Luke Albright — OGILVIE

Luke Albright P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%20.7%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%5.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	6	6	23	97	22	11	3	100%	3.9	16.8%	13.4%	3.4%	4.4%	3.47	5.77	—
2021	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	6	6	23	97	22	11	3	100%	3.9	22.7%	11.3%	11.3%	3.1%	3.47	4.30	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	26	26	123	552	130	56	17	100%	4.7	18.1%	11.7%	6.5%	4.5%	5.49	5.54	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	26	26	123	552	130	56	17	100%	4.7	23.6%	10.1%	13.4%	3.1%	5.49	4.15	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	25	25	112	514	136	69	11	100%	4.5	21.4%	14.8%	6.7%	1.6%	5.46	4.02	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	25	25	112	514	136	69	11	100%	4.5	21.4%	14.8%	6.7%	1.6%	5.46	4.02	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	25	25	112	514	136	69	11	100%	4.5	26.5%	13.4%	13.0%	2.1%	5.46	3.80	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	18	3	34	174	37	29	10	17%	1.9	17.2%	18.3%	-1.1%	5.6%	9.79	7.05	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	18	3	34	174	37	29	10	17%	1.9	17.2%	18.3%	-1.1%	5.6%	9.79	7.05	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	18	3	34	174	37	29	10	17%	1.9	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	5.7%	9.79	7.31	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	40	181	45	28	6	0%	2.0	21.3%	15.5%	5.8%	2.9%	4.69	4.85	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	40	181	45	28	6	0%	2.0	21.3%	15.5%	5.8%	2.9%	4.69	4.85	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	40	181	45	28	6	0%	2.0	24.9%	15.5%	9.4%	3.3%	4.69	4.89	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	ARI	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	20.7%	15.2%	5.5%	3.1%	5.35	5.35	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	6	6	36	151	32	22	5	100%	6.0	21.0%	14.7%	6.3%	3.1%	5.27	5.28	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	2	2	13	55	12	8	2	100%	6.5	21.0%	14.7%	6.3%	3.1%	5.27	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	13	57	12	8	2	100%	6.7	21.0%	14.7%	6.3%	3.1%	5.27	4.90	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	178	119	30	100%	6.0	21.0%	14.7%	6.3%	3.1%	5.27	4.90	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		95	60	333	1518	295	213	52	63%	3.5	19.4%	14.0%	5.4%	3.4%	5.68	5.13	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	36	200	913	177	128	31	63%	3.5	19.4%	14.0%	5.4%	3.4%	5.68	5.13	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luke Albright (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	20.7%	15.2%	3.1%	—	5.28	21.0%	6.3%	36	-0.07	—	—	—
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	78
Tony Dibrell R 2022 · 4.96 FIP	26	SP-	4.96	23.8%	17.4%	3.0%	.314	8.67	12.7%	-1.7%	29	+3.71	4.18	347	75
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	75
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	74
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	73
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.59	20.3%	8.6%	172	-1.23	2.64	280	73
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	73
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	73
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	72
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	72
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	72
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	71
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.01	21.7%	7.0%	161	-1.05	3.37	241	71
Bryce Conley R 2021 · 4.31 FIP	26	SW	4.31	17.9%	12.2%	2.2%	.285	4.22	16.4%	5.3%	48	-0.09	4.22	560	70
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	70
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	70
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	69
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	69
Michael Murray R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.2%	12.9%	2.0%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	116	69
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	20.9%	14.9%	1.20	5.30
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84