DJ Newman

OF Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 23 R/R A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2327ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A+/A/ROKHOU	207	.343/.420/.536	6	17	101	—	.267/.327/.405
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBHOU	317	.218/.280/.337	6	8	74	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBHOU	47	.224/.286/.349	1	1	77	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBHOU	96	.226/.289/.355	2	2	79	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

wOBA98

wRC+97

ISO70

Whiff%69

K%58

Speed50

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsTroy Stokes Jr. (age 23) · Michael Guldberg (age 23) · Kyler Fedko (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 120 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .278 / .335

PA120

HR2

K%29

BB%7

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	76	72	30	5	0	3	4	17	0	5	0	417	447	611	1.058	194	519	22	5	465	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	105	86	23	6	1	3	17	27	0	11	1	267	388	465	853	198	345	26	16	373	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	FCL Astros	—	26	23	9	4	0	0	2	6	1	1	1	391	462	565	1.027	174	529	23	8	454	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	76	74	24	4	0	2	2	22	0	5	0	324	342	459	802	135	439	29	3	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	105	91	20	5	1	2	12	37	0	11	1	220	311	363	673	143	316	35	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	26	24	7	3	0	0	1	9	1	1	1	292	346	417	763	125	396	35	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	207	189	50	11	1	5	15	68	1	17	2	265	322	413	735	148	381	33	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	207	181	62	15	1	6	23	50	1	17	2	343	420	536	955	193	441	24	11	417	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	207	189	50	11	1	5	15	68	1	17	2	265	322	413	735	148	371	33	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	207	189	50	11	1	5	15	68	1	17	2	265	322	413	735	148	371	33	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	317	289	63	12	2	6	23	92	2	8	1	218	280	337	618	119	293	29	7	277	74	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	156	143	31	6	1	3	11	45	1	4	1	221	284	346	629	124	294	29	7	282	77	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	218	198	44	8	1	5	16	62	2	5	1	223	286	351	638	128	294	28	7	286	79	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	273	249	55	10	2	6	20	76	2	7	1	224	288	356	644	131	294	28	7	288	81	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	302	274	62	12	2	7	23	84	2	7	1	224	289	356	644	131	293	28	8	288	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	320	291	65	12	2	7	24	89	2	6	1	223	288	354	642	130	292	28	8	287	81	-7	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	47	44	9	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	224	286	349	635	125	299	28	6	284	77	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	96	88	20	4	1	2	7	27	1	2	0	226	289	355	643	129	299	28	7	288	79	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	138	126	29	6	1	3	10	39	1	3	1	227	291	359	649	132	298	28	7	290	81	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	158	144	33	6	1	4	12	44	1	4	1	227	291	359	650	132	298	28	8	291	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	171	155	35	7	1	4	13	47	1	3	1	226	291	357	647	131	297	27	8	290	81	-4	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	610	557	126	25	4	14	45	170	4	13	3	226	289	361	650	135	298	28	7	289	82	-14	+1	-0	-4	+13	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	134	27	4	15	48	181	4	14	3	226	288	360	648	135	297	28	7	289	82	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1596	1453	331	64	10	35	118	459	11	49	8	228	291	358	649	130	305	29	7	290	82	-34	+4	-1	-8	+30	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	134	26	4	14	48	187	4	20	3	226	289	355	644	128	304	29	7	290	82	-16	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 105 PAwOBA .371 → .298 (−73)K% 25.7% → 35.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.71%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	34.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.19%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	11.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.03%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×0.990	21.07%
Doubles /BIP	10.17%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×0.990	8.77%
Triples /BIP	1.69%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×0.990	1.60%
Home runs /BIP	5.08%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	4.03%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .371 → .298; ISO .198 → .159; BABIP .345 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 76 PAwOBA .452 → .353 (−100)K% 22.4% → 29.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.37%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	29.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	3.15%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	40.00%	÷1.000	×0.870	—	×0.998	34.73%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.998	7.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.45%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	4.79%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .452 → .353; ISO .194 → .153; BABIP .519 → .439. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Astros · 26 PAwOBA .442 → .294 (−148)K% 23.1% → 33.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.08%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	33.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.965	4.60%
HBP% /PA	3.85%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	2.67%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.965	23.27%
Doubles /BIP	23.53%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.965	16.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.965	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.965	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .442 → .294; ISO .174 → .110; BABIP .529 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.1	730	16	17	224	284	352	-4	+0	0.0	0.1
/162	664	15	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
DJ Newman (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	216/278/335	118	293	2	3	29%	7%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	222/290/341	119	280	12	16	24%	7%	80	-0.2	214/272/298	84	283	6	12	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/259/264	60	274	3	10	25%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Matthew Lugo 2024 · AA	23	46→50	45→55	50	38	225/269/349	124	300	11	12	29%	5%	73	-0.6	224/277/381	157	309	16	15	32%	6%	84	+0.1	219/277/384	165	302	17	15	32%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Corey Julks 2019 · A	23	46→50	43→50	52→55	43	222/280/337	115	306	10	18	30%	7%	74	-0.5	214/275/320	106	297	9	13	29%	7%	68	-1.0	231/290/385	154	289	18	21	26%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	42→45	54→60	45	206/285/309	103	308	10	15	34%	9%	70	-0.8	197/279/312	115	290	12	22	34%	9%	70	-0.9	181/270/293	112	261	13	29	33%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Colby Thomas 2024 · A	23	46	46→55	53→50	35	221/272/359	137	327	13	15	35%	5%	77	-0.3	220/276/389	169	299	19	11	32%	5%	86	+0.3	212/270/384	172	282	21	9	32%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Taylor Featherston 2013 · A	23	47→46	44→50	51→50	44	226/291/350	124	304	11	11	28%	7%	82	-0.0	221/268/359	138	289	14	12	28%	5%	75	-0.5	213/256/352	139	273	14	12	27%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	42→48	45→50	52→55	42	207/282/341	133	297	12	17	33%	8%	77	-0.3	213/280/343	130	302	12	18	32%	7%	76	-0.4	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Hudson Haskin 2022 · A	23	48→47	40→45	52→50	41	223/299/320	97	312	7	18	29%	6%	78	-0.3	223/308/336	113	313	10	15	30%	7%	86	+0.3	213/307/319	106	308	10	17	31%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A	23	44→43	40→50	53→55	40	211/273/310	98	303	7	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	218/286/346	128	290	12	10	27%	7%	79	-0.2	222/308/380	158	297	16	16	29%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Lane Adams 2013 · A	23	44→45	42→50	52→60	39	215/259/317	102	292	9	12	29%	5%	61	-1.5	221/274/336	115	290	11	24	26%	6%	72	-0.7	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/283/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	199/294/337	138	307	14	5	37%	10%	81	-0.1	184/291/336	152	287	18	4	38%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Troy Schreffler Jr. 2024 · A	23	46	43→50	53→60	46	217/298/327	110	322	11	22	34%	9%	80	-0.2	195/249/310	115	301	12	22	37%	6%	57	-1.8	166/211/280	114	254	12	26	39%	4%	33	-1.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5

DJ Newman

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps