Christopher Familia
CF Somerset Patriots| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 365 | .297/.366/.566 | 23 | 0 | 101 | — | .240/.291/.477 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+/A/ROKNYY | 175 | .248/.322/.433 | 6 | 0 | 39 | — | .166/.218/.288 |
| 2025 | 25 | AANYY | 22 | .158/.273/.368 | 0 | 0 | 32 | — | .150/.227/.350 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBNYY | 2 | .204/.268/.319 | 0 | 0 | 64 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBNYY | 34 | .205/.269/.319 | 1 | 0 | 64 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees | — | 49 | 40 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 383 | 500 | 883 | 225 | 312 | 18 | 10 | 374 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 203 | 173 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 39 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 266 | 371 | 393 | 764 | 127 | 331 | 19 | 11 | 347 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 132 | 116 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 298 | 362 | 660 | 155 | 224 | 20 | 8 | 298 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 96 | 74 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 458 | 608 | 1.066 | 311 | 286 | 12 | 19 | 462 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 199 | 178 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 335 | 472 | 807 | 208 | 288 | 22 | 9 | 353 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 95 | 83 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 398 | 474 | 928 | 1.401 | 530 | 400 | 18 | 8 | 583 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 71 | 66 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 310 | 364 | 673 | 106 | 296 | 15 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 129 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 266 | 304 | 570 | 122 | 247 | 31 | 8 | 261 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 23 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 318 | 348 | 727 | 1.075 | 409 | 333 | 22 | 4 | 455 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 23 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 550 | 609 | 850 | 1.459 | 300 | 625 | 13 | 13 | 624 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 22 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 273 | 368 | 641 | 211 | 273 | 36 | 14 | 285 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 49 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 277 | 310 | 586 | 119 | 197 | 22 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 203 | 180 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 156 | 248 | 222 | 470 | 67 | 202 | 24 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 132 | 120 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 158 | 229 | 275 | 504 | 117 | 195 | 29 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 96 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 344 | 420 | 764 | 198 | 225 | 18 | 11 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 199 | 186 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 249 | 366 | 614 | 161 | 236 | 29 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 95 | 86 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 314 | 379 | 709 | 1.088 | 395 | 339 | 25 | 5 | 431 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 129 | 120 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 172 | 192 | 364 | 75 | 194 | 43 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 500 | 761 | 273 | 281 | 30 | 4 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 23 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 381 | 435 | 619 | 1.054 | 238 | 451 | 17 | 9 | 418 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 350 | 577 | 200 | 245 | 45 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 49 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 277 | 310 | 586 | 119 | 242 | 22 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees | — | 49 | 40 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 383 | 500 | 883 | 225 | 312 | 18 | 10 | 374 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 203 | 180 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 156 | 248 | 222 | 470 | 67 | 205 | 24 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 203 | 173 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 39 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 266 | 371 | 393 | 764 | 127 | 331 | 19 | 11 | 347 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 201 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 184 | 278 | 333 | 611 | 149 | 209 | 24 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 228 | 190 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 366 | 458 | 824 | 216 | 248 | 17 | 13 | 367 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 365 | 339 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 101 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 287 | 463 | 750 | 227 | 269 | 28 | 5 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 365 | 327 | 97 | 15 | 2 | 23 | 30 | 72 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 366 | 566 | 932 | 269 | 316 | 20 | 8 | 403 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 175 | 163 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 224 | 294 | 519 | 123 | 258 | 38 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 175 | 157 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 322 | 433 | 755 | 185 | 317 | 27 | 8 | 334 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 350 | 577 | 200 | 300 | 45 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | Somerset Patriots | — | 22 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 273 | 368 | 641 | 211 | 273 | 36 | 14 | 285 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 49 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 277 | 295 | 572 | 114 | 197 | 22 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 203 | 179 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 156 | 248 | 223 | 471 | 67 | 202 | 24 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 200 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 185 | 278 | 335 | 613 | 150 | 208 | 24 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 365 | 338 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 101 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 287 | 464 | 751 | 228 | 269 | 28 | 5 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 175 | 162 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 224 | 296 | 520 | 123 | 239 | 38 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 350 | 577 | 200 | 245 | 45 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 175 | 162 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 224 | 296 | 520 | 123 | 239 | 38 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 350 | 577 | 200 | 245 | 45 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 2% | 200 | 182 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 203 | 267 | 315 | 582 | 111 | 280 | 30 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 268 | 319 | 587 | 115 | 279 | 50 | 0 | 265 | 64 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 27% | 128 | 117 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 268 | 315 | 583 | 111 | 279 | 30 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 27% | 34 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 269 | 319 | 588 | 115 | 279 | 29 | 6 | 265 | 64 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 238 | 29 | 6 | 265 | 67 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 612 | 114 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 191 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 234 | 310 | 544 | 124 | 236 | 29 | 6 | 265 | 67 | -28 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +14 | -1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1254 | 1139 | 224 | 44 | 7 | 37 | 79 | 355 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 197 | 266 | 345 | 611 | 148 | 248 | 28 | 6 | 266 | 67 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 116 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 184 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 197 | 266 | 346 | 612 | 149 | 248 | 28 | 6 | 266 | 67 | -28 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AASomerset Patriots · 22 PAwOBA .279 → .215 (−64)K% 36.4% → 45.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.36% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 16.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.056 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 8.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .279 → .215; ISO .211 → .169; BABIP .273 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 129 PAwOBA .256 → .172 (−84)K% 31.0% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.01% | ÷0.946 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.099 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 4.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.33% | ÷1.025 | ×0.870 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 14.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 89, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .256 → .172; ISO .122 → .085; BABIP .247 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ATampa Tarpons · 23 PAwOBA .441 → .329 (−112)K% 21.7% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.959 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 2.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.035 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 15.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 5.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 9.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .441 → .329; ISO .409 → .303; BABIP .333 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Yankees · 23 PAwOBA .607 → .418 (−190)K% 13.0% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.972 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.988 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 7.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.18% | ÷1.002 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 32.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.087 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 11.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.142 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 3.84% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 94, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .607 → .418; ISO .300 → .190; BABIP .625 → .451. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 199 PAwOBA .347 → .269 (−78)K% 22.1% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.11% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.54% | ÷1.092 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷1.004 | ×0.870 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 2.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.21% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 7.16% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .347 → .269; ISO .208 → .174; BABIP .288 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ATampa Tarpons · 95 PAwOBA .566 → .431 (−135)K% 17.9% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.21% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.70% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.990 | 17.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.61% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.990 | 8.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×0.990 | 2.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 12.16% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .566 → .431; ISO .530 → .390; BABIP .400 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ATampa Tarpons · 132 PAwOBA .292 → .225 (−67)K% 20.5% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.98% | ÷1.085 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | — | 15.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.37% | ÷0.989 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | — | 2.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×1.046 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.026 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.38% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 117, 2B 98, 3B 87, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .292 → .225; ISO .155 → .117; BABIP .224 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Yankees · 96 PAwOBA .450 → .331 (−119)K% 12.5% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.026 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 11.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.74% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 14.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷0.974 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 6.91% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .450 → .331; ISO .311 → .235; BABIP .286 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .