Edward DuranC
Dunedin Blue Jays
Age 22
R/R
5'11" / 210 lbs
A
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.9 · 2030
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .291 / .310
PA320
HR4
K%26
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30↗42
PWR
30↗35
SPD
30→30
FLD
45↗57
EYE
49↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +1.9 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +1.6 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2034 | Arb-1 | $3M | +1.4 | $14M | +$12M |
| 2035 | Arb-2 | $3M | +1.1 | $11M | +$8M |
| 2036 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.8M |
| Totals | $12M | $81M | +$68M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 60 | 53 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .283 | .367 | .358 | .725 | .075 | .341 | 15 | 7 | .304 | 91 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Miami | 169 | 153 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .170 | .249 | .235 | .484 | .065 | .228 | 23 | 8 | .210 | 19 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 19 | A | 2 teams | 154 | 135 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .274 | .355 | .363 | .718 | .089 | .327 | 18 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 327 | 286 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 68 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .220 | .310 | .276 | .586 | .056 | .284 | 21 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -13 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | 3 teams | 468 | 423 | 92 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 140 | 11 | 8 | 4 | .217 | .288 | .317 | .605 | .099 | .307 | 30 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | TOR | 320 | 286 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 82 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .213 | .290 | .308 | .598 | .094 | .284 | 26 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 7% | TOR | 486 | 434 | 96 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 121 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .221 | .300 | .329 | .630 | .108 | .285 | 25 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -13 | +0 | +1 | +9 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 16% | TOR | 520 | 462 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 127 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .225 | .305 | .344 | .649 | .119 | .287 | 24 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -10 | +0 | +1 | +9 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 24% | TOR | 520 | 460 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 126 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .230 | .313 | .357 | .669 | .126 | .288 | 24 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +9 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 34% | TOR | 520 | 460 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 126 | 9 | 5 | 1 | .228 | .311 | .354 | .665 | .126 | .288 | 24 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +9 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 43% | TOR | 520 | 459 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 47 | 126 | 9 | 5 | 1 | .229 | .313 | .355 | .668 | .126 | .288 | 24 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +9 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 46% | TOR | 520 | 459 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 47 | 127 | 9 | 4 | 1 | .229 | .313 | .355 | .668 | .126 | .288 | 24 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 49% | TOR | 520 | 458 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 129 | 9 | 3 | 0 | .227 | .313 | .347 | .660 | .120 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB 52% | TOR | 520 | 458 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 130 | 9 | 2 | 0 | .223 | .309 | .341 | .649 | .118 | .286 | 25 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB 56% | TOR | 504 | 445 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 128 | 8 | 1 | 0 | .218 | .303 | .330 | .633 | .112 | .284 | 25 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +9 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB 66% | TOR | 481 | 426 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 44 | 125 | 8 | 1 | 0 | .218 | .303 | .333 | .637 | .115 | .283 | 26 | 9 | .287 | 77 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB 77% | TOR | 440 | 390 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 117 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .295 | .310 | .605 | .100 | .281 | 27 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB 87% | TOR | 384 | 340 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 106 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .294 | .309 | .603 | .100 | .279 | 28 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 325 | 288 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 93 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .205 | .289 | .306 | .594 | .101 | .277 | 29 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +0 | -5 | +6 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7758 | 6875 | 1523 | 275 | 45 | 130 | 680 | 1947 | 136 | 76 | 20 | .222 | .304 | .331 | .635 | .110 | .288 | 25 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -190 | +7 | -16 | +139 | +220 | 16.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 128 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 57 | 163 | 11 | 6 | 2 | .222 | .304 | .333 | .638 | .111 | .288 | 25 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -16 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 60 | 50 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .340 | .450 | .440 | .890 | .100 | .386 | 10 | 12 | .406 | 169 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Miami | 169 | 147 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .224 | .325 | .306 | .632 | .082 | .273 | 15 | 11 | .295 | 84 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 93 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .299 | .407 | .390 | .796 | .091 | .338 | 14 | 14 | .358 | 132 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 61 | 50 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .340 | .459 | .460 | .919 | .120 | .381 | 11 | 18 | .416 | 176 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 327 | 278 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 39 | 50 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .245 | .350 | .313 | .663 | .068 | .293 | 15 | 12 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +2 | — | — | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 140 | 122 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .230 | .329 | .336 | .665 | .107 | .269 | 19 | 11 | .307 | 93 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 291 | 253 | 75 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 62 | 9 | 6 | 4 | .296 | .382 | .439 | .821 | .142 | .370 | 21 | 9 | .365 | 138 | +12 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 2.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | 37 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .156 | .270 | .406 | .677 | .250 | .200 | 19 | 14 | .295 | 84 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Edward Duran (OGILVIE) | 22 | 30→42 | 30→35 | 30 | 45 | .214/.291/.310 | .096 | .284 | 4 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 70 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Matt Kennelly 2011 · A |
22 | 41 | 40 | 34→40 | 40 | .203/.244/.287 | .084 | .266 | 8 | 3 | 27% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .215/.268/.296 | .081 | .279 | 6 | 4 | 24% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .225/.280/.287 | .062 | .288 | 3 | 2 | 21% | 6% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Donny Sands 2018 · A |
22 | 48 | 38→45 | 38→40 | 43 | .229/.271/.304 | .076 | .279 | 5 | 5 | 20% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .209/.254/.288 | .079 | .286 | 5 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .228/.289/.352 | .124 | .275 | 14 | 2 | 22% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Travis Harrison 2016 · AA |
23 | 45→49 | 40 | 37→45 | 47 | .214/.293/.309 | .095 | .292 | 6 | 4 | 27% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.272/.276 | .087 | .284 | 6 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .162/.252/.242 | .080 | .256 | 5 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 34 | -2.0 |
|
✕Blake Ochoa 2008 · A |
22 | 43 | 41→45 | 41→40 | 42 | .210/.262/.307 | .096 | .269 | 8 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .227/.284/.342 | .115 | .280 | 11 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .236/.301/.377 | .140 | .278 | 16 | 2 | 21% | 7% | 89 | +0.3 |
|
✕Anderson Hidalgo 2011 · A |
22 | 50 | 41→45 | 36→50 | 45 | .242/.295/.345 | .103 | .303 | 8 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .221/.271/.319 | .098 | .288 | 7 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .207/.258/.299 | .091 | .270 | 7 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2015 · AA |
22 | 43→48 | 41→40 | 40 | 42 | .211/.267/.310 | .099 | .283 | 9 | 2 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .217/.272/.312 | .095 | .286 | 8 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .239/.299/.331 | .092 | .299 | 8 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A |
21 | 46 | 37→40 | 42→45 | 48 | .215/.279/.290 | .075 | .276 | 4 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .200/.260/.272 | .072 | .277 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .210/.261/.258 | .048 | .277 | 3 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 38 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jhonny Pereda 2018 · A |
22 | 46→48 | 35→45 | 40 | 46 | .217/.276/.277 | .060 | .276 | 3 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .219/.272/.290 | .071 | .271 | 6 | 4 | 20% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .276/.346/.381 | .105 | .365 | 9 | 0 | 25% | 9% | 105 | +0.9 |
|
✕Niko Vasquez 2011 · A |
22 | 42→41 | 41→50 | 42→45 | 47 | .202/.282/.303 | .101 | .284 | 8 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .197/.265/.307 | .110 | .264 | 10 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .227/.282/.376 | .149 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A |
21 | 37 | 38→45 | 41→50 | 46 | .178/.258/.254 | .076 | .251 | 5 | 7 | 29% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .189/.262/.277 | .088 | .258 | 7 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .184/.261/.280 | .096 | .239 | 8 | 13 | 25% | 8% | 47 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jose Flores 2010 · A |
22 | 40 | 43→45 | 39→40 | 46 | .195/.272/.303 | .108 | .278 | 10 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .194/.262/.292 | .098 | .314 | 8 | 5 | 38% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .142/.212/.232 | .090 | .249 | 8 | 2 | 44% | 6% | 17 | -1.0 |
|
✕Luis Alvarez 2012 · A |
22 | 45 | 39→45 | 43→45 | 44 | .216/.274/.303 | .087 | .270 | 6 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .220/.273/.344 | .124 | .279 | 13 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .210/.253/.368 | .158 | .249 | 21 | 0 | 25% | 3% | 66 | -0.1 |
|
●Daniel Robertson 2016 · AA |
22 | 50→54 | 43→45 | 39→40 | 47 | .243/.309/.358 | .114 | .300 | 9 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .237/.316/.346 | .109 | .306 | 9 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .234/.338/.350 | .116 | .305 | 12 | 4 | 25% | 11% | 96 | +0.8 |
|
✕Simon Vasquez 2009 · A |
21 | 45 | 35→40 | 40→50 | 48 | .211/.283/.271 | .060 | .271 | 2 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.286/.306 | .080 | .281 | 3 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .253/.299/.341 | .088 | .301 | 2 | 9 | 16% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Chris Valaika 2008 · A |
22 | 48→56 | 43→45 | 37→40 | 38 | .232/.278/.346 | .114 | .305 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .241/.277/.355 | .114 | .306 | 11 | 4 | 24% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.276/.353 | .107 | .305 | 10 | 4 | 23% | 3% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dusty Ryan 2007 · A |
22 | 41→47 | 40→50 | 41→40 | 41 | .199/.262/.286 | .087 | .294 | 8 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .209/.276/.335 | .126 | .316 | 15 | 4 | 36% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .208/.285/.361 | .154 | .308 | 17 | 3 | 36% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A |
23 | 40→34 | 40→60 | 39→45 | 42 | .196/.270/.285 | .090 | .278 | 8 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .198/.276/.316 | .118 | .286 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.277/.397 | .201 | .245 | 26 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Óscar Hernández 2015 · A |
22 | 41 | 44→55 | 41→40 | 41 | .208/.256/.327 | .119 | .262 | 11 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .201/.248/.321 | .120 | .261 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .164/.214/.271 | .107 | .209 | 12 | 1 | 28% | 5% | 24 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brett Cumberland 2017 · A |
22 | 39 | 39→50 | 38→30 | 36 | .187/.257/.275 | .088 | .292 | 7 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .195/.290/.326 | .131 | .297 | 14 | 2 | 37% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .186/.292/.325 | .139 | .279 | 16 | 0 | 36% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Wyatt Toregas 2007 · AA |
24 | 45→38 | 42→45 | 38→40 | 43 | .222/.272/.323 | .102 | .275 | 9 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .227/.279/.346 | .119 | .268 | 13 | 4 | 20% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .222/.276/.342 | .120 | .254 | 15 | 2 | 19% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |