Luke Albright
P Amarillo Sod Poodles| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | AAARI | 25 | 25 | 112 | 5.46 | 3.80 | 26.5% | 13.4% | — | K 21.4% · BB 14.8% · FIP 4.02 | |
| 2024 | 24 | AAARI | 18 | 3 | 34 | 9.79 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 16.7% | — | K 17.2% · BB 18.3% · FIP 7.05 | |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX2 levels | 20 | 0 | 40 | 4.69 | 4.89 | 24.9% | 15.5% | — | K 21.3% · BB 15.5% · FIP 4.85 | |
| 2026 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBARI | — | — | 0 | 5.16 | 5.16 | 21.3% | 14.1% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 28 | MLBARI | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5.12 | 5.16 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | 6 | 6 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.47 | 5.77 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Visalia Rawhide | 6 | 6 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 3.47 | 4.30 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | 26 | 26 | 123 | 552 | 130 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 4.7 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.49 | 5.54 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Hillsboro Hops | 26 | 26 | 123 | 552 | 130 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 5.49 | 4.15 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 25 | 25 | 112 | 514 | 136 | 69 | 11 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.4% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 5.46 | 4.02 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 25 | 25 | 112 | 514 | 136 | 69 | 11 | 100% | 4.5 | 26.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 2.1% | 5.46 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 18 | 3 | 34 | 174 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 17% | 1.9 | 17.2% | 18.3% | -1.1% | 5.6% | 9.79 | 7.05 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 18 | 3 | 34 | 174 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 17% | 1.9 | 17.2% | 18.3% | -1.1% | 5.6% | 9.79 | 7.05 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 18 | 3 | 34 | 174 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 17% | 1.9 | 21.3% | 16.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.79 | 7.31 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 40 | 181 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 2.0 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.85 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 40 | 181 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 2.0 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.85 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 40 | 181 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 2.0 | 24.9% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.89 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 5.16 | 5.16 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 3 | 3 | 21 | 87 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.9 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.16 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 7.8 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 4.78 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 129 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 4.78 | +1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 95 | 60 | 333 | 1518 | 295 | 213 | 52 | 63% | 3.5 | 19.4% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.68 | 5.13 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 57 | 36 | 200 | 913 | 177 | 128 | 31 | 63% | 3.5 | 19.4% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.68 | 5.13 | +0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 36 IPFIP 4.43 → 4.85 (+0.42)K% 26.3% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.28% | — | ×0.810 | 21.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 14.10% | — | ×1.100 | 15.51% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.21% | ÷1.333 | ×1.200 | 2.89% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 167).
Result: FIP 4.43 → 4.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAReno Aces · 4 IPFIP 6.98 → 7.34 (+0.36)K% 16.0% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 16.00% | — | ×0.860 | 13.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 24.00% | — | ×0.900 | 21.60% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.00% | ÷0.904 | ×1.100 | 4.87% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 81).
Result: FIP 6.98 → 7.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 34 IPFIP 6.57 → 7.05 (+0.48)K% 21.3% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.26% | — | ×0.810 | 17.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 16.67% | — | ×1.100 | 18.33% |
| HR / BF /BF | 5.75% | ÷1.229 | ×1.200 | 5.61% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 146).
Result: FIP 6.57 → 7.05, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 112 IPFIP 3.74 → 4.02 (+0.28)K% 26.5% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.46% | — | ×0.810 | 21.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.42% | — | ×1.100 | 14.77% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.14% | ÷1.637 | ×1.200 | 1.57% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 227).
Result: FIP 3.74 → 4.02, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hillsboro Hops · 123 IPFIP 4.09 → 5.54 (+1.45)K% 23.6% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.55% | — | ×0.770 | 18.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.14% | — | ×1.150 | 11.67% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.08% | ÷0.848 | ×1.250 | 4.54% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 70).
Result: FIP 4.09 → 5.54, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AVisalia Rawhide · 23 IPFIP 4.32 → 5.77 (+1.45)K% 22.7% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.68% | — | ×0.740 | 16.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.34% | — | ×1.180 | 13.38% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.09% | ÷0.923 | ×1.300 | 4.36% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 85).
Result: FIP 4.32 → 5.77, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).