Zach Levenson
LF Springfield Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+STL | 294 | .215/.320/.367 | 8 | 7 | 52 | — | .174/.265/.286 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+STL | 449 | .245/.368/.403 | 12 | 9 | 72 | — | .197/.290/.317 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AASTL | 410 | .236/.338/.423 | 16 | 3 | 67 | — | .188/.270/.324 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBSTL | 4 | .209/.290/.345 | 0 | 0 | 81 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 26 | MLBSTL | 58 | .210/.291/.348 | 2 | 1 | 82 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ33% MLB | 27 | MLBSTL | 92 | .211/.292/.348 | 2 | 1 | 83 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 139 | 123 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 338 | 480 | 818 | 211 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 353 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 294 | 251 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 67 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 215 | 320 | 367 | 686 | 151 | 257 | 23 | 11 | 309 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 103 | 91 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 275 | 353 | 484 | 836 | 209 | 318 | 21 | 10 | 366 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 346 | 284 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 56 | 63 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 236 | 373 | 377 | 750 | 141 | 277 | 18 | 16 | 345 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 67 | 61 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 373 | 607 | 980 | 295 | 368 | 27 | 7 | 424 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 343 | 291 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 88 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 220 | 331 | 385 | 716 | 165 | 273 | 26 | 13 | 323 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 139 | 127 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 257 | 346 | 604 | 142 | 264 | 33 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 294 | 259 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 174 | 265 | 286 | 550 | 112 | 218 | 29 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 103 | 94 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 294 | 394 | 688 | 160 | 296 | 26 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 346 | 302 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 84 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 185 | 289 | 295 | 584 | 109 | 231 | 24 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 67 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 299 | 419 | 718 | 177 | 339 | 33 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 343 | 305 | 54 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 177 | 264 | 305 | 569 | 128 | 235 | 31 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 139 | 127 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 257 | 346 | 604 | 142 | 275 | 33 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 139 | 123 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 338 | 480 | 818 | 211 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 353 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 294 | 259 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 174 | 265 | 286 | 550 | 112 | 228 | 29 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 294 | 251 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 67 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 215 | 320 | 367 | 686 | 151 | 257 | 23 | 11 | 309 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 396 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 111 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 199 | 292 | 323 | 616 | 124 | 250 | 25 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 449 | 375 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 66 | 85 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 245 | 368 | 403 | 771 | 157 | 287 | 19 | 15 | 350 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 367 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 129 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 191 | 272 | 327 | 599 | 136 | 254 | 31 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 410 | 352 | 83 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 49 | 106 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 236 | 338 | 423 | 762 | 187 | 289 | 26 | 12 | 340 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 139 | 129 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 257 | 341 | 598 | 140 | 264 | 33 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 294 | 260 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 173 | 265 | 285 | 549 | 112 | 218 | 29 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 394 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 111 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 201 | 292 | 325 | 617 | 124 | 246 | 25 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 366 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 129 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 191 | 272 | 328 | 600 | 137 | 252 | 31 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 294 | 260 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 173 | 265 | 285 | 549 | 112 | 218 | 29 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 394 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 111 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 201 | 292 | 325 | 617 | 124 | 246 | 25 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 366 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 129 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 191 | 272 | 328 | 600 | 137 | 252 | 31 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | STL | 2% | 380 | 338 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 108 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 209 | 290 | 350 | 640 | 141 | 270 | 28 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -9 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | STL | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 290 | 345 | 635 | 136 | 272 | 25 | 0 | 286 | 81 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 23% | 253 | 226 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 71 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 291 | 352 | 644 | 142 | 271 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 33% | 280 | 250 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 292 | 353 | 644 | 141 | 271 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 39% | 296 | 264 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 82 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 291 | 351 | 642 | 139 | 271 | 28 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 42% | 296 | 265 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 82 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 290 | 347 | 637 | 137 | 271 | 28 | 9 | 287 | 80 | -7 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 23% | 58 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 291 | 348 | 639 | 137 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 288 | 82 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 33% | 92 | 83 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 292 | 348 | 639 | 137 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 288 | 83 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 39% | 116 | 104 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 291 | 346 | 637 | 135 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 287 | 82 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 42% | 123 | 110 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 290 | 343 | 632 | 132 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 285 | 80 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 389 | 349 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 108 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 287 | 341 | 628 | 132 | 270 | 28 | 9 | 287 | 74 | -9 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +8 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 123 | 27 | 0 | 17 | 57 | 180 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 211 | 289 | 345 | 634 | 134 | 272 | 28 | 9 | 287 | 74 | -14 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2627 | 2340 | 473 | 93 | 8 | 69 | 232 | 744 | 36 | 32 | 18 | 202 | 284 | 337 | 621 | 135 | 262 | 28 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -29 | +0 | -6 | -14 | +29 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 117 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 184 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 202 | 283 | 337 | 620 | 135 | 262 | 28 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -14 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 343 PAwOBA .317 → .254 (−63)K% 25.7% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 9.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 16.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.39% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .317 → .254; ISO .165 → .132; BABIP .273 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 67 PAwOBA .412 → .332 (−80)K% 26.9% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 24.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 8.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .412 → .332; ISO .295 → .212; BABIP .368 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 346 PAwOBA .336 → .266 (−70)K% 18.2% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.21% | ÷0.951 | ×1.270 | — | — | 24.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.90% | ÷1.027 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.36% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 17.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.083 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.926 | ×0.850 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.62% | ÷0.857 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .336 → .266; ISO .141 → .120; BABIP .277 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASpringfield Cardinals · 103 PAwOBA .360 → .304 (−56)K% 21.4% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.36% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 19.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.14% | ÷0.916 | ×0.840 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 9.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.105 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 4.31% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .360 → .304; ISO .209 → .166; BABIP .318 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Peoria Chiefs · 294 PAwOBA .305 → .245 (−60)K% 22.8% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.79% | ÷1.006 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.22% | ÷0.930 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 8.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.93% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 15.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.55% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .305 → .245; ISO .151 → .118; BABIP .257 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 139 PAwOBA .350 → .270 (−81)K% 23.0% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.02% | ÷0.950 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.98% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.015 | 19.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×1.015 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | ×1.015 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 5.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .350 → .270; ISO .211 → .158; BABIP .307 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).