Bubba Alleyne

OF Tulsa Drillers
Age 28 S/R 5'8" / 190 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202324A+LAD402.199/.280/.32272426—.158/.219/.253
202425AALAD325.252/.337/.37861547—.189/.254/.273
202526AALAD44.143/.182/.14303-27—.119/.159/.119
2027PROJMLE28MLBLAD2.214/.281/.3400077-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB29MLBLAD27.213/.280/.3371076-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA
Speed74
Z-Con%49
K%45
Whiff%44
Chase%39
wOBA1
CompsAnthony Seratelli (age 28) · Francisco Rivera (age 28) · Enrique Trujillo (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .281 / .340
PA2
HR0
K%50
BB%7
BABIP275
ISO117
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202223 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 143128 30723 13381 91 234310391700 156307 279 312 34 — — — — — —
202324 A+Great Lakes Loons — 402357 711547 331037 248 199280322602 123255 268 272 26 — — — — — —
202425 AATulsa Drillers — 325286 721426 33874 159 252337378715 126338 2710 323 47 — — — — — —
202526 AATulsa Drillers — 4442 6000 1111 30 143182143325 194 252 156 -27 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202223 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 143133 22512 8561 91 165218263481 98273 396 219 34 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 402368 581136 221307 248 158219253472 95215 325 207 26 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 325297 561114 221114 159 189254273527 84280 347 238 47 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 4442 5000 1141 30 119159119278 180 322 128 -27 — — — — — —
202223 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 143133 22512 8561 91 165218263481 98263 396 219 34 — — — — — —
202223 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 143128 30723 13381 91 234310391700 156307 279 312 34 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 402368 581136 221307 248 158219253472 95220 325 207 26 — — — — — —
202324 A+ RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 402357 711547 331037 248 199280322602 123255 268 272 26 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 325297 561114 221114 159 189254273527 84283 347 238 47 — — — — — —
202425 AA RAWTulsa Drillers — 325286 721426 33874 159 252337378715 126338 2710 323 47 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 4442 5000 1141 30 119159119278 179 322 128 -27 — — — — — —
202526 AA RAWTulsa Drillers — 4442 6000 1111 30 143182143325 194 252 156 -27 — — — — — —
202223 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 143133 22512 8561 91 165218263481 98273 396 219 34 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 402370 581136 221307 248 157219251470 95215 325 207 26 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 325296 561114 221114 159 189254274528 84280 347 238 47 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 4442 5000 1141 30 119159119278 180 322 128 -27 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 325296 561114 221114 159 189254274528 84280 347 238 47 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 4442 5000 1141 30 119159119278 180 322 128 -27 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLELAD 2% 200181 40814 15542 41 218284344629 126281 278 282 77 -5 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXLAD 2% 22 0000 010 00 214281340621 125275 500 279 77 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLELAD 23% 120109 24413 9321 21 217283341624 124280 278 281 76 -3 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.3
202829 MLB CTXLAD 23% 2725 6101 270 00 213280337617 123274 267 277 76 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2725 6101 270 00 240296400696 160294 267 277 40 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650602 14424024 481690 00 239295399694 159293 267 277 40 -19 +0 -8 -4 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 11181026 18134617 6836615 5520 176238271509 95252 336 228 40 -6 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650597 10520310 402139 3212 176239270509 94251 336 228 40 -18 +0 -4 -4 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AATulsa Drillers · 44 PAwOBA .152 → .128 (−24)K% 25.0% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.984×1.220——31.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.27%÷1.061×0.700—×0.9781.47%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.870—×0.9781.93%
Singles /BIP19.35%÷0.968×0.920—×0.97817.99%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.014×0.840—×0.9780.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.137×0.940—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.957×0.800—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 127, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .152 → .128; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .194 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AATulsa Drillers · 325 PAwOBA .317 → .238 (−78)K% 26.8% → 34.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.77%÷0.959×1.220——34.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.15%÷1.048×0.700—×0.9886.70%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.870—×0.9881.06%
Singles /BIP25.13%÷1.042×0.920×0.969×0.98821.24%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷1.003×0.840×0.969×0.9885.64%
Triples /BIP1.01%÷1.142×0.940×0.969×0.9880.79%
Home runs /BIP3.02%÷1.063×0.800—×0.9882.24%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .317 → .238; ISO .126 → .092; BABIP .338 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Great Lakes Loons · 402 PAwOBA .265 → .207 (−58)K% 25.6% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.62%÷1.004×1.270——32.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.71%÷0.992×0.710—×0.9785.40%
HBP% /PA1.74%—×0.790—×0.9781.35%
Singles /BIP17.72%÷0.975×0.920×0.959×0.97815.68%
Doubles /BIP5.91%÷1.011×0.810×0.959×0.9784.44%
Triples /BIP1.57%÷0.997×0.850×0.959×0.9781.26%
Home runs /BIP2.76%÷0.951×0.800—×0.9782.27%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 95, 2B 102, 3B 99, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .265 → .207; ISO .123 → .094; BABIP .255 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 143 PAwOBA .306 → .219 (−87)K% 26.6% → 38.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.57%÷0.930×1.360——38.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.072×0.690—×0.9805.73%
HBP% /PA0.70%—×0.780—×0.9800.53%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.981×0.920×1.003×0.98018.45%
Doubles /BIP7.78%÷0.923×0.830×1.003×0.9806.88%
Triples /BIP2.22%÷1.150×0.910×1.003×0.9801.73%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷1.247×0.800—×0.9802.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .306 → .219; ISO .156 → .102; BABIP .307 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).