Saul Gonzalez
P
Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 26
RHP
6'7" / 235 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%23.3%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 7.7% | 15.4% | -7.7% | 7.7% | 11.57 | 8.62 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 7.7% | 15.4% | -7.7% | 7.7% | 11.57 | 10.39 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 7 | 40 | 177 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 58% | 3.3 | 16.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 4.99 | 3.69 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 7 | 40 | 177 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 58% | 3.3 | 23.2% | 6.8% | 16.4% | 1.1% | 4.99 | 2.60 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 21 | 2 | 43 | 179 | 48 | 19 | 1 | 10% | 2.0 | 19.8% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 3.14 | 3.46 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 21 | 2 | 43 | 179 | 48 | 19 | 1 | 10% | 2.0 | 26.8% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 0.6% | 3.14 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 15 | 0 | 27 | 109 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.7% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 1.3% | 2.67 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 15 | 0 | 27 | 109 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 26.6% | 5.5% | 21.1% | 0.9% | 2.67 | 2.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.96 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 9 | 112 | 478 | 86 | 46 | 7 | 18% | 2.2 | 18.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 3.86 | 3.57 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 16 | 200 | 854 | 154 | 83 | 12 | 18% | 2.2 | 18.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 3.86 | 3.57 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Saul Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.34 | 23.3% | 14.1% | 20 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 82 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 78 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 78 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 78 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 78 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 77 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 77 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 77 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 25.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .252 | 3.60 | 14.6% | 8.1% | 108 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 323 | 77 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 77 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 77 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.69 | 26.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.84 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 66 | +0.15 | 3.31 | 166 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 77 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 76 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 76 |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.17 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | .313 | 5.36 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 42 | +2.19 | 3.17 | 211 | 76 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 76 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 76 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 76 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 76 |