Azaeel Pacheco

C DSL Athletics

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#626ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKOAK	24	.158/.333/.211	0	0	12	—	.100/.250/.150
2026	19	ROKOAK	179	.252/.469/.283	0	5	63	—	.170/.346/.191
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBOAK	289	.218/.313/.285	2	5	75	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBOAK	49	.228/.322/.311	0	1	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBOAK	114	.232/.324/.324	1	2	83	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%99

K%96

Whiff%96

BB%93

Z-Con%92

wOBA77

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJesus Rodriguez (age 20) · Aidan Miller (age 20) · Luis Torrens (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .310 / .283

PA93

HR1

K%23

BB%10

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$34M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	24	19	3	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	158	333	211	544	53	250	29	17	276	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	179	127	32	4	0	0	44	18	8	5	0	252	469	283	753	31	294	10	25	375	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	24	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	100	250	150	400	50	170	38	12	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	179	141	24	3	0	0	30	22	8	5	0	170	346	191	538	21	195	12	17	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	24	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	100	250	150	400	50	182	38	12	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	24	19	3	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	158	333	211	544	53	250	29	17	276	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	179	141	24	3	0	0	30	22	8	5	0	170	346	191	538	21	202	12	17	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	179	127	32	4	0	0	44	18	8	5	0	252	469	283	753	31	294	10	25	375	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	24	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	100	250	150	400	50	170	38	12	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	179	139	24	3	0	0	30	22	8	5	0	173	346	194	541	22	195	12	17	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	24	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	100	250	150	400	50	170	38	12	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	179	139	24	3	0	0	30	22	8	5	0	173	346	194	541	22	195	12	17	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	289	252	55	8	2	2	30	67	5	5	1	218	313	285	598	67	286	23	10	279	75	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	143	125	27	4	1	1	15	33	2	2	1	222	316	301	617	78	288	23	10	286	80	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	236	206	46	7	1	3	24	54	4	4	1	226	319	314	633	88	289	23	10	292	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	332	289	67	10	2	5	34	75	6	6	2	229	321	325	646	96	290	23	10	296	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	397	347	80	13	2	6	40	90	7	7	2	231	322	335	657	103	291	23	10	300	89	-5	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	435	381	89	14	2	8	44	98	7	8	2	233	323	343	666	109	291	23	10	303	91	-4	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	445	390	90	14	2	8	45	100	7	8	2	234	323	345	669	112	291	22	10	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	445	390	90	14	2	8	45	101	7	8	2	232	322	342	665	110	291	23	10	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	445	390	90	14	2	8	45	102	7	7	3	230	320	337	658	107	290	23	10	300	89	-6	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	445	391	89	14	2	7	44	103	7	7	3	228	317	331	648	103	288	23	10	296	87	-7	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	441	387	87	13	2	7	44	104	7	7	3	225	314	323	636	98	286	24	10	292	83	-9	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	407	358	79	12	2	6	40	97	6	6	4	220	309	313	621	92	283	24	10	285	79	-10	-0	-3	+7	+9	0.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	368	324	70	10	2	5	36	90	5	5	7	215	303	300	603	85	279	24	10	278	74	-11	-2	-4	+7	+8	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	49	43	9	2	0	0	5	11	1	1	0	228	322	311	632	82	296	22	10	292	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	114	99	23	4	1	1	12	26	2	2	1	232	324	324	648	92	297	23	11	298	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	180	157	36	6	1	2	18	41	3	3	1	235	326	335	661	100	299	23	10	302	87	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	220	192	45	8	1	3	22	50	4	4	1	238	328	345	673	107	300	23	10	306	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	244	214	51	9	1	4	24	55	4	4	1	239	328	352	681	113	300	23	10	309	91	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	250	219	52	9	1	4	25	56	4	4	1	240	329	355	684	115	300	22	10	310	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	246	215	51	9	1	4	25	56	4	4	1	238	328	352	680	114	299	23	10	309	91	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	244	214	50	9	1	4	24	56	4	4	1	236	326	347	673	111	298	23	10	306	89	-3	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	238	208	48	8	1	4	24	55	4	4	2	234	323	340	663	107	297	23	10	302	87	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	232	204	46	8	1	3	23	55	3	4	2	230	319	332	651	102	294	24	10	297	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	212	186	42	7	1	3	21	51	3	3	2	226	314	322	635	96	291	24	10	291	79	-5	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	191	168	37	6	1	2	18	47	3	3	4	220	307	309	616	89	287	25	9	283	74	-6	-1	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2420	2119	490	85	11	34	241	559	39	40	17	231	321	330	651	99	297	23	10	302	85	-39	+1	-6	+43	+52	5.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	132	23	3	9	65	150	10	11	5	232	321	330	652	98	298	23	10	302	85	-10	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4835	4220	949	146	23	73	499	1099	83	81	32	225	319	322	641	97	285	23	10	293	85	-77	+2	-10	+83	+100	10.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	128	20	3	10	67	148	11	11	4	226	319	325	643	99	286	23	10	293	85	-11	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Athletics · 179 PAwOBA .367 → .261 (−107)K% 10.1% → 12.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.06%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	12.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.58%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.985	16.95%
HBP% /PA	4.47%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	3.08%
Singles /BIP	25.69%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.005	×0.985	17.29%
Doubles /BIP	3.67%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.005	×0.985	2.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.005	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.985	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .367 → .261; ISO .031 → .021; BABIP .294 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Athletics · 24 PAwOBA .270 → .186 (−84)K% 29.2% → 35.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.17%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	35.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷0.994	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.82%
HBP% /PA	4.17%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.94%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷0.975	×0.680	—	×1.008	11.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.951	×0.600	—	×1.008	5.30%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.905	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.215	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 95, 2B 90, 3B 81, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .270 → .186; ISO .053 → .033; BABIP .250 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,513	39	41	229	315	329	+45	+28	7.4	6.6
/162	664	10	11	+11.9	+7.4	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Azaeel Pacheco (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	216/310/283	66	286	1	1	23%	10%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	44→54	37→45	48→50	52	204/280/284	80	260	3	11	21%	9%	62	-1.4	241/302/355	114	291	9	13	19%	7%	86	+0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	44→47	37→45	49→50	57	202/312/288	86	246	2	15	17%	11%	77	-0.3	201/291/315	114	248	8	9	21%	9%	75	-0.5	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Carlos Pérez 2011 · A	20	46→49	37→55	43→45	52	215/292/293	78	267	3	6	19%	9%	69	-0.9	224/274/313	89	287	5	4	22%	6%	65	-1.2	249/297/366	117	288	10	4	17%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Andy Paz 2013 · A	20	46	35→40	43→45	53	213/291/276	63	262	2	6	18%	9%	65	-1.2	190/251/259	69	263	5	5	27%	7%	45	-2.7	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Jakson Reetz 2016 · A	20	47→33	38→55	48→45	47	216/306/297	80	310	4	9	29%	9%	76	-0.4	202/282/291	89	302	6	5	32%	7%	65	-1.2	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	52	39→45	50	52	244/318/335	91	274	6	10	13%	7%	88	+0.5	225/293/315	90	280	7	8	21%	7%	74	-0.5	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Luke Williams 2017 · A	20	46→44	36→45	50→65	47	216/284/281	65	293	3	11	26%	8%	63	-1.4	196/247/266	70	262	5	17	26%	6%	45	-2.7	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Edward Duran 2024 · A	20	47→48	37→40	46→45	52	219/293/294	74	270	4	6	19%	9%	70	-0.9	221/290/300	79	293	5	9	24%	7%	70	-0.9	215/282/294	78	290	5	9	25%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	48	38→40	50	60	221/321/305	85	261	4	10	16%	12%	83	+0.1	203/276/272	69	258	3	7	20%	9%	58	-1.7	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7

Azaeel Pacheco

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps