Michael Perez
P
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 160 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 122
ERA5.42
FIP5.42
K%20.1%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%3.5%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 111 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 6 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 3.09 | 3.46 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 6 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 3.09 | 3.44 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 12.5% | -12.5% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 12.5% | -12.5% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 4.60 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 16 | 1 | 21 | 93 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 6% | 1.3 | 18.3% | 16.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.80 | 5.68 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 16 | 1 | 21 | 93 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 6% | 1.3 | 26.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 3.80 | 3.66 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 21 | 5 | 64 | 300 | 83 | 42 | 4 | 24% | 3.1 | 20.5% | 16.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 5.32 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 21 | 5 | 64 | 300 | 83 | 42 | 4 | 24% | 3.1 | 27.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 1.3% | 5.32 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 28 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 78 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.1% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 4.5% | 4.04 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 52 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.1% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.42 | 5.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 111 | 473 | 130 | 66 | 14 | — | — | 27.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.1% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.42 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 56 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 58 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 59 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.88 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 24 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 47 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.88 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 115 | 0 | 121 | 509 | 110 | 69 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.53 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 114 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 74 | 6 | 150 | 669 | 147 | 98 | 19 | 8% | 2.0 | 22.0% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.65 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 8 | 200 | 890 | 196 | 131 | 25 | 8% | 2.0 | 22.0% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 20.1% | 16.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.93 | 21.5% | 7.8% | 191 | -0.49 | — | — | — |
| James Acuna R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 91 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 89 |
| Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 88 |
| Will McAffer R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 18.1% | 1.7% | .270 | 6.10 | 18.5% | -4.0% | 77 | +1.51 | 4.59 | 133 | 87 |
| Sal Biasi R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.19 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.3% | .295 | 7.85 | 15.3% | -0.2% | 23 | +2.66 | 4.68 | 188 | 87 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.55 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 58 | +0.01 | 4.55 | 155 | 87 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.27 | 18.8% | 4.5% | 93 | -0.01 | 3.94 | 189 | 86 |
| Blake Holub R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 21.7% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.90 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 156 | -0.41 | 3.31 | 236 | 86 |
| Kris Hall R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 86 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 86 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 86 |
| Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.83 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .301 | 3.88 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 104 | -0.95 | 3.31 | 207 | 85 |
| Matt Brill R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.94 | 20.8% | 16.3% | 2.8% | .248 | 3.84 | 19.4% | 4.9% | 60 | -1.10 | 3.75 | 161 | 85 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 85 |
| Cody Adcock R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.54 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .253 | 3.69 | 25.7% | 3.9% | 26 | -1.85 | 3.34 | 139 | 85 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 85 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 84 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 84 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 84 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 21.1% | 14.3% | 1.08 | 5.11 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |