Echedry Vargas — OGILVIE

Echedry VargasSS Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION415 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%4

BABIP279

ISO147

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$53M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$23M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	223	196	59	19	5	4	13	27	10	13	5	301	374	510	885	209	325	12	6	382	145	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	222	197	62	15	1	11	21	54	3	17	3	315	389	569	958	254	383	24	9	416	167	+18	+2	—	—	+5	2.5
2024	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	422	392	108	24	2	14	21	89	6	29	9	276	322	454	776	179	323	21	5	341	117	+8	+2	—	—	+9	2.0
2025	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	323	298	60	11	2	7	17	80	5	8	2	201	256	322	578	121	249	25	5	259	61	-15	+1	—	—	+7	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	223	201	44	13	3	3	8	40	10	13	5	219	283	358	641	139	243	18	4	270	69	-8	+1	—	—	+5	-0.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	222	205	41	9	1	7	13	83	3	17	3	200	258	356	614	156	276	37	6	255	59	-11	+2	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	422	399	89	18	1	12	14	124	6	29	9	223	260	363	624	140	288	29	3	267	67	-17	+2	—	—	+9	-0.5
2025	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	323	303	45	8	1	5	12	111	5	8	2	149	194	231	425	83	214	34	4	193	17	-32	+1	—	—	+7	-2.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	223	201	44	13	3	3	8	40	10	13	5	219	283	358	641	139	253	18	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	—	223	196	59	19	5	4	13	27	10	13	5	301	374	510	885	209	325	12	6	382	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	222	205	41	9	1	7	13	83	3	17	3	200	258	356	614	156	293	37	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	222	197	62	15	1	11	21	54	3	17	3	315	389	569	958	254	383	24	9	416	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	422	399	89	18	1	12	14	124	6	29	9	223	260	363	624	140	291	29	3	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	422	392	108	24	2	14	21	89	6	29	9	276	322	454	776	179	323	21	5	341	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	323	303	45	8	1	5	12	111	5	8	2	149	194	231	425	83	212	34	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	323	298	60	11	2	7	17	80	5	8	2	201	256	322	578	121	249	25	5	259	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	223	203	44	13	3	3	8	40	10	13	5	217	283	355	638	138	243	18	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	222	204	41	9	1	7	13	83	3	17	3	201	258	358	616	157	276	37	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	422	399	89	18	1	12	14	124	6	29	9	223	260	363	624	140	288	29	3	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	323	303	45	8	1	5	12	111	5	8	2	149	194	231	425	83	214	34	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	222	204	41	9	1	7	13	83	3	17	3	201	258	358	616	157	276	37	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	422	399	89	18	1	12	14	124	6	29	9	223	260	363	624	140	288	29	3	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	323	303	45	8	1	5	12	111	5	8	2	149	194	231	425	83	214	34	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	MIA	—	415	382	98	19	1	22	20	129	6	9	1	257	304	484	788	228	321	31	5	336	114	+7	+1	+0	+4	+9	2.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	MIA	—	415	375	121	23	2	27	27	91	6	9	1	323	377	611	988	288	357	22	7	421	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	MIA	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		288	33	0	301	90	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	MIA	—	424	391	99	19	1	22	20	132	6	9	1	253	300	476	775	223	317	31	5	335	113	+7	+1	+0	+5	+9	2.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	456	426	99	19	2	19	21	134	6	8	2	232	278	420	698	188	291	29	5	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	492	458	109	21	2	21	25	140	6	8	2	238	286	430	716	192	292	28	5	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	523	483	115	22	2	22	28	145	7	9	2	238	290	429	718	190	292	28	5	317	100	+0	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	538	496	120	23	2	23	30	148	7	9	2	242	295	435	730	194	292	28	6	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+6	+12	2.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	544	502	121	23	2	24	30	149	7	9	2	241	293	438	731	197	292	27	6	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+6	+12	2.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	543	500	121	23	2	24	31	149	7	9	2	242	296	440	736	198	292	27	6	321	103	+2	+1	+0	+6	+12	2.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	538	495	119	23	2	23	31	149	7	9	2	240	295	434	729	194	292	28	6	320	103	+2	+1	-1	+6	+12	2.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	528	485	116	22	2	23	31	147	7	8	2	239	294	435	730	196	291	28	6	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+6	+11	1.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	517	476	113	21	2	22	30	145	6	7	1	237	291	429	720	191	290	28	6	315	100	-0	+1	-2	+6	+11	1.6
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	503	463	109	21	2	21	29	143	6	6	1	235	289	425	715	190	288	28	6	312	97	-2	+1	-3	+5	+11	1.3
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	484	447	103	19	2	20	28	139	6	5	1	230	285	416	701	186	285	29	6	306	93	-4	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.9
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	455	421	94	17	1	18	26	133	5	3	1	223	277	397	673	173	281	29	6	299	88	-6	+0	-4	+5	+10	0.5
2039	34	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	409	378	81	14	1	15	23	123	5	2	0	214	268	376	644	161	275	30	6	290	82	-9	+0	-5	+4	+9	0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	157	147	33	6	1	6	7	46	2	3	1	224	269	401	671	177	282	29	4	286	93	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	238	221	51	9	1	10	12	68	3	4	1	231	280	416	696	186	283	29	5	293	97	-1	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.8
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	276	256	59	11	1	11	15	77	3	5	1	230	281	410	691	180	283	28	5	297	100	+0	+1	+0	+3	+6	1.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	294	272	64	12	1	12	16	81	4	5	1	235	288	419	707	184	283	28	5	300	102	+1	+1	+0	+3	+6	1.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	303	279	66	12	1	13	17	83	4	5	1	237	290	427	717	190	283	27	6	301	103	+1	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	299	276	64	12	1	12	17	82	4	5	1	232	286	413	699	181	283	27	6	301	103	+1	+1	+0	+3	+6	1.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	294	271	63	12	1	12	17	81	4	5	1	232	288	417	705	185	283	28	6	300	103	+1	+1	-0	+3	+6	1.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	282	260	61	11	1	12	16	79	4	4	1	235	289	423	712	188	282	28	6	299	101	+0	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.9
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	295	272	62	11	1	12	17	83	4	4	1	228	283	408	691	180	281	28	6	296	100	-0	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.9
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	299	276	62	11	1	12	17	85	4	3	1	225	279	402	682	178	279	28	6	293	97	-1	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.7
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	296	273	60	11	1	11	17	85	4	3	1	220	276	388	664	168	276	29	6	288	93	-2	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.5
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	284	263	58	10	1	11	16	83	3	2	0	221	273	392	665	171	272	29	6	281	88	-4	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.3
2039	34	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	237	219	46	8	1	8	13	71	3	1	0	210	264	365	629	155	267	30	5	272	82	-5	+0	-3	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3554	3285	749	136	13	142	197	1004	46	49	11	228	281	407	688	179	282	28	6	293	91	-10	+5	-12	+38	+77	10.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	137	25	2	26	36	184	8	9	2	228	281	406	687	178	282	28	6	293	91	-2	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7729	7147	1640	316	30	302	410	2205	106	159	39	229	281	409	690	179	286	29	5	302	91	-18	+10	-20	+70	+142	18.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	138	27	3	25	34	185	9	13	3	230	281	409	690	180	286	28	5	302	91	-2	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.8	3,874	159	55	234	283	420	+40	+24	13.0	10.9
/162	664	27	10	+6.8	+4.1	2.2	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Echedry Vargas (OGILVIE)	21	30	35	45	25	228/272/409	181	288	13	7	30%	4%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	37	44→45	47→45	43	190/252/303	113	229	13	12	24%	6%	57	-1.8	224/274/348	124	267	13	8	21%	5%	75	-0.5	259/302/380	121	288	12	8	14%	4%	90	+0.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	34→43	46→45	50→55	39	183/243/312	128	244	14	13	31%	6%	55	-1.9	192/254/310	118	276	11	18	33%	7%	59	-1.7	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	201/259/308	107	270	11	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	217/276/340	123	279	13	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	208/269/326	118	262	13	7	25%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	181/247/307	126	264	15	5	36%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/324	115	285	12	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	208/268/318	109	276	12	2	28%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Aristides Aquino 2015 · A	21	37→41	47→60	50	34	194/233/333	139	262	14	11	32%	4%	56	-1.9	201/240/340	139	269	14	9	30%	4%	60	-1.6	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Anderson Gomes 2007 · A	22	42→40	42→45	47→50	39	207/256/314	107	282	10	9	30%	5%	60	-1.6	223/276/335	112	301	11	7	28%	6%	72	-0.7	229/283/339	110	302	11	5	27%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	187/257/301	114	274	12	9	35%	7%	58	-1.7	198/280/293	95	349	7	8	41%	9%	65	-1.2	152/277/229	77	359	3	4	50%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→44	49→50	49→45	39	193/251/345	152	262	17	9	33%	6%	66	-1.1	207/266/332	125	289	12	7	31%	7%	68	-1.0	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→45	51→45	35	181/259/287	106	307	11	11	42%	7%	57	-1.8	200/265/308	108	290	13	7	34%	6%	63	-1.4	190/248/282	93	268	12	5	33%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Bryan Ramos 2023 · AA	21	41→42	48→50	46→50	42	215/273/353	138	264	17	5	26%	6%	76	-0.4	205/268/332	127	260	15	8	27%	6%	70	-0.9	188/256/303	116	239	14	10	27%	7%	56	-1.3
✕Alexfri Planez 2023 · A	21	38→36	49→50	50→45	31	202/232/347	145	279	18	8	35%	3%	59	-1.6	200/233/331	131	285	16	7	35%	3%	55	-1.9	177/205/301	123	248	17	3	36%	3%	36	-2.4
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	46	-2.6	199/274/309	110	312	10	5	36%	8%	67	-1.1	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	85	+0.1
✕Ronny Rodríguez 2013 · A	21	39→49	49→55	44→50	34	207/235/355	148	259	17	7	28%	3%	61	-1.5	217/243/330	113	272	10	8	24%	3%	58	-1.7	247/274/401	154	296	19	13	23%	3%	84	+0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→41	48→55	46→50	35	195/236/334	139	275	15	6	35%	5%	57	-1.8	212/267/368	156	279	19	8	31%	6%	78	-0.3	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Shawn Bowman 2006 · A	21	37→42	50	48→40	31	191/241/337	146	306	18	6	43%	5%	61	-1.5	206/251/325	119	331	13	7	40%	5%	61	-1.5	240/279/384	144	323	16	2	30%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	39→43	43→55	43→40	40	195/256/301	106	289	11	5	35%	7%	57	-1.8	220/270/361	141	292	16	4	30%	5%	77	-0.3	215/301/376	160	280	21	0	29%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Durán 2019 · A	21	40	53→50	45	37	219/254/384	165	278	22	4	30%	4%	76	-0.4	201/236/329	128	267	15	4	30%	4%	56	-1.9	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps