Luis FragozaOF
FCL Twins
Age 19
R/R
6'1" / 160 lbs
ROK
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.1 · 2033
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .275 / .307
PA141
HR2
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
20→20
SPD
60→60
EYE
47↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.1peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.0 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.1 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.1 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.0 | $21M | +$17M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.8 | $19M | +$13M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +1.6 | $18M | +$10M |
| Totals | $20M | $119M | +$99M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 157 | 127 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 16 | 21 | 3 | .189 | .340 | .260 | .600 | .071 | .299 | 32 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -7 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | 169 | 144 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 12 | 14 | 3 | .160 | .275 | .222 | .498 | .062 | .253 | 34 | 7 | .214 | 22 | -15 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | MIN | 141 | 128 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .271 | .305 | .576 | .102 | .282 | 29 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | MIN | 225 | 201 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .219 | .296 | .343 | .639 | .124 | .290 | 28 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | MIN | 352 | 311 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 92 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .228 | .312 | .370 | .682 | .141 | .291 | 26 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | MIN | 444 | 392 | 92 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 112 | 8 | 12 | 3 | .235 | .320 | .385 | .705 | .151 | .291 | 25 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | MIN | 504 | 442 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 125 | 9 | 13 | 3 | .235 | .323 | .387 | .710 | .152 | .292 | 25 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | MIN | 543 | 475 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 133 | 10 | 14 | 3 | .236 | .325 | .392 | .717 | .156 | .292 | 24 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 567 | 495 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 57 | 138 | 10 | 14 | 3 | .236 | .327 | .394 | .721 | .158 | .293 | 24 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +5 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 579 | 504 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 59 | 141 | 11 | 14 | 3 | .240 | .333 | .403 | .736 | .163 | .293 | 24 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 582 | 506 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 142 | 11 | 14 | 3 | .239 | .333 | .401 | .734 | .162 | .293 | 24 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 579 | 503 | 119 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 142 | 11 | 14 | 2 | .237 | .331 | .398 | .729 | .161 | .293 | 25 | 10 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 570 | 495 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 142 | 10 | 13 | 2 | .236 | .331 | .394 | .725 | .158 | .292 | 25 | 11 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 1.8 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 560 | 486 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 59 | 141 | 10 | 13 | 1 | .233 | .328 | .385 | .713 | .152 | .291 | 25 | 11 | .321 | 104 | +3 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 1.6 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 547 | 475 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 57 | 140 | 10 | 11 | 1 | .229 | .325 | .383 | .708 | .154 | .289 | 26 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +15 | 1.2 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 529 | 460 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 138 | 9 | 11 | 0 | .228 | .323 | .378 | .701 | .150 | .288 | 26 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 0.9 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 499 | 435 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 52 | 134 | 9 | 10 | 0 | .221 | .317 | .359 | .675 | .138 | .286 | 27 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 452 | 394 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 125 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .216 | .312 | .348 | .660 | .132 | .284 | 28 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 397 | 346 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 114 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .208 | .305 | .332 | .637 | .124 | .282 | 29 | 10 | .293 | 83 | -8 | +2 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8396 | 7319 | 1671 | 300 | 44 | 228 | 832 | 2170 | 174 | 223 | 34 | .228 | .322 | .375 | .696 | .146 | .291 | 26 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -23 | +31 | -25 | -50 | +238 | 17.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 567 | 129 | 23 | 3 | 18 | 64 | 168 | 13 | 17 | 3 | .228 | .319 | .374 | .693 | .146 | .289 | 26 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -2 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 157 | 116 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 16 | 21 | 3 | .259 | .436 | .345 | .781 | .086 | .358 | 22 | 14 | .370 | 141 | +7 | +3 | — | — | +4 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | 169 | 138 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 40 | 12 | 14 | 3 | .217 | .353 | .297 | .650 | .080 | .293 | 24 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -1 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luis Fragoza (OGILVIE) | 19 | 30 | 20 | 60 | 35 | .204/.275/.307 | .103 | .282 | 2 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 62 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A |
19 | 42 | 37→30 | 53→45 | 44 | .198/.262/.269 | .072 | .264 | 4 | 12 | 26% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .228/.288/.282 | .054 | .279 | 3 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .243/.302/.283 | .040 | .290 | 2 | 5 | 16% | 6% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A |
19 | 43 | 37→45 | 49→55 | 41 | .203/.263/.279 | .075 | .288 | 4 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .223/.288/.330 | .107 | .269 | 10 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .225/.291/.340 | .115 | .260 | 12 | 15 | 18% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A |
19 | 40 | 36→30 | 48→50 | 45 | .190/.258/.255 | .065 | .266 | 4 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .207/.263/.250 | .043 | .259 | 1 | 14 | 19% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .233/.291/.254 | .020 | .278 | 0 | 16 | 15% | 7% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A |
19 | 41 | 37→40 | 53→55 | 43 | .196/.257/.274 | .078 | .264 | 4 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .198/.267/.280 | .082 | .273 | 6 | 17 | 28% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .193/.273/.274 | .081 | .258 | 9 | 24 | 27% | 8% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A |
19 | 47 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .223/.278/.315 | .092 | .300 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.257/.296 | .085 | .311 | 4 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.220/.246 | .068 | .283 | 3 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A |
19 | 49→37 | 40→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .229/.303/.328 | .098 | .328 | 7 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .197/.323/.323 | .126 | .275 | 12 | 20 | 30% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .179/.324/.312 | .133 | .244 | 14 | 22 | 29% | 12% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A |
19 | 40 | 37→40 | 52→55 | 38 | .193/.244/.267 | .075 | .278 | 4 | 14 | 31% | 5% | 37 | -2.6 | .194/.239/.254 | .060 | .283 | 3 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 31 | -3.0 | .181/.217/.201 | .020 | .252 | 0 | 3 | 27% | 4% | 6 | -1.4 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A |
19 | 46→36 | 40→45 | 50 | 43 | .220/.300/.314 | .095 | .296 | 7 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .204/.282/.283 | .079 | .308 | 6 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A |
19 | 43 | 37→40 | 50→60 | 45 | .205/.254/.275 | .070 | .250 | 4 | 12 | 19% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .229/.271/.302 | .073 | .268 | 3 | 22 | 15% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .224/.260/.285 | .061 | .276 | 2 | 30 | 19% | 4% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 53→50 | 46 | .208/.263/.283 | .075 | .252 | 3 | 13 | 19% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .243/.293/.316 | .073 | .281 | 3 | 15 | 14% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .292/.336/.357 | .066 | .329 | 1 | 19 | 11% | 5% | 96 | +0.4 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A |
19 | 39→41 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .191/.270/.293 | .102 | .283 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .199/.283/.318 | .119 | .317 | 11 | 15 | 37% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Zack Larson 2013 · A |
19 | 45→37 | 37→45 | 53→50 | 39 | .210/.265/.288 | .078 | .310 | 4 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .213/.270/.294 | .081 | .285 | 6 | 11 | 26% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .196/.254/.259 | .062 | .262 | 3 | 12 | 25% | 5% | 39 | -1.2 |
|
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A |
19 | 38 | 38→45 | 50 | 38 | .188/.234/.264 | .075 | .256 | 6 | 13 | 28% | 4% | 32 | -3.0 | .214/.271/.332 | .118 | .268 | 11 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .222/.277/.342 | .120 | .276 | 13 | 9 | 24% | 5% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 49→45 | 46 | .209/.271/.300 | .092 | .263 | 6 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.286/.317 | .091 | .284 | 6 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .230/.289/.314 | .084 | .291 | 6 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
●Juan Lagares 2008 · A |
19 | 39→49 | 39→45 | 52→50 | 39 | .192/.237/.285 | .093 | .263 | 5 | 12 | 28% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .210/.239/.292 | .082 | .274 | 5 | 12 | 24% | 3% | 40 | -2.4 | .270/.305/.380 | .110 | .342 | 6 | 13 | 22% | 4% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
✕Edwin Gomez 2007 · A |
19 | 42 | 35→45 | 52→50 | 42 | .199/.255/.258 | .059 | .283 | 2 | 15 | 29% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .217/.294/.307 | .090 | .295 | 6 | 14 | 26% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.321/.329 | .105 | .291 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 11% | 85 | +0.2 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 48→55 | 46 | .208/.296/.287 | .079 | .283 | 7 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.267/.274 | .076 | .315 | 6 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .170/.229/.231 | .061 | .300 | 6 | 11 | 43% | 6% | 19 | -1.1 |