Bubba Alleyne — OGILVIE

Bubba AlleyneOF Tulsa Drillers

Age 27 S/R 5'8" / 190 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .243 / .270

PA12

HR0

K%31

BB%6

ISO86

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	23	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	143	128	30	7	2	3	13	38	1	9	1	234	310	391	700	156	307	27	9	312	97	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	24	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	402	357	71	15	4	7	33	103	7	24	8	199	280	322	602	123	255	26	8	272	70	-14	+2	—	—	+9	-0.4
2024	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	325	286	72	14	2	6	33	87	4	15	9	252	337	378	715	126	338	27	10	323	105	+2	-1	—	—	+7	0.8
2025	26	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	44	42	6	0	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	143	182	143	325		194	25	2	156	-8	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	143	132	23	5	1	2	9	55	1	9	1	174	232	273	505	98	274	38	6	225	38	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	402	368	57	11	3	6	22	138	7	24	8	155	217	250	467	95	219	34	5	207	26	-35	+2	—	—	+9	-2.5
2024	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	325	297	58	11	1	4	22	111	4	15	9	195	260	279	540	84	290	34	7	244	51	-19	-1	—	—	+7	-1.3
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	44	42	5	0	0	0	1	14	1	3	0	119	159	119	278		188	32	2	133	-24	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	143	132	23	5	1	2	9	55	1	9	1	174	232	273	505	98	276	38	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	143	128	30	7	2	3	13	38	1	9	1	234	310	391	700	156	307	27	9	312	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	402	368	57	11	3	6	22	138	7	24	8	155	217	250	467	95	224	34	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	402	357	71	15	4	7	33	103	7	24	8	199	280	322	602	123	255	26	8	272	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	325	297	58	11	1	4	22	111	4	15	9	195	260	279	540	84	293	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	—	325	286	72	14	2	6	33	87	4	15	9	252	337	378	715	126	338	27	10	323	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	44	42	5	0	0	0	1	14	1	3	0	119	159	119	278		179	32	2	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	—	44	42	6	0	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	143	182	143	325		194	25	2	156	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	143	132	23	5	1	2	9	55	1	9	1	174	232	273	505	98	274	38	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	402	370	57	11	3	6	22	138	7	24	8	154	217	249	465	95	219	34	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	325	296	58	11	1	4	22	111	4	15	9	196	260	280	540	84	290	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	44	42	5	0	0	0	1	14	1	3	0	119	159	119	278		188	32	2	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	402	370	57	11	3	6	22	138	7	24	8	154	217	249	465	95	219	34	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	325	296	58	11	1	4	22	111	4	15	9	196	260	280	540	84	290	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	44	42	5	0	0	0	1	14	1	3	0	119	159	119	278		188	32	2	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	LAD	2%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		265	33	8	236	46	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAD	27%	207	190	37	7	1	3	13	63	2	6	2	195	254	289	543	95	267	30	6	244	51	-12	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.9
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAD	27%	56	52	10	2	0	1	3	17	1	1	1	192	250	288	538	96	263	30	5	233	51	-3	-0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	52	10	2	0	1	3	17	1	1	1	192	250	288	538	96	265	30	5	233	38	-3	-0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	116	23	0	12	35	197	12	12	12	192	251	290	541	98	263	30	5	233	38	-38	-2	-2	-4	+14	-3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1133	1040	181	34	6	15	68	385	15	57	20	174	235	262	497	88	256	34	6	224	38	-13	+0	-1	-1	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	104	20	3	9	39	221	9	33	11	174	236	263	499	89	255	34	6	224	38	-38	+1	-2	-4	+14	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bubba Alleyne (OGILVIE)	27	26	37	56	45	185/243/270	85	265	2	4	31%	6%	46	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→42	41→45	53→55	36	204/240/298	94	278	9	22	30%	4%	49	-2.4	217/264/348	131	289	15	24	29%	5%	72	-0.7	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Jesus Loya 2019 · AAA	27	43	39→40	52→50	38	210/254/293	83	289	7	13	29%	5%	53	-2.1	218/257/322	104	285	11	7	27%	4%	61	-1.5	207/235/288	81	268	9	0	26%	3%	45	-1.2
✕Michael Reed 2022 · AAA	27	42	42→45	50→55	38	199/261/300	101	317	9	16	38%	7%	59	-1.7	208/267/311	103	334	10	19	38%	7%	63	-1.3	186/246/274	89	298	9	26	38%	7%	44	-0.7
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	39	197/248/283	86	274	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	226/280/355	129	277	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	232/279/364	132	253	21	6	18%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	193/264/277	83	278	6	8	31%	8%	55	-2.0	214/270/320	106	290	9	8	28%	7%	66	-1.1	200/250/316	115	268	9	0	28%	6%	58	-0.3
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	196/250/283	87	289	8	15	33%	6%	51	-2.3	205/260/298	93	305	8	12	33%	6%	57	-1.8	147/203/184	38	244	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	201/269/274	73	265	6	13	25%	8%	56	-1.9	212/281/290	78	297	6	14	28%	8%	64	-1.3	199/280/207	8	294	0	18	29%	9%	45	-0.6
✕JJ Muno 2021 · A	27	42	40	52→60	42	202/276/295	93	290	7	16	31%	7%	64	-1.3	199/285/291	92	285	8	26	31%	7%	68	-1.0	183/277/263	81	265	8	35	31%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2011 · AA	27	43	39→40	54→50	43	209/265/294	85	265	6	13	23%	6%	59	-1.7	220/284/298	78	281	5	12	22%	7%	67	-1.1	221/291/291	70	279	4	12	21%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Jake Palomaki 2022 · AA	27	43	35→30	50	50	202/278/261	59	262	2	18	22%	8%	57	-1.8	235/301/306	71	302	4	14	22%	8%	75	-0.5	259/323/310	52	327	3	14	20%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Todd Hankins 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	39→40	52→55	37	200/243/282	81	284	7	19	31%	5%	47	-2.5	222/272/312	90	320	7	21	31%	6%	65	-1.2	246/295/325	79	357	4	31	30%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	42→43	39→40	52→55	41	202/253/286	85	276	6	14	28%	6%	52	-2.2	213/267/324	111	327	10	16	35%	6%	67	-1.1	174/220/259	85	298	5	25	41%	5%	32	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	44→38	39→40	52→55	47	208/289/293	85	288	7	17	28%	9%	68	-1.0	199/255/330	131	304	14	14	37%	6%	64	-1.3	163/220/293	131	245	14	17	39%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	196/256/294	98	264	8	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/280	86	289	7	11	33%	7%	55	-2.0	164/237/224	60	253	5	8	35%	7%	30	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	39→31	43→45	47→45	34	198/237/298	100	267	12	7	31%	3%	49	-2.4	219/259/338	119	278	14	8	26%	4%	67	-1.1	222/252/336	114	267	15	4	23%	3%	61	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0