Sal Frelick

RF Milwaukee Brewers
Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 191 lbs MLB HR +10%K +6% Svc 3.419 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424MLBMIL524.259/.319/.335218890.5
202525MLBMIL594.288/.352/.40512191152.2
202626AAAMIL44.278/.386/.55621114—.256/.341/.513
202626MLBMIL384.230/.294/.3194773-1.0
2027PROJ27MLBMIL417.256/.322/.354521951.0
2028PROJ28MLBMIL518.254/.320/.349624931.0
2029PROJ29MLBMIL504.252/.317/.342620900.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.7  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 2.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.419First FA2030
2027Arb-1$3M2028Arb-2$5M2029Arb-3$6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed84
xwOBA33
Bat Spd15
Barrel%10
Avg EV10
Form.257/.319/.342 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .260/.323/.359
CompsMatt Young (age 28) · Chris Getz (age 27) · Endy Chavez (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8095vR 100
AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .322 / .354
PA417
HR5
SB21
K%12
BB%8
BABIP282
ISO93
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +3.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +5.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+5FLDPOS: -4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +9.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.00.91.81.31.00.727282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$10M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
460.248
POWER35
Barrel%
102.1
Avg EV
1084.8
Bat Spd
1567.6
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
8428.8
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%11%▲9% over 57 PA (60d) · proj 12%
BB%8%·7% over 57 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.085▼.039 over 51 AB (60d) · proj .099
HR/BB1.1%·0.0% over 47 BBE (60d) · proj 1.6%
BABIP.281▼.170 over 47 BIP (60d) · proj .287
SLASH.257/.319/.342▼proj .260/.323/.359
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1208 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
294
914
—
wRC+
89
101
▶R
wOBA
299
317
▶R
ISO
070
104
▶▶R
BABIP
302
306
—
K%
14.3%
14.0%
—
BB%
6.8%
8.3%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.419 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$3M+1.3$10M+$8M
2028Arb-2$5M+1.0$7M+$3M
2029Arb-3$6M+0.7$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $8M $20M +$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202121 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 7160 10111 10131 30 167296267562 100196 1814 268 30 — — — — — —
202121 ACarolina Mudcats — 8171 31611 9100 62 4375005921.092 155492 1211 475 162 — — — — — —
202121 ROKACL Brewers Gold — 1715 7110 220 30 4675296671.196 200538 1212 519 141 — — — — — —
202222 AAANashville Sounds — 217189 691124 19165 93 365433508940 143382 79 413 143 — — — — — —
202222 AABiloxi Shuckers — 253224 711235 20334 92 317378464843 147351 138 370 108 — — — — — —
202222 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 9279 23512 13140 63 291391456847 165333 1514 379 95 — — — — — —
202323 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 223191 47913 28371 70 246345351696 105286 1713 316 102 +1 +1 +5 -4 +5 0.7
202323 AAANashville Sounds — 183158 39712 19182 84 247330342671 95266 1010 305 78 — — — — — —
202424 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 524475 1232242 39784 183 259319335653 76306 157 296 89 -7 +2 +3 -6 +11 0.5
202525 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 594528 15220312 47807 196 288352405757 117317 138 336 115 +10 +1 +3 -6 +13 2.2
202626 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 384339 781804 31382 73 230294319612 88246 108 274 73 -12 +0 -1 -5 +8 -1.0
202626 AAANashville Sounds — 4436 10402 562 10 278386556942 278286 1411 406 114 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 17251533 40069821 14523314 5112 261328357685 97293 148 307 94 -12 +5 +10 -21 +37 2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202121 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 7163 10111 7181 30 159254254507 95184 2510 212 30 — — — — — —
202121 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 8174 28411 6140 62 378425500925 122452 177 407 162 — — — — — —
202121 ROK MLEACL Brewers Gold — 1716 6110 130 30 375412562974 188423 186 377 141 — — — — — —
202222 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 217196 681023 14205 93 347405464869 117370 96 380 143 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 253235 671234 12414 92 285331413743 128325 165 328 108 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 9283 20412 9180 63 241315386701 145289 2010 309 95 — — — — — —
202323 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 223191 481013 28371 70 251350361711 110286 1713 319 102 +1 +1 +5 -4 +5 0.7
202323 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 183166 41712 14222 84 247313337651 90269 128 284 78 — — — — — —
202424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 524478 1252442 39784 183 262322341663 79306 157 300 89 -7 +2 +3 -6 +11 0.5
202525 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 594532 15321311 47807 196 288353400754 113317 138 338 115 +10 +1 +3 -6 +13 2.2
202626 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 384346 791904 30382 73 228294318612 90246 108 276 73 -12 +0 -1 -5 +8 -1.0
202626 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 4439 10402 372 10 256341513854 256251 167 336 114 — — — — — —
202121 A MLE3 teams — 169153 44632 14341 122 288351405756 118356 208 322 104 — — — — — —
202121 A RAW3 teams — 169146 48832 21251 122 329417466882 137383 1512 393 104 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLE3 teams — 562514 1562769 35799 248 304358432790 128343 146 345 120 — — — — — —
202222 AA RAW3 teams — 562492 16328611 52639 248 331401480881 148361 119 388 120 — — — — — —
202323 MLB MLE2 teams — 406357 881625 42593 154 246331345675 98279 1510 303 91 -4 +1 +5 -4 +9 0.6
202323 MLB RAW2 teams — 406349 861625 47553 154 246338347685 100276 1412 311 91 -4 +1 +5 -4 +9 0.6
202424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 524478 1252442 39784 183 262322341663 79308 157 300 89 -7 +2 +3 -6 +11 0.5
202424 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 524475 1232242 39784 183 259319335653 76306 157 296 89 -7 +2 +3 -6 +11 0.5
202525 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 594532 15321311 47807 196 288353400754 113318 138 338 115 +10 +1 +3 -6 +13 2.2
202525 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 594528 15220312 47807 196 288352405757 117317 138 336 115 +10 +1 +3 -6 +13 2.2
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 428385 882305 33454 83 229296327623 99245 118 282 77 -12 +0 -1 -5 +9 -0.8
202626 MLB RAW2 teams — 428375 882206 36444 83 235303341645 107249 108 288 77 -12 +0 -1 -5 +9 -0.8
202121 A MLE3 teams — 169152 44632 14341 122 289351408759 118336 208 322 104 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLE3 teams — 562513 1562769 35799 248 304358433791 129336 146 345 120 — — — — — —
202323 MLB MLE2 teams — 406358 881625 42593 154 246331344674 98278 1510 303 91 — — — — — —
202424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 524476 1252442 39784 183 263322342665 80306 157 300 89 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 594535 15321311 47807 196 286353398751 112317 138 338 115 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 428388 882305 33454 83 227296325621 98246 118 282 77 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 524476 1252442 39784 183 263322342665 80306 157 300 89 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 594535 15321311 47807 196 286353398751 112317 138 338 115 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 428388 882305 33454 83 227296325621 98246 118 282 77 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEMIL 100% 497450 1162316 39615 255 260326359685 99287 128 309 95 -3 +3 +6 -5 +11 1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXMIL 100% 417377 961815 33524 214 256322354677 98282 128 305 95 -2 +3 +5 -4 +9 1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEMIL 100% 518467 1212416 41655 245 258324354677 96286 138 306 93 -4 +3 +6 -6 +11 1.0
202929 MLB MLEMIL 100% 504456 1172316 39654 204 255320347667 92284 138 302 90 -6 +2 +5 -5 +11 0.7
203030 MLB MLEMIL 100% 377342 871714 29503 123 251316338654 86282 138 296 87 -6 +1 +3 -4 +8 0.2
202828 MLB CTXMIL 100% 518467 1182216 41655 245 254320349669 94281 138 302 93 -4 +3 +6 -6 +11 1.0
202929 MLB CTXMIL 100% 504456 1142116 39654 204 252317342659 90280 138 298 90 -6 +2 +5 -5 +11 0.7
203030 MLB CTXMIL 100% 377342 851614 29503 123 248313333645 85277 138 293 87 -6 +1 +3 -4 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 31242798 7171281137 25441326 10724 256323350672 93287 138 303 97 -28 +12 +24 -36 +68 4.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 1502728 53865 225 258323352675 95289 138 303 97 -6 +2 +5 -7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 44994061 10762002255 35260744 17342 265330366696 101298 138 311 97 -31 +14 +29 -40 +77 5.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650587 1552938 51886 256 264329365694 101297 148 311 97 -6 +3 +5 -7 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 44 PAwOBA .389 → .336 (−53)K% 13.6% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.64%÷1.000×1.200——16.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0186.39%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.940—×1.0184.35%
Singles /BIP13.33%÷1.000×0.930—×1.01812.62%
Doubles /BIP13.33%÷1.000×0.830—×1.01811.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0184.75%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .389 → .336; ISO .278 → .227; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 183 PAwOBA .299 → .284 (−15)K% 9.8% → 12.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.84%÷0.978×1.200——12.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.38%÷0.995×0.690—×1.0507.56%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.940—×1.0501.08%
Singles /BIP20.71%÷0.953×0.930×1.008×1.05021.39%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷0.971×0.830×1.008×1.0504.52%
Triples /BIP0.71%÷0.900×0.970×1.008×1.0500.81%
Home runs /BIP1.43%÷0.905×0.700—×1.0501.16%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .299 → .284; ISO .095 → .088; BABIP .266 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 253 PAwOBA .361 → .328 (−33)K% 13.0% → 16.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.04%÷0.976×1.220——16.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.11%÷1.027×0.680—×1.0424.91%
HBP% /PA1.58%—×0.840—×1.0421.38%
Singles /BIP26.70%÷1.060×0.920×1.009×1.04224.35%
Doubles /BIP6.28%÷0.973×0.910×1.009×1.0426.18%
Triples /BIP1.57%÷0.900×0.880×1.009×1.0421.61%
Home runs /BIP2.62%÷1.012×0.800—×1.0422.16%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .361 → .328; ISO .147 → .139; BABIP .351 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAANashville Sounds · 217 PAwOBA .404 → .380 (−24)K% 7.4% → 9.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.37%÷0.971×1.200——9.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.76%÷0.994×0.690—×1.0506.38%
HBP% /PA2.30%—×0.940—×1.0502.27%
Singles /BIP30.06%÷0.996×0.930×1.007×1.05029.69%
Doubles /BIP6.36%÷0.952×0.830×1.007×1.0505.86%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.150×0.970×1.007×1.0501.03%
Home runs /BIP2.31%÷0.946×0.700—×1.0501.80%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .404 → .380; ISO .143 → .126; BABIP .382 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 92 PAwOBA .366 → .309 (−57)K% 15.2% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.22%÷0.977×1.270——19.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.04%÷0.944×0.710—×1.0129.93%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.083×0.920×1.030×1.01220.43%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.049×0.810×1.030×1.0126.19%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷0.900×0.850×1.030×1.0121.51%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷0.885×0.800—×1.0122.82%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .366 → .309; ISO .165 → .145; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 81 PAwOBA .469 → .407 (−62)K% 12.3% → 16.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.35%÷0.996×1.360——16.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷1.017×0.690—×1.0157.65%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP37.70%÷0.990×0.920×1.028×1.01536.56%
Doubles /BIP9.84%÷1.177×0.830×1.028×1.0157.23%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷1.052×0.910×1.028×1.0151.48%
Home runs /BIP1.64%÷0.974×0.800—×1.0151.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .469 → .407; ISO .155 → .123; BABIP .492 → .452. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 71 PAwOBA .256 → .212 (−44)K% 18.3% → 24.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.31%÷1.001×1.350——24.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.68%÷0.988×0.710—×1.0279.36%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.810—×1.0271.17%
Singles /BIP14.89%÷0.982×0.910×1.028×1.02714.57%
Doubles /BIP2.13%÷1.132×0.830×1.028×1.0271.65%
Triples /BIP2.13%÷0.956×0.820×1.028×1.0271.93%
Home runs /BIP2.13%÷1.155×0.830—×1.0271.57%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .256 → .212; ISO .100 → .078; BABIP .196 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Brewers Gold · 17 PAwOBA .506 → .377 (−128)K% 11.8% → 16.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.76%÷1.001×1.440——16.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.021×0.620—×0.9857.04%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP38.46%÷1.002×0.820—×0.98531.00%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.986×0.720—×0.9855.54%
Triples /BIP7.69%÷0.949×0.720—×0.9855.75%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.964×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .506 → .377; ISO .200 → .147; BABIP .538 → .423. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).