Echedry VargasSS
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 21
R/R
5'11" / 170 lbs
A
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.1 · 2031
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .243 / .316
PA320
HR7
SB7
K%31
BB%4
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
34↘25
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.1 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.8 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $8M | $39M | +$31M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL TEX Blue | 223 | 201 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 10 | 13 | 5 | .214 | .279 | .338 | .617 | .124 | .255 | 19 | 4 | .267 | 63 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 222 | 204 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 86 | 3 | 17 | 3 | .181 | .244 | .309 | .553 | .127 | .274 | 39 | 6 | .245 | 46 | -14 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 422 | 399 | 89 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 124 | 6 | 29 | 9 | .223 | .260 | .363 | .624 | .140 | .291 | 29 | 3 | .266 | 62 | -18 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 323 | 302 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 108 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .156 | .203 | .248 | .451 | .093 | .220 | 33 | 4 | .194 | 7 | -34 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -2.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 47 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .186 | .255 | .209 | .465 | .023 | .320 | 38 | 9 | .209 | 18 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | 273 | 255 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 88 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .200 | .247 | .306 | .553 | .106 | .277 | 32 | 5 | .250 | 49 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +8 | -0.5 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | MIA | 320 | 298 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 106 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .198 | .248 | .292 | .540 | .094 | .287 | 33 | 5 | .244 | 45 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | MIA | 370 | 341 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 100 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .214 | .270 | .340 | .610 | .126 | .271 | 27 | 6 | .270 | 65 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | MIA | 443 | 407 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 116 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .219 | .277 | .351 | .629 | .133 | .273 | 26 | 6 | .280 | 73 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | MIA | 490 | 449 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 126 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .220 | .281 | .359 | .640 | .138 | .274 | 26 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | MIA | 516 | 469 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 131 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .224 | .288 | .365 | .652 | .141 | .275 | 25 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | MIA | 530 | 481 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 135 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .225 | .290 | .368 | .658 | .143 | .276 | 25 | 7 | .292 | 82 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | MIA | 534 | 484 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 136 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .223 | .289 | .366 | .655 | .143 | .276 | 25 | 7 | .292 | 82 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 532 | 482 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 137 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .222 | .288 | .365 | .654 | .143 | .275 | 26 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 524 | 474 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 136 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .219 | .287 | .357 | .644 | .137 | .274 | 26 | 7 | .289 | 79 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 515 | 466 | 102 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 135 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .219 | .286 | .358 | .645 | .139 | .273 | 26 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +6 | +15 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 501 | 454 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 134 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .216 | .282 | .350 | .632 | .134 | .271 | 27 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 483 | 439 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 132 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .212 | .279 | .342 | .621 | .130 | .270 | 27 | 7 | .277 | 71 | -16 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 0.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 454 | 412 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .209 | .277 | .333 | .610 | .124 | .268 | 28 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 408 | 371 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 117 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .269 | .318 | .587 | .116 | .266 | 29 | 7 | .266 | 61 | -18 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +12 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7763 | 7090 | 1514 | 291 | 30 | 195 | 511 | 2110 | 96 | 172 | 37 | .214 | .276 | .346 | .621 | .132 | .273 | 27 | 7 | .276 | 69 | -268 | +20 | -20 | +83 | +220 | 3.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 594 | 127 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 177 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .214 | .276 | .345 | .622 | .131 | .274 | 27 | 7 | .276 | 69 | -22 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL TEX Blue | 223 | 196 | 59 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 5 | .301 | .374 | .510 | .885 | .209 | .325 | 12 | 6 | .382 | 151 | +13 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 2.0 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 222 | 197 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 3 | 17 | 3 | .315 | .389 | .569 | .958 | .254 | .383 | 24 | 9 | .416 | 176 | +19 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 2.8 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 422 | 392 | 108 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 89 | 6 | 29 | 9 | .276 | .322 | .454 | .776 | .179 | .323 | 21 | 5 | .341 | 119 | +9 | +2 | — | — | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 323 | 298 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 80 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .201 | .256 | .322 | .578 | .121 | .249 | 25 | 5 | .259 | 56 | -16 | +1 | — | — | +9 | -0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Echedry Vargas (OGILVIE) | 21 | 30 | 35 | 45 | 25 | .198/.243/.316 | .118 | .272 | 7 | 8 | 31% | 4% | 51 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A |
21 | 34 | 39→45 | 45→50 | 36 | .174/.218/.256 | .082 | .253 | 7 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 23 | -3.6 | .191/.228/.286 | .095 | .265 | 7 | 9 | 29% | 4% | 35 | -2.8 | .233/.289/.308 | .075 | .313 | 4 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Anderson Gomes 2007 · A |
22 | 41→38 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .205/.252/.313 | .108 | .275 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .220/.270/.333 | .113 | .292 | 11 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .223/.275/.335 | .112 | .290 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A |
22 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 40 | .203/.258/.301 | .098 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.266/.289 | .089 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.256/.260 | .077 | .269 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A |
21 | 37→36 | 45→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .192/.253/.319 | .127 | .271 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .204/.262/.355 | .151 | .295 | 18 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .197/.258/.362 | .165 | .284 | 22 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A |
21 | 41→32 | 45→55 | 53→50 | 39 | .208/.253/.334 | .126 | .273 | 12 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .188/.236/.349 | .161 | .267 | 20 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .194/.269/.375 | .181 | .237 | 26 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A |
22 | 39→35 | 41→40 | 49→55 | 34 | .191/.234/.284 | .092 | .286 | 8 | 9 | 35% | 4% | 37 | -2.6 | .177/.227/.268 | .091 | .270 | 9 | 12 | 36% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .148/.203/.232 | .084 | .229 | 9 | 13 | 38% | 5% | 9 | -2.3 |
|
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A |
22 | 40→34 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .200/.267/.320 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.277/.341 | .135 | .271 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.284/.354 | .148 | .258 | 17 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A |
22 | 35 | 46→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .185/.251/.313 | .128 | .265 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .209/.268/.329 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .211/.271/.321 | .110 | .275 | 12 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A |
21 | 37→40 | 42→45 | 53→55 | 35 | .184/.244/.282 | .097 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 37% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .196/.251/.317 | .121 | .287 | 14 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .198/.249/.325 | .127 | .276 | 15 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A |
21 | 36 | 44→40 | 50 | 38 | .185/.240/.296 | .111 | .269 | 12 | 7 | 35% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .192/.243/.286 | .094 | .269 | 10 | 11 | 31% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.232/.263 | .079 | .250 | 9 | 15 | 29% | 5% | 29 | -1.4 |
|
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A |
20 | 36 | 41→40 | 47→50 | 37 | .183/.232/.279 | .096 | .255 | 9 | 7 | 32% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .208/.247/.339 | .131 | .296 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 4% | 57 | -1.2 | .206/.233/.374 | .168 | .276 | 24 | 10 | 35% | 2% | 56 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A |
22 | 38 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 35 | .183/.259/.287 | .104 | .311 | 11 | 11 | 42% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.263/.310 | .112 | .287 | 13 | 7 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .185/.242/.280 | .095 | .261 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 38 | -1.0 |
|
✕Edward Salcedo 2012 · A |
21 | 39 | 43→45 | 50 | 39 | .200/.246/.314 | .114 | .261 | 11 | 13 | 28% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .197/.241/.318 | .121 | .269 | 13 | 15 | 31% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .186/.237/.293 | .107 | .241 | 11 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 39 | -1.7 |
|
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A |
21 | 41→44 | 45→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .206/.256/.333 | .127 | .283 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.261/.347 | .145 | .281 | 16 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.268/.374 | .161 | .271 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jesus Flores 2006 · A |
21 | 36→38 | 42→50 | 44→30 | 32 | .187/.217/.288 | .100 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 35% | 3% | 31 | -3.0 | .211/.263/.348 | .137 | .297 | 15 | 3 | 33% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .244/.302/.382 | .138 | .311 | 15 | 0 | 25% | 6% | 89 | +0.4 |