Gabriel Rodriguez

SS Hill City Howlers
Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 161 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#435ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL CLE Goryl163.269/.506/.3982984—.182/.389/.256
202518ROKCLE122.294/.400/.40211170—.231/.308/.306
202619A/ROKCLE304.202/.341/.26732246—.173/.278/.216
2027PROJMLE20MLBCLE414.225/.310/.32569820.3
2028PROJ31% MLB21MLBCLE77.230/.315/.34212880.2
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCLE170.234/.319/.35534930.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Z-Con%87
Whiff%75
K%74
BB%74
Chase%72
Speed44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 4.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsCanaan Smith-Njigba (age 20) · Hoy Park (age 20) · Carter Jensen (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 189 proj PA
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .307 / .322
PA189
HR3
K%23
BB%10
ISO100
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.81.60.20.40.70.91.01.11.00.90.70.627282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$42M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$5M+$4M
2035Arb-1$4M+0.9$2M+$0.3M
2036Arb-2$5M+0.7$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$6M+0.6$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $7M $20M +$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 163108 29612 392714 93 269506398904 130338 1724 424 84 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Guardians — 122102 30421 15233 112 294400402802 108362 1912 360 70 — — — — — —
202619 AHill City Howlers — 269223 43403 41531 215 193321251572 58234 2015 272 40 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Guardians — 3524 7300 971 10 292500417917 125389 2026 414 96 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 163121 22411 273514 93 182389256645 74224 2117 293 84 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 122108 25311 9323 112 231308306614 74301 267 271 70 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHill City Howlers — 269234 39302 30721 215 167264205469 38224 2711 228 40 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 3527 6200 6101 10 222382296679 74306 2917 310 96 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 163121 22411 273514 93 182389256645 74244 2117 293 84 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 163108 29612 392714 93 269506398904 130338 1724 424 84 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 122108 25311 9323 112 231308306614 74312 267 271 70 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 122102 30421 15233 112 294400402802 108362 1912 360 70 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 304262 46602 35822 225 176278221499 46240 2712 237 47 — — — — — —
202619 A RAW2 teams — 304247 50703 50602 225 202341267608 65249 2016 289 47 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 163121 22411 273514 93 182389256645 74224 2117 293 84 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 122109 25311 9323 112 229308303611 73301 267 271 70 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 304264 46602 35822 225 174278220497 45233 2712 237 47 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 163121 22411 273514 93 182389256645 74224 2117 293 84 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 122109 25311 9323 112 229308303611 73301 267 271 70 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 304264 46602 35822 225 174278220497 45233 2712 237 47 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECLE 0% 414366 821526 41944 92 225310325635 100284 2310 290 82 -9 +1 -2 +4 +9 0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECLE 31% 247217 49914 25553 61 230315343658 113285 2210 299 88 -3 +1 -1 +3 +5 0.4
202922 MLB MLECLE 48% 355313 731327 35784 82 234319356675 123286 2210 305 93 -3 +1 -1 +4 +8 0.8
203023 MLB MLECLE 57% 423374 881629 42934 92 237321365687 129288 2210 310 96 -2 +1 -1 +5 +9 1.2
203124 MLB MLECLE 60% 467413 9818211 461025 102 239323372694 133289 2210 312 98 -1 +1 -0 +5 +10 1.5
203225 MLB MLECLE 62% 490434 10419212 481075 103 239323375698 135289 2210 314 98 -1 +1 +0 +5 +11 1.6
203326 MLB MLECLE 63% 504444 10719312 501105 103 239323374697 135289 2210 314 98 -1 +1 +0 +5 +11 1.7
203427 MLB MLECLE 62% 506446 10619212 501115 103 238322372694 134288 2210 312 97 -2 +1 +0 +5 +11 1.6
203528 MLB MLECLE 62% 501441 10419211 501115 92 236320367687 131287 2210 310 96 -3 +1 -0 +5 +11 1.5
203629 MLB MLECLE 60% 490434 10118211 481105 82 234317361679 127286 2210 306 93 -4 +1 -1 +5 +11 1.2
203730 MLB MLECLE 65% 479425 9818210 471094 73 231314354668 123285 2310 302 90 -5 +0 -2 +5 +10 0.9
203831 MLB MLECLE 69% 462410 931729 451074 53 227309344654 117282 2310 296 87 -7 -0 -2 +5 +10 0.5
203932 MLB MLECLE 72% 441392 871528 421044 45 222303332636 110279 2410 289 82 -10 -1 -3 +5 +10 0.0
202821 MLB CTXCLE 31% 7768 15301 8171 20 230315342657 112286 2210 299 88 -1 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.2
202922 MLB CTXCLE 48% 170149 34613 17382 41 234319355674 121287 2210 305 93 -1 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.4
203023 MLB CTXCLE 57% 240212 50915 24532 51 237321364686 128288 2210 309 96 -1 +1 -1 +3 +5 0.7
203124 MLB CTXCLE 60% 281248 591116 28613 61 239323370693 132289 2210 312 98 -1 +1 -0 +3 +6 0.9
203225 MLB CTXCLE 62% 304268 641217 30663 62 239323374697 134289 2210 313 98 -1 +0 +0 +3 +7 1.0
203326 MLB CTXCLE 63% 318281 671218 31693 62 239323373696 134289 2210 313 98 -1 +0 +0 +3 +7 1.1
203427 MLB CTXCLE 62% 316279 661217 31693 62 238322371693 133288 2210 312 97 -1 +0 +0 +3 +7 1.0
203528 MLB CTXCLE 62% 311274 651217 31693 52 237320366687 130288 2210 309 96 -2 +0 -0 +3 +7 0.9
203629 MLB CTXCLE 60% 296262 611117 29663 51 234318360678 126287 2210 306 93 -2 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.7
203730 MLB CTXCLE 65% 313276 651217 31713 52 231314353667 122285 2310 302 90 -4 +0 -1 +3 +7 0.6
203831 MLB CTXCLE 69% 319282 641216 31743 42 227310344653 116283 2310 296 87 -5 +0 -2 +3 +7 0.4
203932 MLB CTXCLE 72% 317281 631116 30753 34 222304332635 109279 249 289 82 -7 -1 -2 +3 +7 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 32622880 6731231170 32172832 5720 234317357674 123287 2210 306 90 -26 +3 -7 +35 +71 7.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 13425214 641456 114 233317357674 124286 2210 306 90 -5 +1 -1 +7 +14 1.5
Career— MLE — 61435400 123922027123 618138974 14242 229317349665 119284 2310 301 90 -46 +7 -12 +60 +120 13.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 13123313 651478 154 229317349665 119284 2310 301 90 -5 +1 -1 +7 +14 1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 269 PAwOBA .271 → .228 (−43)K% 19.7% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.70%÷1.000×1.360——26.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.24%÷1.000×0.690—×1.04510.99%
HBP% /PA0.37%—×0.780—×1.0450.30%
Singles /BIP21.18%÷1.000×0.920×1.011×1.04520.58%
Doubles /BIP2.35%÷1.000×0.830×1.011×1.0452.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.011×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP1.76%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .271 → .228; ISO .058 → .048; BABIP .234 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Guardians · 35 PAwOBA .417 → .310 (−107)K% 20.0% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.000×1.440——28.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.71%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00816.06%
HBP% /PA2.86%—×0.720—×1.0082.07%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.000×0.820—×1.00819.44%
Doubles /BIP17.65%÷1.000×0.720—×1.00812.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .417 → .310; ISO .125 → .099; BABIP .389 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 122 PAwOBA .355 → .271 (−84)K% 18.9% → 26.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.85%÷1.041×1.440——26.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.48%÷1.018×0.620—×1.0227.14%
HBP% /PA2.46%—×0.720—×1.0221.81%
Singles /BIP29.11%÷0.985×0.820×1.012×1.02225.07%
Doubles /BIP5.06%÷0.982×0.720×1.012×1.0223.84%
Triples /BIP2.53%÷1.075×0.720×1.012×1.0221.75%
Home runs /BIP1.27%÷1.388×0.780—×1.0220.73%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .355 → .271; ISO .108 → .074; BABIP .362 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 163 PAwOBA .416 → .293 (−123)K% 16.6% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.56%÷0.930×1.220——21.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.31%÷1.016×0.700—×1.02216.43%
HBP% /PA8.59%—×0.700—×1.0226.15%
Singles /BIP24.69%÷0.994×0.680×0.994×1.02217.17%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷0.995×0.600×0.994×1.0224.54%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷1.038×0.600×0.994×1.0220.73%
Home runs /BIP2.47%÷1.366×0.470—×1.0220.87%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 108, K 86, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .416 → .293; ISO .130 → .072; BABIP .338 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).