Luke Albright
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%21.8%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 6 | 6 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.47 | 5.99 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 6 | 6 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 3.47 | 4.30 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 26 | 26 | 123 | 552 | 130 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 4.7 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.49 | 6.08 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 26 | 26 | 123 | 552 | 130 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 5.49 | 4.15 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 25 | 25 | 112 | 514 | 136 | 69 | 11 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.4% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 5.46 | 3.78 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 25 | 25 | 112 | 514 | 136 | 69 | 11 | 100% | 4.5 | 26.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 2.1% | 5.46 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 18 | 3 | 34 | 174 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 17% | 1.9 | 17.2% | 18.3% | -1.1% | 4.7% | 9.79 | 6.57 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 18 | 3 | 34 | 174 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 17% | 1.9 | 21.3% | 16.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.79 | 7.31 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 40 | 181 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 2.0 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 4.69 | 4.53 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 40 | 181 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 2.0 | 24.9% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 26 | 109 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 25 | 107 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 105 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 60 | 333 | 1518 | 295 | 213 | 53 | 63% | 3.5 | 19.4% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.68 | 5.17 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 36 | 200 | 913 | 177 | 128 | 32 | 63% | 3.5 | 19.4% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.68 | 5.17 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luke Albright (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.82 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 25 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 81 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 76 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 75 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 73 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 72 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 72 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 72 |
| Trent Sellers R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.09 | 23.5% | 14.2% | 4.0% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 236 | 72 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 72 |
| Tony Dibrell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.18 | 23.8% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .314 | 8.89 | 13.5% | -3.3% | 29 | +3.71 | 4.21 | 347 | 72 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 71 |
| Brandt Thompson R 2024 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 162 | 70 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 70 |
| Deylen Miley R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 69 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.41 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 48 | -0.98 | 2.10 | 224 | 69 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 69 |
| Logan Martin R 2025 · 5.68 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.68 | 20.8% | 12.7% | 5.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 223 | 69 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 69 |
| Keyvius Sampson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.21 | 19.6% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 316 | 69 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.74 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .236 | 3.71 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 172 | -1.03 | 2.59 | 280 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 21.9% | 12.6% | 1.13 | 4.83 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |