Luis Fragoza
OF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKMIN | 157 | .259/.436/.345 | 1 | 21 | 59 | — | .176/.340/.240 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKMIN | 169 | .217/.353/.297 | 1 | 14 | 32 | — | .160/.275/.222 |
| 2026 | 19 | A+/A/ROKMIN | 339 | .313/.404/.542 | 14 | 24 | 108 | — | .260/.341/.431 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBMIN | 449 | .231/.299/.381 | 13 | 11 | 91 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 21 | MLBMIN | 90 | .235/.304/.391 | 3 | 2 | 95 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBMIN | 185 | .238/.308/.398 | 6 | 5 | 98 | 0.3 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | — | 157 | 116 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 259 | 436 | 345 | 781 | 86 | 358 | 22 | 14 | 370 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 169 | 138 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 40 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 217 | 353 | 297 | 650 | 80 | 293 | 24 | 10 | 308 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 58 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 295 | 431 | 318 | 749 | 23 | 500 | 31 | 16 | 356 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 245 | 211 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 66 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 322 | 395 | 607 | 1.002 | 284 | 406 | 27 | 8 | 427 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 36 | 29 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 276 | 417 | 414 | 830 | 138 | 364 | 19 | 11 | 382 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 157 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 176 | 340 | 240 | 580 | 64 | 236 | 27 | 10 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 169 | 144 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 160 | 275 | 222 | 498 | 62 | 230 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 58 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 271 | 397 | 292 | 688 | 21 | 475 | 40 | 12 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 245 | 221 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 90 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 267 | 333 | 484 | 817 | 217 | 380 | 37 | 6 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 36 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 194 | 306 | 290 | 596 | 97 | 279 | 28 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 157 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 176 | 340 | 240 | 580 | 64 | 256 | 27 | 10 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Twins | — | 157 | 116 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 259 | 436 | 345 | 781 | 86 | 358 | 22 | 14 | 370 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 169 | 144 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 160 | 275 | 222 | 498 | 62 | 253 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Twins | — | 169 | 138 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 40 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 217 | 353 | 297 | 650 | 80 | 293 | 24 | 10 | 308 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 339 | 300 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 123 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 257 | 338 | 427 | 765 | 170 | 393 | 36 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 339 | 284 | 89 | 23 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 91 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 313 | 404 | 542 | 946 | 229 | 414 | 27 | 10 | 410 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 157 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 176 | 340 | 240 | 580 | 64 | 236 | 27 | 10 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 169 | 144 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 160 | 275 | 222 | 498 | 62 | 230 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 339 | 299 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 123 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 258 | 338 | 428 | 766 | 171 | 386 | 36 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 157 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 176 | 340 | 240 | 580 | 64 | 236 | 27 | 10 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 169 | 144 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 160 | 275 | 222 | 498 | 62 | 230 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 339 | 299 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 123 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 258 | 338 | 428 | 766 | 171 | 386 | 36 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | MIN | 0% | 449 | 407 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 112 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 231 | 299 | 381 | 680 | 150 | 285 | 25 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +10 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIN | 31% | 289 | 261 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 71 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 235 | 304 | 391 | 694 | 156 | 286 | 25 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIN | 48% | 387 | 349 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 93 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 307 | 398 | 705 | 160 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIN | 57% | 450 | 406 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 107 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 240 | 310 | 403 | 713 | 163 | 288 | 24 | 7 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIN | 60% | 488 | 440 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 16 | 35 | 115 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 241 | 312 | 406 | 718 | 165 | 289 | 24 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIN | 62% | 511 | 459 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 120 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 242 | 313 | 407 | 720 | 165 | 289 | 23 | 7 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIN | 63% | 522 | 469 | 113 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 122 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 242 | 313 | 407 | 720 | 165 | 289 | 23 | 7 | 320 | 102 | +2 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 62% | 523 | 469 | 113 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 123 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 241 | 312 | 404 | 716 | 164 | 288 | 24 | 7 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 62% | 518 | 465 | 111 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 123 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 239 | 310 | 399 | 709 | 161 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIN | 67% | 507 | 455 | 108 | 21 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 122 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 307 | 393 | 700 | 157 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIN | 70% | 494 | 446 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 121 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 233 | 303 | 385 | 688 | 152 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIN | 73% | 477 | 431 | 98 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 118 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 229 | 298 | 375 | 673 | 146 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | MIN | 31% | 90 | 82 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 304 | 391 | 695 | 156 | 286 | 24 | 7 | 310 | 95 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIN | 48% | 185 | 166 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 238 | 308 | 398 | 706 | 161 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 314 | 98 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIN | 57% | 256 | 231 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 310 | 403 | 714 | 164 | 288 | 24 | 7 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIN | 60% | 293 | 264 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 69 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 242 | 312 | 407 | 719 | 165 | 289 | 24 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIN | 62% | 317 | 285 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 74 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 242 | 313 | 408 | 721 | 166 | 289 | 23 | 7 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIN | 63% | 329 | 296 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 77 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 242 | 313 | 408 | 721 | 166 | 289 | 23 | 7 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIN | 62% | 327 | 294 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 77 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 241 | 312 | 405 | 717 | 164 | 288 | 24 | 7 | 319 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 62% | 321 | 288 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 76 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 239 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 161 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIN | 67% | 337 | 303 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 81 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 307 | 394 | 701 | 157 | 286 | 24 | 7 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIN | 70% | 346 | 312 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 84 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 233 | 303 | 386 | 689 | 153 | 284 | 24 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIN | 73% | 347 | 313 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 86 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 298 | 376 | 674 | 147 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3148 | 2834 | 673 | 134 | 10 | 99 | 228 | 751 | 59 | 67 | 14 | 237 | 308 | 397 | 704 | 159 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 314 | 96 | -6 | +8 | -5 | -19 | +68 | 4.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 139 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 155 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 238 | 307 | 395 | 702 | 157 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 314 | 96 | -1 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6041 | 5408 | 1272 | 252 | 22 | 182 | 436 | 1511 | 148 | 177 | 33 | 235 | 310 | 391 | 701 | 156 | 291 | 25 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -10 | +14 | -7 | -32 | +116 | 8.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 137 | 27 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 163 | 16 | 19 | 4 | 235 | 310 | 392 | 702 | 156 | 291 | 25 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 245 PAwOBA .419 → .343 (−75)K% 26.9% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×1.030 | 24.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.030 | 11.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.040 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 7.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .419 → .343; ISO .284 → .223; BABIP .406 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 58 PAwOBA .348 → .303 (−45)K% 31.0% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 11.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.17% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 4.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 46.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 44.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .348 → .303; ISO .023 → .019; BABIP .500 → .475. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Twins · 36 PAwOBA .373 → .264 (−109)K% 19.4% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 14.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 13.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .373 → .264; ISO .138 → .096; BABIP .364 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Twins · 169 PAwOBA .304 → .216 (−88)K% 23.7% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.67% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.06% | ÷0.981 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.10% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 5.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 17.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.006 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.80% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 96, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .304 → .216; ISO .080 → .056; BABIP .293 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Twins · 157 PAwOBA .364 → .255 (−109)K% 22.3% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.01% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 10.19% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.40% | ÷1.038 | ×0.680 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 19.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.006 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 3.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.115 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.939 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.62% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 123, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .364 → .255; ISO .086 → .053; BABIP .358 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).