Aidan Foeller
P
Great Lakes Loons
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.7 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.44
FIP5.44
K%22.4%
BB%18.4%
K-BB%4.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 116 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 36.4% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.33 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 36.4% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.43 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 99 | 454 | 139 | 74 | 8 | 85% | 3.8 | 22.7% | 19.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.65 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 99 | 454 | 139 | 74 | 8 | 85% | 3.8 | 30.6% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 4.65 | 3.59 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 12 | 10 | 50 | 207 | 63 | 19 | 6 | 83% | 4.2 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 3.04 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 62 | 51 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.4% | 18.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 18.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.44 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 116 | 482 | 125 | 70 | 14 | — | — | 25.9% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 5.01 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.4% | 18.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 47 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.9% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 5.19 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 46 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.2% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 67 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.2% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 5.19 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 45 | 30 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.2% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 52 | 34 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.2% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 22 | 22 | 130 | 550 | 127 | 85 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.1% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 4.66 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 130 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 32 | 152 | 672 | 156 | 111 | 17 | 80% | 3.8 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 4.61 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 42 | 200 | 884 | 205 | 146 | 22 | 80% | 3.8 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aidan Foeller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.44 | 22.4% | 18.4% | 2.8% | — | 5.05 | 23.1% | 7.5% | 209 | -0.39 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Hernandez R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 20.9% | 16.4% | 1.9% | .329 | 5.26 | 18.8% | 5.1% | 59 | +0.81 | 4.45 | 194 | 83 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.31 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.67 | 4.64 | 147 | 82 |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.89 | 26.6% | 21.5% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.86 | 22.9% | 8.8% | 231 | -0.03 | 3.93 | 323 | 81 |
| Winyer Chourio R 2024 · 4.50 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.50 | 23.5% | 16.3% | 2.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 156 | 79 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | .258 | 4.83 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.57 | 4.26 | 151 | 79 |
| Jacob Odle R 2024 · 4.96 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.96 | 25.2% | 17.0% | 3.3% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 104 | 78 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.54 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 3.5% | .267 | 5.35 | 19.4% | 4.8% | 114 | -0.19 | 4.12 | 263 | 78 |
| Carlson Reed R 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 78 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 77 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 77 |
| M.D. Johnson R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.30 | 19.1% | 17.3% | 2.9% | .201 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 7.9% | 293 | -0.63 | 3.50 | 395 | 77 |
| Niko Mazza R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.41 | 22.0% | 15.9% | 2.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 165 | 76 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.62 | 16.1% | 14.2% | 2.0% | .283 | 5.64 | 15.5% | -1.3% | 46 | +1.02 | 4.62 | 195 | 76 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.86 | 18.8% | 16.6% | 2.3% | .252 | 4.50 | 24.2% | 4.8% | 150 | -0.36 | 4.20 | 311 | 76 |
| Kevin Abel R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.01 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .347 | 4.69 | 17.8% | 4.1% | 319 | -0.32 | 4.41 | 421 | 76 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 75 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 75 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 75 |
| R.J. Freure R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.83 | 21.7% | 16.2% | 4.6% | .298 | 6.05 | 20.3% | 0.1% | 26 | +0.22 | 5.19 | 196 | 75 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 70 | 22.9% | 16.3% | 1.08 | 5.18 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |