Ricardo Osorio P DSL Athletics
Age 18 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.5 · 2032
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.16
FIP5.16
K%21.8%
BB%15.1%
K-BB%6.6%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.09 (12 IP)-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.60.70.80.826272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5060
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202517ROKDSL Athletics15222972514013%1.417.5%18.0%-0.5%0.0%4.983.91—
202517ROKDSL Athletics15222972514013%1.425.8%14.4%11.3%0.0%4.982.73—
▸ 2026 Season
202618ROKDSL Athletics883715137110100%4.616.7%9.1%7.6%0.0%2.922.85—
202618ROKOAK883715137110100%4.624.5%7.3%17.2%0.0%2.921.95—
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719MLBOAK995121748296100%5.722.3%13.2%9.1%2.9%4.944.85+0.0
202820MLBOAK10105422852276100%5.422.8%11.9%10.9%2.8%4.734.61+0.2
202921MLBOAK10105723956267100%5.723.2%11.0%12.2%2.8%4.554.43+0.3
203022MLBOAK11115925161257100%5.424.1%10.1%14.0%2.7%4.354.21+0.5
203123MLBOAK11116226065257100%5.624.9%9.5%15.3%2.7%4.174.05+0.6
203224MLBOAK11116326668247100%5.725.4%9.1%16.3%2.6%4.033.94+0.7
203325MLBOAK11116427070247100%5.825.8%8.9%16.9%2.6%3.933.87+0.8
203426MLBOAK11116427070247100%5.826.0%8.8%17.1%2.6%3.883.85+0.8
202719MLBOAK552510624143100%5.022.3%13.2%9.1%2.8%4.904.81+0.0
202820MLBOAK773916538205100%5.622.8%11.9%10.9%2.8%4.704.58+0.1
202921MLBOAK994820347225100%5.323.2%11.0%12.2%2.7%4.524.40+0.3
203022MLBOAK10105322454236100%5.324.1%10.1%14.0%2.7%4.324.18+0.4
203123MLBOAK10105724160236100%5.724.9%9.5%15.3%2.6%4.144.02+0.6
203224MLBOAK11115924963236100%5.425.4%9.1%16.3%2.6%4.003.91+0.7
203325MLBOAK10106125866237100%6.125.8%8.9%16.9%2.6%3.903.84+0.8
203426MLBOAK10106125867237100%6.126.0%8.8%17.1%2.6%3.853.82+0.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—7171403170241917045100%5.724.6%10.0%14.6%2.6%4.213.73+5.7
/ 200 IP—35352008442088422100%5.724.6%10.0%14.6%2.6%4.213.73+2.8
Career—2310592484231043%2.617.0%12.6%4.4%0.0%3.683.26+2.0
/ 200 IP—7834200845144107043%2.617.0%12.6%4.4%0.0%3.683.26+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ricardo Osorio (OGILVIE) —— 5.16 21.8%15.1%2.9%— 4.62 22.8%10.8%162 -0.54 ———
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP 17 SW 5.09 19.8%17.4%2.7%.322 5.03 19.3%-0.6%83 -0.06 3.98 119 86
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.27 FIP 19 SP- 4.27 18.9%12.8%2.1%.301 4.95 15.9%-5.0%84 +0.68 4.27 149 86
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP 18 SW 4.75 20.2%15.0%2.7%.326 4.68 19.7%4.8%78 -0.07 3.62 144 84
Gerelmi Maldonado R 2022 · 4.21 FIP 18 SP- 4.21 24.0%14.2%2.4%.337 4.64 19.9%2.2%124 +0.43 3.83 218 84
Ernesto Jaquez R 2017 · 4.99 FIP 18 SW 4.99 18.4%16.9%2.4%.265 2.56 24.8%15.7%53 -2.43 2.56 239 84
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP 19 SP- 5.61 20.1%17.3%3.7%.354 5.01 17.9%4.8%118 -0.60 2.86 211 83
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.60 FIP 21 SW 4.60 23.2%14.3%3.0%.296 3.45 18.8%4.9%84 -1.15 2.98 107 83
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.80 FIP 17 SW 4.80 20.5%18.9%1.9%.250 3.80 13.2%0.4%119 -1.00 3.26 160 82
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.06 FIP 18 SW 6.06 17.9%15.1%4.7%.302 4.10 21.0%7.7%237 -1.96 3.45 280 82
Alexander Cornielle R 2021 · 4.08 FIP 19 SW 4.08 24.1%14.2%2.2%.329 4.34 19.2%7.6%312 +0.26 3.85 508 81
Jesus Rivero R 2021 · 5.50 FIP 18 SP- 5.50 21.7%22.1%2.6%.224 4.32 21.7%1.5%117 -1.18 4.07 146 81
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP 18 SW 4.85 17.0%11.4%3.2%.304 5.11 20.9%1.8%125 +0.26 3.16 260 80
Samuel Valerio R 2019 · 4.00 FIP 17 SW 4.00 18.2%14.0%1.2%.310 5.85 14.2%-7.2%38 +1.85 4.00 117 79
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.35 FIP 20 SW 4.35 19.4%11.9%2.5%.316 4.40 14.1%2.2%153 +0.05 3.96 188 79
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP 19 SP- 5.29 16.8%10.9%4.1%.295 3.80 15.7%2.3%83 -1.49 2.79 161 79
Heisell Baro R 2019 · 4.37 FIP 17 SP- 4.37 19.0%11.9%2.5%.196 5.77 15.8%-1.4%61 +1.40 4.16 105 79
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP 18 SW 5.37 15.6%15.0%3.1%.296 4.54 24.7%8.0%31 -0.83 4.54 260 79
Alix Hernandez R 2023 · 4.46 FIP 19 SW 4.46 21.7%15.6%2.2%.254 4.64 23.2%11.0%102 +0.18 3.43 154 78
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 5.91 FIP 17 SP- 5.91 18.4%20.7%3.2%.333 4.45 17.1%5.1%129 -1.46 3.97 167 78
Andry Cuevas R 2017 · 4.68 FIP 18 SW 4.68 18.2%17.1%1.7%.223 4.21 20.7%2.6%71 -0.47 3.71 108 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 136 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player162sIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION2.45424.3%10.4%1.054.32
Buck Farmer ('24)2.55021.6%10.5%1.234.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)1.54222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Dominic Leone ('23)1.64624.2%10.1%1.333.81
Cam Bedrosian ('21)1.34524.5%10.0%0.973.68
Miguel Castro ('23)2.15920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Archie Bradley ('21)2.27423.2%9.8%0.853.93