Braulio Cavero — OGILVIE

Braulio CaveroOF ACL Rangers

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION131 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†109

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .333 / .312

PA18

HR0

K%17

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$84M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$33M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	30	25	4	1	0	1	1	10	1	1	0	160	222	320	542	160	214	33	3	220	35	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	30	25	4	1	0	1	1	10	1	1	0	160	222	320	542	160	214	33	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	30	25	4	1	0	1	1	10	1	1	0	160	222	320	542	160	214	33	3	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	20	ROK MLE	TEX	—	131	109	36	5	2	5	15	16	3	7	1	330	425	550	976	220	337	12	11	417	168	+11	+1	+0	-1	+3	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	TEX	—	131	100	43	6	3	6	24	11	3	7	1	430	551	730	1.281	300	425	8	18	529	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	TEX	0%	18	16	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	250	333	312	646	62	302	17	11	330	109	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.1
TOT	20	ROK MLE	TEX	—	149	125	40	6	2	5	17	19	3	8	1	320	414	520	934	200	333	13	11	406	161	+11	+1	+0	-1	+3	1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	43%	305	270	69	10	4	7	28	58	4	9	2	256	334	400	734	144	301	19	9	331	110	+4	+1	+0	-2	+7	1.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	425	376	98	15	5	11	40	82	6	14	3	261	341	415	756	154	301	19	9	333	111	+6	+2	+0	-3	+9	1.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	503	444	116	18	6	13	47	97	7	16	3	261	341	417	758	155	302	19	9	334	112	+7	+2	+0	-3	+11	1.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	70%	554	490	128	20	6	15	52	107	7	18	3	261	341	418	759	157	302	19	9	335	113	+9	+2	+0	-3	+12	2.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	70%	587	519	135	21	6	16	55	113	8	19	4	260	340	416	756	156	302	19	9	336	114	+10	+2	+0	-4	+13	2.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	608	538	141	22	7	16	57	117	8	20	4	262	342	418	760	156	302	19	9	336	114	+10	+2	+0	-4	+13	2.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	69%	617	546	143	22	7	17	58	119	8	20	4	262	342	421	763	159	302	19	9	336	114	+10	+2	+0	-4	+13	2.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	69%	619	547	143	22	7	17	59	120	8	20	4	261	342	420	762	159	301	19	10	335	113	+10	+2	-1	-4	+13	2.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	612	540	138	21	6	16	59	120	8	19	4	256	338	406	743	150	301	20	10	333	112	+9	+2	-1	-4	+13	1.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	66%	604	533	136	21	6	15	58	120	8	19	4	255	337	402	739	146	299	20	10	331	110	+7	+2	-2	-4	+13	1.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	592	522	132	20	6	15	57	120	8	18	3	253	336	400	736	148	297	20	10	326	107	+5	+2	-3	-4	+13	1.4
2038	32	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	574	507	126	18	6	14	55	118	7	17	3	249	330	391	721	142	294	21	10	321	103	+2	+2	-4	-3	+12	1.0
2039	33	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	545	481	115	16	5	12	52	115	7	16	3	239	322	368	690	129	290	21	10	314	99	-1	+2	-4	-3	+12	0.6
2040	34	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	498	442	104	14	5	11	47	108	6	14	3	235	317	364	681	129	285	22	9	305	93	-4	+2	-5	-3	+11	0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	43%	132	117	30	4	2	3	12	25	2	4	1	256	336	402	738	145	303	19	9	326	110	+2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	259	230	60	9	3	7	24	50	3	8	2	261	339	417	756	157	304	19	9	328	111	+3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.9
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	343	304	80	12	4	10	32	66	4	11	2	263	341	428	769	164	304	19	9	330	112	+5	+1	+0	-2	+7	1.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	70%	385	341	90	14	4	11	36	74	5	13	2	264	343	425	768	161	305	19	9	331	113	+6	+2	+0	-2	+8	1.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	70%	412	366	96	15	4	12	38	79	5	13	3	262	340	423	763	161	305	19	9	332	114	+7	+1	+0	-2	+9	1.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	429	380	100	15	5	12	40	83	6	14	3	263	343	424	766	161	305	19	9	332	114	+7	+2	+0	-3	+9	1.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	69%	428	379	100	15	5	12	40	83	6	14	3	264	344	425	768	161	304	19	9	332	114	+7	+2	+0	-3	+9	1.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	69%	425	375	99	15	5	12	41	83	6	14	3	264	346	427	773	163	304	20	10	331	113	+7	+2	-0	-3	+9	1.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	409	362	94	14	4	12	39	80	5	13	2	260	340	420	760	160	303	20	10	329	112	+6	+2	-1	-2	+9	1.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	66%	397	351	91	14	4	11	38	79	5	12	2	259	340	416	756	157	302	20	10	326	110	+5	+2	-1	-2	+9	1.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	386	341	87	13	4	10	37	78	5	12	2	255	337	405	742	150	299	20	10	322	107	+3	+2	-2	-2	+8	0.9
2038	32	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	372	328	83	12	4	10	36	77	5	11	2	253	336	405	742	152	296	21	10	316	103	+1	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.7
2039	33	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	352	311	76	11	3	9	34	74	4	10	2	244	327	386	712	141	292	21	10	309	99	-1	+1	-3	-2	+8	0.4
2040	34	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	299	265	63	8	3	7	28	65	4	9	2	238	320	370	690	132	287	22	9	301	93	-3	+1	-3	-2	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5028	4450	1149	171	54	138	475	996	65	158	31	258	338	414	752	156	303	20	9	325	108	+56	+19	-13	-30	+109	14.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	149	22	7	18	61	129	8	20	4	259	338	416	754	157	304	20	9	325	108	+7	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7691	6796	1732	262	82	196	727	1527	101	241	47	255	336	404	740	149	300	20	9	328	108	+83	+29	-20	-46	+166	21.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	147	22	7	17	61	129	9	20	4	256	336	408	744	152	302	20	9	328	108	+7	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	9.9	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
/162	664	14	27	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#2Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	10.9	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
/162	664	17	10	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#3Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	10.4	6,929	169	253	277	321	434	-57	+11	25.0	25.4
/162	664	16	24	-5.5	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 26
#4Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.3
/162	664	22	9	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.1	5,348	134	168	255	332	403	-32	+0	18.7	15.4
/162	664	17	21	-4.0	+0.0	2.3	pk7: 12
#5Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#6Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braulio Cavero (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	255/336/396	141	302	7	11	19%	9%	109	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→65	54→50	43	223/277/358	134	288	13	16	27%	6%	78	-0.3	226/292/383	157	272	18	14	23%	8%	90	+0.6	243/311/468	224	317	29	3	32%	8%	115	+1.8
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→57	43→60	51→50	42	247/291/361	114	327	10	12	27%	6%	83	+0.1	260/301/422	162	298	18	11	19%	5%	102	+1.5	266/313/459	193	307	23	15	21%	6%	112	+2.1
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→53	45→50	55	52	231/313/367	136	291	10	21	23%	10%	94	+0.9	235/321/380	145	305	14	21	26%	10%	100	+1.3	231/323/380	149	298	15	24	26%	10%	97	+0.7
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A	21	50→58	42→55	56→55	41	240/290/351	111	316	8	20	26%	6%	81	-0.1	276/319/448	172	335	18	21	22%	5%	115	+2.4	283/325/464	180	333	21	21	21%	5%	119	+2.5
●Gregory Polanco 2013 · A	21	48→56	46→60	56→55	46	241/291/374	133	283	13	23	20%	6%	86	+0.3	251/306/382	131	299	12	25	19%	7%	94	+0.9	255/327/463	208	285	24	14	19%	9%	115	+2.0
●David Dahl 2014 · A	20	51→57	44→60	53→55	41	247/282/381	133	305	10	10	22%	4%	84	+0.2	241/273/371	130	314	11	16	26%	4%	79	-0.2	267/318/453	186	342	20	12	27%	7%	112	+1.7
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	49→55	45→60	53→50	50	236/304/384	148	275	10	14	18%	8%	94	+0.9	237/300/364	127	280	11	11	19%	8%	88	+0.4	259/355/422	163	286	18	7	16%	11%	120	+2.5
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→52	42→60	54→60	45	242/287/364	122	283	8	14	18%	5%	82	+0.0	248/294/362	114	306	9	25	21%	5%	85	+0.2	254/324/453	199	297	22	30	22%	7%	115	+2.5
●Domonic Brown 2009 · A	21	51→54	41→50	51→55	48	245/304/346	101	299	9	14	20%	7%	85	+0.2	252/311/396	144	315	14	18	23%	8%	99	+1.3	252/317/406	154	312	16	20	23%	8%	103	+1.1
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	47→57	44→65	53→60	47	224/318/346	122	316	10	16	30%	9%	92	+0.7	229/285/369	140	326	14	22	32%	5%	84	+0.1	282/328/497	215	335	28	17	24%	5%	126	+2.4
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→56	45→55	55→45	54	229/308/356	127	264	13	10	18%	9%	89	+0.5	239/317/346	107	281	10	8	17%	9%	91	+0.6	243/344/432	189	274	24	4	20%	12%	118	+1.8
●Corbin Carroll 2022 · A	21	49→54	46→65	56→60	46	233/304/367	134	332	12	17	32%	9%	90	+0.6	253/334/461	208	309	22	32	24%	9%	123	+3.0	250/336/478	228	282	25	37	21%	10%	124	+3.4
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A	21	51→61	45→50	48→55	48	251/301/378	127	283	11	12	16%	6%	91	+0.7	254/297/365	111	293	9	19	16%	5%	86	+0.3	271/355/410	138	308	11	16	15%	9%	112	+1.7
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50→51	46→45	49→50	47	248/302/374	126	296	14	11	21%	7%	91	+0.7	233/316/354	121	279	10	13	19%	9%	92	+0.7	238/315/361	123	274	12	9	17%	8%	91	+0.6
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A	20	49→59	42→50	54→50	37	237/277/350	114	316	8	11	27%	4%	76	-0.4	222/281/323	101	331	8	12	33%	7%	71	-0.8	260/342/421	161	363	16	16	30%	11%	114	+1.8
●Max Kepler 2013 · A	20	44→54	44→60	53→50	44	217/278/338	120	274	10	6	24%	6%	74	-0.6	222/279/348	126	273	10	7	22%	7%	76	-0.4	237/322/446	209	251	25	4	17%	10%	113	+2.3
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	53→62	42→45	54→55	49	253/325/364	110	312	9	12	21%	8%	97	+1.1	271/334/394	123	324	11	17	19%	7%	107	+1.9	270/336/389	118	323	11	18	19%	7%	104	+1.3
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	47→55	42→45	57→70	46	225/280/336	111	286	8	18	24%	7%	74	-0.6	219/272/313	94	293	8	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps