Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 11 | 3 | 25 | 128 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 27% | 2.3 | 11.7% | 14.6% | -3.0% | 4.4% | 8.88 | 6.39 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 11 | 3 | 25 | 128 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 27% | 2.3 | 17.2% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 8.88 | 5.19 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 12 | 8 | 41 | 167 | 40 | 14 | 3 | 67% | 3.4 | 16.3% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 12 | 8 | 41 | 167 | 40 | 14 | 3 | 67% | 3.4 | 24.0% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 2.41 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 164 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 91% | 3.5 | 14.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 6.28 | 4.58 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 164 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 91% | 3.5 | 20.7% | 4.9% | 15.9% | 2.4% | 6.28 | 3.31 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 16 | 0 | 33 | 147 | 25 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 11.6% | 15.3% | -3.7% | 2.5% | 3.82 | 5.44 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 16 | 0 | 33 | 147 | 25 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 17.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 3.82 | 4.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 20 | 0 | 31 | 137 | 23 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 11.8% | 17.5% | -5.8% | 1.0% | 3.82 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | DET | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | DET | — | — | 52 | 226 | 42 | 29 | 4 | — | — | 18.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 4.09 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 3.94 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 74 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 70 | 21 | 169 | 743 | 98 | 93 | 21 | 30% | 2.4 | 13.2% | 12.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 5.08 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 25 | 200 | 881 | 117 | 110 | 24 | 30% | 2.4 | 13.2% | 12.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 5.08 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Xiomer Guacache (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.32 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 22 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 92 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 88 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 85 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 84 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 84 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 83 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 83 |
| Zac Ryan R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 83 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 83 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 83 |
| Parker Curry R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 82 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 82 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 82 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 82 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 82 |
| Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 82 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 82 |
| Justin Lasko R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.72 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.78 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 152 | +1.06 | 3.72 | 173 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |