Garin Cecchini
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAAPawtucket Red… | 469 | .213/.288/.296 | 7 | 9 | 47 | — | .203/.258/.276 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAAColorado Spri… | 469 | .271/.330/.380 | 5 | 13 | 57 | — | .226/.271/.306 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 383 | .270/.305/.396 | 5 | 5 | 65 | — | .231/.253/.336 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 526 | 455 | 139 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 90 | 7 | 51 | 6 | 305 | 396 | 433 | 829 | 127 | 371 | 17 | 12 | 372 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 295 | 240 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 51 | 52 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 296 | 423 | 404 | 827 | 108 | 367 | 18 | 17 | 377 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 262 | 214 | 75 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 350 | 469 | 547 | 1.016 | 196 | 400 | 13 | 16 | 448 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 83 | 65 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 277 | 434 | 338 | 772 | 62 | 353 | 17 | 20 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 36 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 361 | 452 | 813 | 194 | 368 | 31 | 8 | 364 | 125 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 458 | 407 | 107 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 99 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 263 | 342 | 371 | 713 | 108 | 331 | 22 | 10 | 323 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 469 | 422 | 90 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 100 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 213 | 288 | 296 | 584 | 83 | 262 | 21 | 9 | 268 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 469 | 424 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 64 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 271 | 330 | 380 | 709 | 108 | 305 | 14 | 7 | 314 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 310 | 290 | 77 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 266 | 299 | 393 | 692 | 128 | 317 | 19 | 4 | 302 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 73 | 66 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 329 | 409 | 738 | 121 | 353 | 21 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 36 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 361 | 452 | 813 | 194 | 368 | 31 | 8 | 364 | 133 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 526 | 480 | 127 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 121 | 7 | 51 | 6 | 265 | 325 | 358 | 683 | 94 | 341 | 23 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 295 | 254 | 78 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 64 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 307 | 399 | 417 | 817 | 110 | 388 | 22 | 13 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 262 | 231 | 70 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 48 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 303 | 385 | 463 | 849 | 160 | 368 | 18 | 10 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 36 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 361 | 452 | 813 | 194 | 368 | 31 | 8 | 352 | 125 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 458 | 423 | 102 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 121 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 241 | 296 | 326 | 622 | 85 | 324 | 26 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 469 | 434 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 126 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 203 | 258 | 276 | 534 | 74 | 266 | 27 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 469 | 434 | 98 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 86 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 226 | 271 | 306 | 578 | 81 | 261 | 18 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 310 | 295 | 68 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 231 | 253 | 336 | 589 | 105 | 282 | 23 | 2 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 526 | 480 | 127 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 121 | 7 | 51 | 6 | 265 | 325 | 358 | 683 | 94 | 345 | 23 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 526 | 455 | 139 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 90 | 7 | 51 | 6 | 305 | 396 | 433 | 829 | 127 | 371 | 17 | 12 | 372 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 640 | 558 | 169 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 72 | 129 | 8 | 26 | 11 | 303 | 390 | 432 | 822 | 129 | 382 | 20 | 11 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 640 | 519 | 164 | 37 | 7 | 7 | 111 | 100 | 8 | 26 | 11 | 316 | 444 | 455 | 898 | 139 | 379 | 16 | 17 | 405 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 494 | 454 | 110 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 132 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 242 | 301 | 335 | 636 | 93 | 328 | 27 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 494 | 438 | 115 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 110 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 263 | 343 | 377 | 720 | 114 | 333 | 22 | 10 | 326 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 469 | 434 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 126 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 203 | 258 | 276 | 534 | 74 | 270 | 27 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 469 | 422 | 90 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 100 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 213 | 288 | 296 | 584 | 83 | 262 | 21 | 9 | 268 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 469 | 434 | 98 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 86 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 226 | 271 | 306 | 578 | 81 | 269 | 18 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 469 | 424 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 64 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 271 | 330 | 380 | 709 | 108 | 305 | 14 | 7 | 314 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 363 | 84 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 231 | 254 | 336 | 590 | 105 | 292 | 23 | 2 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 356 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 74 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 270 | 305 | 396 | 701 | 126 | 324 | 19 | 4 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 526 | 478 | 127 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 121 | 7 | 51 | 6 | 266 | 325 | 360 | 685 | 94 | 341 | 23 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 640 | 555 | 169 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 72 | 129 | 8 | 26 | 11 | 305 | 390 | 434 | 825 | 130 | 379 | 20 | 11 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 494 | 453 | 110 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 132 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 243 | 301 | 336 | 636 | 93 | 327 | 27 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 469 | 434 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 126 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 203 | 258 | 276 | 534 | 74 | 266 | 27 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 469 | 439 | 98 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 86 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 271 | 303 | 574 | 80 | 261 | 18 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 369 | 84 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 228 | 254 | 331 | 585 | 103 | 282 | 23 | 2 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 36 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 361 | 452 | 813 | 194 | 368 | 31 | 8 | 364 | 81 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 560 | 144 | 54 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 199 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 360 | 450 | 810 | 193 | 367 | 31 | 8 | 364 | 81 | +25 | +0 | +2 | +32 | +14 | 7.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2981 | 2723 | 676 | 138 | 18 | 30 | 198 | 683 | 33 | 115 | 27 | 248 | 307 | 345 | 652 | 97 | 319 | 23 | 7 | 288 | 81 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 148 | 30 | 4 | 7 | 43 | 149 | 7 | 25 | 6 | 249 | 307 | 348 | 656 | 99 | 319 | 23 | 7 | 288 | 81 | +25 | +0 | +2 | +32 | +14 | 7.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 310 PAwOBA .294 → .253 (−41)K% 19.0% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.03% | ÷1.054 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷1.076 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 2.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.65% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 7.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.914 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.73% | ÷0.956 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.44% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 111, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .294 → .253; ISO .128 → .108; BABIP .317 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 469 PAwOBA .309 → .253 (−56)K% 13.6% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.65% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷1.046 | ×0.900 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 21.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.196 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.15% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 109, 2B 139, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .309 → .253; ISO .108 → .081; BABIP .305 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 469 PAwOBA .261 → .238 (−22)K% 21.3% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.32% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.10% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×1.048 | 21.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.867 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.048 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.012 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 73, 3B 102, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .261 → .238; ISO .083 → .075; BABIP .262 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 458 PAwOBA .314 → .277 (−37)K% 21.6% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.62% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷1.084 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.32% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 25.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.937 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.104 | ×0.970 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.240 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .314 → .277; ISO .108 → .088; BABIP .331 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 295 PAwOBA .368 → .354 (−14)K% 17.6% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.63% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.61% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 12.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.66% | ÷0.980 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 29.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.026 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .368 → .354; ISO .108 → .107; BABIP .367 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Salem Red Sox · 262 PAwOBA .437 → .368 (−70)K% 13.0% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.98% | ÷0.994 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.41% | ÷1.054 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 9.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.11% | ÷1.036 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 25.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.56% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 8.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.129 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.979 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 126, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .437 → .368; ISO .196 → .172; BABIP .400 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AGreenville Drive · 526 PAwOBA .361 → .304 (−57)K% 17.1% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.11% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.65% | ÷1.054 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.48% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.015 | 24.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.41% | ÷1.062 | ×0.820 | ×1.007 | ×1.015 | 8.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.007 | ×1.015 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.011 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.90% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .361 → .304; ISO .127 → .102; BABIP .371 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .