Rubel Cespedes — OGILVIE

Rubel Cespedes3B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP255

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	180	166	45	11	4	1	9	32	4	2	1	271	324	404	728	133	328	18	5	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	127	20	3	2	3	13	42	2	3	1	157	246	283	530	126	205	29	9	243	50	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	255	74	15	0	4	17	57	4	1	1	290	344	396	740	106	355	20	6	330	110	+3	-0	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	420	98	26	2	13	50	101	1	3	1	233	316	398	714	164	273	21	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+10	1.1
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	418	118	22	2	12	39	93	3	5	3	282	347	431	778	148	337	20	8	346	120	+11	-0	—	—	+10	2.1
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	360	88	21	3	9	35	67	2	1	1	244	315	394	709	150	277	17	9	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+9	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	180	169	32	7	3	1	6	46	4	2	1	189	235	284	519	95	245	26	3	217	33	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	143	132	13	2	1	2	8	61	2	3	1	98	162	174	336	76	152	43	6	154	-10	-19	+0	—	—	+3	-1.6
2022	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	259	65	15	0	3	13	82	4	1	1	251	297	344	641	93	341	29	5	280	76	-8	-0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	435	86	22	2	11	35	148	1	3	1	198	259	333	592	136	260	31	7	257	60	-23	+0	—	—	+10	-1.2
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	432	96	15	1	8	26	129	3	5	3	222	271	317	588	95	295	28	6	260	62	-21	-0	—	—	+10	-1.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	371	75	17	2	7	24	87	2	1	1	202	254	315	570	113	247	22	6	253	57	-20	-0	—	—	+9	-1.2
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	180	169	32	7	3	1	6	46	4	2	1	189	235	284	519	95	252	26	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	180	166	45	11	4	1	9	32	4	2	1	271	324	404	728	133	328	18	5	323	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	143	132	13	2	1	2	8	61	2	3	1	98	162	174	336	76	157	43	6	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	143	127	20	3	2	3	13	42	2	3	1	157	246	283	530	126	205	29	9	243	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	259	65	15	0	3	13	82	4	1	1	251	297	344	641	93	350	29	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	255	74	15	0	4	17	57	4	1	1	290	344	396	740	106	355	20	6	330	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	435	86	22	2	11	35	148	1	3	1	198	259	333	592	136	267	31	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	420	98	26	2	13	50	101	1	3	1	233	316	398	714	164	273	21	11	317	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	432	96	15	1	8	26	129	3	5	3	222	271	317	588	95	296	28	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	418	118	22	2	12	39	93	3	5	3	282	347	431	778	148	337	20	8	346	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	371	75	17	2	7	24	87	2	1	1	202	254	315	570	113	245	22	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	360	88	21	3	9	35	67	2	1	1	244	315	394	709	150	277	17	9	317	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	180	168	32	7	3	1	6	46	4	2	1	190	235	286	520	95	245	26	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	143	132	13	2	1	2	8	61	2	3	1	98	162	174	336	76	152	43	6	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	260	65	15	0	3	13	82	4	1	1	250	297	342	639	92	341	29	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	437	86	22	2	11	35	148	1	3	1	197	259	332	591	135	260	31	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	431	96	15	1	8	26	129	3	5	3	223	271	318	589	95	295	28	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	369	75	17	2	7	24	87	2	1	1	203	254	317	571	114	247	22	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	437	86	22	2	11	35	148	1	3	1	197	259	332	591	135	260	31	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	431	96	15	1	8	26	129	3	5	3	223	271	318	589	95	295	28	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	369	75	17	2	7	24	87	2	1	1	203	254	317	571	114	247	22	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A MLE	LAA	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	182	38	5	167	-1	-3	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A RAW	LAA	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	154	29	5	218	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	A MLE	LAA	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		256	27	9	256	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	A MLE	LAA	—	32	30	4	0	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	133	188	233	421	100	167	34	6	198	20	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	356	328	69	14	2	7	23	86	2	2	1	210	266	329	596	119	259	24	6	265	66	-15	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	42%	382	352	75	15	2	8	25	92	2	3	1	213	269	335	604	122	261	24	7	270	69	-14	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	396	364	77	15	2	8	27	96	2	3	1	212	270	330	599	118	262	24	7	271	70	-14	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	107	98	20	4	0	2	7	26	1	1	0	204	264	306	570	102	259	24	7	261	66	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	42%	159	146	31	6	1	3	11	38	1	1	0	212	272	329	601	116	261	24	7	266	69	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	189	173	37	7	1	4	13	46	1	1	1	214	273	335	608	121	262	24	7	267	70	-7	-0	-0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	455	417	88	17	2	9	31	110	3	3	1	211	271	326	597	115	262	24	7	265	60	-17	+0	-0	+2	+10	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	126	24	3	13	44	157	4	4	1	211	270	327	597	116	263	24	7	265	60	-24	+0	-0	+2	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3084	2852	589	122	15	55	188	830	22	23	11	207	261	318	579	111	269	27	6	256	60	-43	+0	-1	+4	+25	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	125	26	3	12	40	175	5	5	2	208	264	321	585	113	270	27	6	256	60	-25	+0	-0	+2	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	774	15	5	210	262	326	+3	+1	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	+0.9	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rubel Cespedes (OGILVIE)	25	50	45	40	40	203/255/311	108	256	6	2	25%	6%	60	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bligh Madris 2021 · AA	25	43→47	42→50	42→50	42	214/261/318	104	278	10	5	26%	6%	63	-1.4	221/281/340	119	289	11	7	26%	7%	76	-0.4	195/271/351	156	244	20	13	28%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Keury De La Cruz 2017 · AA	25	44→49	43→50	41→50	38	221/253/331	110	286	11	6	27%	4%	62	-1.4	219/258/307	88	289	7	13	26%	5%	58	-1.7	212/234/245	33	281	0	18	24%	3%	30	-0.8
✕Ernie De La Trinidad 2021 · AA	25	45→53	40	39→40	45	219/283/306	87	278	8	5	24%	7%	68	-1.0	223/285/332	109	309	11	8	30%	5%	76	-0.4	221/285/327	106	309	11	5	30%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Casey McElroy 2015 · AA	25	46→49	43→40	40→30	48	224/289/330	105	263	11	3	19%	7%	76	-0.4	226/282/317	91	280	7	4	21%	6%	70	-0.8	228/281/311	83	285	4	1	20%	6%	66	-0.8
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	42→46	43→45	48→50	45	210/267/320	110	264	11	6	25%	7%	66	-1.1	219/281/330	111	278	11	11	24%	7%	74	-0.6	214/280/319	105	269	11	13	24%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Luis Sierra 2012 · AA	25	45	41→40	40→45	41	220/261/318	98	279	8	4	24%	5%	62	-1.4	213/263/292	79	270	4	5	21%	6%	57	-1.8	226/284/294	68	280	0	0	18%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA	25	44→47	42→45	44→45	44	213/275/320	107	286	9	6	28%	7%	68	-1.0	219/293/328	109	300	11	5	28%	9%	77	-0.3	217/299/324	107	292	12	3	28%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Michael Pérez 2018 · AA	25	44	40→50	40	43	213/267/311	98	280	7	3	26%	6%	63	-1.3	220/277/334	114	286	12	3	26%	7%	73	-0.6	196/260/325	129	246	16	0	27%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Eric Duncan 2010 · AAA	25	39→44	40→50	44→45	40	195/236/284	90	248	8	5	25%	5%	45	-2.7	217/255/339	122	279	13	6	27%	4%	65	-1.2	221/258/351	130	282	15	5	27%	4%	68	-0.6
✕Mitchell Kranson 2019 · AA	25	44→43	39→40	40→30	44	213/259/298	85	258	7	2	20%	6%	57	-1.8	215/268/315	100	259	10	5	20%	6%	65	-1.2	187/238/274	88	203	14	0	17%	5%	40	-0.7
✕Todd Johnson 2010 · A	25	46→48	42→45	41→45	42	224/273/329	105	291	8	5	26%	6%	70	-0.9	206/253/306	100	271	8	7	26%	6%	57	-1.8	175/219/268	93	224	8	7	25%	5%	33	-2.0
✕Gerson Montilla 2015 · AA	25	45→47	44→50	41→45	42	227/267/340	114	272	12	5	22%	5%	70	-0.9	220/267/338	118	265	14	6	22%	6%	70	-0.9	214/263/331	117	252	15	5	22%	6%	65	-1.0
✕Brady Whalen 2022 · A	24	41→49	42→45	42→40	42	205/260/306	101	264	11	5	26%	6%	59	-1.6	221/278/342	121	277	11	8	24%	6%	75	-0.5	214/276/335	121	266	11	7	23%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA	25	44→46	39→40	43→50	41	212/256/295	84	275	6	6	25%	5%	55	-1.9	217/285/297	80	299	6	6	28%	7%	68	-1.0	210/296/273	63	301	5	4	29%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Travis Mattair 2014 · AA	25	43→47	44→45	40→45	42	215/268/327	112	277	12	3	27%	6%	68	-1.0	214/263/327	113	290	12	5	29%	5%	65	-1.2	203/249/316	113	280	12	3	31%	5%	54	-1.8
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA	25	44→49	44→45	45→50	39	218/262/334	116	293	11	9	29%	5%	66	-1.1	224/277/336	112	282	10	8	23%	7%	73	-0.6	231/294/322	92	284	6	11	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA	25	42	43→45	41→45	46	210/279/319	109	279	11	5	28%	8%	70	-0.8	192/264/301	109	281	12	7	34%	8%	61	-1.5	147/228/243	96	221	12	4	37%	8%	33	-2.4
✕Michael Burgess 2014 · AA	25	38→42	46→50	43→45	43	197/254/326	129	253	14	2	28%	7%	63	-1.4	218/261/366	148	281	14	6	27%	5%	74	-0.6	247/281/441	194	300	19	6	24%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Chad Sedio 2019 · AA	25	46→50	42→45	48→30	39	224/279/328	104	289	9	4	25%	4%	72	-0.7	217/283/314	97	304	7	4	30%	5%	71	-0.8	200/274/294	94	295	6	0	32%	4%	61	-0.9
✕Rio Ruiz 2019 · MLB	25	45→52	43→50	42→40	44	220/272/329	109	279	10	3	25%	7%	70	-0.9	223/283/356	133	271	14	4	22%	8%	80	-0.2	218/284/357	138	259	16	3	22%	8%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps