Rubel Cespedes — OGILVIE

Rubel Cespedes3B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 299 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .253 / .313

PA299

HR6

K%26

BB%6

BABIP258

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	180	169	32	7	3	1	6	46	4	2	1	189	235	284	519	95	252	26	3	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	180	166	45	11	4	1	9	32	4	2	1	271	324	404	728	133	328	18	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	132	13	2	1	2	8	61	2	3	1	98	162	174	336	76	157	43	6	153	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	127	20	3	2	3	13	42	2	3	1	157	246	283	530	126	205	29	9	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	260	67	16	0	3	12	82	4	1	1	258	301	354	655	96	360	29	4	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	255	74	15	0	4	17	57	4	1	1	290	344	396	740	106	355	20	6	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	437	87	20	2	11	33	153	1	3	1	199	257	330	586	130	273	32	7	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	420	98	26	2	13	50	101	1	3	1	233	316	398	714	164	273	21	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	433	94	14	1	7	25	133	3	5	3	217	265	303	567	85	295	29	5	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	418	118	22	2	12	39	93	3	5	3	282	347	431	778	148	337	20	8	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	370	72	16	2	8	25	98	2	1	1	195	249	314	563	119	242	25	6	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	360	88	21	3	9	35	67	2	1	1	244	315	394	709	150	277	17	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A	LAA	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	182	38	5	167	-14	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
YTD	25	A	LAA	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	154	29	5	218	25	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	25	A	LAA	0%	299	278	56	11	1	6	18	79	1	2	1	201	253	313	565	112	256	26	6	252	51	-17	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
ROS	25	MLB	LAA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		255	—	—	247	47	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	25	A	LAA	—	21	21	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	143	190	286	476	143	167	38	5	167	-14	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
TOT	25	A	LAA	—	320	298	59	11	1	7	19	87	1	2	1	198	248	312	561	114	254	27	6	246	47	-19	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	356	328	67	13	1	7	23	92	2	2	1	204	261	314	575	110	260	26	6	261	58	-17	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.6
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	382	352	73	14	2	8	25	98	2	3	1	207	264	327	591	119	262	26	7	266	62	-17	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.4
2029	28	MLB	LAA	48%	396	364	77	15	2	9	27	102	2	3	1	212	270	338	608	126	263	26	7	268	63	-17	+0	-1	+1	+11	-0.4
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	107	98	20	4	0	2	7	28	1	1	0	204	264	306	570	102	259	26	7	256	54	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	159	146	30	6	1	3	11	41	1	1	0	205	266	322	588	116	261	26	7	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	LAA	48%	189	173	36	7	1	4	13	49	1	1	1	208	267	329	597	121	262	26	7	262	59	-9	-0	-0	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	455	418	86	17	2	9	31	118	3	3	1	206	266	321	587	115	262	26	7	260	57	-22	+0	-0	+2	+13	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	123	24	3	13	44	169	4	4	1	206	265	322	587	116	263	26	7	260	57	-32	+0	-0	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	3372	3123	638	128	15	62	202	944	23	25	12	204	258	314	572	110	270	28	6	253	52	-183	+0	-1	+12	+96	-7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	123	25	3	12	39	182	4	5	2	204	257	316	573	111	269	28	6	253	52	-35	+0	-0	+2	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	180	166	45	11	4	1	9	32	4	2	1	271	324	404	728	133	328	18	5	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	127	20	3	2	3	13	42	2	3	1	157	246	283	530	126	205	29	9	243	44	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	255	74	15	0	4	17	57	4	1	1	290	344	396	740	106	355	20	6	330	111	+3	-0	—	—	+8	1.1
2023	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	420	98	26	2	13	50	101	1	3	1	233	316	398	714	164	273	21	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+13	1.4
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	418	118	22	2	12	39	93	3	5	3	282	347	431	778	148	337	20	8	346	123	+12	-0	—	—	+13	2.5
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	360	88	21	3	9	35	67	2	1	1	244	315	394	709	150	277	17	9	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+11	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	774	16	5	206	258	320	+3	+1	-1.3	-0.7
	/162	664	13	4	206	258	320	+2.4	+0.9	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rubel Cespedes (OGILVIE)	25	50	45	40	40	198/248/312	114	254	7	2	27%	6%	47	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Keury De La Cruz 2017 · AA	25	44→49	44→50	41→50	36	220/251/335	115	291	12	6	29%	4%	58	-1.2	218/257/307	89	294	7	13	27%	5%	53	-1.5	211/232/242	31	287	0	18	26%	3%	19	-0.8
✕Ernie De La Trinidad 2021 · AA	25	45→52	40	39→40	45	219/283/307	88	282	8	5	25%	7%	65	-0.7	222/285/332	110	315	11	8	31%	6%	72	-0.2	217/284/325	108	312	12	5	32%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Travis Mattair 2014 · AA	25	43→47	44→45	40→45	42	214/269/326	111	277	12	3	27%	6%	64	-0.8	216/264/336	120	294	13	5	30%	5%	64	-0.8	207/250/330	123	287	14	3	32%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Brady Whalen 2022 · A	24	41→50	42→45	42→40	42	205/258/302	97	263	10	5	26%	6%	53	-1.5	223/280/351	128	279	12	8	24%	6%	75	-0.0	217/278/348	131	268	12	7	23%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Gerson Montilla 2015 · AA	25	44→46	44→45	41→45	41	222/260/336	114	268	12	5	23%	5%	62	-0.9	217/263/335	118	265	14	6	23%	5%	63	-0.8	210/258/326	116	251	15	5	23%	5%	58	-1.0
✕Todd Johnson 2010 · A	25	46→48	42→45	41→45	42	224/273/329	105	291	8	5	26%	6%	66	-0.6	207/253/306	99	271	8	7	26%	5%	51	-1.7	179/220/271	92	228	7	7	24%	4%	25	-1.9
✕Kevin Ahrens 2014 · AA	25	39→46	42→45	42→40	45	195/260/295	100	257	10	2	28%	8%	52	-1.6	220/276/338	118	275	11	5	23%	7%	70	-0.3	224/281/347	124	272	12	4	22%	7%	72	-0.2
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	41→48	44→45	48→50	45	208/267/323	115	265	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.9	224/286/345	121	283	13	11	24%	8%	76	+0.0	221/287/339	118	276	13	13	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Mitchell Kranson 2019 · AA	25	43→42	40	41→30	43	208/253/295	86	254	8	2	21%	5%	48	-1.9	215/267/320	105	260	11	5	21%	6%	61	-1.0	193/243/293	99	208	17	0	17%	5%	40	-0.5
✕Luis Sierra 2012 · AA	25	44	40	40→45	41	215/257/309	95	277	7	4	25%	5%	53	-1.5	212/261/290	78	274	4	5	22%	6%	50	-1.7	228/285/299	72	286	0	0	19%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Eric Duncan 2010 · AAA	25	39→41	42→50	44→45	40	197/237/294	97	248	10	5	25%	5%	41	-2.3	211/249/340	129	274	15	6	28%	4%	59	-1.1	211/250/348	137	273	16	5	29%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA	25	43→45	42→45	45	44	209/271/314	105	285	9	6	29%	7%	61	-1.0	215/288/326	111	295	11	5	29%	9%	72	-0.2	212/292/321	109	285	12	3	28%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Anthony Bemboom 2015 · AA	25	41	43→45	45	42	207/248/310	103	246	11	5	21%	4%	50	-1.7	209/257/297	88	268	8	6	24%	6%	50	-1.7	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Michael Pérez 2018 · AA	25	43	41→50	40	43	210/265/310	100	280	8	3	27%	7%	57	-1.2	219/276/335	116	284	12	3	26%	7%	69	-0.4	195/258/323	128	243	16	0	26%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA	25	42→41	44→45	42→45	45	211/278/324	114	283	12	5	29%	8%	67	-0.5	186/258/297	111	284	13	7	37%	8%	53	-1.5	133/213/228	96	211	13	4	42%	7%	14	-2.9
✕Luke Tendler 2018 · AA	26	41→42	45	38→40	41	206/259/328	122	274	12	3	29%	6%	60	-1.0	202/251/317	115	275	13	4	31%	6%	53	-1.5	191/240/300	108	256	14	3	31%	5%	43	-1.6
✕Michael Burgess 2014 · AA	25	37→41	46→50	43→45	42	193/248/320	128	249	14	2	29%	6%	53	-1.5	215/258/362	147	280	14	6	28%	5%	68	-0.5	246/280/436	190	301	18	6	24%	4%	97	+1.0
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA	25	43→44	38→40	43→50	40	208/252/288	80	274	5	6	26%	5%	46	-2.0	213/282/291	78	299	6	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	203/291/266	63	295	5	4	30%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Nick Noonan 2014 · MLB	25	46→50	39→45	43→50	43	221/267/308	87	285	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/249/283	74	291	6	6	29%	5%	43	-2.2	221/256/301	80	298	5	4	27%	4%	47	-1.1
✕Kyle Holder 2019 · AA	25	47→45	38→40	41→45	43	225/263/297	72	270	5	5	19%	4%	52	-1.6	222/273/322	100	274	9	7	21%	6%	64	-0.8	203/261/289	86	264	7	4	25%	6%	47	-1.0