Michael Perez — OGILVIE

Michael Perez P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 160 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%20.1%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%2.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2525

CMD4040

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	0	12	47	9	3	1	0%	1.9	19.1%	6.4%	12.8%	2.1%	3.09	3.46	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	6	0	12	47	9	3	1	0%	1.9	19.1%	6.4%	12.8%	2.1%	3.09	3.44	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	3	0	4	16	0	2	0	0%	1.3	0.0%	12.5%	-12.5%	0.0%	4.50	4.68	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	3	0	4	16	0	2	0	0%	1.3	0.0%	12.5%	-12.5%	0.0%	4.50	4.68	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	3	0	4	16	0	2	0	0%	1.3	0.0%	12.5%	-12.5%	0.0%	4.50	4.60	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	16	1	21	93	25	12	2	6%	1.3	18.3%	16.1%	2.2%	3.4%	3.80	5.44	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	16	1	21	93	25	12	2	6%	1.3	18.3%	16.1%	2.2%	3.4%	3.80	5.44	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	16	1	21	93	25	12	2	6%	1.3	26.9%	12.9%	14.0%	2.2%	3.80	3.66	—
2025	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	21	5	64	300	83	42	4	24%	3.1	20.5%	16.5%	4.0%	1.7%	5.32	4.38	—
2025	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	21	5	64	300	83	42	4	24%	3.1	20.5%	16.5%	4.0%	1.7%	5.32	4.38	—
2025	22	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	21	5	64	300	83	42	4	24%	3.1	27.7%	14.0%	13.7%	1.3%	5.32	3.29	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	46	1	74	321	109	38	11	2%	1.6	26.2%	15.0%	11.2%	3.9%	3.87	4.90	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	46	1	74	321	109	38	11	2%	1.6	26.2%	15.0%	11.2%	3.9%	3.87	4.90	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	MIA	8	0	17	72	30	7	1	0%	2.1	41.7%	9.7%	31.9%	1.4%	2.65	1.58	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	MIA	33	1	50	221	71	31	8	3%	1.5	32.1%	14.0%	18.1%	3.6%	4.11	4.15	—
2026	23	AA RAW	MIA	5	0	7	28	8	0	2	0%	1.4	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	7.1%	5.14	4.61	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	MIA	5	0	5	22	4	4	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	17.8%	2.3%	2.8%	5.59	5.59	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	80	343	113	42	12	—	—	33.1%	12.2%	20.8%	3.4%	3.99	4.94	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIA	71	0	75	315	66	49	9	0%	1.1	21.0%	15.5%	5.5%	2.8%	5.31	5.21	-0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	72	0	76	319	69	45	9	0%	1.0	21.5%	14.0%	7.6%	2.8%	5.08	4.97	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	72	0	76	319	70	44	9	0%	1.0	21.8%	13.7%	8.1%	2.8%	4.97	4.92	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	71	0	74	314	69	43	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	13.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	69	0	72	305	66	42	9	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.8%	7.9%	3.0%	4.99	5.02	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIA	66	0	69	291	63	41	9	0%	1.0	21.5%	14.0%	7.5%	3.1%	5.09	5.15	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIA	62	0	65	274	58	39	9	0%	1.0	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	3.3%	5.23	5.33	-0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIA	30	0	32	135	28	21	4	0%	1.1	21.0%	15.5%	5.5%	2.8%	5.31	5.21	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	48	0	50	211	45	30	6	0%	1.0	21.5%	14.0%	7.6%	2.8%	5.08	4.97	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	57	0	60	253	55	35	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	13.7%	8.1%	2.8%	4.97	4.92	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	60	0	63	266	58	36	8	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	61	0	64	270	59	37	8	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.8%	7.9%	3.0%	4.99	5.02	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIA	60	0	63	266	57	37	8	0%	1.1	21.5%	14.0%	7.5%	3.1%	5.09	5.15	-0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIA	57	0	60	253	54	36	8	0%	1.1	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	3.3%	5.23	5.33	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		374	0	392	1657	357	233	49	0%	1.0	21.6%	14.1%	7.5%	3.0%	5.07	4.69	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	119	25	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.1%	7.5%	3.0%	5.07	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		92	7	176	777	172	118	22	8%	1.9	22.1%	15.1%	6.9%	2.8%	4.35	4.67	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	8	200	885	195	134	25	8%	1.9	22.1%	15.1%	6.9%	2.8%	4.35	4.67	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	20.1%	17.8%	2.8%	—	5.03	21.5%	7.1%	226	-0.56	—	—	—
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	92
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	90
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	88
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	86
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	86
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	85
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	85
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	84
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	84
Michael Cederoth R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	21.6%	18.6%	1.5%	.286	5.60	21.6%	1.7%	35	+1.13	4.10	118	84
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	83
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	83
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	83
Mason McCullough R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	23	SU	4.60	20.8%	19.2%	1.5%	.340	3.93	26.7%	6.9%	77	-0.67	3.33	154	83
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	83
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	71	21.4%	14.6%	1.13	5.14
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04