Christopher Familia

Christopher FamiliaCF Somerset Patriots

Age 26 L/L 5'10" / 226 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .294 / .374

PA136

HR3

K%35

BB%7

ISO144

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	49	42	9	3	1	1	3	13	2	1	0	214	298	405	703	190	267	27	6	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	49	40	11	4	1	1	5	9	2	1	0	275	383	500	883	225	312	18	10	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	203	181	33	11	0	1	14	57	7	9	4	182	267	260	527	77	258	28	7	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	203	173	46	16	0	2	22	39	7	9	4	266	371	393	764	127	331	19	11	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	228	201	37	7	0	8	18	58	8	4	1	184	278	338	616	154	213	25	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	228	190	46	8	0	11	29	39	8	4	1	242	366	458	824	216	248	17	13	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	365	339	81	11	2	20	18	104	6	0	1	239	289	460	749	221	281	28	5	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	365	327	97	15	2	23	30	72	6	0	1	297	366	566	932	269	316	20	8	403	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	3 teams	—	175	163	27	5	1	4	8	72	3	0	0	166	218	282	501	117	261	41	5	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	3 teams	—	175	157	39	9	1	6	14	48	3	0	0	248	322	433	755	185	317	27	8	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	22	20	3	2	1	0	2	11	0	0	0	150	227	350	577	200	333	50	9	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	22	19	3	2	1	0	3	8	0	0	0	158	273	368	641	211	273	36	14	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	NYY	—	136	124	29	6	1	3	9	47	2	2	1	234	296	371	667	137	342	35	7	300	88	-2	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	NYY	33%	209	190	44	9	1	5	15	70	2	3	1	232	295	368	663	137	336	33	7	302	90	-2	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2028	28	MLB	NYY	50%	276	251	59	12	2	7	20	90	3	4	1	235	299	382	682	147	333	33	7	303	90	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2029	29	MLB	NYY	56%	310	280	66	13	2	8	23	101	4	4	1	236	303	382	685	146	330	33	7	302	90	-4	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2027	27	MLB	NYY	33%	70	64	15	3	0	2	5	23	1	1	0	234	300	375	675	141	338	33	7	297	85	-1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB	NYY	50%	137	124	30	6	1	4	10	45	2	2	1	242	309	403	712	161	334	33	7	298	86	-2	+0	-0	+0	+4	0.2
2029	29	MLB	NYY	56%	173	156	37	7	1	5	13	56	2	2	1	237	304	391	695	154	332	32	8	297	85	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	380	344	82	16	2	11	28	124	5	5	2	238	305	392	697	154	336	33	7	297	86	-6	+0	-1	+1	+11	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	140	27	3	19	48	212	9	9	3	238	305	391	697	153	336	33	7	297	86	-11	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	1973	1791	388	79	11	57	130	623	37	27	10	217	283	369	652	152	295	32	7	287	78	-50	+1	-2	+7	+56	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	128	26	4	19	43	205	12	9	3	217	284	371	655	154	295	32	7	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	49	40	11	4	1	1	5	9	2	1	0	275	383	500	883	225	312	18	10	374	144	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	21	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	203	173	46	16	0	2	22	39	7	9	4	266	371	393	764	127	331	19	11	347	124	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2022	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	132	116	24	3	0	5	11	27	4	4	0	207	298	362	660	155	224	20	8	298	86	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	22	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	96	74	22	5	0	6	18	12	4	0	1	297	458	608	1.066	311	286	12	19	462	212	+12	-0	—	—	+3	1.5
2023	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	199	178	47	4	0	11	17	44	2	0	0	264	335	472	807	208	288	22	9	353	129	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2023	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	83	33	7	2	11	8	17	4	0	1	398	474	928	1.401	530	400	18	8	583	304	+22	-0	—	—	+3	2.5
2023	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	71	66	17	4	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	258	310	364	673	106	296	15	7	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	24	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	129	115	21	5	0	3	10	40	3	0	0	183	266	304	570	122	247	31	8	261	58	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	24	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	23	22	7	1	1	2	1	5	0	0	0	318	348	727	1.075	409	333	22	4	455	207	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	24	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	23	20	11	3	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	550	609	850	1.459	300	625	13	13	624	336	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	22	19	3	2	1	0	3	8	0	0	0	158	273	368	641	211	273	36	14	285	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Robertslast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,639 PA	5	1,639	45	35	248	323	395	+5	+20	7.5	7.5
	/162	664	18	14	248	323	395	+2.0	+8.0	3.0	pk7: 7
#2Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Dan Wilsonlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,801 PA	5	1,801	27	5	259	301	360	+6	+13	3.4	3.4
#6Dan Wilsonlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,801 PA	/162	664	10	2	259	301	360	+2.1	+4.7	1.3	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	383	10	5	235	298	381	+1	+2	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	17	9	235	298	381	+2.4	+4.3	1.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christopher Familia (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	232/294/374	142	342	3	2	35%	7%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Riley Adams 2022 · MLB	26	46→42	51→50	48→40	44	218/319/385	167	331	18	5	36%	9%	102	+1.8	222/298/381	159	309	17	4	32%	8%	92	+1.2	219/292/379	159	300	17	2	31%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Joey Bart 2023 · MLB	26	49	51→55	45→40	40	239/305/392	153	347	20	5	35%	7%	97	+1.5	239/317/374	135	326	16	4	29%	8%	97	+1.5	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Zack Collins 2021 · MLB	26	41→43	49→50	49→40	49	203/297/358	155	301	17	4	36%	11%	85	+0.7	199/289/343	144	290	15	6	34%	11%	78	+0.2	189/281/328	139	279	15	4	35%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Justin Dirden 2023 · AAA	26	46→47	52→55	51→45	40	225/295/400	175	329	18	10	36%	7%	95	+1.4	207/266/346	139	322	14	10	38%	6%	68	-0.5	188/248/325	137	286	15	6	38%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Luis Liberato 2022 · AAA	26	50→51	48→55	52→50	41	248/291/388	140	327	15	7	29%	6%	89	+0.9	212/277/349	137	303	14	10	33%	8%	73	-0.1	197/268/327	130	284	13	11	33%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Charles Leblanc 2023 · MLB	27	48→52	52→55	49→45	40	238/297/406	168	340	19	10	34%	7%	97	+1.5	220/306/363	143	310	16	7	32%	10%	89	+1.0	195/302/336	140	270	17	5	32%	12%	79	+0.2
✕Blake Sabol 2023 · AAA	25	49→47	49→55	52→50	41	236/294/390	155	345	16	9	35%	7%	91	+1.1	224/291/360	136	315	16	10	32%	8%	82	+0.5	207/281/327	119	289	15	11	32%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Kort Peterson 2019 · AA	25	48→42	50	50	34	234/286/394	160	341	17	10	35%	4%	89	+1.0	201/248/339	138	304	16	9	38%	4%	59	-1.1	156/195/276	120	233	15	6	40%	3%	17	-2.1
✕Vinny Capra 2022 · AA	26	47→50	47→45	52→50	41	230/288/371	140	317	14	10	31%	6%	83	+0.6	247/311/362	115	310	11	11	23%	8%	91	+1.1	246/313/340	94	302	9	11	20%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2021 · MLB	25	45→47	48→50	49→50	44	225/287/369	144	298	16	12	29%	8%	82	+0.5	221/285/353	132	308	13	10	31%	8%	78	+0.2	211/279/335	125	300	12	6	32%	8%	67	-0.1
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2013 · MLB	25	50	47→60	45→50	43	243/300/384	141	336	14	10	31%	7%	92	+1.2	217/283/377	160	301	17	10	32%	8%	83	+0.6	219/300/412	193	303	21	11	33%	10%	95	+0.8
✕Nate Tenbrink 2014 · AAA	27	47→51	49→50	49→50	42	228/297/382	154	325	16	13	33%	8%	90	+1.0	225/284/362	137	334	15	11	35%	7%	79	+0.3	203/264/311	108	362	9	0	43%	8%	53	-0.2
✕Robbie Glendinning 2022 · AA	26	50→43	48→50	49→45	38	232/289/376	144	366	16	10	39%	7%	85	+0.7	217/301/371	154	359	19	8	41%	10%	90	+1.0	204/295/359	155	336	20	6	41%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Daniel Johnson 2021 · AAA	26	48→50	51→55	50→55	40	244/291/416	171	312	18	14	28%	5%	96	+1.5	214/269/373	159	296	20	12	33%	6%	76	+0.1	234/288/409	175	280	23	21	25%	6%	91	+0.8
✕Jordan Danks 2014 · MLB	27	49	48→50	51→50	47	241/311/380	139	325	15	14	29%	9%	95	+1.4	229/288/344	115	324	13	9	31%	7%	76	+0.1	223/279/323	100	318	12	7	32%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Kevin Randel 2007 · AA	26	49→50	47→55	47→45	46	238/309/375	137	322	14	8	29%	8%	93	+1.3	229/306/384	155	310	15	6	29%	9%	95	+1.4	220/303/379	159	295	16	5	29%	10%	90	+0.7
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	44→54	52→50	43→40	47	223/324/388	165	300	20	3	31%	9%	105	+2.1	204/288/345	141	275	15	5	30%	8%	78	+0.2	160/245/277	117	216	10	0	30%	7%	40	-1.0
✕T.J. Bennett 2017 · A	25	48	47→50	47→40	38	231/290/372	141	343	15	6	35%	6%	85	+0.7	212/271/331	119	321	11	7	35%	6%	66	-0.6	180/243/293	113	260	10	4	33%	7%	42	-0.7
✕Matt Lloyd 2021 · A	25	44→43	46→50	46→50	40	216/276/346	130	315	13	9	34%	7%	72	-0.2	216/284/374	158	316	20	7	36%	8%	83	+0.6	214/289/348	135	294	16	12	31%	9%	78	+0.1
✕John Hester 2010 · MLB	26	49	48→55	51→50	39	244/280/397	153	311	14	12	26%	4%	87	+0.8	226/280/353	127	303	12	7	28%	6%	76	+0.0	204/268/316	112	278	12	2	29%	7%	58	-0.6