Ethan Lanthier
P St. Lucie Mets
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 230 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2028
Overview
APROSPECT
ETA2028MLB%0%
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ANYM | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.77 | 50.0% | 10.0% | — | K 50.0% · BB 10.0% · FIP 0.14 |
| 2025 | 22 | ANYM | 5 | 5 | 14 | 4.61 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 15.6% | — | K 15.0% · BB 18.4% · FIP 5.47 |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX2 levels | 14 | 14 | 36 | 8.33 | 4.84 | 21.8% | 13.9% | — | K 15.7% · BB 16.2% · FIP 6.26 |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBNYM | 3 | 3 | 16 | 5.49 | 5.49 | 18.8% | 15.0% | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 25 | MLBNYM | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5.25 | 5.16 | 20.0% | 13.2% | -0.0 |
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsLogan Boyer (age 23) · Noah Hall (age 23) · Eriq Swan (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121
ERA5.49
FIP5.49
K%18.8%
BB%15.0%
K-BB%3.8%
Proj IP16
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.14 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.14 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | St. Lucie Mets | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.77 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | 5 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 15.0% | 18.4% | -3.4% | 2.4% | 4.61 | 5.47 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | 5 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 15.0% | 18.4% | -3.4% | 2.4% | 4.61 | 5.47 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | St. Lucie Mets | 5 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 20.3% | 15.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 4.61 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 36 | 165 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 2.5 | 15.7% | 16.2% | -0.5% | 4.5% | 8.33 | 6.26 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 36 | 165 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 2.5 | 15.7% | 16.2% | -0.5% | 4.5% | 8.33 | 6.26 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 36 | 165 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 2.5 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 8.33 | 4.84 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.8% | 15.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.49 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYM | 6 | 6 | 32 | 137 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.0% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYM | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 20.0% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 5.16 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.9 | 20.0% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 4.78 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 173 | 115 | 29 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.0% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 4.78 | +0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 21 | 19 | 52 | 239 | 41 | 39 | 9 | 90% | 2.5 | 17.0% | 16.5% | 0.4% | 3.7% | 6.88 | 5.80 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 80 | 73 | 200 | 913 | 155 | 151 | 34 | 90% | 2.5 | 17.0% | 16.5% | 0.4% | 3.7% | 6.88 | 5.80 | -0.6 | |