Maxwell Costes1B
Aberdeen IronBirds
Age 27
R/R
6'1" / 215 lbs
A+
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†89
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .302 / .364
PA166
HR4
K%24
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-4M | $-14M | -$10M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | 2 teams | 66 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .173 | .348 | .192 | .541 | .019 | .250 | 24 | 18 | .262 | 59 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | 3 teams | 277 | 241 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .207 | .295 | .361 | .656 | .154 | .250 | 27 | 6 | .282 | 74 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | 2 teams | 194 | 173 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 2 | .173 | .255 | .231 | .486 | .058 | .207 | 20 | 7 | .215 | 23 | -17 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 166 | 149 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .228 | .303 | .362 | .665 | .134 | .279 | 24 | 8 | .302 | 89 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 8% | BAL | 217 | 194 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 52 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .227 | .302 | .371 | .673 | .144 | .280 | 24 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 18% | BAL | 268 | 239 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 65 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .226 | .305 | .364 | .669 | .138 | .280 | 24 | 8 | .302 | 90 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 28% | BAL | 304 | 270 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 74 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .226 | .306 | .363 | .669 | .137 | .280 | 24 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 39% | BAL | 307 | 273 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 76 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .223 | .303 | .359 | .662 | .136 | .279 | 25 | 8 | .297 | 86 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | BAL | 300 | 268 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .220 | .296 | .347 | .643 | .127 | .277 | 25 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | BAL | 277 | 248 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .291 | .335 | .626 | .121 | .276 | 26 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +8 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 80% | BAL | 239 | 214 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .287 | .327 | .614 | .117 | .274 | 27 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -7 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +7 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2615 | 2321 | 500 | 88 | 9 | 62 | 209 | 647 | 59 | 22 | 7 | .215 | .297 | .341 | .638 | .126 | .269 | 25 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -65 | +2 | -20 | -47 | +74 | -5.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 124 | 22 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 161 | 15 | 5 | 2 | .215 | .297 | .338 | .635 | .123 | .268 | 25 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -16 | +0 | -5 | -12 | +18 | -1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 32 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .150 | .469 | .200 | .669 | .050 | .300 | 31 | 31 | .361 | 134 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 34 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .240 | .441 | .240 | .681 | .000 | .261 | 6 | 26 | .344 | 122 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 97 | 81 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .304 | .259 | .564 | .049 | .243 | 16 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 157 | 132 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 1 | .242 | .363 | .508 | .871 | .265 | .253 | 20 | 10 | .384 | 152 | +9 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 23 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .368 | .455 | .526 | .981 | .158 | .545 | 35 | 9 | .419 | 179 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 144 | 120 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | .192 | .317 | .275 | .592 | .083 | .219 | 17 | 11 | .280 | 72 | -5 | -1 | — | — | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 50 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .261 | .320 | .283 | .603 | .022 | .293 | 10 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Maxwell Costes (OGILVIE) | 27 | — | — | — | — | .226/.302/.364 | .138 | .279 | 4 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 89 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Alex Call 2022 · AAA |
27 | 42→48 | 47→50 | 48→50 | 46 | .216/.278/.349 | .133 | .261 | 15 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .229/.321/.379 | .150 | .264 | 17 | 15 | 20% | 10% | 100 | +1.7 | .221/.325/.367 | .147 | .256 | 16 | 17 | 20% | 12% | 99 | +1.2 |
|
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2016 · AA |
26 | 46→51 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 46 | .229/.291/.348 | .120 | .299 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.297/.366 | .136 | .316 | 16 | 5 | 30% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .225/.301/.376 | .151 | .309 | 19 | 3 | 32% | 9% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Nate Espy 2006 · AA |
28 | 48→49 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 47 | .237/.305/.381 | .144 | .300 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | .236/.307/.366 | .130 | .307 | 12 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .235/.312/.354 | .120 | .306 | 11 | 2 | 25% | 9% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Rob Segedin 2016 · AAA |
27 | 48→49 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 47 | .239/.305/.361 | .122 | .290 | 12 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .239/.296/.395 | .156 | .294 | 17 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .232/.288/.398 | .167 | .283 | 19 | 2 | 25% | 6% | 88 | +0.4 |
|
✕Brian Van Kirk 2013 · AA |
27 | 47→52 | 45 | 45 | 46 | .231/.294/.353 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .239/.312/.334 | .095 | .306 | 8 | 8 | 22% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .256/.353/.320 | .064 | .317 | 4 | 5 | 18% | 13% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
✕David Fry 2023 · AAA |
27 | 44 | 50→55 | 48→45 | 43 | .225/.287/.383 | .158 | .279 | 18 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .238/.311/.406 | .168 | .293 | 19 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 103 | +1.9 | .237/.320/.414 | .177 | .291 | 21 | 7 | 25% | 9% | 104 | +0.9 |
|
✕David MacKinnon 2022 · AA |
27 | 47→50 | 45 | 43→30 | 49 | .231/.306/.363 | .133 | .298 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .234/.307/.383 | .149 | .297 | 15 | 5 | 25% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .228/.308/.387 | .160 | .282 | 16 | 3 | 24% | 10% | 96 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jason Rogers 2014 · AA |
26 | 47→53 | 48→55 | 49→45 | 48 | .239/.299/.382 | .144 | .283 | 15 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .249/.308/.400 | .151 | .299 | 17 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 99 | +1.7 | .252/.313/.393 | .141 | .305 | 15 | 2 | 22% | 8% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA |
27 | 44→42 | 48→50 | 47→50 | 41 | .223/.272/.364 | .142 | .286 | 15 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .209/.260/.342 | .133 | .281 | 16 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .195/.247/.315 | .120 | .261 | 16 | 4 | 31% | 6% | 48 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA |
27 | 45 | 45→55 | 50 | 40 | .223/.283/.350 | .128 | .283 | 11 | 11 | 25% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .234/.283/.392 | .158 | .289 | 18 | 7 | 25% | 4% | 88 | +0.9 | .229/.280/.395 | .166 | .277 | 20 | 7 | 25% | 4% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2013 · AAA |
27 | 41→47 | 50→60 | 49→50 | 42 | .211/.270/.370 | .159 | .267 | 17 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .220/.269/.405 | .185 | .263 | 21 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .240/.284/.434 | .194 | .265 | 25 | 11 | 20% | 6% | 97 | +0.9 |
|
✕Ben Guez 2014 · AAA |
27 | 46→52 | 47→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .229/.300/.370 | .141 | .303 | 14 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .208/.282/.362 | .154 | .287 | 18 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.268/.351 | .160 | .254 | 20 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Anthony García 2018 · AAA |
26 | 44→46 | 47→55 | 45 | 45 | .223/.284/.355 | .132 | .268 | 15 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .221/.291/.368 | .147 | .270 | 17 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .210/.291/.363 | .152 | .254 | 19 | 1 | 25% | 8% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Cole Garner 2012 · AAA |
27 | 47→49 | 49→55 | 49→50 | 39 | .238/.284/.389 | .151 | .301 | 16 | 11 | 26% | 4% | 86 | +0.8 | .205/.250/.327 | .122 | .316 | 13 | 8 | 38% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .196/.239/.323 | .127 | .310 | 16 | 7 | 41% | 4% | 47 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jeff Deardorff 2006 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 50 | 47→50 | 45 | .225/.280/.380 | .154 | .276 | 19 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .213/.266/.352 | .139 | .283 | 16 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .191/.245/.319 | .128 | .258 | 14 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB |
26 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 49→55 | 45 | .221/.291/.370 | .149 | .279 | 16 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .225/.303/.384 | .159 | .299 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 7% | 94 | +1.3 | .217/.301/.370 | .153 | .287 | 17 | 20 | 29% | 8% | 86 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jamie Romak 2013 · AAA |
27 | 43→49 | 48→55 | 46→45 | 44 | .219/.279/.358 | .138 | .266 | 16 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .205/.262/.359 | .154 | .264 | 18 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .206/.262/.386 | .180 | .274 | 22 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Josh Rabe 2006 · AAA |
27 | 41→51 | 49→50 | 47→45 | 45 | .214/.268/.357 | .143 | .249 | 17 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .240/.288/.358 | .118 | .270 | 13 | 9 | 16% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .261/.308/.366 | .105 | .285 | 11 | 8 | 12% | 6% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Alfredo Silverio 2014 · AA |
27 | 47→49 | 49→55 | 47→50 | 41 | .239/.271/.398 | .159 | .281 | 15 | 10 | 21% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .209/.240/.317 | .108 | .274 | 12 | 8 | 28% | 4% | 49 | -1.8 | .202/.231/.308 | .106 | .257 | 13 | 7 | 27% | 3% | 41 | -0.7 |
|
✕Rich Poythress 2014 · AAA |
26 | 47→48 | 47→50 | 46→40 | 50 | .235/.298/.373 | .138 | .271 | 15 | 5 | 19% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .230/.284/.360 | .130 | .267 | 15 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.276/.337 | .107 | .259 | 14 | 3 | 17% | 5% | 66 | -0.3 |