Ramiro Villanueva P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.7 · 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 29 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
K: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -1.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +4.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: +0.12 (71 IP)+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.30.30.30.30.2+$11M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5560
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2034Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202418ROKDSL Twins3231520067%1.013.3%0.0%13.3%0.0%15.001.97—
202418ROKDSL Twins3231520067%1.013.3%0.0%13.3%0.0%15.001.77—
▸ 2026 Season
202620AFort Myers Mighty Mussels12124218837233100%3.514.6%14.4%0.1%2.1%4.754.84-0.1
ROS20MLBMIN552912328124100%5.823.1%9.4%13.6%3.0%4.374.37+0.1
ROS20MLBMIN——0——————23.1%9.4%13.6%3.0%4.384.38—
2026 TOT20MLBMIN——7131165357——21.0%11.1%9.9%2.1%4.594.64+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721MLBMIN663113030124100%5.123.5%9.0%14.5%2.9%4.294.25+0.1
202822MLBMIN663213633124100%5.424.4%8.6%15.8%2.9%4.164.08+0.2
202923MLBMIN663314135124100%5.625.1%8.3%16.8%2.8%4.053.96+0.2
203024MLBMIN663414437124100%5.725.6%8.1%17.5%2.8%3.953.88+0.3
203125MLBMIN663514638124100%5.825.9%7.9%18.0%2.8%3.883.83+0.3
203226MLBMIN663514638124100%5.826.1%7.9%18.3%2.8%3.833.80+0.3
203327MLBMIN663414438114100%5.726.1%8.0%18.2%2.8%3.843.84+0.3
203428MLBMIN663314036114100%5.526.0%8.1%17.9%2.9%3.893.93+0.2
202721MLBMIN3315631562100%5.023.5%9.0%14.5%2.9%4.304.26+0.1
202822MLBMIN4423972483100%5.824.4%8.6%15.8%2.9%4.174.09+0.1
202923MLBMIN552811830103100%5.625.1%8.3%16.8%2.8%4.063.97+0.2
203024MLBMIN553012732104100%6.025.6%8.1%17.5%2.8%3.963.89+0.2
203125MLBMIN553213535114100%6.425.9%7.9%18.0%2.8%3.893.84+0.3
203226MLBMIN553213535114100%6.426.1%7.9%18.3%2.8%3.843.81+0.3
203327MLBMIN553213535114100%6.426.1%8.0%18.2%2.9%3.853.85+0.3
203428MLBMIN553113134114100%6.226.0%8.1%17.9%3.0%3.903.94+0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—40402259502427727100%5.625.5%8.2%17.4%2.9%3.963.55+4.9
/ 200 IP—35352008442156824100%5.625.5%8.2%17.4%2.9%3.963.55+4.3
Career—1514452032927493%3.014.5%13.4%1.1%1.9%5.444.63-0.0
/ 200 IP—67632009091321221793%3.014.5%13.4%1.1%1.9%5.444.63+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ramiro Villanueva (OGILVIE) —— 4.37 23.1%9.4%3.0%— 4.09 24.3%15.7%96 -0.28 ———
Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP 20 SP 3.82 23.6%11.4%2.3%.337 3.35 15.0%3.0%27 -0.47 2.50 103 88
José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 21 SP 4.04 19.1%9.9%2.3%.329 3.72 17.9%9.9%436 -0.32 3.08 543 82
Carmen Mlodzinski R 2028 · 4.04 FIP 22 SP 4.04 23.1%10.8%2.8%.311 3.85 20.9%11.1%236 -0.19 3.12 482 81
Chris Clark R 2027 · 3.41 FIP 21 SP 3.41 18.9%6.9%1.9%.362 4.78 17.6%7.1%303 +1.37 3.41 322 81
Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 20 SP 3.83 19.9%9.6%2.2%.238 4.84 20.2%8.3%230 +1.01 3.83 358 80
Carson Fulmer R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 21 SP 4.04 21.4%11.5%2.4%.259 4.87 17.1%4.0%364 +0.83 3.84 879 80
Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP 21 SP- 5.08 21.3%11.8%4.2%.277 4.65 16.2%4.0%187 -0.43 4.20 301 80
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2028 · 4.00 FIP 22 SP 4.00 21.9%9.8%2.7%.175 4.15 18.0%7.5%168 +0.15 3.59 307 80
Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP 22 SP- 3.85 20.9%11.4%2.0%.333 3.99 21.4%12.6%184 +0.14 2.91 439 79
Christian Zazueta R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 20 SP 3.80 22.0%7.0%3.0%.277 3.55 28.6%22.7%66 -0.25 3.55 276 79
Jimmy Joyce R 2028 · 3.67 FIP 22 SP 3.67 25.0%9.0%2.8%.341 3.99 20.4%9.7%242 +0.32 3.44 259 79
Cody Laweryson R 2029 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP 4.23 21.7%8.4%3.5%.329 3.55 21.5%12.4%178 -0.68 2.49 298 79
Nate Dohm R 2028 · 4.86 FIP 22 SP 4.86 21.1%11.5%3.8%.309 4.59 17.7%2.6%40 -0.27 4.59 115 79
Chad Patrick R 2029 · 3.92 FIP 23 SP 3.92 20.3%9.9%2.3%.315 4.36 22.3%13.8%422 +0.44 3.76 537 78
Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 20 SP 4.02 17.4%9.5%2.2%.343 5.04 15.2%8.2%202 +1.02 4.02 412 78
Dylan Wilson R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 20 SP 3.60 20.6%10.7%1.6%.305 — ——— — 3.47 139 78
Jonathan Stiever R 2027 · 4.39 FIP 21 SP 4.39 22.9%9.7%3.6%.308 4.32 20.7%14.2%219 -0.07 3.96 247 78
Tanner Burns R 2028 · 4.07 FIP 22 SP 4.07 22.2%10.6%2.8%.292 5.42 19.5%6.0%244 +1.35 4.07 378 78
Eric Cerantola R 2028 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP 4.56 23.8%7.9%4.5%.392 4.05 24.8%9.6%198 -0.51 3.53 281 78
Caleb Sampen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP 22 SP 3.46 21.7%8.3%2.1%.358 3.46 15.2%6.8%139 +0.00 3.03 213 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION93325.1%8.3%1.114.02
Daniel Hudson ('24)95225.5%8.9%1.133.75
Trevor May ('23)85127.6%8.3%1.183.83
Ryan Tepera ('22)74824.7%8.8%1.123.53
Joakim Soria ('21)75426.1%7.8%0.923.65
Nick Wittgren ('23)84121.6%7.0%1.154.04
Sergio Romo ('21)75026.3%7.0%1.203.70