Rubel Cespedes3B
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 25
L/R
6'0" / 200 lbs
AA
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2028
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .268 / .332
PA320
HR7
K%25
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
45→45
SPD
40→40
EYE
42↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $0.3M | $-10M | -$11M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Twins | 180 | 169 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .189 | .235 | .284 | .519 | .095 | .252 | 26 | 3 | .217 | 24 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Twins | 143 | 132 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .091 | .155 | .167 | .322 | .076 | .143 | 43 | 6 | .152 | -25 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -1.6 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 279 | 259 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 81 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .247 | .293 | .336 | .629 | .089 | .343 | 29 | 5 | .279 | 72 | -9 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 476 | 435 | 86 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 147 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .198 | .259 | .333 | .592 | .136 | .266 | 31 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 463 | 432 | 99 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 121 | 3 | 5 | 3 | .229 | .278 | .326 | .604 | .097 | .298 | 26 | 6 | .268 | 63 | -19 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 398 | 370 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 93 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .197 | .252 | .316 | .568 | .119 | .241 | 23 | 6 | .250 | 50 | -23 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 320 | 295 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .217 | .271 | .339 | .610 | .122 | .273 | 26 | 6 | .271 | 65 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | MIN | 356 | 327 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 90 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .220 | .278 | .349 | .626 | .128 | .276 | 25 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | MIN | 382 | 350 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 96 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .223 | .282 | .354 | .637 | .131 | .277 | 25 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | MIN | 396 | 362 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 100 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .224 | .285 | .354 | .639 | .130 | .277 | 25 | 7 | .283 | 75 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | MIN | 398 | 364 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 101 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .223 | .284 | .352 | .635 | .129 | .277 | 25 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -12 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | MIN | 397 | 363 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 102 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .220 | .282 | .350 | .632 | .129 | .276 | 26 | 7 | .279 | 71 | -13 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | MIN | 385 | 352 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 101 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .216 | .277 | .338 | .616 | .122 | .274 | 26 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 84% | MIN | 369 | 337 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .273 | .320 | .594 | .110 | .273 | 27 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 341 | 311 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 93 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .269 | .312 | .581 | .106 | .271 | 27 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 298 | 274 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .260 | .303 | .563 | .102 | .269 | 28 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -15 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5581 | 5132 | 1088 | 220 | 25 | 110 | 372 | 1496 | 35 | 26 | 13 | .212 | .270 | .329 | .599 | .117 | .275 | 27 | 7 | .266 | 62 | -240 | +0 | -20 | +20 | +158 | -8.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 598 | 127 | 26 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 174 | 4 | 3 | 2 | .212 | .270 | .331 | .601 | .119 | .275 | 27 | 7 | .266 | 62 | -28 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Twins | 180 | 166 | 45 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .271 | .324 | .404 | .728 | .133 | .328 | 18 | 5 | .323 | 105 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Twins | 143 | 127 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .157 | .246 | .283 | .530 | .126 | .205 | 29 | 9 | .243 | 44 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 279 | 255 | 74 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 57 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .290 | .344 | .396 | .740 | .106 | .355 | 20 | 6 | .330 | 111 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 476 | 420 | 98 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 101 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .233 | .316 | .398 | .714 | .164 | .273 | 21 | 11 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 463 | 418 | 118 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 93 | 3 | 5 | 3 | .282 | .347 | .431 | .778 | .148 | .337 | 20 | 8 | .346 | 123 | +12 | -0 | — | — | +13 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 398 | 360 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 67 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .244 | .315 | .394 | .709 | .150 | .277 | 17 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +11 | 1.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Rubel Cespedes (OGILVIE) | 25 | 50 | 45 | 40 | 40 | .214/.268/.332 | .118 | .273 | 7 | 2 | 25% | 6% | 65 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Joe Rizzo 2022 · AA |
24 | 45→49 | 46→50 | 40 | 40 | .226/.272/.351 | .126 | .290 | 15 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .225/.275/.374 | .149 | .282 | 18 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .221/.272/.374 | .153 | .268 | 19 | 2 | 25% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Bligh Madris 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→47 | 43→50 | 41→50 | 41 | .212/.260/.318 | .106 | .280 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .223/.281/.346 | .123 | .290 | 12 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .202/.273/.357 | .154 | .262 | 18 | 14 | 29% | 8% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luis Liberato 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→51 | 47→50 | 44→50 | 42 | .221/.267/.353 | .132 | .279 | 15 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.278/.358 | .139 | .305 | 15 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .210/.278/.360 | .150 | .290 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Casey McElroy 2015 · AA |
25 | 46→49 | 44→40 | 41→30 | 47 | .226/.289/.335 | .109 | .264 | 12 | 3 | 20% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .224/.281/.319 | .095 | .278 | 8 | 3 | 21% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .227/.280/.311 | .084 | .284 | 5 | 1 | 21% | 6% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ernie De La Trinidad 2021 · AA |
25 | 46→54 | 40 | 38→40 | 46 | .224/.289/.313 | .089 | .281 | 8 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.282/.330 | .111 | .309 | 11 | 7 | 31% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .213/.279/.324 | .111 | .304 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Keury De La Cruz 2017 · AA |
25 | 45→46 | 44→50 | 41→50 | 37 | .225/.257/.337 | .113 | .294 | 12 | 6 | 28% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .215/.254/.303 | .088 | .288 | 7 | 12 | 27% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.224/.232 | .029 | .274 | 0 | 18 | 25% | 3% | 14 | -0.9 |
|
✕J.T. Hall 2009 · AA |
25 | 48→50 | 44→45 | 41→45 | 40 | .233/.284/.358 | .124 | .318 | 11 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .218/.279/.340 | .122 | .309 | 11 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.262/.313 | .119 | .275 | 11 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -0.8 |
|
✕Anthony Hatch 2009 · AA |
25 | 46→51 | 47→50 | 42→40 | 45 | .230/.286/.368 | .138 | .276 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .232/.283/.357 | .125 | .276 | 11 | 4 | 20% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .234/.283/.359 | .124 | .272 | 10 | 3 | 18% | 6% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Drew Macias 2008 · AAA |
25 | 47→52 | 42→45 | 40→50 | 47 | .226/.287/.330 | .104 | .277 | 9 | 8 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.300/.334 | .111 | .269 | 10 | 10 | 20% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .216/.301/.320 | .104 | .260 | 9 | 11 | 19% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Rio Ruiz 2019 · MLB |
25 | 45→52 | 44→50 | 41→40 | 44 | .224/.276/.342 | .118 | .283 | 12 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .228/.286/.366 | .138 | .277 | 15 | 4 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .223/.289/.369 | .145 | .265 | 17 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matt Wallach 2011 · AA |
25 | 42 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .214/.265/.342 | .127 | .258 | 13 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.284/.314 | .102 | .259 | 10 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .191/.276/.262 | .071 | .245 | 8 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Irving Lopez 2021 · AAA |
26 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 44→40 | 44 | .225/.288/.338 | .113 | .277 | 10 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.273/.311 | .101 | .274 | 9 | 6 | 25% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .206/.278/.305 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Gerson Montilla 2015 · AA |
25 | 46→47 | 45→50 | 42→45 | 42 | .228/.269/.348 | .120 | .272 | 13 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .221/.267/.344 | .123 | .267 | 15 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.263/.336 | .122 | .252 | 16 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 62 | -0.7 |
|
✕Michael Pérez 2018 · AA |
25 | 42 | 41→50 | 41→40 | 43 | .207/.261/.307 | .100 | .274 | 8 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .223/.279/.344 | .121 | .289 | 13 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.263/.332 | .134 | .247 | 17 | 0 | 27% | 8% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→45 | 44→50 | 45 | 41 | .213/.275/.332 | .119 | .291 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .205/.273/.320 | .115 | .355 | 12 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .150/.234/.245 | .096 | .295 | 15 | 0 | 50% | 8% | 30 | -0.7 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2018 · AAA |
25 | 43→47 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 48 | .211/.289/.328 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .219/.293/.332 | .113 | .300 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .204/.285/.311 | .107 | .295 | 8 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luis Sierra 2012 · AA |
25 | 45 | 41→40 | 40→45 | 41 | .221/.261/.321 | .100 | .279 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .213/.262/.293 | .080 | .273 | 4 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .222/.279/.291 | .069 | .279 | 0 | 0 | 19% | 7% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→42 | 42→40 | 42→40 | 50 | .217/.304/.324 | .107 | .280 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.327/.346 | .110 | .320 | 11 | 6 | 27% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .236/.337/.336 | .100 | .321 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 11% | 93 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jaycob Brugman 2017 · AAA |
25 | 45→48 | 44→50 | 45 | 43 | .224/.275/.342 | .119 | .289 | 11 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .229/.284/.345 | .116 | .303 | 12 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .221/.282/.353 | .132 | .292 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Travis Mattair 2014 · AA |
25 | 42→44 | 45 | 41→45 | 41 | .212/.265/.330 | .117 | .278 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.261/.333 | .121 | .290 | 13 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .199/.244/.322 | .123 | .278 | 14 | 3 | 33% | 5% | 48 | -1.6 |