Adolfo Oviedo
P
Bradenton Marauders
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 165 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135125vR 116
ERA5.13
FIP5.13
K%13.1%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%5.3%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 87 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 12 | 10 | 35 | 162 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 83% | 2.9 | 13.0% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 4.33 | 4.15 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 12 | 10 | 35 | 162 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 83% | 2.9 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 1.2% | 4.33 | 3.27 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 9 | 7 | 35 | 139 | 31 | 27 | 1 | 78% | 3.9 | 15.2% | 24.3% | -9.1% | 1.1% | 2.60 | 5.48 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 9 | 7 | 35 | 139 | 31 | 27 | 1 | 78% | 3.9 | 22.3% | 19.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 2.60 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 12 | 6 | 41 | 170 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 50% | 3.4 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 1.96 | 3.98 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 12 | 6 | 41 | 170 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 50% | 3.4 | 25.3% | 6.5% | 18.8% | 1.2% | 1.96 | 2.45 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 28 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 44 | 10 | 8 | 0% | 1.9 | 13.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.53 | 5.38 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 28 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 44 | 10 | 8 | 0% | 1.9 | 18.7% | 4.3% | 14.5% | 3.4% | 5.53 | 3.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 26 | 0 | 45 | 187 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 2.20 | 3.79 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | PIT | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.13 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 87 | 364 | 51 | 30 | 10 | — | — | 14.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 3.61 | 4.44 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | PIT | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | PIT | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.45 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 129 | 65 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 87 | 23 | 210 | 893 | 128 | 88 | 23 | 26% | 2.4 | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.43 | 4.57 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 22 | 200 | 850 | 121 | 84 | 22 | 26% | 2.4 | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.43 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adolfo Oviedo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.83 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 44 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Josnier Parra R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.13 | 11.0% | 3.0% | 97 | +0.62 | 3.79 | 129 | 88 |
| Nolan Kingham R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.70 | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .338 | 4.35 | 13.1% | 7.0% | 260 | -0.35 | 4.06 | 502 | 87 |
| Bryan Bonnell R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.55 | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .298 | 4.83 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 170 | +0.28 | 3.59 | 333 | 87 |
| Xavier Altamirano R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.11 | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .252 | 4.08 | 14.8% | 7.6% | 284 | -1.03 | 3.84 | 451 | 86 |
| Robbie Welhaf R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.06 | 14.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .309 | 3.26 | 18.1% | 15.0% | 90 | -0.80 | 3.26 | 121 | 86 |
| Joseilyn Gonzalez R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.03 | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | .321 | 5.14 | 14.5% | -3.2% | 107 | +0.11 | 5.00 | 148 | 86 |
| Tyler Zombro R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.37 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.67 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 134 | -1.70 | 2.25 | 172 | 85 |
| Julio Rosario R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.41 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .244 | 4.29 | 18.8% | 6.7% | 94 | -1.12 | 3.30 | 122 | 85 |
| Frainger Aranguren R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.06 | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.84 | 13.1% | -1.9% | 70 | +0.78 | 3.20 | 234 | 85 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.32 | 15.8% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .348 | 4.22 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 37 | -0.10 | 3.48 | 153 | 84 |
| Matt Hardy R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.36 | 13.7% | 7.9% | 4.4% | .339 | 3.65 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 129 | -1.71 | 3.12 | 242 | 84 |
| Scott Burke R 2029 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.84 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 5.01 | 14.9% | 6.7% | 61 | +0.17 | 4.84 | 119 | 84 |
| Fabian Anguamea R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.68 | 14.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | .284 | 4.28 | 17.4% | 3.3% | 87 | -0.40 | 3.94 | 164 | 84 |
| Jake McCasland R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.86 | 14.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.94 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 317 | -0.92 | 3.27 | 367 | 84 |
| Devin Burke R 2029 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.61 | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .275 | 3.97 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.97 | 149 | 84 |
| Sucre Valdez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.83 | 13.6% | 10.4% | 4.7% | .280 | 3.48 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 77 | -2.35 | 2.82 | 102 | 84 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 84 |
| Mariano Rivera R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.35 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.00 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 66 | -0.35 | 3.50 | 135 | 84 |
| Connor Eller R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.35 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | .222 | 4.54 | 10.8% | -1.2% | 136 | +0.19 | 3.74 | 170 | 83 |
| A.J. Bogucki R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.95 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .308 | 4.30 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 87 | +0.35 | 3.95 | 142 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 14.5% | 7.6% | 1.23 | 5.02 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |