Cesar Lopez

C DSL NYY Yankees

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	180	.286/.441/.421	4	9	61	—	.181/.318/.255
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBNYY	290	.218/.300/.300	3	7	73	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBNYY	102	.223/.306/.317	1	3	78	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBNYY	223	.227/.311/.330	4	6	83	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA80

wRC+73

Chase%71

K%70

Speed60

ISO59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAlirio Ferrebus (age 18) · Jett Williams (age 19) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 151 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .298 / .298

PA151

HR2

K%25

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$69M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+1.0	$3M	+$1.0M
Totals		$21M		$32M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	180	140	40	5	1	4	30	31	9	9	1	286	441	421	863	136	340	17	17	395	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	180	149	27	3	1	2	21	38	9	9	1	181	318	255	573	74	217	21	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	180	149	27	3	1	2	21	38	9	9	1	181	318	255	573	74	227	21	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	180	140	40	5	1	4	30	31	9	9	1	286	441	421	863	136	340	17	17	395	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	180	148	27	3	1	2	21	38	9	9	1	182	318	257	575	74	217	21	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	180	148	27	3	1	2	21	38	9	9	1	182	318	257	575	74	217	21	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	290	258	56	8	2	3	25	71	5	7	1	218	300	300	601	82	287	24	9	276	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYY	43%	237	210	47	7	2	3	20	58	5	6	2	223	306	314	620	91	290	24	8	284	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	366	323	73	11	3	5	32	88	8	10	3	226	310	326	636	100	291	24	9	290	83	-8	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.8
2030	21	MLB MLE	NYY	68%	463	410	94	14	3	8	40	111	10	13	4	229	313	337	649	107	292	24	9	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	520	459	107	16	4	10	45	123	11	14	4	232	315	345	661	114	293	24	9	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2032	23	MLB MLE	NYY	72%	520	460	107	17	3	10	45	123	10	14	4	234	317	353	670	119	294	24	9	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	24	MLB MLE	NYY	72%	520	460	109	17	4	11	45	122	10	14	4	235	318	357	675	121	295	23	9	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	520	460	109	17	4	11	45	122	10	14	4	236	319	359	678	123	295	23	9	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	520	460	108	17	3	11	45	122	10	14	4	236	319	361	679	124	295	23	9	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	NYY	75%	520	459	108	17	3	11	46	123	10	14	4	235	318	358	676	123	294	24	9	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	NYY	78%	520	459	107	16	3	11	46	124	10	13	5	233	316	353	669	120	293	24	9	303	91	-6	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	NYY	79%	520	460	106	16	3	10	45	126	10	13	5	231	313	346	659	116	292	24	9	299	88	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2039	30	MLB MLE	NYY	80%	520	460	105	16	3	10	45	127	10	13	5	227	309	338	647	111	290	24	9	294	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2040	31	MLB MLE	NYY	81%	504	447	100	15	3	9	43	125	9	12	6	223	304	328	632	105	286	25	9	288	81	-11	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2041	32	MLB MLE	NYY	82%	489	436	96	14	3	8	41	124	9	11	8	218	298	316	614	98	283	25	8	281	76	-14	-1	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2042	33	MLB MLE	NYY	82%	473	423	88	12	2	7	39	123	8	10	10	211	291	301	592	90	278	26	8	272	70	-17	-2	-4	+8	+10	-0.5
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYY	43%	102	90	20	3	1	1	9	25	2	3	1	223	306	317	623	94	289	25	9	285	78	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	223	197	46	7	2	4	19	54	5	6	2	227	311	330	641	103	291	24	9	292	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	21	MLB CTX	NYY	68%	315	278	65	10	2	6	27	75	7	9	3	230	314	341	655	111	292	24	9	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2031	22	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	370	327	77	12	3	7	32	88	8	10	3	233	316	350	667	117	293	24	9	302	89	-5	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	NYY	72%	376	332	79	12	3	8	33	89	8	10	3	235	318	358	676	123	294	24	9	306	91	-4	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	NYY	72%	372	330	78	12	3	8	32	88	7	10	3	237	319	362	681	126	295	24	9	308	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	370	328	78	12	3	8	32	87	7	10	3	237	320	365	685	128	295	24	9	309	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2035	26	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	369	327	77	12	2	8	32	87	7	10	3	237	320	367	686	129	295	24	9	310	94	-3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	NYY	75%	391	346	82	12	3	9	34	93	8	10	3	236	319	364	682	127	294	24	9	308	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	NYY	78%	405	359	85	13	3	9	35	97	8	10	4	234	317	359	675	124	293	24	9	305	91	-4	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	NYY	79%	411	364	86	13	3	9	36	99	8	10	4	232	314	352	666	120	292	24	9	301	88	-6	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.0
2039	30	MLB CTX	NYY	80%	416	369	83	12	2	8	36	102	8	10	4	228	310	343	653	115	290	25	9	296	85	-7	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.8
2040	31	MLB CTX	NYY	81%	406	361	81	12	2	8	35	101	7	9	5	224	305	333	638	109	287	25	9	290	81	-9	-0	-2	+7	+9	0.5
2041	32	MLB CTX	NYY	82%	401	357	78	11	2	7	34	102	7	9	6	219	299	320	619	102	283	25	8	282	76	-11	-1	-3	+7	+9	0.1
2042	33	MLB CTX	NYY	82%	388	346	73	10	2	6	32	101	7	9	8	212	291	305	596	93	278	26	8	273	70	-14	-1	-3	+7	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5315	4711	1088	163	36	106	458	1288	104	135	55	231	313	348	661	117	294	24	9	298	86	-85	+5	-12	+95	+115	12.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	133	20	4	13	56	158	13	17	7	231	313	347	660	116	294	24	9	298	86	-10	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7543	6669	1520	229	48	139	656	1816	152	198	74	228	311	339	651	111	290	24	9	295	86	-119	+9	-15	+131	+160	16.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	131	20	4	12	57	156	13	17	6	228	312	339	651	111	290	24	9	295	86	-11	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Roseboro'57-'70 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,527 PA	8.3	5,527	104	67	247*	328*	393*	+97	-2	24.9	22.0
/162	664	12	8	+11.7	-0.2	3.0	pk7: 19
#2Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#3Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#4Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.2	5,467	101	139	230	308	341	+98	+48	16.3	13.3
/162	664	12	17	+11.9	+5.8	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Brad Ausmus'93-'10 * career totals — 18 seasons, 7,101 PA	10.7	7,101	80	102	241*	312*	334*	+125	-0	13.0	13.0
/162	664	7	10	+11.7	-0.0	1.2	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Lopez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	216/298/298	81	287	2	4	25%	9%	73	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Axiel Plaz 2023 · A	17	48→51	42→50	51→40	49	225/310/341	116	302	7	7	26%	9%	87	+0.4	180/268/296	116	277	12	3	37%	8%	62	-1.4	209/276/363	155	262	21	2	29%	7%	78	-0.2

Cesar Lopez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps