Echedry Vargas

SS Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#509ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ADown East Woo…422.276/.322/.454142972—.231/.270/.367
202520A+MIA323.201/.256/.3227825—.166/.213/.258
202621AMIA415.323/.377/.611279107—.260/.304/.482
2027PROJMLE22MLBMIA525.215/.258/.377199750.2
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBMIA126.212/.257/.36942800.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBMIA190.215/.262/.37474830.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV96
Z-Con%59
Speed57
K%56
Whiff%52
BB%18
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 9.9, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 84%
CompsJohan Mieses (age 22) · Freuddy Batista (age 22) · Audry Pérez (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .256 / .374
PA210
HR7
K%27
BB%4
ISO161
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.50.50.40.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-2$0.7M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL TEX Blue — 223196 591954 132710 135 301374510885 209325 126 382 49 — — — — — —
202318 ROKACL Rangers — 222197 6215111 21543 173 315389569958 254383 249 416 62 — — — — — —
202419 ADown East Wood Ducks — 422392 10824214 21896 299 276322454776 179323 215 341 72 — — — — — —
202520 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 323298 601127 17805 82 201256322578 121249 255 259 25 — — — — — —
202621 AJupiter Hammerheads — 415375 12123227 27916 91 323377611988 288357 227 421 107 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Blue — 223200 371132 93410 135 185256300556 115205 154 241 49 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 222204 41917 14833 173 201262358620 157283 376 260 62 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 422398 9219111 151196 299 231270367637 136296 284 275 72 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 323302 50925 131055 82 166212258471 93224 334 205 25 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 415384 10018221 181246 91 260304482786 221307 304 327 107 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Blue — 223200 371132 93410 135 185256300556 115208 154 241 49 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL TEX Blue — 223196 591954 132710 135 301374510885 209325 126 382 49 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 222204 41917 14833 173 201262358620 157296 376 260 62 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 222197 6215111 21543 173 315389569958 254383 249 416 62 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 422398 9219111 151196 299 231270367637 136300 284 275 72 — — — — — —
202419 A RAWDown East Wood Ducks — 422392 10824214 21896 299 276322454776 179323 215 341 72 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 323302 50925 131055 82 166212258471 93232 334 205 25 — — — — — —
202520 A+ RAWBeloit Sky Carp — 323298 601127 17805 82 201256322578 121249 255 259 25 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 415384 10018221 181246 91 260304482786 221322 304 327 107 — — — — — —
202621 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 415375 12123227 27916 91 323377611988 288357 227 421 107 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Blue — 223202 371132 93410 135 183256297553 114205 154 241 49 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 222203 41917 14833 173 202262360622 158283 376 260 62 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 422398 9219111 151196 299 231270367637 136296 284 275 72 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 323302 50925 131055 82 166212258471 93224 334 205 25 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 415388 10018221 181246 91 258304477781 219307 304 327 107 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 422398 9219111 151196 299 231270367637 136296 284 275 72 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 323302 50925 131055 82 166212258471 93224 334 205 25 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 415388 10018221 181246 91 258304477781 219307 304 327 107 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEMIA 0% 525492 10720219 221446 92 215258377634 161262 274 279 75 -16 +1 +0 +6 +11 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEMIA 34% 366343 7514213 16984 72 220264386650 167264 274 286 80 -9 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.4
202924 MLB MLEMIA 46% 411383 8616215 201085 82 223269392662 170267 265 291 83 -8 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.6
203025 MLB MLEMIA 52% 459428 9618217 231205 82 224273395668 171268 265 294 85 -8 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.8
203126 MLB MLEMIA 54% 476443 10018218 251235 82 225275396671 170269 265 296 86 -8 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.9
203227 MLB MLEMIA 54% 481447 10119218 261245 82 225277394671 169270 265 296 86 -8 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.9
203328 MLB MLEMIA 54% 479445 9918217 261255 62 224275390665 166269 265 293 85 -9 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.7
203429 MLB MLEMIA 53% 468435 9618216 251235 51 222272384656 162268 265 290 82 -10 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.5
203530 MLB MLEMIA 52% 458426 9417216 241225 31 219269377646 158266 275 285 79 -11 +0 -2 +5 +10 0.2
203631 MLB MLEMIA 56% 441411 8716114 231194 21 215264368632 153263 275 280 75 -13 +0 -3 +5 +10 -0.1
202823 MLB CTXMIA 34% 126118 24404 6341 21 212257369625 157255 275 276 80 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
202924 MLB CTXMIA 46% 190177 39717 9502 41 215262374637 160257 265 281 83 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203025 MLB CTXMIA 52% 237220 47818 12623 41 217266377643 161259 265 284 85 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
203126 MLB CTXMIA 54% 258239 52919 14673 51 217268378646 160260 265 285 86 -4 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.5
203227 MLB CTXMIA 54% 261242 52919 14673 41 218269376646 159260 265 285 86 -4 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.5
203328 MLB CTXMIA 54% 260241 52919 14683 31 216268372640 156260 265 283 85 -5 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.4
203429 MLB CTXMIA 53% 248230 49918 13653 21 214265367632 153259 265 280 82 -5 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.2
203530 MLB CTXMIA 52% 240223 47818 13642 11 211262360622 149257 275 276 79 -6 -0 -1 +3 +5 0.1
203631 MLB CTXMIA 56% 249232 48818 13672 10 208257351608 144255 275 270 75 -7 +0 -2 +3 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20691922 41071870 10854422 268 213263368631 155258 265 280 78 -43 +2 -4 +22 +45 2.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650604 12922322 341717 83 214264369633 156258 265 280 78 -13 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 58545446 119622827197 286158575 13536 220268380648 160270 275 284 78 -90 +5 -7 +46 +92 4.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650605 13325322 321768 154 220268380648 160270 275 284 78 -14 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 415 PAwOBA .414 → .327 (−87)K% 21.9% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.93%÷1.000×1.360——29.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.27%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0154.39%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.780—×1.0151.14%
Singles /BIP24.30%÷1.000×0.920×0.961×1.01521.81%
Doubles /BIP8.10%÷1.000×0.830×0.961×1.0156.56%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.000×0.910×0.961×1.0150.63%
Home runs /BIP9.51%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0157.72%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .414 → .327; ISO .288 → .222; BABIP .357 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 323 PAwOBA .254 → .205 (−48)K% 24.8% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.77%÷0.972×1.270——32.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷0.978×0.710—×1.0423.98%
HBP% /PA1.55%—×0.790—×1.0421.27%
Singles /BIP18.35%÷1.028×0.920×0.984×1.04216.83%
Doubles /BIP5.05%÷0.961×0.810×0.984×1.0424.36%
Triples /BIP0.92%÷1.000×0.850×0.984×1.0420.80%
Home runs /BIP3.21%÷1.006×0.800—×1.0422.66%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .254 → .205; ISO .121 → .094; BABIP .249 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 422 PAwOBA .333 → .275 (−58)K% 21.1% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.09%÷1.022×1.360——28.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.98%÷0.983×0.690—×1.0453.65%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.780—×1.0451.16%
Singles /BIP22.44%÷0.973×0.920×0.964×1.04521.36%
Doubles /BIP7.92%÷0.978×0.830×0.964×1.0456.77%
Triples /BIP0.66%÷1.150×0.910×0.964×1.0450.53%
Home runs /BIP4.62%÷1.008×0.800—×1.0453.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .333 → .275; ISO .179 → .140; BABIP .323 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Rangers · 222 PAwOBA .406 → .260 (−146)K% 24.3% → 37.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.32%÷0.940×1.440——37.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.46%÷0.973×0.620—×1.0226.16%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.720—×1.0220.99%
Singles /BIP24.48%÷1.003×0.820×0.950×1.02219.43%
Doubles /BIP10.49%÷1.032×0.720×0.950×1.0227.11%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.114×0.720×0.950×1.0220.44%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷1.124×0.780—×1.0225.46%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .406 → .260; ISO .254 → .153; BABIP .383 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL TEX Blue · 223 PAwOBA .379 → .241 (−138)K% 12.1% → 15.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.11%÷0.964×1.220——15.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.83%÷0.998×0.700—×1.0224.18%
HBP% /PA4.48%—×0.700—×1.0223.21%
Singles /BIP18.34%÷0.982×0.680×0.959×1.02212.46%
Doubles /BIP11.24%÷1.007×0.600×0.959×1.0226.57%
Triples /BIP2.96%÷1.006×0.600×0.959×1.0221.73%
Home runs /BIP2.37%÷1.148×0.470—×1.0220.99%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .379 → .241; ISO .209 → .114; BABIP .325 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).