Eric Wagaman
1B Syracuse Mets| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/AALAA | 495 | .274/.341/.469 | 17 | 10 | 77 | — | .226/.276/.378 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBLAA | 74 | .250/.270/.403 | 2 | 0 | 88 | 0.1 | |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBMIA | 514 | .250/.299/.378 | 9 | 4 | 97 | -0.6 | |
| 2026 | 28 | AAANYM | 222 | .244/.336/.389 | 5 | 4 | 61 | — | .203/.268/.302 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBNYM | 52 | .191/.269/.319 | 2 | 0 | 71 | -0.6 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 29 | MLBNYM | 107 | .240/.297/.378 | 2 | 1 | 94 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ48% MLB | 30 | MLBNYM | 150 | .236/.293/.369 | 3 | 1 | 91 | -0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 236 | 212 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 333 | 392 | 725 | 127 | 354 | 28 | 8 | 324 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 332 | 304 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 87 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 234 | 294 | 345 | 639 | 112 | 302 | 26 | 8 | 288 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | — | 20 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 278 | 578 | 56 | 364 | 35 | 10 | 270 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 191 | 162 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 333 | 340 | 673 | 117 | 297 | 26 | 14 | 307 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 117 | 102 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 298 | 402 | 700 | 186 | 260 | 25 | 10 | 304 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 58 | 53 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 340 | 397 | 623 | 1.019 | 283 | 341 | 14 | 7 | 442 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 208 | 180 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 333 | 422 | 756 | 189 | 239 | 16 | 12 | 337 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 136 | 122 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 320 | 385 | 500 | 885 | 180 | 374 | 20 | 9 | 389 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 74 | 72 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 270 | 403 | 673 | 153 | 302 | 23 | 3 | 296 | 88 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 107 | 100 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 320 | 358 | 500 | 858 | 180 | 345 | 13 | 6 | 374 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 388 | 346 | 90 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 69 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 260 | 337 | 460 | 796 | 199 | 287 | 18 | 10 | 351 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 514 | 476 | 119 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 100 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 299 | 378 | 677 | 128 | 296 | 19 | 6 | 300 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -6 | -9 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 52 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 269 | 319 | 588 | 128 | 212 | 23 | 8 | 270 | 71 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 222 | 193 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 336 | 389 | 725 | 145 | 307 | 24 | 12 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 640 | 595 | 146 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 129 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 293 | 376 | 669 | 131 | 290 | 20 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -10 | +0 | -8 | -12 | +14 | -1.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 236 | 219 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 174 | 226 | 260 | 487 | 87 | 271 | 39 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 332 | 313 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 120 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 176 | 218 | 265 | 483 | 89 | 254 | 36 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 20 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 211 | 411 | 53 | 282 | 50 | 5 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 191 | 170 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 159 | 243 | 229 | 473 | 71 | 248 | 35 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 117 | 106 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 219 | 292 | 512 | 132 | 211 | 33 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 58 | 55 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 309 | 345 | 527 | 872 | 218 | 321 | 17 | 3 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 208 | 190 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 251 | 342 | 593 | 158 | 192 | 21 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 136 | 125 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 280 | 333 | 424 | 757 | 144 | 334 | 24 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 74 | 72 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 270 | 403 | 673 | 153 | 302 | 23 | 3 | 299 | 88 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 107 | 102 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 292 | 402 | 694 | 137 | 292 | 16 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 388 | 358 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 87 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 215 | 272 | 372 | 644 | 156 | 246 | 22 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 514 | 476 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 100 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 258 | 306 | 393 | 699 | 134 | 296 | 19 | 6 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -6 | -9 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 52 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 269 | 319 | 588 | 128 | 212 | 23 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 222 | 202 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 203 | 268 | 302 | 570 | 99 | 272 | 28 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 236 | 219 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 174 | 226 | 260 | 487 | 87 | 272 | 39 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Yankees | — | 236 | 212 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 333 | 392 | 725 | 127 | 354 | 28 | 8 | 324 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 352 | 332 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 130 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 172 | 214 | 256 | 470 | 84 | 258 | 37 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 352 | 322 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 94 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 233 | 294 | 342 | 636 | 109 | 305 | 27 | 8 | 287 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 276 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 107 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 238 | 268 | 506 | 105 | 237 | 35 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 308 | 264 | 58 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 320 | 364 | 684 | 144 | 283 | 26 | 12 | 306 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 245 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 212 | 272 | 384 | 655 | 171 | 227 | 20 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 266 | 233 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 258 | 347 | 468 | 815 | 210 | 263 | 16 | 11 | 360 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 136 | 125 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 280 | 333 | 424 | 757 | 144 | 348 | 24 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | Somerset Patriots | — | 136 | 122 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 320 | 385 | 500 | 885 | 180 | 374 | 20 | 9 | 389 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 569 | 532 | 121 | 28 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 121 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 227 | 274 | 376 | 650 | 148 | 266 | 21 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 569 | 518 | 140 | 33 | 4 | 19 | 46 | 100 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 270 | 332 | 459 | 792 | 189 | 301 | 18 | 8 | 348 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 514 | 476 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 100 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 258 | 306 | 393 | 699 | 134 | 306 | 19 | 6 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -6 | -9 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 514 | 476 | 119 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 100 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 299 | 378 | 677 | 128 | 296 | 19 | 6 | 300 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -6 | -9 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 249 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 201 | 268 | 305 | 574 | 104 | 263 | 27 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 274 | 240 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 65 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 233 | 324 | 375 | 699 | 142 | 288 | 24 | 11 | 315 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 236 | 219 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 174 | 226 | 260 | 487 | 87 | 271 | 39 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 352 | 331 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 130 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 172 | 214 | 257 | 471 | 85 | 256 | 37 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 278 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 107 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 238 | 266 | 504 | 104 | 234 | 35 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 244 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 272 | 385 | 657 | 172 | 220 | 20 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 136 | 125 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 280 | 333 | 424 | 757 | 144 | 334 | 24 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 569 | 530 | 121 | 28 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 121 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 228 | 274 | 377 | 651 | 149 | 262 | 21 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 514 | 476 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 100 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 258 | 306 | 393 | 699 | 134 | 296 | 19 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 249 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 201 | 268 | 305 | 574 | 104 | 261 | 27 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 569 | 530 | 121 | 28 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 121 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 228 | 274 | 377 | 651 | 149 | 262 | 21 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 514 | 476 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 100 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 258 | 306 | 393 | 699 | 134 | 296 | 19 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 249 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 201 | 268 | 305 | 574 | 104 | 261 | 27 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYM | 45% | 423 | 388 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 95 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 247 | 304 | 389 | 693 | 142 | 300 | 22 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -8 | +9 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYM | 45% | 107 | 98 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 297 | 378 | 675 | 138 | 290 | 22 | 7 | 300 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYM | 48% | 315 | 288 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 72 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 300 | 380 | 679 | 137 | 297 | 23 | 7 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYM | 48% | 150 | 138 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 293 | 369 | 662 | 133 | 287 | 23 | 7 | 295 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 790 | 733 | 179 | 40 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 163 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 293 | 375 | 669 | 131 | 291 | 21 | 6 | 297 | 70 | -12 | +1 | -8 | -15 | +17 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 147 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 134 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 291 | 373 | 665 | 129 | 291 | 21 | 6 | 297 | 70 | -9 | +0 | -7 | -12 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3208 | 2960 | 646 | 137 | 12 | 72 | 206 | 837 | 16 | 47 | 19 | 218 | 273 | 346 | 618 | 127 | 277 | 26 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -15 | +1 | -8 | -22 | +26 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 131 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 170 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 218 | 273 | 347 | 620 | 128 | 276 | 26 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -8 | +0 | -4 | -12 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASyracuse Mets · 222 PAwOBA .318 → .258 (−60)K% 23.9% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×0.982 | 19.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.982 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×0.982 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.46% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .318 → .258; ISO .145 → .111; BABIP .307 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 388 PAwOBA .343 → .277 (−66)K% 17.8% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.78% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.79% | ÷0.966 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 6.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.41% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×0.978 | 16.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.30% | ÷1.072 | ×0.910 | ×1.001 | ×0.978 | 6.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | ×1.001 | ×0.978 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.05% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.05% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 109, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .343 → .277; ISO .199 → .160; BABIP .287 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 107 PAwOBA .367 → .300 (−67)K% 13.1% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.08% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.61% | ÷0.944 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×1.003 | 22.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.141 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×1.003 | 4.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×1.003 | 1.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .367 → .300; ISO .180 → .139; BABIP .345 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASomerset Patriots · 136 PAwOBA .381 → .317 (−64)K% 19.9% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.85% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.42% | ÷0.987 | ×0.970 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 26.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.958 | ×0.860 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .381 → .317; ISO .180 → .139; BABIP .374 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 208 PAwOBA .330 → .256 (−74)K% 16.3% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷1.015 | ×1.310 | — | — | 21.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.02% | ÷0.976 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.81% | ÷1.084 | ×0.870 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 14.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.79% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.850 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 5.23% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 79, 3B 106, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .330 → .256; ISO .189 → .163; BABIP .239 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASomerset Patriots · 58 PAwOBA .425 → .369 (−56)K% 13.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.79% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 24.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.032 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 6.71% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .425 → .369; ISO .283 → .222; BABIP .341 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 191 PAwOBA .303 → .228 (−75)K% 26.2% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 9.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.954 | ×0.988 | 19.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.954 | ×0.988 | 4.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.954 | ×0.988 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .303 → .228; ISO .117 → .087; BABIP .297 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ATampa Tarpons · 117 PAwOBA .304 → .227 (−77)K% 24.8% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 11.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 8.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .304 → .227; ISO .186 → .139; BABIP .260 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).