Player 823775 — OGILVIE

Player 8237751B Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age — —/— A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION207 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .296 / .400

PA27

HR0

K%30

BB%7

BABIP328

ISO160

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	HOU	—	207	189	51	11	1	5	15	70	1	17	2	270	327	418	745	148	397	34	7	322	104	+1	+3	+0	-4	+4	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	HOU	—	26	23	9	4	0	0	2	6	1	1	1	391	462	565	1.027	174	529	23	8	454	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	—	A RAW	HOU	—	105	86	23	6	1	3	17	27	0	11	1	267	388	465	853	198	345	26	16	373	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	—	A+ RAW	HOU	—	76	72	30	5	0	3	4	17	0	5	0	417	447	611	1.058	194	519	22	5	465	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	HOU	0%	27	25	6	1	0	1	2	8	0	1	0	240	296	400	696	160	326	30	7	292	84	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	HOU	—	234	214	57	12	1	6	17	78	1	18	2	266	323	416	739	150	386	33	7	318	102	+0	+3	+0	-4	+5	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	359	327	77	15	2	8	26	109	3	11	2	235	298	367	665	131	322	30	7	294	85	-6	+1	+0	-6	+8	-0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	437	398	93	18	2	10	33	130	3	14	2	234	297	364	662	131	319	30	8	298	88	-6	+2	+0	-8	+9	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	489	445	104	20	2	12	37	144	4	15	2	234	298	369	667	135	317	29	8	300	89	-6	+2	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	526	477	113	22	3	13	40	154	4	17	2	237	301	377	679	140	316	29	8	301	90	-6	+3	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	551	500	118	23	3	14	42	161	4	17	3	236	300	378	678	142	316	29	8	302	90	-6	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	569	515	123	24	3	15	44	167	5	18	3	239	305	384	689	146	316	29	8	303	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	583	528	125	24	3	15	45	171	5	18	3	237	303	379	682	142	316	29	8	303	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+13	-0.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	594	538	128	25	3	16	46	174	5	19	3	238	304	385	689	147	316	29	8	304	92	-6	+3	+0	-11	+13	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	324	—	—	290	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	321	—	—	293	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	320	—	—	295	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	319	—	—	296	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	319	—	—	296	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	318	—	—	297	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	318	—	—	298	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	318	—	—	298	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4135	3753	887	172	21	104	315	1218	33	130	20	236	301	376	678	140	319	29	8	301	90	-50	+18	+0	-74	+90	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	139	27	3	16	50	191	5	20	3	236	301	373	674	137	319	29	8	301	90	-8	+3	+0	-12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.7	4,428	109	137	235	296	373	-50	+0	3.7	3.8
/162	664	16	21	-7.5	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 823775 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	230/291/356	126	326	7	14	31%	7%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Bouchard 2021 · A	25	41→44	44→55	47→50	38	204/257/325	121	301	12	10	35%	6%	63	-1.3	223/298/397	174	302	19	12	31%	9%	95	+1.0	223/323/414	192	292	21	16	29%	12%	107	+0.9
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42	47→50	52→55	42	211/281/355	143	283	14	15	30%	7%	80	-0.2	210/290/349	139	286	16	22	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/288/338	135	274	17	27	31%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Tristin English 2022 · A	25	37→47	44→50	45→40	38	191/256/298	108	276	13	9	34%	6%	57	-1.8	215/277/339	124	283	15	5	28%	6%	74	-0.5	227/282/364	137	285	16	2	26%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Brandon Lockridge 2021 · A	24	41→51	43→45	50→65	37	202/252/319	117	294	10	12	34%	5%	59	-1.6	226/275/349	123	321	13	22	32%	6%	76	-0.4	253/321/335	81	356	3	53	27%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	45→50	42→50	53→50	39	221/265/325	104	304	10	11	30%	5%	65	-1.2	233/292/345	112	331	11	9	31%	7%	80	-0.1	238/302/353	114	340	11	8	31%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→45	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	96	252	8	14	25%	8%	61	-1.5	213/289/334	121	273	12	18	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jerad Head 2008 · A	25	41→44	44→50	49→50	41	207/274/331	124	262	11	9	25%	5%	72	-0.7	222/279/361	139	277	13	10	24%	5%	80	-0.1	229/282/384	155	280	16	9	24%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→48	42→45	52→45	43	192/260/290	98	265	10	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	210/280/309	99	283	7	8	26%	8%	69	-0.9	207/281/307	101	276	6	6	25%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	43→52	44→45	51→50	43	213/277/330	117	286	12	14	29%	7%	72	-0.7	227/293/347	120	297	10	12	26%	7%	82	-0.0	229/296/349	120	303	9	12	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	43→40	47→45	51→50	44	216/284/353	137	278	15	14	27%	7%	80	-0.1	204/259/329	125	276	13	9	30%	6%	65	-1.2	161/210/268	107	215	12	5	31%	5%	29	-1.6
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2022 · A	25	35→45	46→45	54→60	39	182/252/314	132	284	14	16	39%	8%	59	-1.6	237/289/352	115	330	10	32	29%	6%	81	-0.1	249/302/364	115	340	10	36	28%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	44→42	43→50	46→55	43	213/280/332	119	287	10	10	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/300/374	151	295	16	13	28%	7%	91	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→38	43→55	54→50	49	193/279/308	115	268	10	14	30%	10%	68	-1.0	200/271/341	141	275	15	14	31%	8%	72	-0.7	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	195/270/310	115	258	11	11	28%	8%	65	-1.2	209/297/348	139	287	16	6	31%	9%	84	+0.2	201/298/342	142	277	17	3	32%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	70	-0.8	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	79	-0.2	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	77	-0.3
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	46→45	55	45	207/293/340	133	287	12	21	30%	8%	81	-0.1	221/300/334	113	289	9	19	25%	8%	82	-0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40→41	46→50	51→50	42	204/265/340	137	284	13	12	32%	7%	70	-0.9	218/281/357	139	307	14	12	32%	8%	80	-0.2	238/305/370	133	314	14	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps