Sal Frelick — OGILVIE

Sal FrelickRF Milwaukee Brewers

Age 26 L/R 5'9" / 191 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 2.419S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION312 act + 282 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 101108vR 111

AVG/OBP/SLG.273 / .336 / .379

PA282

HR4

SB10

K%12

BB%8

BABIP301

ISO105

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

903.6%

xwOBA

340.289

POWER35

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

1084.8

Bat Spd

1567.6

EYE50

Chase%

9023.6%

SPEED60

Sprint

8128.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1208 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

294

914

—

wRC+

101

▶R

wOBA

299

317

▶R

ISO

070

104

▶▶R

BABIP

302

306

—

14.3%

14.0%

—

BB%

6.8%

8.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.419 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2027	Arb-2	$6M	+3.0	$22M	+$17M
2028	Arb-3	$10M	+2.8	$19M	+$11M
2029	Arb-4	$14M	+2.5	$16M	+$6M
Totals		$30M		$58M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	3 teams	—	169	153	42	5	3	1	14	34	1	12	2	275	339	366	705	92	345	20	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	3 teams	—	169	146	48	8	3	2	21	25	1	12	2	329	417	466	882	137	383	15	12	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	562	514	149	26	6	11	35	85	9	24	8	290	346	428	774	138	328	15	6	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	562	492	163	28	6	11	52	63	9	24	8	331	401	480	881	148	361	11	9	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB	2 teams	—	406	358	88	16	2	5	41	60	3	15	4	246	328	344	672	98	279	15	10	303	90	-5	+1	+5	-4	+12	0.9
2023	23	MLB	2 teams	—	406	349	86	16	2	5	47	55	3	15	4	246	338	347	685	100	276	14	12	311	96	-2	+1	+5	-4	+12	1.2
2024	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	524	478	125	23	4	2	39	78	4	18	3	262	322	339	661	77	308	15	7	297	85	-9	+2	+3	-6	+15	0.6
2024	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	524	475	123	22	4	2	39	78	4	18	3	259	319	335	653	76	306	15	7	296	85	-9	+2	+3	-6	+15	0.6
2025	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	594	532	154	21	3	12	47	80	7	19	6	289	355	408	763	118	319	13	8	337	116	+11	+1	+3	-6	+17	2.7
2025	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	594	528	152	20	3	12	47	80	7	19	6	288	352	405	757	117	317	13	8	336	115	+10	+1	+3	-6	+17	2.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	MIL	—	312	281	65	14	0	4	25	31	2	6	2	231	299	324	623	93	245	10	8	276	69	-11	+0	-1	-3	+9	-0.6
YTD	26	MLB	MIL	—	312	275	65	14	0	4	25	31	2	6	2	236	299	331	630	95	251	10	8	281	73	-9	+0	-1	-3	+9	-0.4
ROS	26	MLB	MIL	100%	282	256	70	11	2	4	22	34	2	10	2	273	336	379	715	105	300	12	8	321	104	+1	+1	+5	-3	+8	1.2
ROS	26	MLB	MIL	100%	282	256	69	11	2	4	22	34	2	10	2	270	332	375	707	105	298	12	8	312	97	-1	+1	+5	-3	+8	1.0
FULL	26	MLB	MIL	—	594	537	134	25	2	8	47	65	4	16	4	250	315	348	663	99	269	11	8	293	83	-12	+2	+4	-6	+17	0.4
TOT	26	MLB	MIL	—	594	537	135	25	2	8	47	65	4	16	4	251	316	350	666	99	271	11	8	297	86	-10	+2	+4	-6	+17	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIL	100%	589	531	148	24	3	8	48	72	5	21	5	279	344	380	725	102	307	12	8	327	108	+6	+2	+10	-6	+17	2.8
2028	28	MLB	MIL	100%	581	523	146	24	3	8	48	71	5	20	4	279	345	382	728	103	307	12	8	326	107	+5	+2	+9	-6	+16	2.7
2029	29	MLB	MIL	100%	569	512	142	23	3	8	47	71	5	18	4	277	344	381	725	104	306	12	8	324	106	+4	+2	+8	-6	+16	2.4
2030	30	MLB	MIL	100%	557	501	138	22	3	7	46	71	5	16	4	275	342	373	716	98	304	13	8	320	103	+2	+2	+7	-6	+16	2.1
2031	31	MLB	MIL	100%	542	488	131	21	2	6	45	71	4	14	3	268	335	357	692	88	301	13	8	315	99	-0	+2	+6	-6	+15	1.7
2027	27	MLB	MIL	100%	589	531	147	24	3	8	48	72	5	21	5	277	342	379	721	102	305	12	8	318	102	+1	+2	+10	-6	+17	2.4
2028	28	MLB	MIL	100%	581	523	144	23	3	8	48	71	5	20	4	275	342	377	719	101	305	12	8	317	101	+1	+2	+9	-6	+16	2.2
2029	29	MLB	MIL	100%	569	512	141	23	3	7	47	71	5	18	4	275	342	373	715	98	304	12	8	315	99	-0	+2	+8	-6	+16	2.0
2030	30	MLB	MIL	100%	557	501	137	22	3	7	46	71	5	16	4	273	341	371	712	98	302	13	8	312	97	-2	+2	+7	-6	+16	1.7
2031	31	MLB	MIL	100%	542	488	130	21	2	6	45	71	4	14	3	266	333	355	688	88	299	13	8	307	93	-4	+2	+6	-6	+15	1.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4461	4005	1090	175	24	57	370	585	38	143	31	272	339	371	709	98	305	13	8	315	99	-5	+16	+55	-50	+126	14.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	158	25	3	8	54	85	6	21	5	271	339	365	703	94	303	13	8	315	99	-1	+2	+8	-7	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	5375	4846	1333	216	34	72	432	727	50	187	45	275	341	378	719	103	309	14	8	321	104	+22	+19	+55	-58	+152	19.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	161	26	4	9	52	88	6	23	5	275	340	379	719	104	308	14	8	321	104	+3	+3	+7	-7	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	71	60	10	1	1	1	10	13	1	3	0	167	296	267	562	100	196	18	14	268	63	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2021	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	81	71	31	6	1	1	9	10	0	6	2	437	500	592	1.092	155	492	12	11	475	222	+11	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2021	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	17	15	7	1	1	0	2	2	0	3	0	467	529	667	1.196	200	538	12	12	519	255	+3	+1	—	—	+0	0.4
2022	22	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	217	189	69	11	2	4	19	16	5	9	3	365	433	508	940	143	382	7	9	413	174	+18	+1	—	—	+6	2.5
2022	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	253	224	71	12	3	5	20	33	4	9	2	317	378	464	843	147	351	13	8	370	142	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.0
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	92	79	23	5	1	2	13	14	0	6	3	291	391	456	847	165	333	15	14	379	148	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	223	191	47	9	1	3	28	37	1	7	0	246	345	351	696	105	286	17	13	316	100	-0	+1	+5	-4	+6	0.8
2023	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	183	158	39	7	1	2	19	18	2	8	4	247	330	342	671	95	266	10	10	305	91	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	524	475	123	22	4	2	39	78	4	18	3	259	319	335	653	76	306	15	7	296	85	-9	+2	+3	-6	+15	0.6
2025	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	594	528	152	20	3	12	47	80	7	19	6	288	352	405	757	117	317	13	8	336	115	+10	+1	+3	-6	+17	2.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1341	1194	322	51	8	17	114	195	12	44	9	270	338	369	706	99	308	15	9	317	101	+1	+5	+11	-16	+38	4.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Darin Erstadlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,564 PA	10	4,564	72	120	282	334	395	-33	+28	16.3	16.3
	/162	664	10	17	282	334	395	-4.8	+4.1	2.4	pk7: 16
#2Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	12	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
	/162	664	11	12	275	322	403	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,085	67	168	270	333	369	-54	+21	11.1	10.8
	/162	664	9	22	270	333	369	-7.1	+2.7	1.4	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Norichika Aokilast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,044 PA	6	3,044	33	98	285	350	387	-33	-15	7.4	7.4
	/162	664	7	21	285	350	387	-7.1	-3.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Fernando Viñalast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,352 PA	5	2,352	18	50	282	347	377	-10	+0	7.1	7.1
	/162	664	5	14	282	347	377	-2.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 7
#6Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#6Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sal Frelick (OGILVIE)	26	55	35	60	50	251/316/350	99	271	8	16	11%	8%	86	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tony Kemp 2018 · MLB	26	57→61	40→45	53→55	49	274/320/369	96	307	7	20	13%	6%	95	+1.4	257/323/373	116	290	10	18	14%	8%	98	+1.6	251/341/362	110	279	9	12	13%	10%	102	+1.1
●Ender Inciarte 2016 · MLB	25	57→63	40→45	55→60	47	273/311/368	95	302	7	24	12%	5%	91	+1.1	285/336/389	104	320	7	19	13%	7%	107	+2.2	283/339/387	103	318	7	20	13%	7%	103	+2.1
✕Chris Getz 2010 · MLB	26	54→56	41→40	57→60	51	258/316/358	100	289	8	23	14%	7%	91	+1.1	249/305/317	68	281	3	27	12%	7%	76	+0.0	247/293/314	66	276	2	31	10%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Sam Fuld 2010 · MLB	28	53→57	40→45	54→60	55	252/317/354	103	277	5	18	12%	8%	90	+1.0	235/303/341	106	264	6	24	13%	9%	81	+0.4	229/300/330	102	258	5	28	13%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Matt Young 2010 · AAA	27	55→60	39→40	57→60	55	258/334/353	94	300	4	25	15%	9%	97	+1.5	252/322/337	85	300	3	26	16%	9%	89	+0.9	250/322/322	72	304	2	26	17%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Zack Granite 2018 · MLB	25	55→59	38→40	57→60	48	262/305/346	85	294	5	28	13%	6%	82	+0.5	232/273/302	70	261	4	21	12%	5%	58	-1.2	208/255/273	64	242	4	20	15%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Julio Borbon 2012 · MLB	26	55→62	38→45	59→60	47	261/306/343	82	298	4	30	14%	5%	82	+0.5	256/300/353	97	297	8	24	16%	6%	82	+0.5	260/303/345	84	303	7	26	16%	6%	78	+0.2
●Nico Hoerner 2023 · MLB	26	56→62	43→45	55→60	50	270/326/385	115	298	10	19	13%	6%	102	+1.9	277/336/382	105	303	8	28	11%	7%	106	+2.2	280/340/376	96	305	7	31	10%	7%	103	+2.2
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2010 · MLB	27	54→57	36→40	55→60	52	254/316/322	68	298	3	22	16%	8%	81	+0.4	241/307/326	85	289	5	27	17%	9%	79	+0.3	244/299/315	71	304	2	27	19%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Brandon Roberts 2011 · AAA	26	57	39→40	55	46	269/324/353	84	317	6	21	17%	5%	93	+1.3	242/293/316	74	292	4	22	18%	5%	70	-0.3	231/281/287	55	282	1	25	17%	5%	54	-0.7
●Gerardo Parra 2013 · MLB	26	56→62	43→50	53→55	51	269/330/392	123	317	9	16	18%	8%	105	+2.1	264/316/393	129	305	10	12	16%	7%	100	+1.7	265/314/395	129	304	10	11	16%	6%	95	+1.4
✕Richie Palacios 2023 · MLB	26	52	44→50	59→55	51	251/323/381	130	310	9	20	21%	9%	100	+1.7	231/317/354	123	272	12	19	19%	10%	92	+1.2	219/314/336	116	253	12	20	18%	11%	83	+0.3
✕Endy Chavez 2004 · MLB	26	52→62	41→45	51→55	49	246/289/357	111	269	7	17	12%	6%	79	+0.3	258/301/360	102	280	6	24	10%	6%	85	+0.7	281/323/374	93	307	4	16	9%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Mike Rodriguez 2007 · AAA	26	50→53	40	59→55	50	239/293/337	98	272	7	25	15%	7%	76	+0.0	228/272/320	92	276	6	17	19%	5%	63	-0.9	224/263/308	84	276	4	14	20%	5%	52	-0.9
✕Logan Schafer 2013 · MLB	26	50→56	42→45	52→50	45	241/290/359	118	277	8	15	16%	5%	80	+0.4	217/274/328	111	261	7	12	19%	7%	66	-0.6	212/273/298	85	260	5	7	19%	7%	53	-0.9
●Eric Sogard 2013 · MLB	27	53→57	43→45	52→55	51	255/310/368	113	281	10	17	14%	7%	92	+1.2	247/305/336	89	279	6	16	13%	7%	80	+0.4	250/336/373	123	285	11	10	15%	11%	100	+1.1
✕Nicky Lopez 2022 · MLB	27	58→64	38→40	54→55	53	272/334/359	88	312	4	16	14%	8%	98	+1.6	244/310/313	69	286	3	15	14%	8%	77	+0.1	250/314/308	57	296	2	10	15%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Mike Darr 2001 · MLB	25	54	42→45	58→55	53	254/326/378	124	313	7	18	20%	10%	100	+1.7	260/340/365	105	332	7	13	22%	11%	103	+1.9	275/362/347	72	359	4	11	22%	12%	101	+1.0
✕Gene Kingsale 2003 · MLB	26	54	41→40	54→55	50	259/324/363	103	314	7	19	19%	8%	96	+1.5	234/297/333	99	275	7	12	17%	7%	77	+0.1	219/276/292	73	260	3	7	16%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Will Brennan 2023 · MLB	25	56→62	44→45	53→50	49	273/326/402	128	314	10	16	16%	6%	106	+2.2	265/306/379	114	300	10	14	15%	5%	92	+1.2	266/304/368	102	300	10	10	14%	4%	85	+0.3