Jake McCutcheon — OGILVIE

Jake McCutcheon2B Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 195 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION233 act + 155 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .266 / .289

PA155

HR3

K%30

BB%9

BABIP246

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	MIA	—	233	205	28	4	1	4	22	79	3	7	3	137	230	224	455	88	192	34	9	218	25	-20	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
YTD	22	A	MIA	—	233	197	35	5	2	5	30	57	3	7	3	178	296	299	595	122	217	24	13	275	68	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
ROS	22	A	MIA	0%	155	138	25	4	1	3	14	47	2	3	1	181	266	289	555	108	244	30	9	253	51	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		240	—	—	241	43	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	MIA	—	233	206	28	4	1	4	22	79	3	7	3	136	230	223	454	87	190	34	9	218	25	-20	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
TOT	22	A	MIA	—	388	343	53	8	2	7	36	126	5	10	4	154	245	250	495	96	215	32	9	232	36	-28	+0	+0	+1	+11	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIA	34%	526	468	88	15	3	11	48	154	5	10	3	188	271	303	574	115	254	29	9	265	61	-23	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.6
2028	24	MLB	MIA	46%	569	506	100	17	4	13	52	163	6	10	3	198	280	324	604	126	258	29	9	271	66	-22	+1	+0	+2	+16	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	MIA	34%	181	161	30	5	1	4	16	53	2	3	1	186	268	304	573	118	250	29	9	254	52	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	MIA	46%	263	234	46	8	2	6	24	76	3	5	1	197	280	325	604	128	254	29	9	260	57	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	444	396	76	13	3	10	40	129	5	8	2	192	275	316	591	124	255	29	9	257	55	-22	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	111	19	4	15	59	189	7	12	3	191	275	316	590	124	253	29	9	257	55	-33	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	1250	1112	213	36	8	27	114	364	13	23	7	191	274	311	585	120	255	29	9	266	62	-54	+2	+0	+4	+35	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	111	19	4	14	59	189	7	12	4	192	275	311	586	119	256	29	9	266	62	-28	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	763	16	14	199	277	319	+3	+2	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	14	12	199	277	319	+2.4	+1.7	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake McCutcheon (OGILVIE)	22	26→31	40→45	50→55	60	154/245/250	96	215	7	10	32%	9%	36	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Daury Arias 2023 · A	21	39→38	43→40	46→45	50	195/281/303	108	247	11	8	25%	9%	64	-0.8	181/258/263	82	272	6	9	33%	8%	43	-2.2	160/240/230	70	246	5	9	34%	8%	24	-1.8
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	42→39	47→45	55→50	44	211/280/363	152	291	13	14	31%	8%	78	+0.2	197/255/323	126	277	13	15	32%	6%	58	-1.2	180/237/301	121	250	13	15	33%	6%	41	-1.5
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	37→41	48→45	50→45	49	193/307/330	137	261	17	7	31%	10%	84	+0.6	184/294/281	97	261	9	5	30%	10%	66	-0.6	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Cody Rogers 2011 · A	22	39	47→40	56→50	42	202/265/336	134	274	15	14	31%	7%	65	-0.7	191/253/287	96	272	7	16	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/244/268	87	259	6	18	31%	6%	36	-2.1
✕Francisco Santana 2010 · A	22	43	42→50	57→55	43	212/261/324	112	266	9	13	24%	6%	59	-1.1	198/235/292	94	282	7	8	31%	4%	39	-2.5	164/182/259	96	230	6	6	32%	2%	4	-1.5
✕Tyler Frost 2018 · A	22	42→32	43→50	54→50	40	206/259/322	115	285	9	6	30%	6%	58	-1.2	182/240/297	115	298	12	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	163/224/276	113	271	13	7	43%	6%	30	-2.4
✕Marcus Chiu 2019 · A	22	41→26	45	53→45	38	202/283/327	125	286	12	11	32%	5%	72	-0.2	178/269/302	124	310	14	6	44%	8%	59	-1.1	160/249/283	123	273	15	3	44%	7%	43	-1.3
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	42	45	47→30	51	208/291/330	122	251	13	6	22%	9%	76	+0.0	212/273/316	104	251	9	3	18%	7%	63	-0.9	208/267/312	103	241	9	1	17%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Michael Cruz 2018 · A	22	40	40→55	48→30	48	196/276/284	88	244	7	5	22%	8%	57	-1.2	213/266/361	148	243	17	4	20%	6%	72	-0.2	187/252/334	147	215	19	1	23%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→50	47→30	41	206/265/302	96	286	9	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	194/271/313	119	274	11	3	31%	9%	62	-0.9	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Austin Callahan 2023 · A	22	42→36	47→45	47→45	42	211/274/347	136	291	14	8	31%	7%	72	-0.2	186/235/282	96	305	8	6	39%	6%	38	-2.6	170/218/251	81	283	6	5	40%	5%	20	-2.2