Maikel Acosta

SS DSL Marlins

Age 18 L/R ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKMIA	154	.266/.401/.371	1	13	46	—	.168/.283/.214
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBMIA	264	.223/.297/.305	2	8	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBMIA	75	.220/.297/.305	1	2	78	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBMIA	170	.223/.301/.316	2	6	82	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%88

Speed81

Whiff%73

Z-Con%57

wOBA56

Chase%55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKevyn Castillo (age 19) · Juan Villavicencio (age 18) · Derek Bernard (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 128 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .295 / .302

PA128

HR1

K%23

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.0	$4M	+$1M
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$25M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	154	124	33	6	2	1	22	20	6	13	7	266	401	371	772	105	305	13	14	354	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	154	131	22	4	1	0	15	24	6	13	7	168	283	214	497	46	194	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	154	131	22	4	1	0	15	24	6	13	7	168	283	214	497	46	202	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	154	124	33	6	2	1	22	20	6	13	7	266	401	371	772	105	305	13	14	354	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	154	132	22	4	1	0	15	24	6	13	7	167	283	212	495	45	194	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	154	132	22	4	1	0	15	24	6	13	7	167	283	212	495	45	194	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	264	237	54	9	3	2	21	60	4	8	1	223	297	305	602	82	287	23	8	276	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	217	194	44	7	2	2	17	49	4	7	1	227	303	318	621	91	289	23	8	283	78	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	351	314	72	12	3	4	28	78	6	12	3	231	307	330	637	99	291	22	8	290	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	452	404	94	16	4	6	37	100	8	15	4	233	310	340	651	107	292	22	8	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	523	466	110	18	5	8	43	115	9	17	4	236	313	349	662	113	293	22	8	299	89	-7	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	571	509	121	20	5	10	47	126	10	19	5	238	315	356	671	119	294	22	8	303	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	603	537	129	22	5	11	50	132	11	20	5	239	316	360	676	121	295	22	8	305	92	-5	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIA	63%	621	554	133	22	5	12	51	136	11	21	5	240	316	363	679	123	295	22	8	306	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	MIA	64%	630	562	134	22	5	12	52	138	11	21	5	240	317	365	681	124	295	22	8	307	94	-5	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	630	562	134	22	5	12	52	139	11	21	5	239	316	362	678	123	294	22	8	305	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	626	558	132	22	5	11	52	140	11	20	5	237	314	357	671	120	293	22	8	303	91	-7	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	617	551	129	21	5	11	51	139	10	19	5	235	311	352	663	117	292	23	8	299	89	-8	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2039	30	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	606	542	126	21	5	10	49	139	10	18	5	232	308	344	652	112	291	23	8	295	86	-10	+2	-2	+6	+13	0.9
2040	31	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	592	530	121	20	5	9	48	138	9	17	6	228	303	335	638	107	288	23	8	289	82	-13	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	574	515	114	18	4	8	45	136	9	16	7	223	297	323	620	100	285	24	8	282	77	-16	+0	-4	+6	+12	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	75	68	15	2	1	1	6	17	1	2	0	220	297	305	601	85	281	23	8	275	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	170	151	33	5	1	2	14	38	3	6	1	223	301	316	617	93	282	22	8	282	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	245	219	49	8	2	3	20	54	4	8	2	226	304	326	630	100	283	22	8	287	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	296	265	60	10	2	4	24	65	5	10	2	228	306	334	640	106	284	22	8	291	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	329	293	68	11	3	5	27	72	6	11	3	230	308	341	649	111	285	22	8	294	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	367	328	75	12	3	6	30	81	6	12	3	232	309	345	654	113	285	22	8	296	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIA	63%	390	348	81	13	3	7	32	86	7	13	3	232	310	347	657	115	286	22	8	297	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2035	26	MLB CTX	MIA	64%	402	359	83	13	3	7	33	88	7	13	3	232	310	349	659	116	285	22	8	298	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.2
2036	27	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	410	366	84	13	3	7	34	91	7	13	3	231	309	346	655	115	285	22	8	296	93	-4	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	407	363	83	13	3	7	34	91	7	13	3	230	307	342	649	112	284	22	8	294	91	-4	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	401	358	82	13	3	7	33	91	7	12	3	228	304	337	641	109	283	23	8	291	89	-5	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2039	30	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	394	353	79	12	3	6	32	90	6	12	4	225	301	330	631	105	282	23	8	286	86	-7	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2040	31	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	385	345	77	12	3	6	31	90	6	11	4	221	297	321	617	100	279	23	8	281	82	-8	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	373	335	73	11	3	5	29	89	6	11	5	216	291	309	600	93	276	24	8	274	77	-10	+0	-2	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4644	4151	942	148	36	73	379	1043	78	147	39	227	304	333	636	106	284	22	8	290	87	-66	+14	-7	+50	+101	9.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	132	21	5	10	53	146	11	21	5	227	304	332	636	105	285	22	8	290	87	-9	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7895	7044	1640	271	65	127	647	1758	138	260	73	233	310	344	654	111	291	22	8	297	87	-113	+23	-10	+83	+168	15.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	134	22	5	10	53	145	11	21	6	231	307	338	645	107	290	22	8	297	87	-9	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#4Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#5Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.2	4,771	79	152	236	308	350	+51	+27	12.7	10.8
/162	664	11	21	+7.1	+3.8	1.8	pk7: 9
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maikel Acosta (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	221/295/302	81	287	1	4	23%	8%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	48→49	39→50	55	44	226/281/315	89	302	5	21	26%	7%	69	-0.9	220/276/313	93	336	7	15	34%	7%	67	-1.1	226/267/359	133	345	15	15	38%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	45→52	36→60	49→50	49	208/274/278	70	270	2	11	22%	8%	58	-1.7	218/278/323	105	286	7	11	25%	8%	70	-0.8	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6

Maikel Acosta

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps