Braulio Cavero

OF ACL Rangers

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1282ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	INTLYaquis de Obr…	30	.160/.222/.320	1	1	35	—
2026	20	ROKTEX	131	.430/.551/.730	6	7	167	—	.330/.425/.550
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBTEX	241	.236/.311/.363	5	7	91	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTEX	41	.239/.314/.375	1	1	93	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTEX	95	.241/.316/.381	2	3	95	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA99

K%99

wRC+98

Z-Con%98

Whiff%96

ISO95

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 3.7, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 86%

CompsCole Young (age 21) · Drew Gilbert (age 22) · Jason Martin (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .308 / .360

PA68

HR1

K%22

BB%9

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	30	25	4	1	0	1	1	10	1	1	0	160	222	320	542	160	214	33	3	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	131	100	43	6	3	6	24	11	3	7	1	430	551	730	1.281	300	425	8	18	529	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	131	109	36	5	2	5	15	16	3	7	1	330	425	550	976	220	321	12	11	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	30	25	4	1	0	1	1	10	1	1	0	160	222	320	542	160	214	33	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	30	25	4	1	0	1	1	10	1	1	0	160	222	320	542	160	214	33	3	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	131	109	36	5	2	5	15	16	3	7	1	330	425	550	976	220	337	12	11	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	131	100	43	6	3	6	24	11	3	7	1	430	551	730	1.281	300	425	8	18	529	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	131	112	36	5	2	5	15	16	3	7	1	321	425	536	961	214	321	12	11	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	131	112	36	5	2	5	15	16	3	7	1	321	425	536	961	214	321	12	11	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	241	215	52	8	3	5	21	54	3	7	1	236	311	363	674	127	290	22	9	303	91	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	118	106	26	4	1	3	10	26	1	4	1	238	313	370	683	132	291	22	8	306	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	197	176	41	6	2	4	17	44	2	6	1	240	315	375	690	136	292	22	9	309	95	-1	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	281	252	61	9	3	7	24	62	3	9	2	241	316	380	696	139	293	22	9	311	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	341	305	74	12	3	8	29	76	4	11	2	242	317	383	699	141	293	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	376	337	82	13	4	9	32	83	4	12	3	242	317	385	701	143	293	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	392	351	85	13	4	10	34	88	4	13	3	241	316	382	698	141	292	22	9	312	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	396	355	84	13	4	9	34	89	4	12	3	239	314	377	691	138	291	22	9	309	95	-2	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	391	350	83	13	4	9	34	89	4	12	3	237	311	371	681	134	290	23	9	305	93	-3	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	382	342	79	12	3	8	33	89	4	11	3	233	307	363	670	129	288	23	9	301	90	-5	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	41	37	8	1	0	1	4	9	0	1	0	239	314	375	689	136	291	22	10	309	93	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	95	86	20	3	1	2	8	21	1	3	1	241	316	381	697	140	292	22	8	312	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	148	132	33	5	2	4	13	33	2	5	1	243	317	386	703	143	293	22	9	314	97	-1	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	187	167	41	6	2	5	16	42	2	6	1	243	318	389	707	146	293	22	9	315	98	-1	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	209	187	46	7	2	6	18	46	2	7	1	243	318	391	709	147	293	22	9	316	98	-0	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	216	193	47	7	2	6	19	48	2	7	1	242	317	388	705	146	292	22	9	315	97	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	216	193	46	7	2	5	19	49	2	7	1	240	315	383	698	143	291	23	9	312	95	-1	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	209	187	45	7	2	5	18	48	2	6	1	238	312	376	688	138	290	23	9	308	93	-2	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	201	180	42	6	2	5	17	47	2	6	1	235	308	368	676	133	288	23	8	303	90	-2	+1	-1	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1522	1362	328	49	15	39	132	343	15	48	8	241	315	385	700	144	293	23	9	312	96	-9	+6	-2	-9	+33	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	140	21	6	17	56	146	6	20	3	241	314	385	699	144	291	22	9	312	96	-4	+3	-1	-4	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3103	2769	669	103	31	74	269	687	35	100	22	242	317	381	698	140	294	22	9	310	96	-17	+10	-4	-18	+64	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	141	22	6	16	56	144	7	21	5	243	317	384	701	141	295	22	9	310	96	-4	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rangers · 131 PAwOBA .532 → .415 (−117)K% 8.4% → 12.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.40%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	12.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.32%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.995	11.30%
HBP% /PA	2.29%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	1.64%
Singles /BIP	31.46%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.964	×0.995	24.74%
Doubles /BIP	6.74%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.964	×0.995	4.66%
Triples /BIP	3.37%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.964	×0.995	2.33%
Home runs /BIP	6.74%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.995	5.23%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .532 → .415; ISO .300 → .246; BABIP .425 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.4	1,589	37	50	240	311	378	-10	+0	3.1	2.9
/162	664	15	21	-4.0	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 3
#5Norm Miller'65-'74 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	24	16	238*	325*	391*	-14	-3	2.4	2.7
/162	664	10	7	-6.1	-1.3	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braulio Cavero (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	234/308/360	126	290	1	2	22%	9%	91	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Young 2024 · A	21	51→52	45	50	54	244/332/376	133	293	10	12	20%	10%	103	+1.6	242/323/366	124	285	11	11	18%	9%	97	+1.1	242/321/366	124	279	12	9	17%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	47→50	47→50	53→45	48	237/295/370	133	270	15	16	18%	7%	88	+0.4	230/300/377	147	279	16	9	23%	8%	92	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	43→52	47→60	49→50	45	219/279/359	140	286	14	13	28%	8%	79	-0.2	231/278/376	145	308	14	12	28%	6%	82	+0.0	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	49→51	45→55	56→55	43	240/300/365	125	317	13	19	28%	7%	88	+0.5	222/275/369	147	357	16	25	40%	6%	80	-0.1	220/289/397	177	359	21	23	42%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Alejandro Osuna 2024 · A	21	47→56	43→45	50→55	46	226/298/334	107	305	11	21	28%	8%	81	-0.1	237/309/354	117	303	11	18	24%	8%	89	+0.5	244/321/351	107	303	9	19	21%	8%	91	+0.5
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	45→55	48→50	52	224/302/352	128	270	12	12	21%	9%	86	+0.3	233/300/393	160	281	18	11	23%	8%	95	+1.0	226/297/390	163	268	19	11	23%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	51→55	42→50	53→50	49	244/302/354	110	296	8	12	20%	8%	86	+0.3	246/298/352	106	299	8	9	19%	7%	84	+0.1	250/311/385	135	298	13	9	20%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	227/302/334	107	261	9	17	17%	8%	82	+0.0	255/308/340	85	288	5	13	13%	7%	84	+0.2	264/325/346	82	304	4	14	13%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2017 · A	21	47→50	44→50	51→50	42	230/288/353	123	315	11	11	30%	7%	81	-0.1	238/298/379	141	324	14	11	29%	7%	91	+0.6	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Caleb Gindl 2010 · A	21	50→57	47→50	50	44	244/303/382	138	333	14	11	30%	8%	93	+0.8	248/307/375	127	311	12	8	23%	8%	93	+0.8	246/305/385	138	307	14	4	23%	7%	91	+0.6
●Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	51→57	43→50	48→50	43	245/299/361	116	327	9	10	27%	6%	86	+0.3	253/307/401	148	314	13	11	23%	7%	99	+1.3	252/305/401	149	304	14	11	21%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2023 · A	21	46→41	47→55	52→50	50	226/308/365	138	291	14	16	26%	10%	92	+0.7	218/273/352	134	289	11	13	27%	6%	75	-0.5	214/265/366	152	278	14	14	27%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2024 · A	21	49→51	43→50	50→55	46	237/307/351	113	309	11	15	26%	8%	88	+0.4	250/313/394	144	313	14	16	23%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2022 · A	21	50→53	45→50	50	44	240/303/376	136	329	11	11	29%	8%	92	+0.7	223/280/341	118	322	9	8	32%	7%	75	-0.5	218/274/328	110	309	9	7	31%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2024 · A	21	49	41→45	51→55	48	228/305/328	100	320	8	16	29%	10%	82	-0.0	198/259/296	98	322	10	15	39%	7%	57	-1.8	148/206/227	79	248	11	17	43%	6%	20	-1.2
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→55	46→50	55	52	233/315/374	141	290	12	21	23%	10%	96	+1.0	239/326/389	150	309	14	21	25%	10%	103	+1.6	237/330/391	154	306	15	24	25%	10%	104	+0.9
●Dylan Beavers 2023 · A	21	54→52	40→50	54→55	49	250/321/353	103	332	5	14	24%	9%	93	+0.8	230/303/363	133	312	12	21	28%	9%	89	+0.5	228/310/367	139	301	14	23	27%	10%	91	+0.6
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	46→55	48→50	49→55	47	231/302/370	139	297	17	16	27%	8%	91	+0.6	241/295/373	132	307	14	19	25%	6%	88	+0.5	247/296/385	137	310	14	21	24%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	44→42	46→50	56→50	46	217/289/365	147	291	11	14	28%	8%	84	+0.2	206/265/332	126	283	12	15	30%	7%	68	-1.0	192/248/311	119	262	12	15	31%	6%	54	-1.3

Braulio Cavero

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps