Max Muncy
3B Athletics| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AAA/ROKOAK | 233 | .292/.381/.525 | 10 | 5 | 99 | — | .243/.325/.408 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 178 | .310/.392/.497 | 5 | 1 | 117 | — | .283/.345/.425 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBOAK | 220 | .214/.260/.379 | 9 | 1 | 75 | -0.5 | |
| 2026 | 23 | AAAOAK | 77 | .318/.408/.652 | 6 | 0 | 131 | — | .250/.329/.471 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBOAK | 284 | .230/.299/.387 | 9 | 3 | 89 | 0.3 | |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBOAK | 301 | .223/.292/.393 | 11 | 3 | 89 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 25 | MLBOAK | 326 | .224/.293/.395 | 12 | 3 | 90 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 26 | MLBOAK | 333 | .224/.293/.394 | 12 | 3 | 89 | 0.3 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 34 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 129 | 206 | 129 | 335 | 211 | 35 | 9 | 168 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 190 | 168 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 226 | 309 | 375 | 684 | 149 | 327 | 32 | 9 | 305 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 365 | 304 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 109 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 230 | 354 | 447 | 801 | 217 | 298 | 30 | 14 | 355 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 233 | 202 | 61 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 54 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 302 | 387 | 446 | 833 | 144 | 396 | 23 | 9 | 370 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 312 | 275 | 70 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 92 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 255 | 330 | 385 | 716 | 131 | 356 | 29 | 10 | 317 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 95 | 85 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 212 | 295 | 435 | 730 | 224 | 241 | 24 | 8 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 203 | 173 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 277 | 378 | 491 | 869 | 214 | 342 | 25 | 9 | 382 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 30 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 379 | 400 | 724 | 1.124 | 345 | 643 | 43 | 0 | 485 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Athletics | — | 220 | 206 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 68 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 379 | 639 | 165 | 269 | 31 | 5 | 283 | 75 | -6 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 141 | 123 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 325 | 403 | 504 | 907 | 179 | 411 | 23 | 8 | 397 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 37 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 351 | 469 | 820 | 219 | 286 | 24 | 14 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Athletics | — | 284 | 256 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 91 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 230 | 299 | 387 | 686 | 156 | 314 | 32 | 7 | 304 | 89 | -4 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 77 | 66 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 318 | 408 | 652 | 1.059 | 333 | 385 | 29 | 9 | 450 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 504 | 462 | 103 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 159 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 223 | 282 | 383 | 665 | 160 | 294 | 32 | 6 | 295 | 86 | -9 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +11 | -0.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 34 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 147 | 94 | 241 | 174 | 50 | 6 | 105 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 190 | 173 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 75 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 179 | 245 | 289 | 534 | 110 | 294 | 39 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 365 | 320 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 141 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 184 | 279 | 341 | 620 | 156 | 270 | 39 | 10 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 233 | 208 | 55 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 67 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 264 | 335 | 380 | 715 | 115 | 367 | 29 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 312 | 284 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 124 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 201 | 258 | 292 | 550 | 92 | 318 | 40 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 203 | 177 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 249 | 338 | 412 | 751 | 164 | 327 | 29 | 7 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 30 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 233 | 379 | 613 | 172 | 450 | 63 | 0 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 220 | 206 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 68 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 256 | 369 | 625 | 160 | 269 | 31 | 5 | 280 | 75 | -6 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 141 | 127 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 283 | 345 | 425 | 771 | 142 | 367 | 26 | 5 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 284 | 256 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 91 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 295 | 379 | 674 | 152 | 314 | 32 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -4 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 77 | 68 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 329 | 471 | 800 | 221 | 349 | 34 | 6 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 34 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 147 | 94 | 241 | 200 | 50 | 6 | 105 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | — | 34 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 129 | 206 | 129 | 335 | 211 | 35 | 9 | 168 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 492 | 90 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 217 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 183 | 269 | 325 | 594 | 142 | 284 | 39 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 555 | 472 | 108 | 28 | 3 | 19 | 69 | 169 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 229 | 338 | 422 | 760 | 193 | 309 | 30 | 12 | 338 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 640 | 579 | 130 | 33 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 225 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 225 | 288 | 323 | 611 | 98 | 350 | 35 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 640 | 562 | 149 | 40 | 1 | 14 | 60 | 169 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 265 | 345 | 415 | 760 | 149 | 353 | 26 | 9 | 337 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 206 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 77 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 325 | 408 | 732 | 165 | 347 | 33 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 233 | 202 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 63 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 292 | 381 | 525 | 906 | 233 | 374 | 27 | 8 | 396 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 398 | 368 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 116 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 234 | 286 | 383 | 669 | 149 | 305 | 29 | 5 | 301 | 90 | -5 | -1 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 398 | 361 | 92 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 109 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 255 | 319 | 429 | 748 | 175 | 324 | 27 | 7 | 331 | 90 | -5 | -1 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 324 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 117 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 303 | 398 | 701 | 167 | 313 | 32 | 7 | 313 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 361 | 322 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 113 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 248 | 322 | 441 | 763 | 193 | 328 | 31 | 8 | 335 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 34 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 147 | 94 | 241 | 174 | 50 | 6 | 105 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 492 | 90 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 217 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 183 | 269 | 325 | 594 | 142 | 278 | 39 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 640 | 583 | 130 | 33 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 225 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 223 | 288 | 321 | 609 | 98 | 339 | 35 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 206 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 77 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 325 | 408 | 732 | 165 | 343 | 33 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 398 | 368 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 116 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 234 | 286 | 383 | 669 | 149 | 307 | 29 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 325 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 117 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 303 | 397 | 699 | 166 | 322 | 32 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 206 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 77 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 325 | 408 | 732 | 165 | 343 | 33 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 398 | 368 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 116 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 234 | 286 | 383 | 669 | 149 | 307 | 29 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 325 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 117 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 303 | 397 | 699 | 166 | 322 | 32 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | OAK | 100% | 467 | 423 | 92 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 134 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 219 | 287 | 386 | 673 | 168 | 272 | 29 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | OAK | 100% | 301 | 272 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 292 | 393 | 684 | 169 | 281 | 29 | 7 | 304 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 82% | 397 | 359 | 79 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 113 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 219 | 288 | 388 | 677 | 169 | 272 | 28 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 82% | 406 | 367 | 81 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 116 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 219 | 288 | 388 | 676 | 169 | 272 | 29 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 82% | 401 | 363 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 115 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 287 | 385 | 672 | 167 | 271 | 29 | 7 | 299 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 82% | 392 | 354 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 113 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 285 | 380 | 665 | 164 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 82% | 377 | 341 | 73 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 110 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 282 | 374 | 656 | 160 | 268 | 29 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -7 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | OAK | 82% | 363 | 329 | 69 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 278 | 365 | 643 | 155 | 266 | 29 | 7 | 287 | 80 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 82% | 326 | 294 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 93 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 293 | 395 | 688 | 171 | 281 | 29 | 7 | 305 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 82% | 333 | 300 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 95 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 293 | 394 | 687 | 171 | 281 | 29 | 7 | 305 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 82% | 329 | 297 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 94 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 292 | 392 | 683 | 169 | 280 | 29 | 7 | 303 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 82% | 321 | 290 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 93 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 289 | 387 | 676 | 166 | 278 | 29 | 7 | 300 | 86 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 82% | 309 | 279 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 90 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 286 | 380 | 666 | 162 | 277 | 29 | 7 | 296 | 84 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | OAK | 82% | 298 | 270 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 282 | 371 | 653 | 157 | 274 | 30 | 7 | 291 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2420 | 2192 | 484 | 84 | 8 | 86 | 167 | 712 | 40 | 16 | 7 | 221 | 288 | 384 | 672 | 163 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 299 | 82 | -39 | +0 | -18 | +10 | +52 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 130 | 23 | 2 | 23 | 45 | 191 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 221 | 289 | 384 | 673 | 163 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 299 | 82 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4858 | 4386 | 951 | 177 | 16 | 152 | 339 | 1529 | 89 | 69 | 23 | 217 | 286 | 368 | 655 | 152 | 292 | 31 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -50 | +1 | -22 | +12 | +68 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 127 | 24 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 205 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 216 | 286 | 366 | 652 | 150 | 292 | 32 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 77 PAwOBA .443 → .362 (−81)K% 28.6% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 3.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 24.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 7.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 10.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .443 → .362; ISO .333 → .245; BABIP .385 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 141 PAwOBA .390 → .335 (−55)K% 22.7% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.70% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 3.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.47% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.050 | 25.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.09% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.050 | 10.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.050 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.183 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.05% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .390 → .335; ISO .179 → .140; BABIP .411 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 203 PAwOBA .376 → .326 (−50)K% 24.6% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.63% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.87% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 4.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.76% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 23.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.94% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 7.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.50% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.77% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .376 → .326; ISO .214 → .162; BABIP .342 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Athletics · 30 PAwOBA .470 → .239 (−231)K% 43.3% → 62.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.33% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 62.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.027 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 24.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 15.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.852 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 11.16% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 125, 3B 81, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .470 → .239; ISO .345 → .179; BABIP .643 → .450. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 312 PAwOBA .312 → .238 (−73)K% 29.5% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.49% | ÷0.938 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.94% | ÷1.036 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.14% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷0.946 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 8.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.209 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .312 → .238; ISO .131 → .091; BABIP .356 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMidland RockHounds · 233 PAwOBA .360 → .312 (−48)K% 23.2% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.18% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.01% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 2.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 25.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.49% | ÷1.011 | ×0.840 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 10.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .360 → .312; ISO .144 → .123; BABIP .396 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AStockton Ports · 365 PAwOBA .348 → .273 (−76)K% 29.9% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.86% | ÷1.049 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.97% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.97% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×1.030 | 18.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.21% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.030 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×1.030 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.21% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 106, K 110, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .348 → .273; ISO .217 → .166; BABIP .298 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 190 PAwOBA .300 → .241 (−59)K% 31.6% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷1.011 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.44% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.042 | 18.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×1.042 | 9.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.974 | ×1.042 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.944 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 100, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .300 → .241; ISO .149 → .119; BABIP .327 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .