Antonio Knowles — OGILVIE

Antonio Knowles P Tulsa Drillers

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.32

FIP4.32

K%22.9%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

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Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	4	17	11	1	0	0%	1.0	64.7%	5.9%	58.8%	0.0%	2.25	-1.62	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	0	4	17	11	1	0	0%	1.0	64.7%	5.9%	58.8%	0.0%	2.25	-1.65	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	44	213	63	36	2	0%	1.2	22.8%	19.4%	3.3%	1.2%	4.74	4.28	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	44	213	63	36	2	0%	1.2	29.6%	16.9%	12.7%	0.9%	4.74	3.28	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	59	244	68	35	7	0%	1.2	22.2%	15.9%	6.2%	3.3%	3.99	5.09	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	59	244	68	35	7	0%	1.2	22.2%	15.9%	6.2%	3.3%	3.99	5.09	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	59	244	68	35	7	0%	1.2	27.9%	14.3%	13.5%	2.9%	3.99	4.12	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	42	2	55	233	60	32	5	5%	1.3	20.9%	15.1%	5.8%	2.4%	3.62	4.58	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	42	2	55	233	60	32	5	5%	1.3	20.9%	15.1%	5.8%	2.4%	3.62	4.58	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	42	2	55	233	60	32	5	5%	1.3	25.8%	13.7%	12.0%	2.1%	3.62	3.85	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	48	200	56	15	4	0%	1.2	23.1%	7.4%	15.7%	2.1%	3.54	3.24	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	48	200	56	15	4	0%	1.2	23.1%	7.4%	15.7%	2.1%	3.54	3.24	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	48	200	56	15	4	0%	1.2	28.0%	7.5%	20.5%	2.0%	3.54	2.79	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	22	0	24	105	20	14	0	0%	1.1	16.4%	12.9%	3.5%	0.0%	3.42	3.35	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	22	0	24	105	20	14	0	0%	1.1	16.4%	12.9%	3.5%	0.0%	3.42	3.35	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	LAD	20	0	22	94	19	11	0	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.7%	8.5%	0.0%	2.45	2.88	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	LAD	2	0	2	11	1	3	0	0%	0.8	9.1%	27.3%	-18.2%	0.0%	16.20	5.79	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	LAD	5	0	5	23	5	2	1	0%	1.1	22.9%	9.8%	13.1%	2.8%	4.32	4.32	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	29	128	25	16	1	—	—	19.7%	12.7%	7.0%	0.5%	3.59	3.53	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAD	56	0	59	247	57	24	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.8%	13.2%	2.9%	4.34	4.36	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAD	54	0	57	240	55	24	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.9%	13.0%	3.0%	4.40	4.44	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAD	21	0	22	93	21	9	3	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.8%	13.2%	2.9%	4.34	4.36	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAD	32	0	34	144	33	14	4	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.9%	13.0%	3.0%	4.40	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	54	23	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	9.8%	13.0%	2.9%	4.38	4.03	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	82	25	0%	1.1	22.9%	9.8%	13.0%	2.9%	4.38	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		191	2	233	1012	226	145	20	1%	1.2	22.3%	14.3%	8.0%	2.0%	3.86	4.14	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		164	2	200	869	194	124	18	1%	1.2	22.3%	14.3%	8.0%	2.0%	3.86	4.14	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antonio Knowles (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	22.9%	9.8%	2.8%	—	4.40	22.9%	13.1%	115	+0.08	—	—	—
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	92
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	91
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	90
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	90
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	89
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	89
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	88
Jeff Johnson R 2016 · 3.18 FIP	26	SU	3.18	21.9%	9.6%	1.3%	.284	3.69	23.6%	8.0%	55	+0.51	2.49	160	87
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	87
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	87
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	87
Héctor Neris R 2015 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.9%	10.0%	2.5%	.298	3.03	31.5%	23.7%	221	-0.97	2.03	682	87
Randall Delgado R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	20.2%	9.8%	2.4%	.303	4.07	19.2%	12.5%	143	+0.14	3.09	290	86
Fernery Ozuna R 2022 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	22.4%	8.7%	2.8%	.324	5.71	18.4%	6.8%	49	+1.87	3.84	157	86
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	86
Joe Broussard R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.316	3.72	21.1%	12.0%	95	-0.11	2.62	304	86
Scott Oberg R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	26	SU	3.19	22.9%	9.1%	1.6%	.260	2.92	23.8%	16.4%	188	-0.27	2.54	302	85
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	85
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	85
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	22.9%	9.8%	1.12	4.35
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93