Ronny Cruz — OGILVIE

Ronny CruzSS Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs A HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.9 · 2033

wRC+†109

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .281 / .346

PA176

HR4

SB20

K%28

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

24↗40

PWR

38↗54

SPD

51↗53

FLD

37↗56

EYE

39↗42

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$31M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.7	$35M	+$34M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.9	$38M	+$37M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.9	$40M	+$32M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.7	$39M	+$26M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$18M	+3.5	$38M	+$20M
Totals		$41M		$221M	+$180M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	189	179	33	7	3	2	6	53	2	10	7	.184	.219	.291	.510	.106	.246	28	3	.221	27	-16	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	2 teams	78	69	18	3	1	4	6	27	3	15	3	.261	.346	.507	.853	.246	.368	35	8	.366	138	+3	+2	+0	+1	+2	0.8
ROS	19	MLB	WSH	98	90	21	4	1	3	7	29	1	5	1	.233	.296	.400	.696	.167	.296	30	7	.296	85	-2	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.3
TOT	19	MLB	WSH	176	159	39	7	2	7	13	56	4	20	4	.245	.318	.447	.765	.201	.333	32	7	.327	109	+2	+2	-0	+2	+5	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	WSH	267	239	56	10	2	7	22	68	4	10	2	.234	.309	.381	.690	.146	.296	25	8	.311	96	-1	+1	-0	+3	+8	1.0
2028	21	MLB 28%	WSH	384	342	83	14	3	12	33	96	6	12	3	.243	.320	.406	.727	.164	.297	25	9	.321	104	+2	+1	-0	+4	+11	1.8
2029	22	MLB 48%	WSH	467	415	101	18	3	15	41	113	8	13	3	.243	.323	.410	.733	.166	.298	24	9	.328	109	+5	+1	-1	+5	+13	2.5
2030	23	MLB 65%	WSH	521	460	115	20	4	18	48	124	8	13	3	.250	.331	.428	.760	.178	.298	24	9	.335	114	+8	+1	-1	+6	+15	3.0
2031	24	MLB 82%	WSH	556	490	123	21	4	20	52	130	9	13	3	.251	.334	.433	.767	.182	.299	23	9	.339	117	+11	+1	-1	+6	+16	3.4
2032	25	MLB	WSH	576	506	128	22	4	21	56	134	9	13	2	.253	.338	.437	.775	.184	.299	23	10	.342	120	+13	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.7
2033	26	MLB	WSH	586	513	130	22	4	22	58	136	10	13	2	.253	.341	.441	.781	.187	.300	23	10	.344	121	+14	+2	-1	+6	+17	3.9
2034	27	MLB	WSH	588	515	130	22	4	22	58	138	10	12	2	.252	.340	.439	.778	.186	.300	23	10	.344	121	+14	+2	-1	+6	+17	3.9
2035	28	MLB	WSH	584	511	128	22	4	21	59	138	9	12	2	.250	.339	.432	.771	.182	.299	24	10	.343	120	+13	+2	-1	+6	+17	3.7
2036	29	MLB	WSH	575	503	125	21	4	21	58	137	9	11	1	.249	.337	.431	.768	.183	.299	24	10	.341	119	+12	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.5
2037	30	MLB	WSH	565	494	122	21	4	20	57	137	9	11	1	.247	.336	.427	.763	.180	.297	24	10	.337	116	+10	+2	-3	+6	+16	3.2
2038	31	MLB	WSH	551	482	117	20	3	19	55	136	9	9	0	.243	.332	.415	.746	.172	.296	25	10	.334	113	+8	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.9
2039	32	MLB	WSH	533	467	112	19	3	18	53	134	8	9	0	.240	.328	.409	.737	.169	.294	25	10	.329	110	+6	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.5
2040	33	MLB	WSH	503	440	103	17	3	16	50	130	8	8	0	.234	.323	.395	.719	.161	.293	26	10	.323	105	+3	+2	-5	+5	+14	2.0
2041	34	MLB	WSH	457	402	92	15	3	14	45	122	7	8	0	.229	.317	.386	.703	.157	.291	27	10	.316	100	+0	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.5
2042	35	MLB	WSH	401	353	79	13	2	12	39	111	6	7	0	.224	.312	.374	.685	.150	.289	28	10	.308	94	-3	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.9
2043	36	MLB	WSH	341	300	65	10	2	9	33	98	5	6	0	.217	.305	.353	.658	.137	.286	29	10	.299	87	-5	+1	-7	+4	+10	0.3
2044	37	MLB	WSH	277	245	52	8	2	7	26	82	4	5	0	.212	.298	.347	.645	.135	.282	30	9	.289	79	-6	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.2
2045	38	MLB	WSH	208	184	38	6	1	5	19	63	3	4	0	.207	.291	.332	.623	.125	.277	30	9	.278	71	-7	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9227	8130	1953	332	63	304	875	2309	144	204	32	.240	.325	.409	.734	.169	.296	25	9	.326	108	+82	+28	-56	+99	+261	42.2
/ 162G	—			650	573	136	23	4	21	62	163	10	14	2	.237	.322	.401	.724	.164	.293	25	10	.326	108	+6	+2	-4	+7	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	189	174	47	10	6	2	10	35	2	10	7	.270	.316	.431	.747	.161	.324	19	5	.325	107	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ronny Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	24→40	38→54	51→53	42	.217/.281/.346	.130	.286	4	3	28%	7%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→35	47→60	53→40	42	.213/.270/.351	.139	.273	14	6	27%	6%	71	-0.3	.204/.270/.403	.199	.260	27	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.189/.259/.396	.207	.229	30	3	33%	7%	77	+0.1
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	49→55	51→55	38	.217/.265/.368	.151	.302	17	12	34%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.293/.411	.162	.315	18	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	54→50	36	.223/.265/.336	.114	.318	8	9	32%	5%	63	-0.8	.223/.273/.380	.157	.319	17	10	34%	5%	79	+0.3	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
●Renato Núñez 2013 · A	19	44→51	43→60	48→30	38	.215/.262/.330	.115	.285	9	5	27%	4%	61	-1.0	.213/.253/.351	.138	.277	17	3	29%	4%	64	-0.8	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	48→52	43→60	51→55	43	.233/.283/.353	.119	.294	8	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.282/.338	.100	.277	6	12	16%	5%	71	-0.3	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	43→51	50→65	47→45	37	.223/.267/.374	.151	.302	18	8	32%	5%	76	+0.0	.229/.278/.368	.139	.290	17	5	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
●Teoscar Hernández 2012 · A	19	41→51	44→65	54→55	44	.206/.265/.330	.124	.258	11	13	24%	7%	63	-0.9	.204/.256/.328	.124	.293	11	14	33%	6%	59	-1.1	.276/.326/.479	.204	.351	27	8	28%	6%	126	+3.6
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	47→45	51→55	43	.223/.287/.361	.138	.312	14	9	32%	8%	81	+0.4	.213/.318/.341	.128	.297	12	16	29%	11%	89	+1.0	.203/.315/.324	.121	.277	12	21	28%	12%	81	+0.4
★Manny Machado 2012 · A	20	43→53	44→65	48→50	44	.217/.266/.340	.124	.267	11	10	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.250/.295/.396	.146	.294	13	8	19%	6%	92	+1.2	.280/.340/.502	.222	.295	29	7	16%	8%	128	+4.3
✕Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	42	45→55	45→40	43	.206/.283/.328	.122	.292	13	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	.197/.275/.334	.137	.303	16	4	38%	8%	69	-0.4	.194/.284/.363	.169	.278	23	2	37%	9%	78	+0.1
●Isaac Paredes 2018 · A	19	43→51	43→60	48→40	46	.211/.271/.322	.111	.241	10	4	17%	6%	64	-0.8	.228/.291/.341	.113	.267	11	4	18%	7%	77	+0.1	.245/.349/.440	.195	.261	25	1	17%	11%	126	+3.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)