Orlando Suarez — OGILVIE

Orlando Suarez P DSL White Sox

+0.1 WAR

Age 19 RHP 6'4" / 217 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.6 · 2032

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%22.7%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%12.6%

IP34

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2032

K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	14	14	39	187	48	23	1	17.5%	15.4%	0.4%	6.41	3.80	+0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	15	12	40	174	49	20	2	19.1%	14.4%	1.4%	3.60	4.08	+0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	CWS	34	—	34	143	32	14	4	22.7%	10.1%	2.9%	4.41	4.41	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	20	MLB	CWS	36	—	36	150	35	14	4	23.1%	9.5%	2.8%	4.33	4.28	+0.3
2028	21	MLB	CWS	37	—	37	157	37	14	4	23.6%	9.1%	2.8%	4.23	4.17	+0.3
2029	22	MLB	CWS	39	—	39	166	40	14	5	24.4%	8.6%	2.7%	4.09	4.00	+0.4
2030	23	MLB	CWS	41	—	41	172	43	14	5	25.1%	8.3%	2.7%	3.97	3.88	+0.5
2031	24	MLB	CWS	42	—	42	176	45	14	5	25.7%	8.1%	2.7%	3.86	3.79	+0.5
2032	25	MLB	CWS	42	—	42	178	46	14	5	26.1%	7.9%	2.6%	3.78	3.73	+0.6
2033	26	MLB	CWS	42	—	42	178	47	14	5	26.3%	7.9%	2.6%	3.74	3.71	+0.6
2034	27	MLB	CWS	42	—	42	177	47	14	5	26.3%	7.9%	2.7%	3.73	3.72	+0.6
2035	28	MLB	CWS	41	—	41	174	46	14	5	26.2%	8.0%	2.7%	3.74	3.75	+0.6
2036	29	MLB	CWS	40	—	40	171	45	14	5	26.1%	8.1%	2.7%	3.77	3.79	+0.5
2037	30	MLB	CWS	39	—	39	166	43	13	5	25.9%	8.2%	2.8%	3.82	3.85	+0.5
2038	31	MLB	CWS	38	—	38	160	41	13	5	25.7%	8.3%	2.9%	3.89	3.93	+0.4
2039	32	MLB	CWS	36	—	36	153	39	13	5	25.4%	8.4%	2.9%	3.97	4.02	+0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			29	26	79	361	66	54	3	18.3%	14.9%	0.9%	4.99	3.94	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—			73	66	200	910	166	136	8	18.3%	14.9%	0.9%	4.99	3.94	+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Orlando Suarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	22.7%	10.1%	2.9%	—	4.15	23.7%	14.7%	112	-0.26	—	—	—
Eccel Correa R 2027 · 4.34 FIP	20	SU	4.34	19.4%	11.9%	2.5%	.316	4.01	14.2%	3.6%	122	-0.33	3.99	157	90
Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP	19	SU	4.16	20.6%	12.9%	2.1%	.274	5.22	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.06	4.07	257	90
Alexander Cornielle R 2026 · 4.22 FIP	19	SU	4.22	24.1%	14.2%	2.5%	.329	4.39	19.2%	7.6%	312	+0.17	3.88	482	89
Patricio Aquino R 2026 · 4.19 FIP	19	SU	4.19	21.9%	13.2%	2.3%	.321	3.97	15.1%	5.8%	234	-0.22	3.56	313	89
Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2027 · 3.71 FIP	20	SU	3.71	23.5%	13.2%	1.7%	.286	4.77	17.2%	6.2%	157	+1.06	3.71	181	88
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2027 · 4.09 FIP	20	SU	4.09	25.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.327	3.29	23.8%	13.4%	81	-0.80	3.20	104	88
Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.60	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.14	4.15	179	88
Luis Victorino R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	19	SU	4.27	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.96	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.69	4.27	118	88
Gabe Bierman R 2028 · 4.83 FIP	21	SU	4.83	21.3%	11.8%	3.7%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.32	4.03	266	88
Blake Workman R 2027 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.94	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.06	3.11	213	87
Kobe Robinson R 2028 · 4.49 FIP	21	SU	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	87
Alejandro Hidalgo R 2026 · 4.05 FIP	19	SU	4.05	24.5%	12.8%	2.5%	.326	5.92	18.3%	1.5%	143	+1.87	4.05	209	87
Jerming Rosario R 2026 · 4.92 FIP	19	SU	4.92	21.1%	10.5%	4.1%	.303	4.44	20.9%	5.7%	281	-0.48	3.05	442	87
Felix Castro R 2026 · 3.50 FIP	19	SU	3.50	24.0%	12.2%	1.6%	.295	4.96	14.9%	-1.8%	97	+1.46	3.50	144	87
Aneudy Duarte R 2026 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.4%	13.5%	2.1%	.320	4.79	17.1%	5.4%	34	+0.53	4.26	102	86
Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP	19	SU	4.30	19.3%	8.9%	3.1%	.330	4.81	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.51	4.30	358	86
Yordin Chalas R 2026 · 4.60 FIP	19	SU	4.60	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.94	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.66	3.68	140	86
Caleb Freeman R 2028 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	198	86
Brandon Komar R 2027 · 4.74 FIP	20	SU	4.74	17.7%	11.6%	3.0%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.19	3.03	538	86
Mason Fox R 2028 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.61	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.02	3.59	112	86

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$12M	+$8M