Angel Salio

SS DSL Reds

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#641ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rojos	169	.331/.407/.507	1	14	75	—	.242/.305/.366
2026	18	ROKCIN	241	.325/.433/.480	3	23	74	—	.220/.315/.306
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCIN	351	.228/.293/.325	3	8	75	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCIN	61	.233/.299/.343	1	2	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCIN	143	.237/.304/.354	2	4	84	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed85

K%83

wOBA81

wRC+76

ISO67

Whiff%45

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJose Escobar (age 19) · Marcus Lemon (age 19) · Hak-Ju Lee (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 131 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .290 / .322

PA131

HR1

K%23

BB%7

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	169	148	49	9	7	1	19	17	0	14	1	331	407	507	914	176	364	10	11	397	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	241	200	65	10	6	3	32	35	6	23	10	325	433	480	913	155	376	15	13	403	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	153	37	6	5	1	14	21	0	14	1	242	305	366	671	124	258	12	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	241	209	46	7	4	1	23	43	6	23	10	220	315	306	621	86	259	18	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	153	37	6	5	1	14	21	0	14	1	242	305	366	671	124	271	12	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	169	148	49	9	7	1	19	17	0	14	1	331	407	507	914	176	364	10	11	397	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	241	209	46	7	4	1	23	43	6	23	10	220	315	306	621	86	268	18	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	241	200	65	10	6	3	32	35	6	23	10	325	433	480	913	155	376	15	13	403	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	153	37	6	5	1	14	21	0	14	1	242	305	366	671	124	258	12	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	241	210	46	7	4	1	23	43	6	23	10	219	315	305	620	86	259	18	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	153	37	6	5	1	14	21	0	14	1	242	305	366	671	124	258	12	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	241	210	46	7	4	1	23	43	6	23	10	219	315	305	620	86	259	18	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	351	319	73	12	5	3	26	81	3	8	2	228	293	325	617	97	293	23	7	279	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	178	161	37	6	2	2	13	41	2	4	1	232	298	338	636	106	295	23	7	287	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	295	268	62	10	4	4	22	67	3	7	2	235	302	349	651	114	296	23	7	293	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	394	356	84	14	5	6	30	89	5	10	2	238	305	358	663	120	296	23	8	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	459	416	99	16	6	8	35	103	5	11	3	239	307	364	672	125	297	22	8	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	499	451	108	18	6	9	39	112	6	12	3	241	309	369	678	128	298	22	8	303	92	-5	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	523	471	114	19	6	10	41	117	6	13	3	241	309	370	680	129	298	22	8	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	536	483	116	19	6	10	42	120	6	13	3	241	309	371	680	130	297	22	8	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	537	484	116	19	6	10	42	121	6	13	3	240	308	368	677	128	297	23	8	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	532	480	115	19	6	10	41	121	6	12	3	238	307	364	670	125	296	23	8	300	89	-7	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	521	471	111	18	6	9	40	120	5	11	3	236	304	358	662	122	296	23	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	509	460	108	18	6	8	39	119	5	10	3	234	301	351	651	117	294	23	8	293	84	-10	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	492	447	102	17	5	7	37	117	5	8	4	230	296	341	638	112	292	24	8	287	80	-12	+0	-3	+5	+11	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	CIN	59%	470	428	95	15	5	6	35	114	4	7	5	225	290	330	620	105	288	24	7	280	75	-14	-1	-4	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	61	55	13	2	1	1	5	14	1	2	0	233	299	343	642	109	296	23	8	289	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	143	129	31	5	2	2	11	32	2	4	1	237	304	354	658	118	297	22	8	295	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	214	194	46	7	3	4	16	48	2	5	1	239	307	363	670	124	297	22	7	300	87	-3	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	260	235	56	9	3	5	20	58	3	6	2	241	309	370	680	129	298	22	8	304	90	-3	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	282	255	62	10	3	6	22	63	3	7	2	243	311	376	687	133	299	22	8	307	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	296	268	66	11	4	6	23	66	3	7	2	243	311	377	688	134	299	22	8	307	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	303	273	67	11	4	6	24	68	3	7	2	243	311	377	688	134	299	22	8	307	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	298	270	66	11	4	6	23	67	3	7	2	242	310	375	685	133	298	22	8	306	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	292	264	63	10	3	6	23	66	3	6	2	240	308	370	678	130	298	23	8	303	89	-4	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	279	252	60	10	3	5	22	64	3	6	2	238	306	364	670	126	297	23	8	300	87	-4	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	268	242	57	9	3	5	21	63	3	5	2	235	302	356	659	121	295	24	8	295	84	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	278	252	58	9	3	5	21	66	3	5	2	231	298	347	644	115	293	24	8	290	80	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	CIN	59%	278	252	57	9	3	4	21	67	3	4	3	226	292	335	626	108	289	24	8	282	75	-8	-0	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3252	2941	702	113	39	61	252	742	35	71	23	239	306	366	672	127	298	23	8	300	86	-50	+5	-6	+35	+70	5.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	141	23	8	12	50	148	7	14	5	240	307	367	674	128	299	23	8	300	86	-10	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6486	5857	1377	225	80	102	503	1455	71	171	50	235	303	353	656	118	294	22	8	295	86	-96	+11	-10	+65	+132	10.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	138	23	8	10	50	146	7	17	5	235	303	353	655	118	294	22	8	295	86	-10	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Reds · 241 PAwOBA .398 → .278 (−120)K% 14.5% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.52%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.28%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.36%
HBP% /PA	2.49%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.76%
Singles /BIP	27.88%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.048	×1.008	20.02%
Doubles /BIP	6.06%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.048	×1.008	3.84%
Triples /BIP	3.64%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.048	×1.008	2.30%
Home runs /BIP	1.82%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.86%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .398 → .278; ISO .155 → .095; BABIP .376 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rojos · 169 PAwOBA .392 → .279 (−113)K% 10.1% → 12.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.06%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	12.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.24%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.96%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.43%	÷0.976	×0.680	×1.048	×1.022	18.25%
Doubles /BIP	6.87%	÷1.013	×0.600	×1.048	×1.022	4.36%
Triples /BIP	5.34%	÷0.978	×0.600	×1.048	×1.022	3.51%
Home runs /BIP	0.76%	÷0.987	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.37%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .392 → .279; ISO .176 → .114; BABIP .364 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Spike Owen'83-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,615 PA	8.5	5,615	46	82	242*	322*	356*	+55	+30	15.6	15.3
/162	664	5	10	+6.5	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.1	3,381	56	75	237	301	358	+36	+24	8.2	7.1
/162	664	11	15	+7.1	+4.7	1.6	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Salio (OGILVIE)	19	60	35	60	40	226/290/322	96	293	1	3	23%	7%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	226/277/312	86	293	6	14	24%	6%	67	-1.1	258/305/354	96	315	6	11	19%	6%	86	+0.3	281/332/373	92	325	5	8	14%	7%	100	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	50	38→30	54→70	43	233/296/306	73	313	5	25	26%	6%	74	-0.6	213/291/269	56	284	2	28	24%	7%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Magneuris Sierra 2015 · A	19	52→58	37→40	51→60	46	244/294/317	73	299	3	13	19%	6%	74	-0.5	242/275/309	67	324	3	15	25%	4%	64	-1.3	231/275/306	76	302	5	32	24%	5%	63	-0.6
●Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	51→57	38→50	51→50	45	241/287/329	88	302	4	10	21%	6%	74	-0.6	251/307/379	128	337	10	10	27%	7%	93	+0.8	255/313/401	146	322	13	11	24%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	51→57	37→45	50	49	238/302/314	76	308	3	13	23%	8%	76	-0.4	254/322/351	97	304	8	13	18%	9%	93	+0.8	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4
✕Jorge Ruiz 2024 · A	20	54→52	38→40	51→50	45	252/308/336	85	308	4	12	19%	6%	84	+0.2	226/274/301	75	294	4	13	23%	5%	63	-1.3	220/267/292	72	284	3	13	23%	5%	56	-1.5
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2

Angel Salio

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps