Jack Patterson
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 30
LHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 120
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%22.9%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 10 | 5 | 30 | 125 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 50% | 3.0 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.70 | 4.72 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 10 | 5 | 30 | 125 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 50% | 3.0 | 21.6% | 6.4% | 15.2% | 2.4% | 2.70 | 3.40 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 9 | 80 | 312 | 80 | 31 | 1 | 38% | 3.3 | 19.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 0.3% | 1.69 | 3.08 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 9 | 80 | 312 | 80 | 31 | 1 | 38% | 3.3 | 25.6% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 0.3% | 1.69 | 2.42 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 29 | 134 | 34 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.4% | 20.5% | -3.1% | 1.8% | 5.65 | 5.23 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 29 | 134 | 34 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.4% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 0.7% | 5.65 | 3.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.26 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 99 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 54 | 14 | 138 | 571 | 102 | 73 | 8 | 26% | 2.6 | 17.9% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 2.73 | 3.94 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 20 | 200 | 826 | 148 | 106 | 11 | 26% | 2.6 | 17.9% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 2.73 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Patterson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.64 | 22.6% | 12.2% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 72 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 69 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 69 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 67 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 66 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 66 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 65 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 65 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 64 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 64 |
| Josh Outman L 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 64 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 63 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.16 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 190 | 63 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 63 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 63 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.69 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .315 | 4.13 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.56 | 4.07 | 424 | 62 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 62 |
| Chad Bell L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 62 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 62 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 61 |