Antonio Knowles
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 98
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%22.9%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 64.7% | 5.9% | 58.8% | 0.0% | 2.25 | -1.62 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 64.7% | 5.9% | 58.8% | 0.0% | 2.25 | -1.65 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 36 | 0 | 44 | 213 | 63 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 19.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 4.74 | 4.27 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 36 | 0 | 44 | 213 | 63 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.6% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 0.9% | 4.74 | 3.28 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 59 | 244 | 68 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.2% | 15.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.99 | 5.03 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 59 | 244 | 68 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 4.12 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 42 | 2 | 55 | 233 | 60 | 32 | 5 | 5% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 3.62 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 42 | 2 | 55 | 233 | 60 | 32 | 5 | 5% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 2.1% | 3.62 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 48 | 200 | 56 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 2.2% | 3.54 | 3.29 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 48 | 200 | 56 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.0% | 7.5% | 20.5% | 2.0% | 3.54 | 2.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 15 | 0 | 18 | 74 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 0.98 | 2.73 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 57 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 78 | 325 | 74 | 31 | 7 | — | — | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 2.2% | 3.52 | 3.93 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 3.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 57 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 55 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 52 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 0 | 95 | 403 | 92 | 39 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.07 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 82 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 184 | 2 | 228 | 981 | 222 | 138 | 20 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 3.68 | 4.10 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 2 | 200 | 862 | 195 | 122 | 18 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 3.68 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Antonio Knowles (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.43 | 22.8% | 13.0% | 170 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 92 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 91 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 90 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 90 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 89 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 89 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 89 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.96 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.08 | 3.05 | 290 | 88 |
| Blake Treinen R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .314 | 2.59 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 223 | -0.51 | 1.51 | 544 | 88 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 87 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2028 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 87 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .298 | 3.09 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -1.00 | 1.97 | 682 | 87 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.12 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .284 | 3.59 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 55 | +0.47 | 2.49 | 160 | 86 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .316 | 6.96 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 26 | +3.15 | 3.81 | 233 | 86 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .324 | 5.77 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 49 | +1.80 | 3.97 | 157 | 86 |
| Joe Broussard R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .316 | 3.66 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 95 | -0.18 | 2.61 | 304 | 86 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 86 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 85 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 22.8% | 9.7% | 1.14 | 4.37 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |