Alejandro Osuna
LF Texas Rangers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 582 | .294/.379/.496 | 20 | 19 | 104 | — | .242/.297/.418 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 308 | .288/.416/.392 | 2 | 22 | 117 | — | .258/.356/.362 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBTEX | 176 | .212/.316/.278 | 2 | 5 | 70 | -0.8 | |
| 2026 | 23 | AAATEX | 217 | .282/.387/.381 | 2 | 10 | 98 | — | .275/.354/.365 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBTEX | 233 | .260/.349/.304 | 1 | 5 | 92 | -0.2 | |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBTEX | 241 | .252/.335/.350 | 4 | 10 | 97 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 25 | MLBTEX | 343 | .255/.338/.360 | 6 | 14 | 100 | 0.6 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 26 | MLBTEX | 382 | .256/.339/.365 | 7 | 15 | 101 | 0.7 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 243 | 201 | 45 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 74 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 224 | 350 | 383 | 733 | 159 | 320 | 30 | 14 | 331 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | INTL | Mexico | — | 86 | 66 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 273 | 422 | 394 | 816 | 121 | 354 | 21 | 17 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 89 | 78 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 282 | 329 | 346 | 676 | 64 | 328 | 19 | 7 | 292 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 320 | 273 | 84 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 51 | 5 | 32 | 15 | 308 | 398 | 451 | 849 | 143 | 350 | 16 | 11 | 375 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 303 | 247 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 67 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 259 | 386 | 385 | 771 | 126 | 330 | 22 | 15 | 348 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 16 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 312 | 214 | 527 | 250 | 12 | 6 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 265 | 235 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 57 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 306 | 380 | 523 | 904 | 217 | 371 | 22 | 8 | 394 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 196 | 173 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 272 | 340 | 486 | 826 | 214 | 336 | 27 | 7 | 355 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 121 | 98 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 306 | 438 | 449 | 887 | 143 | 400 | 21 | 18 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 176 | 151 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 212 | 316 | 278 | 594 | 66 | 256 | 19 | 12 | 278 | 70 | -6 | -1 | +0 | -5 | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 67 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 292 | 493 | 417 | 909 | 125 | 368 | 15 | 24 | 423 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 169 | 146 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 267 | 355 | 377 | 732 | 110 | 306 | 15 | 8 | 329 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 72 | 56 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 339 | 486 | 411 | 897 | 71 | 404 | 12 | 21 | 415 | 167 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 233 | 204 | 53 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 349 | 304 | 653 | 44 | 313 | 16 | 8 | 306 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 217 | 181 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 282 | 387 | 381 | 768 | 99 | 308 | 11 | 13 | 345 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 409 | 355 | 85 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 71 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 239 | 335 | 293 | 628 | 54 | 290 | 17 | 10 | 294 | 85 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -10 | +9 | -0.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 243 | 212 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 99 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 179 | 275 | 302 | 577 | 123 | 290 | 41 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 89 | 81 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 271 | 296 | 567 | 62 | 272 | 25 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 320 | 284 | 78 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 68 | 5 | 32 | 15 | 275 | 344 | 394 | 738 | 120 | 324 | 21 | 8 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 303 | 265 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 90 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 211 | 299 | 321 | 619 | 109 | 282 | 30 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 265 | 242 | 64 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 69 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 264 | 323 | 438 | 761 | 174 | 332 | 26 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 196 | 179 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 69 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 212 | 262 | 391 | 653 | 179 | 278 | 35 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 176 | 152 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 211 | 310 | 276 | 587 | 66 | 256 | 19 | 11 | 271 | 70 | -6 | -1 | +0 | -5 | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 67 | 52 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 269 | 433 | 385 | 817 | 115 | 351 | 16 | 18 | 380 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 169 | 150 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 253 | 325 | 353 | 679 | 100 | 294 | 18 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 233 | 204 | 53 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 349 | 304 | 653 | 44 | 313 | 16 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 217 | 189 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 275 | 354 | 365 | 719 | 90 | 296 | 13 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 284 | 50 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 134 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 176 | 276 | 292 | 568 | 116 | 301 | 41 | 10 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 329 | 267 | 63 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 49 | 92 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 236 | 368 | 386 | 754 | 150 | 329 | 28 | 15 | 340 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 365 | 97 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 91 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 266 | 328 | 373 | 701 | 107 | 326 | 22 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 409 | 351 | 106 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 68 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 302 | 383 | 427 | 811 | 125 | 345 | 17 | 10 | 357 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 319 | 278 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 95 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 209 | 299 | 313 | 612 | 104 | 291 | 30 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 319 | 261 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 69 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 257 | 382 | 375 | 758 | 119 | 325 | 22 | 15 | 344 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 582 | 535 | 127 | 25 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 174 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 237 | 290 | 404 | 694 | 166 | 316 | 30 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 582 | 506 | 149 | 32 | 5 | 20 | 58 | 135 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 379 | 496 | 875 | 202 | 365 | 23 | 10 | 382 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 484 | 418 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 90 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 237 | 334 | 325 | 659 | 89 | 290 | 19 | 10 | 299 | 88 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB RAW | 4 teams | — | 484 | 401 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 65 | 78 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 259 | 380 | 349 | 729 | 90 | 310 | 16 | 13 | 336 | 88 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 393 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 65 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 262 | 347 | 321 | 667 | 59 | 307 | 14 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -0 | -5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 450 | 385 | 104 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 47 | 60 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 270 | 367 | 340 | 707 | 70 | 311 | 13 | 10 | 325 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -0 | -5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 287 | 50 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 134 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 174 | 276 | 289 | 565 | 115 | 290 | 41 | 10 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 372 | 97 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 91 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 261 | 328 | 366 | 694 | 105 | 313 | 22 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 319 | 280 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 95 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 207 | 299 | 311 | 610 | 104 | 282 | 30 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 582 | 537 | 127 | 25 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 174 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 236 | 290 | 402 | 693 | 166 | 309 | 30 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 484 | 420 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 90 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 236 | 334 | 324 | 658 | 88 | 287 | 19 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 396 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 65 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 260 | 347 | 318 | 665 | 58 | 305 | 14 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 582 | 537 | 127 | 25 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 174 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 236 | 290 | 402 | 693 | 166 | 309 | 30 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 484 | 420 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 90 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 236 | 334 | 324 | 658 | 88 | 287 | 19 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 396 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 65 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 260 | 347 | 318 | 665 | 58 | 305 | 14 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 540 | 476 | 119 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 93 | 11 | 22 | 5 | 252 | 335 | 348 | 683 | 96 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -6 | +12 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 241 | 213 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 252 | 335 | 350 | 685 | 98 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 82% | 418 | 368 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 72 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 254 | 337 | 357 | 694 | 103 | 297 | 17 | 9 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 82% | 466 | 411 | 105 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 80 | 10 | 18 | 4 | 255 | 338 | 362 | 700 | 107 | 297 | 17 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | +1 | -5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 82% | 468 | 413 | 105 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 81 | 10 | 18 | 4 | 254 | 337 | 359 | 696 | 105 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 82% | 459 | 406 | 101 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 81 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 252 | 335 | 354 | 689 | 102 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | -0 | -5 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 82% | 445 | 393 | 98 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 80 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 249 | 332 | 347 | 679 | 98 | 293 | 18 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 82% | 431 | 381 | 93 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 78 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 245 | 328 | 338 | 666 | 92 | 291 | 18 | 9 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -5 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 82% | 343 | 302 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 59 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 255 | 338 | 360 | 698 | 106 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 317 | 100 | -0 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 82% | 382 | 337 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 66 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 256 | 339 | 365 | 704 | 110 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 319 | 101 | +1 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 82% | 384 | 338 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 67 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 254 | 338 | 362 | 700 | 108 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 318 | 100 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 82% | 376 | 331 | 84 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 66 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 252 | 336 | 357 | 692 | 105 | 294 | 18 | 9 | 315 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 82% | 365 | 322 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 65 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 249 | 333 | 350 | 682 | 100 | 293 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 82% | 353 | 312 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 64 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 246 | 329 | 340 | 669 | 95 | 291 | 18 | 9 | 305 | 92 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +8 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2612 | 2297 | 577 | 89 | 6 | 41 | 238 | 458 | 56 | 86 | 22 | 251 | 336 | 349 | 685 | 98 | 296 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 91 | -13 | +8 | -1 | -34 | +57 | 1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 143 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 59 | 114 | 14 | 21 | 5 | 250 | 335 | 344 | 679 | 94 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 91 | -3 | +2 | -0 | -8 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5501 | 4858 | 1183 | 210 | 17 | 89 | 469 | 1163 | 115 | 232 | 75 | 244 | 325 | 349 | 673 | 105 | 300 | 21 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -15 | +11 | -1 | -41 | +72 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 140 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 137 | 14 | 27 | 9 | 244 | 325 | 352 | 677 | 108 | 300 | 21 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +2 | -0 | -8 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAARound Rock Express · 217 PAwOBA .339 → .313 (−26)K% 10.6% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.048 | 23.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.048 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .339 → .313; ISO .099 → .088; BABIP .308 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 169 PAwOBA .324 → .295 (−30)K% 14.8% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.79% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.080 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.14% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 3.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.97% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 23.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.96% | ÷0.968 | ×0.840 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.921 | ×0.940 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.39% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 84, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .324 → .295; ISO .110 → .102; BABIP .306 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAARound Rock Express · 67 PAwOBA .414 → .380 (−34)K% 14.9% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.93% | ÷1.086 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.88% | ÷0.962 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 17.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 4.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 19.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 15.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 76, 3B 84, K 117, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .414 → .380; ISO .125 → .133; BABIP .368 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 265 PAwOBA .384 → .323 (−61)K% 21.5% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.51% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.92% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.042 | 21.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.11% | ÷1.012 | ×0.840 | ×0.990 | ×1.042 | 8.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.138 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | ×1.042 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.06% | ÷1.080 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 128, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .384 → .323; ISO .217 → .174; BABIP .371 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 196 PAwOBA .347 → .269 (−77)K% 26.5% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.53% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 35.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.019 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 20.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.96% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.014 | ×0.850 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.44% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 6.53% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .347 → .269; ISO .214 → .175; BABIP .336 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hickory Crawdads · 303 PAwOBA .345 → .272 (−73)K% 22.1% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.11% | ÷0.974 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 9.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷1.040 | ×0.870 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.948 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.65% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .345 → .272; ISO .126 → .112; BABIP .330 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADown East Wood Ducks · 320 PAwOBA .368 → .320 (−48)K% 15.9% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.25% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.93% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 26.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.86% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.912 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.26% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .368 → .320; ISO .143 → .126; BABIP .350 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hickory Crawdads · 89 PAwOBA .298 → .245 (−53)K% 19.1% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.10% | ÷1.007 | ×1.310 | — | — | 24.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.74% | ÷0.985 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.15% | ÷1.039 | ×0.870 | ×0.953 | ×1.042 | 25.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | ×0.953 | ×1.042 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | ×0.953 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.123 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .298 → .245; ISO .064 → .054; BABIP .328 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .