Hector Moreno
P
DSL NYY Yankees
Age 18
RHP
6'6" / 196 lbs
ROK
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 9 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%22.9%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP9
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 9 | 15 | 91 | 19 | 29 | 0 | 90% | 1.5 | 14.2% | 39.8% | -25.6% | 0.0% | 16.43 | 6.95 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 9 | 15 | 91 | 19 | 29 | 0 | 90% | 1.5 | 20.9% | 31.9% | -11.0% | 0.0% | 16.43 | 6.30 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 6 | 6 | 11 | 66 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 100% | 1.8 | 14.4% | 32.2% | -17.8% | 6.4% | 11.45 | 9.45 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | NYY | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 20 | 104 | 23 | 21 | 4 | — | — | 21.8% | 20.4% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 8.33 | 7.24 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | NYY | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.01 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 46 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 15 | 26 | 157 | 22 | 58 | 4 | 94% | 1.6 | 14.3% | 36.6% | -22.3% | 2.7% | 14.35 | 8.00 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 122 | 114 | 200 | 1192 | 170 | 437 | 32 | 94% | 1.6 | 14.3% | 36.6% | -22.3% | 2.7% | 14.35 | 8.00 | -6.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hector Moreno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.39 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Espino R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.31 | 20.5% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .194 | 3.49 | 32.5% | 21.4% | 110 | -0.82 | 3.35 | 145 | 82 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2029 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 80 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 77 |
| Shawndrick Oduber R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.21 | 22.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | .337 | 5.35 | 15.2% | 3.4% | 72 | +1.14 | 4.21 | 104 | 76 |
| Aneury Lora R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.93 | 16.6% | 11.1% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.01 | 15.1% | 5.9% | 114 | +0.08 | 3.92 | 171 | 75 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 73 |
| Nelfy Ynfante R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.33 | 18.1% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .309 | 4.72 | 16.4% | 5.0% | 202 | +0.39 | 3.71 | 274 | 72 |
| Richard Fernandez R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.35 | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% | .309 | 4.28 | 16.5% | -0.2% | 85 | -1.07 | 3.66 | 136 | 72 |
| Moises Castillo R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 72 |
| Zach Haake R 2029 · 4.13 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.13 | 16.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .205 | 4.50 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 121 | +0.37 | 3.40 | 272 | 72 |
| Orlando Suarez R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.1% | 14.4% | 1.3% | .311 | 6.57 | 15.5% | -7.7% | 33 | +2.53 | 3.79 | 113 | 72 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2028 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 72 |
| Luis Perales R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.83 | 23.9% | 16.6% | 1.2% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.9% | 10.2% | 116 | +0.65 | 2.32 | 221 | 70 |
| Edgar Leon R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.19 | 18.2% | 15.4% | 1.2% | .268 | 4.83 | 17.6% | -3.3% | 68 | +0.64 | 4.09 | 130 | 70 |
| Walter Ford R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.19 | 15.2% | 12.1% | 1.5% | .348 | 5.95 | 12.9% | 6.7% | 277 | +1.76 | 4.19 | 300 | 70 |
| Grayson Long R 2029 · 4.38 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.38 | 17.6% | 14.7% | 1.7% | .346 | 3.86 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 192 | -0.52 | 3.31 | 211 | 69 |
| Juan Bello R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 69 |
| Marco Raya R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 69 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 69 |
| Gio Arriera R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.41 | 15.1% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .333 | 4.46 | 15.5% | 2.0% | 79 | -0.95 | 4.46 | 185 | 69 |