Will Brennan — OGILVIE

Will BrennanRF Sacramento River Cats

Age 28 L/L 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 2.901S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION230 act + 153 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL -2267vR 102

AVG/OBP/SLG.270 / .309 / .374

PA153

HR2

K%14

BB%4

BABIP305

ISO104

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

788.0%

xwOBA

380.295

POWER40

Barrel%

194.2

Avg EV

1085.7

Bat Spd

1767.8

EYE35

Chase%

2636.3%

SPEED55

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024 · 353 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

318

—

wRC+

-20

105

▶▶R

wOBA

159

322

▶▶R

ISO

086

129

▶▶R

BABIP

172

301

▶▶R

17.1%

13.2%

▶▶R

BB%

0.0%

5.3%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.901 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.3M
2027	Arb-2	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.4M		$0.4M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	140	127	29	5	2	1	9	9	2	5	4	228	290	323	613	94	235	6	6	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	140	121	37	7	3	1	15	6	2	5	4	306	391	438	829	132	310	4	11	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	446	401	96	25	1	5	30	94	10	15	6	239	308	344	653	105	297	21	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	446	388	111	28	1	6	43	72	10	15	6	286	372	410	782	124	334	16	10	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	635	582	179	36	6	12	40	85	4	22	4	308	356	452	808	144	338	13	6	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	635	570	181	41	5	14	52	73	4	22	4	318	379	481	859	163	339	11	8	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	455	432	115	24	0	5	16	57	5	13	5	266	300	356	657	90	296	13	4	287	78	-11	+1	-1	-5	+13	-0.4
2023	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	455	432	115	24	0	5	16	57	5	13	5	266	300	356	657	90	296	13	4	294	83	-9	+1	-1	-5	+13	-0.1
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	392	367	98	16	2	9	20	59	4	8	2	267	312	395	707	128	297	15	5	308	94	-3	+1	-3	-4	+11	0.2
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	392	365	100	17	2	9	21	56	4	8	2	274	320	405	725	132	302	14	5	323	105	+2	+1	-3	-4	+11	0.7
2025	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	156	151	39	6	0	2	5	26	0	2	1	258	282	338	620	79	301	17	3	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	156	148	45	8	0	3	8	20	0	2	1	304	340	419	759	115	336	13	5	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	SF	—	230	214	60	11	1	2	6	27	5	4	1	280	316	369	685	89	305	12	3	295	84	-4	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.0
YTD	28	AAA	SF	—	230	212	66	13	1	2	8	22	5	4	1	311	351	410	761	99	332	10	3	335	114	+4	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.8
ROS	28	AAA	SF	10%	153	144	39	7	1	2	6	22	2	3	1	270	309	374	683	104	298	14	4	300	88	-2	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.2
ROS	28	MLB	SF	10%	15	14	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	286	333	357	690	71	292	13	7	284	76	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	SF	—	245	228	64	12	1	2	7	29	5	4	1	281	317	368	685	88	307	12	3	294	83	-5	+0	-1	-3	+7	-0.1
TOT	28	AAA	SF	—	383	358	99	18	2	4	12	49	7	7	2	276	313	371	684	95	305	13	3	297	85	-6	+1	+0	-4	+11	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SF	33%	337	316	84	15	1	5	13	50	5	6	1	266	305	367	672	101	296	15	4	296	84	-6	+1	+0	-4	+10	0.1
2027	29	MLB	SF	33%	110	103	26	5	0	1	4	16	2	2	0	252	294	330	624	78	291	15	4	280	73	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	978	921	247	44	3	15	42	127	11	21	8	268	308	371	679	103	296	13	4	304	90	-11	+1	-5	-17	+28	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	612	164	29	2	10	28	84	7	14	5	268	308	371	678	103	296	13	4	304	90	-7	+1	-3	-11	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2714	2520	679	134	13	41	139	402	32	74	24	269	316	382	698	112	304	15	5	304	91	-28	+5	-4	-29	+77	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	163	32	3	10	33	96	8	18	6	270	316	382	699	113	304	15	5	304	91	-7	+1	-1	-7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	140	121	37	7	3	1	15	6	2	5	4	306	391	438	829	132	310	4	11	367	139	+6	-1	—	—	+4	1.0
2021	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	177	150	42	6	0	2	18	29	5	2	2	280	376	360	736	80	328	16	10	333	113	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2021	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	269	238	69	22	1	4	25	43	5	13	4	290	369	441	811	151	339	16	9	362	135	+11	+1	—	—	+8	2.0
2022	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	45	42	15	1	1	1	2	4	1	2	1	357	400	500	900	143	378	9	4	399	164	+3	+0	-0	-7	+1	-0.3
2022	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	433	393	124	28	3	9	33	53	2	15	1	316	371	471	842	155	342	12	8	370	141	+20	+3	—	—	+12	3.6
2022	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	157	135	42	12	1	4	17	16	1	5	2	311	392	504	896	193	319	10	11	386	153	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2023	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	455	432	115	24	0	5	16	57	5	13	5	266	300	356	657	90	296	13	4	294	83	-9	+1	-1	-5	+13	-0.1
2024	26	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	353	330	87	13	2	8	19	48	3	4	2	264	310	388	698	124	287	14	5	311	97	-1	+0	-3	-4	+10	0.1
2024	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	39	35	13	4	0	1	2	8	1	4	0	371	410	571	982	200	462	21	5	425	184	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	156	148	45	8	0	3	8	20	0	2	1	304	340	419	759	115	336	13	5	339	118	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	853	804	217	38	3	14	37	109	9	19	8	270	309	377	686	107	297	13	4	307	93	-7	+1	-5	-16	+24	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#1Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#3Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	6	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
	/162	664	9	20	275	319	389	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Harold Ramírezlast yr '24 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,922 PA	5	1,922	38	19	286	323	408	-24	-27	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	13	7	286	323	408	-8.2	-9.4	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Jose Tabatalast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,724 PA	5	1,724	17	47	275	336	379	-18	-27	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	7	18	275	336	379	-7.1	-10.2	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	950	15	20	267	303	372	-10	-4	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	11	14	267	303	372	-7.1	-2.6	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Brennan (OGILVIE)	28	60	40	55	35	276/313/371	95	305	4	7	13%	3%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Lough 2014 · MLB	28	55→64	43→50	55→50	43	267/300/387	120	302	9	15	15%	4%	92	+1.2	239/284/350	111	280	10	13	18%	5%	76	+0.0	220/274/316	95	260	8	12	18%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Juan Lagares 2017 · MLB	28	52→62	43→45	51→50	44	254/297/368	114	301	9	12	19%	5%	85	+0.7	244/295/357	113	301	9	13	21%	6%	82	+0.5	231/277/349	118	292	9	8	23%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Xavier Paul 2013 · MLB	28	52→58	45	53→55	43	255/298/383	128	313	11	21	22%	6%	90	+1.0	222/282/350	128	292	14	8	27%	7%	76	+0.0	192/261/308	115	257	14	1	30%	8%	51	-0.8
✕Joe Thurston 2008 · MLB	28	54→58	42→45	49→50	47	256/302/370	114	286	7	15	13%	5%	88	+0.9	253/303/369	116	291	9	13	16%	6%	89	+0.9	245/305/374	129	283	13	10	18%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Raimel Tapia 2023 · MLB	29	52→62	41→45	52→55	47	251/294/351	101	289	8	16	17%	6%	79	+0.3	242/304/362	120	299	13	20	22%	8%	88	+0.9	229/308/329	100	295	12	33	25%	10%	79	+0.1
✕Buck Coats 2010 · MLB	28	53→58	41→45	53→55	45	256/298/356	99	304	7	19	18%	5%	82	+0.5	257/303/355	98	304	8	12	17%	6%	84	+0.6	275/321/367	92	327	7	8	17%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Adron Chambers 2015 · MLB	28	51→61	42→45	47→55	45	248/304/349	102	315	9	13	24%	7%	84	+0.6	238/294/339	101	301	8	13	22%	7%	77	+0.1	241/296/340	99	324	2	14	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Nick Buss 2015 · MLB	28	51→58	41→50	52→55	45	244/294/340	97	297	8	15	20%	6%	77	+0.1	241/288/344	103	296	8	13	20%	6%	76	+0.0	242/288/355	113	294	8	13	20%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Joaquin Arias 2013 · MLB	28	53→60	43→45	52→55	44	255/290/368	113	288	9	9	15%	4%	82	+0.5	254/283/347	93	291	7	7	15%	4%	73	-0.1	257/276/323	67	297	2	3	14%	2%	58	-0.3
✕Kevin Reese 2006 · AAA	28	50→51	46→45	52→50	48	244/302/386	142	278	12	13	17%	7%	93	+1.3	239/299/357	118	278	11	11	18%	6%	84	+0.6	236/299/335	100	275	10	9	18%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2023 · MLB	27	52→57	44→45	52→60	46	253/305/371	118	313	11	16	22%	7%	90	+1.0	233/300/332	99	292	8	25	21%	9%	78	+0.2	225/302/305	80	282	5	30	20%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Mitch Maier 2010 · MLB	28	51→56	42→50	49→50	49	245/304/349	104	288	9	12	18%	7%	84	+0.6	247/322/360	113	306	9	9	20%	10%	94	+1.3	246/326/361	115	308	8	6	21%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Matthew den Dekker 2016 · MLB	28	49→57	45→50	51→55	46	238/296/368	130	296	11	14	23%	7%	85	+0.7	204/257/332	128	278	13	17	30%	6%	60	-1.0	191/240/320	130	267	13	18	33%	5%	47	-1.2
✕BJ Boyd 2021 · AAA	28	49→56	40→45	48→50	43	237/282/331	94	290	8	10	21%	5%	69	-0.4	258/311/406	148	312	16	12	22%	6%	102	+1.9	269/324/418	149	322	17	12	21%	6%	107	+1.3
✕Leury García 2020 · MLB	29	55→60	42→45	52→60	39	267/302/375	108	335	9	16	23%	4%	89	+1.0	253/301/357	104	313	9	10	21%	6%	85	+0.7	241/294/326	85	301	6	8	21%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Ryan Lollis 2016 · AAA	29	53→61	40→45	47→45	47	256/302/354	98	292	7	9	15%	6%	84	+0.6	241/285/313	72	286	4	7	16%	6%	66	-0.6	235/279/288	53	280	2	5	16%	5%	54	-1.0
✕Vinny Rottino 2008 · MLB	28	51→57	43→45	47→55	46	247/300/355	109	291	10	13	19%	6%	84	+0.6	239/293/339	100	280	8	14	17%	6%	76	+0.1	260/311/379	119	294	10	19	15%	6%	92	+1.0
●Joey Wendle 2018 · MLB	28	50→60	45→50	54→50	38	245/279/378	133	301	11	13	23%	3%	81	+0.4	258/312/388	130	311	10	17	19%	5%	98	+1.6	268/329/398	130	320	9	19	18%	6%	103	+1.1
✕Jeremy Reed 2009 · MLB	28	53→58	44→45	46→50	48	260/303/382	122	287	10	10	14%	6%	92	+1.2	245/294/349	104	286	8	8	17%	6%	79	+0.3	232/285/320	87	276	6	6	17%	7%	64	-0.3
●Jordany Valdespin 2016 · MLB	28	52→53	43→50	49→55	49	250/305/361	111	280	10	16	15%	6%	87	+0.8	253/302/352	99	297	8	17	17%	6%	83	+0.6	261/304/360	99	300	10	18	16%	5%	83	+0.3