Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 8 | 5 | 19 | 89 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 62% | 2.3 | 11.5% | 22.5% | -11.0% | 5.8% | 5.79 | 8.15 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 8 | 5 | 19 | 89 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 62% | 2.3 | 16.9% | 18.0% | -1.1% | 3.4% | 5.79 | 6.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | SD | 2 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SD | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SD | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 8 | 5 | 19 | 89 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 62% | 2.3 | 11.5% | 22.5% | -11.0% | 5.8% | 5.79 | 8.15 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 54 | 200 | 954 | 109 | 214 | 55 | 62% | 2.3 | 11.5% | 22.5% | -11.0% | 5.8% | 5.79 | 8.15 | -6.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.29 | 23.5% | 14.3% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| James Gonzalez L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 82 |
| Blake Townsend L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 80 |
| Johan Simon L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 79 |
| Denny Roman L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 76 |
| Luke Little L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .200 | 2.91 | 28.0% | 12.2% | 155 | -1.09 | 2.76 | 250 | 75 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2029 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 75 |
| Jordan Woods L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 112 | -0.48 | 3.74 | 143 | 75 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 74 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 74 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 73 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 73 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 73 |
| Deivi Diaz L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.73 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 1.6% | .369 | 4.50 | 13.5% | -2.3% | 57 | +0.77 | 3.73 | 161 | 72 |
| Rafael Marcano L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.59 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .304 | 4.43 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 117 | +0.84 | 3.38 | 291 | 71 |
| Dalton Pence L 2029 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 71 |
| Javier Chacon L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.42 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .295 | 4.69 | 20.3% | 3.5% | 94 | -0.73 | 4.63 | 181 | 71 |
| Dalton Lehnen L 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.95 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .398 | 4.61 | 15.8% | 2.9% | 189 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 222 | 70 |
| Jack Patterson L 2029 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 69 |
| Jaylen Nowlin L 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.48 | 26.8% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .352 | 5.07 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 254 | +1.59 | 3.48 | 357 | 69 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 69 |