/413	168	301	19	8	24%	10%	105	+1.4
✕Drew M. Anderson 2009 · AAA	26	46→53	43→45	50→45	44	226/272/348	122	281	10	9	23%	6%	70	-0.3	215/261/325	110	266	7	6	21%	6%	59	-1.1	210/255/318	108	258	6	4	20%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Angelo Mora 2019 · AAA	26	47→50	42→45	47→45	39	229/261/335	106	296	9	7	26%	4%	62	-0.9	220/260/327	107	296	10	10	28%	5%	59	-1.1	207/246/297	90	283	8	8	29%	5%	42	-1.2
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40→39	46→50	51→50	41	201/260/336	135	284	13	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	214/277/356	142	303	15	12	32%	7%	75	-0.0	238/304/382	144	312	16	12	28%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Mel Rojas Jr. 2016 · AAA	26	48→50	42→45	48→50	41	233/281/340	107	311	9	11	27%	6%	72	-0.2	226/272/346	120	291	11	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	220/266/349	129	276	13	11	25%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	46→52	42→45	52→50	43	225/277/332	106	293	9	16	26%	6%	68	-0.5	208/271/306	98	297	7	15	30%	7%	59	-1.1	221/288/315	95	324	7	9	32%	8%	66	-0.4