Matt Dean

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1992-12-22

Age (2027)34

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

A+LAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	22	A+TOR	521	.253/.313/.410	14	3	46	—	.187/.240/.300
2016	23	AA/A+TOR	330	.219/.303/.312	6	2	28	—	.174/.232/.240
2017	24	AA/A+TOR	277	.226/.311/.346	6	2	35	—	.174/.234/.257

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	182	167	37	8	4	2	12	60	2	3	2	222	282	353	635	132	333	33	7	283	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	233	210	71	14	3	6	14	57	5	8	5	338	393	519	912	181	436	24	6	396	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	485	448	126	29	5	9	27	117	8	2	1	281	333	429	762	147	361	24	6	338	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	521	478	121	27	3	14	36	139	6	3	1	253	313	410	724	157	328	27	7	322	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	262	233	50	8	0	5	23	84	4	1	0	215	296	313	609	99	308	32	9	279	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	59	14	1	0	1	7	28	1	1	2	237	328	305	633	68	419	41	10	292	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	111	97	19	3	0	4	12	39	0	0	0	196	284	351	635	155	273	35	11	283	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	166	146	36	6	1	2	16	51	2	2	0	247	329	342	672	96	358	31	10	305	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	19	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	182	171	24	5	2	1	8	85	2	3	2	140	188	211	398	70	273	47	4	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	233	216	54	10	2	4	8	81	5	8	5	250	293	370	663	120	357	35	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	485	458	108	22	4	8	17	157	8	2	1	236	275	354	629	118	334	32	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	521	486	91	21	2	10	28	207	6	3	1	187	240	300	541	113	297	40	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	262	242	44	7	0	3	14	106	4	1	0	182	238	248	486	66	296	40	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	62	9	1	0	1	4	42	1	1	2	145	209	210	419	65	360	62	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	111	101	16	2	0	3	8	47	0	0	0	158	220	267	488	109	255	42	7	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	166	152	28	5	1	1	10	72	2	2	0	184	244	250	494	66	321	43	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	182	171	24	5	2	1	8	85	2	3	2	140	188	211	398	70	271	47	4	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	182	167	37	8	4	2	12	60	2	3	2	222	282	353	635	132	333	33	7	283	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	233	216	54	10	2	4	8	81	5	8	5	250	293	370	663	120	376	35	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	233	210	71	14	3	6	14	57	5	8	5	338	393	519	912	181	436	24	6	396	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	485	458	108	22	4	8	17	157	8	2	1	236	275	354	629	118	339	32	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	485	448	126	29	5	9	27	117	8	2	1	281	333	429	762	147	361	24	6	338	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	521	486	91	21	2	10	28	207	6	3	1	187	240	300	541	113	300	40	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	521	478	121	27	3	14	36	139	6	3	1	253	313	410	724	157	328	27	7	322	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	330	303	51	7	0	3	19	148	5	2	2	168	229	221	450	53	310	45	6	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	330	292	64	9	0	6	30	112	5	2	2	219	303	312	614	92	328	34	9	282	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	277	252	45	8	1	4	19	119	2	2	0	179	242	266	508	87	311	43	7	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	277	243	55	9	1	6	28	90	2	2	0	226	311	346	657	119	327	32	10	296	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	182	170	24	5	2	1	8	85	2	3	2	141	188	212	400	71	273	47	4	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	233	218	54	10	2	4	8	81	5	8	5	248	293	367	660	119	357	35	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	485	457	108	22	4	8	17	157	8	2	1	236	275	354	630	118	334	32	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	521	482	91	21	2	10	28	207	6	3	1	189	240	303	543	114	297	40	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	330	303	51	7	0	3	19	148	5	2	2	168	229	221	450	53	309	45	6	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	277	254	45	8	1	4	19	119	2	2	0	177	242	264	506	87	295	43	7	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2028	1886	373	73	11	30	99	797	28	20	11	198	248	296	544	98	321	39	5	238	47	-127	-0	+0	-36	+44	-12.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	120	23	4	10	32	255	9	6	4	199	250	300	549	101	321	39	5	238	47	-41	-0	+0	-12	+14	-3.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 166 PAwOBA .301 → .223 (−78)K% 30.7% → 43.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.72%	÷1.007	×1.420	—	—	43.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.64%	÷1.118	×0.750	—	×0.978	6.33%
HBP% /PA	1.20%	—	×0.930	—	×0.978	1.10%
Singles /BIP	28.42%	÷1.002	×0.920	×0.995	×0.978	25.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.32%	÷0.940	×0.960	×0.995	×0.978	6.28%
Triples /BIP	1.05%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.995	×0.978	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	2.11%	÷1.265	×0.880	—	×0.978	1.43%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 101, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .301 → .223; ISO .096 → .067; BABIP .358 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 111 PAwOBA .278 → .217 (−61)K% 35.1% → 42.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.14%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	42.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.81%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×0.998	7.59%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷1.024	×0.970	×1.039	×0.998	20.33%
Doubles /BIP	5.17%	÷1.024	×0.860	×1.039	×0.998	4.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.950	×1.039	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.90%	÷1.165	×0.780	—	×0.998	4.61%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .278 → .217; ISO .155 → .105; BABIP .273 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 262 PAwOBA .273 → .217 (−55)K% 32.1% → 40.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.06%	÷0.969	×1.220	—	—	40.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.40%	÷1.079	×0.700	—	×1.012	5.51%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	1.31%
Singles /BIP	24.83%	÷0.995	×0.970	×1.008	×1.012	24.71%
Doubles /BIP	5.37%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.008	×1.012	4.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.031	×0.950	×1.008	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.36%	÷1.292	×0.780	—	×1.012	2.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 106, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .273 → .217; ISO .099 → .064; BABIP .308 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 68 PAwOBA .283 → .181 (−102)K% 41.2% → 61.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	41.18%	÷0.955	×1.420	—	—	61.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.82%	÷1.038	×0.750	—	×0.988	6.30%
HBP% /PA	1.47%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	1.35%
Singles /BIP	38.71%	÷1.042	×0.920	—	×0.988	33.76%
Doubles /BIP	3.23%	÷1.064	×0.960	—	×0.988	2.87%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷0.912	×0.880	—	×0.988	3.07%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .283 → .181; ISO .068 → .043; BABIP .419 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 521 PAwOBA .314 → .236 (−79)K% 26.7% → 39.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.68%	÷0.953	×1.420	—	—	39.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.91%	÷0.974	×0.750	—	×0.998	5.31%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.930	—	×0.998	1.07%
Singles /BIP	22.71%	÷1.040	×0.920	×1.030	×0.998	20.65%
Doubles /BIP	7.96%	÷1.063	×0.960	×1.030	×0.998	7.39%
Triples /BIP	0.88%	÷0.989	×0.810	×1.030	×0.998	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	4.13%	÷1.059	×0.880	—	×0.998	3.43%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 98, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .314 → .236; ISO .157 → .112; BABIP .328 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ALansing Lugnuts · 485 PAwOBA .329 → .270 (−59)K% 24.1% → 32.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.12%	÷1.017	×1.360	—	—	32.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.36%	÷1.038	×0.690	—	—	3.56%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.29%
Singles /BIP	25.08%	÷0.968	×0.920	×1.023	—	24.38%
Doubles /BIP	8.76%	÷1.042	×0.830	×1.023	—	7.14%
Triples /BIP	1.51%	÷1.135	×0.910	×1.023	—	1.24%
Home runs /BIP	2.72%	÷0.872	×0.800	—	—	2.50%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 94, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .329 → .270; ISO .147 → .116; BABIP .361 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKBluefield Blue Jays · 233 PAwOBA .387 → .284 (−103)K% 24.5% → 34.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.46%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	34.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.58%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.985	3.52%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.740	—	×0.985	1.56%
Singles /BIP	31.37%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.031	×0.985	26.77%
Doubles /BIP	9.15%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.031	×0.985	6.88%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.031	×0.985	1.47%
Home runs /BIP	3.92%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.985	3.09%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .387 → .284; ISO .181 → .128; BABIP .436 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 ROKBluefield Blue Jays · 182 PAwOBA .276 → .182 (−94)K% 33.0% → 46.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.97%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	46.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.59%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.995	4.20%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.740	—	×0.995	0.81%
Singles /BIP	21.50%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.024	×0.995	18.40%
Doubles /BIP	7.48%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.024	×0.995	5.64%
Triples /BIP	3.74%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.024	×0.995	2.82%
Home runs /BIP	1.87%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.995	1.49%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .276 → .182; ISO .132 → .083; BABIP .333 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).