Jose Acosta — OGILVIE

Jose Acosta2B Carolina Mudcats

Age 26 S/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .273 / .317

PA136

HR2

K%27

BB%7

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	168	150	22	2	2	1	15	42	2	12	3	147	234	207	440	60	194	25	9	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	168	141	28	3	3	1	24	29	2	12	3	199	323	284	607	85	241	17	14	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	AZL Reds	—	234	208	58	12	3	2	18	59	3	26	1	279	345	394	739	115	376	25	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	AZL Reds	—	234	195	77	17	5	3	31	41	3	26	1	395	485	579	1.064	185	484	18	13	457	208	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	260	238	47	9	1	5	11	101	8	14	7	197	257	307	564	109	316	39	4	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	260	233	59	13	1	5	16	75	8	14	7	253	323	382	705	129	351	29	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	321	287	47	7	3	10	23	132	2	14	7	164	231	314	544	150	252	41	7	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	321	279	61	10	4	10	31	94	2	14	7	219	301	391	692	172	288	29	10	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	163	26	8	2	3	7	67	3	5	5	160	208	288	496	129	245	38	4	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	160	36	10	3	5	10	45	3	5	5	225	283	419	702	194	279	25	6	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	3 teams	—	131	120	22	3	0	1	8	36	1	14	2	183	240	233	474	50	253	27	6	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	3 teams	—	131	117	26	3	0	1	11	27	1	14	2	222	295	274	568	51	281	21	8	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIL	—	136	124	26	5	1	2	10	37	1	3	1	210	274	315	589	105	279	27	7	269	64	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIL	26%	209	190	41	8	1	4	15	56	2	4	1	216	280	332	612	116	280	27	7	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIL	39%	276	250	53	10	1	5	21	74	3	5	1	212	281	320	601	108	281	27	8	277	70	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	MIL	26%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	278	28	7	264	61	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIL	39%	109	99	21	4	1	2	8	29	1	2	1	212	278	333	611	121	278	27	7	267	63	-5	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	163	148	31	6	1	3	12	44	2	3	1	209	278	324	602	115	275	27	7	266	62	-7	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	124	24	4	12	48	175	8	12	4	210	279	325	604	115	275	27	7	266	62	-28	+1	-1	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	1913	1730	342	64	14	33	128	604	25	97	28	198	263	308	571	110	280	32	7	251	50	-108	+8	-1	+7	+54	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	116	22	5	11	43	205	8	33	10	197	261	308	569	111	280	32	7	251	50	-37	+3	-0	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	168	141	28	3	3	1	24	29	2	12	3	199	323	284	607	85	241	17	14	286	77	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2019	19	ROK	AZL Reds	—	234	195	77	17	5	3	31	41	3	26	1	395	485	579	1.064	185	484	18	13	457	208	+29	+5	—	—	+7	4.1
2021	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	142	132	33	4	1	4	4	44	3	5	4	250	288	386	674	136	341	31	3	294	83	-3	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	118	101	26	9	0	1	12	31	5	9	3	257	364	376	741	119	362	26	10	340	119	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	248	218	47	6	2	8	24	73	1	10	6	216	296	372	668	156	281	29	10	295	84	-5	-0	—	—	+7	0.2
2022	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	73	61	14	4	2	2	7	21	1	4	1	230	319	459	778	230	316	29	10	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	178	160	36	10	3	5	10	45	3	5	5	225	283	419	702	194	279	25	6	301	88	-2	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2024	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	33	28	4	0	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	143	250	143	393		235	33	9	195	8	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	27	23	5	2	0	1	3	2	0	2	0	217	308	435	742	217	200	7	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	71	66	17	1	0	0	5	14	0	11	2	258	310	273	583	15	327	20	7	271	66	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	298	5	6	214	277	327	+1	+2	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	12	14	214	277	327	+2.4	+4.4	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Acosta (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	209/273/317	108	279	2	3	27%	7%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	39	47→50	49→45	39	203/247/337	133	251	15	8	26%	4%	57	-1.2	206/258/325	119	258	13	9	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/285	100	222	12	6	23%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40→39	46→50	51→50	41	201/260/336	135	284	13	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	214/277/356	142	303	15	12	32%	7%	75	-0.0	238/304/382	144	312	16	12	28%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Marcus Littlewood 2018 · AAA	26	44	44→45	47→45	41	219/266/333	114	291	11	5	28%	6%	64	-0.8	203/261/311	108	280	12	6	30%	7%	56	-1.3	157/232/243	87	211	12	2	31%	9%	25	-1.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	41→40	53→50	47	203/277/300	97	290	8	12	31%	9%	60	-1.0	208/289/309	101	313	9	15	33%	10%	68	-0.5	198/288/293	95	302	8	17	34%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44	43→40	55→50	40	213/272/327	115	309	10	19	33%	6%	66	-0.6	214/294/305	91	333	6	15	34%	9%	69	-0.4	200/294/276	76	323	5	17	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	41→43	43→45	50→55	42	206/275/317	112	280	11	19	29%	6%	65	-0.7	195/273/306	111	288	11	20	34%	8%	61	-1.0	178/266/272	94	285	10	25	38%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2017 · AA	26	40	45	46→50	47	201/275/317	116	256	13	9	26%	8%	65	-0.7	194/265/291	97	267	8	12	29%	8%	53	-1.5	168/244/247	79	236	5	15	29%	8%	31	-2.0
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA	25	40	41→40	43→45	41	195/268/292	97	287	9	7	33%	7%	55	-1.4	215/288/307	92	290	7	9	27%	7%	68	-0.5	211/289/296	86	282	7	7	26%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Chase Simpson 2017 · A	25	39→37	43→45	51→45	44	194/265/308	114	274	9	5	31%	8%	58	-1.2	194/252/309	115	293	11	7	35%	6%	52	-1.6	126/167/239	113	192	13	3	42%	4%	-5	-1.3