Aidan Foeller — OGILVIE

Aidan Foeller P Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION83 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%22.4%

BB%19.2%

K-BB%3.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CMD3040

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	2	0	3	11	4	2	0	0%	1.5	36.4%	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	2.33	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	2	0	3	11	4	2	0	0%	1.5	36.4%	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	2.33	—
2024	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	2	0	3	11	4	2	0	0%	1.5	36.4%	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	2.43	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	99	454	139	74	8	85%	3.8	22.7%	19.1%	3.6%	2.2%	4.65	4.80	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	99	454	139	74	8	85%	3.8	22.7%	19.1%	3.6%	2.2%	4.65	4.80	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	99	454	139	74	8	85%	3.8	30.6%	16.3%	14.3%	1.8%	4.65	3.59	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	21	17	83	352	100	33	9	81%	4.0	22.2%	10.6%	11.6%	3.2%	2.81	4.30	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	21	17	83	352	100	33	9	81%	4.0	22.2%	10.6%	11.6%	3.2%	2.81	4.30	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	LAD	13	11	55	226	69	20	7	85%	4.2	30.5%	8.8%	21.7%	3.1%	3.46	3.34	—
2026	24	AA RAW	LAD	8	6	29	126	31	13	2	75%	3.6	24.6%	10.3%	14.3%	1.6%	1.57	3.20	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAD	1	1	6	26	6	5	1	100%	6.3	22.4%	19.2%	3.2%	2.8%	5.55	5.55	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	90	378	106	38	10	—	—	28.0%	10.1%	17.9%	2.6%	3.00	4.39	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	90	380	86	62	11	100%	6.0	22.8%	16.5%	6.3%	2.8%	5.28	5.18	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	90	380	87	60	11	100%	6.0	22.9%	15.8%	7.2%	2.8%	5.14	5.09	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	89	374	85	58	11	100%	5.9	22.9%	15.4%	7.4%	2.9%	5.09	5.08	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	86	363	82	56	11	100%	6.1	22.7%	15.4%	7.3%	3.0%	5.12	5.15	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	82	346	78	54	11	100%	5.9	22.5%	15.6%	6.8%	3.1%	5.22	5.28	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAD	13	13	77	326	78	49	11	100%	5.9	24.1%	15.1%	9.0%	3.3%	5.20	5.19	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	7	7	39	165	37	27	5	100%	5.6	22.8%	16.5%	6.3%	2.8%	5.28	5.18	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	10	10	60	253	58	40	7	100%	6.0	22.9%	15.8%	7.2%	2.8%	5.14	5.09	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	69	291	67	45	8	100%	5.8	22.9%	15.4%	7.4%	2.9%	5.09	5.08	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	72	304	69	47	9	100%	6.0	22.7%	15.4%	7.3%	3.0%	5.12	5.15	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	72	304	68	47	10	100%	6.0	22.5%	15.6%	6.8%	3.1%	5.22	5.28	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	69	291	70	44	10	100%	5.8	24.1%	15.1%	9.0%	3.3%	5.20	5.19	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	64	380	1606	369	250	48	100%	5.9	23.0%	15.6%	7.4%	3.0%	5.17	4.78	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	194	131	25	100%	6.0	23.0%	15.6%	7.4%	3.0%	5.17	4.78	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		49	39	185	817	185	126	21	80%	3.8	22.7%	15.4%	7.3%	2.6%	3.75	4.55	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	42	200	883	200	136	23	80%	3.8	22.7%	15.4%	7.3%	2.6%	3.75	4.55	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aidan Foeller (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	22.4%	19.2%	2.8%	—	5.12	22.8%	7.0%	268	-0.43	—	—	—
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	84
Aaron Hernandez R 2021 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP	4.65	20.9%	16.4%	2.2%	.329	5.37	18.7%	5.7%	59	+0.72	4.65	194	83
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	83
Phillippe Aumont R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP-	4.61	19.6%	18.2%	1.6%	.262	5.01	22.3%	10.4%	64	+0.40	4.61	147	82
Jacob Watters R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	22	SP	4.87	18.3%	17.1%	2.1%	.319	4.38	17.0%	5.1%	81	-0.49	3.85	165	81
Luis Quiñones R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	24	SP	4.82	26.6%	21.5%	2.2%	.290	4.81	22.5%	9.1%	231	-0.01	3.75	326	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	79
Hunter Parks R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP	5.15	18.9%	19.3%	2.2%	.265	5.04	20.3%	3.9%	136	-0.11	4.62	298	78
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	78
Carlos Tavera R 2023 · 5.86 FIP	24	SP-	5.86	19.6%	17.3%	4.0%	.267	5.23	18.9%	5.6%	114	-0.63	3.91	263	77
M.D. Johnson R 2021 · 5.30 FIP	24	SP	5.30	19.1%	17.3%	2.9%	.201	4.63	17.9%	7.9%	293	-0.67	3.52	395	77
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	76
Kevin Abel R 2023 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	21.1%	17.2%	2.8%	.347	4.71	18.1%	4.5%	345	-0.30	4.50	448	76
Ryan Jensen R 2022 · 4.87 FIP	24	SP	4.87	18.8%	16.6%	2.3%	.252	4.40	23.1%	6.0%	150	-0.47	4.00	311	76
Matt Ruppenthal R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.32	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.18	3.74	283	75
Peyton Pallette R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	15.1%	3.8%	.254	4.00	23.2%	11.3%	197	-1.56	3.60	269	75
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	75
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	74
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	74
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	83	22.9%	16.1%	1.14	5.22
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91