Steven Madero

C FCL Tigers

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Tigers 2	146	.283/.386/.400	3	1	47	—	.176/.264/.224
2026	19	ROKDET	168	.265/.325/.470	7	0	45	—	.178/.223/.312
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBDET	278	.214/.272/.314	4	1	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBDET	76	.214/.275/.321	1	0	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBDET	166	.218/.279/.332	3	0	75	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO84

K%49

wRC+46

Whiff%37

wOBA35

Z-Con%32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJoe Mack (age 21) · Carlos Soto (age 20) · Creed Willems (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 140 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .270 / .312

PA140

HR2

K%28

BB%6

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	120	34	5	0	3	18	30	2	1	2	283	386	400	786	117	337	21	12	344	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	168	151	40	10	0	7	12	36	2	0	0	265	325	470	795	205	300	21	7	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	125	22	3	0	1	13	37	2	1	2	176	264	224	488	48	222	25	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	168	157	28	6	0	5	7	52	2	0	0	178	223	312	535	134	221	31	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	125	22	3	0	1	13	37	2	1	2	176	264	224	488	48	228	25	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	120	34	5	0	3	18	30	2	1	2	283	386	400	786	117	337	21	12	344	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	168	157	28	6	0	5	7	52	2	0	0	178	223	312	535	134	225	31	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	168	151	40	10	0	7	12	36	2	0	0	265	325	470	795	205	300	21	7	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	130	22	3	0	1	13	37	2	1	2	169	264	215	480	46	222	25	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	168	157	28	6	0	5	7	52	2	0	0	178	223	312	535	134	221	31	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	130	22	3	0	1	13	37	2	1	2	169	264	215	480	46	222	25	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	168	157	28	6	0	5	7	52	2	0	0	178	223	312	535	134	221	31	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	DET	0%	278	255	55	10	2	4	18	77	3	1	0	214	272	314	587	101	285	28	6	265	65	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	DET	34%	221	202	44	8	1	4	15	60	2	0	0	218	278	328	606	110	287	27	7	273	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	DET	48%	342	313	69	12	2	7	23	92	3	0	0	221	283	339	622	118	288	27	7	279	75	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	DET	54%	424	388	86	15	2	9	29	113	4	0	0	225	287	349	635	124	289	27	7	285	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	DET	55%	478	436	100	18	3	11	34	126	5	0	0	227	290	356	646	129	290	26	7	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	DET	56%	509	463	106	19	3	12	36	133	5	0	0	229	292	362	653	133	291	26	7	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	520	473	108	19	3	13	37	136	5	0	0	229	292	363	655	134	290	26	7	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	520	473	108	19	3	13	37	137	5	0	0	228	291	360	651	133	290	26	7	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	DET	59%	520	473	107	19	3	12	37	138	5	0	0	226	289	356	645	130	289	27	7	289	81	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	DET	61%	520	473	106	19	2	12	37	139	5	0	0	223	286	349	635	126	287	27	7	285	79	-13	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	DET	62%	516	470	103	18	2	11	36	140	5	0	0	220	282	342	624	121	285	27	7	280	76	-15	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	DET	63%	488	447	96	17	2	10	34	134	4	0	0	216	277	332	609	116	282	27	7	274	72	-17	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	DET	34%	76	70	15	3	0	1	5	21	1	0	0	214	275	321	596	107	282	28	7	269	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	DET	48%	166	152	33	6	1	3	11	45	2	0	0	218	279	332	611	114	283	27	7	275	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	DET	54%	230	210	46	8	1	5	16	61	2	0	0	221	283	341	623	120	285	27	7	280	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	DET	55%	265	241	54	10	1	6	19	70	3	0	0	223	286	348	634	125	286	26	7	284	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	DET	56%	285	260	59	10	2	7	20	74	3	0	0	225	288	353	641	128	286	26	7	287	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	292	266	61	11	2	7	21	76	3	0	0	225	288	354	643	130	286	26	7	288	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	288	262	58	10	1	7	21	76	3	0	0	224	287	352	639	128	285	26	7	286	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	DET	59%	307	279	63	11	2	7	22	81	3	0	0	222	285	347	633	125	284	26	7	284	81	-7	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	DET	61%	317	289	64	11	2	7	22	85	3	0	0	219	282	341	624	122	283	27	7	280	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	DET	62%	321	293	63	11	1	7	22	87	3	0	0	216	279	334	612	117	281	27	7	275	76	-9	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	DET	63%	308	281	59	10	1	6	21	85	3	0	0	212	274	324	598	112	277	28	7	269	72	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2855	2603	575	101	14	63	200	761	29	0	0	221	284	343	627	122	286	27	7	281	77	-70	+0	-4	+51	+62	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	130	23	3	14	46	173	7	0	0	219	284	339	623	120	284	27	7	281	77	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5512	5022	1111	197	27	122	384	1476	53	1	2	221	284	344	628	123	286	27	7	282	77	-130	+0	-7	+93	+113	6.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	130	23	3	14	45	174	6	0	0	220	281	340	621	120	284	27	7	282	77	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#5John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,994	68	1	225	284	350	+53	+28	6.1	5.5
/162	664	15	0	+11.9	+6.2	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Madero (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	212/270/312	100	285	2	0	28%	6%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Mack 2024 · A	21	41→44	39→55	45	43	198/267/273	75	282	8	2	31%	8%	55	-1.9	218/280/363	145	290	18	5	30%	7%	81	-0.1	220/283/384	165	281	22	4	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Carlos Soto 2019 · A	20	40	40→45	43→30	46	198/266/283	86	263	8	3	27%	8%	57	-1.8	200/267/297	97	281	9	4	30%	7%	61	-1.5	168/258/285	117	236	11	0	32%	10%	54	-0.8
✕Creed Willems 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→50	48→30	35	182/242/277	95	274	7	4	35%	5%	47	-2.6	193/255/332	139	255	17	3	31%	6%	65	-1.2	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Robert Lopez 2024 · A	20	41	40→45	47→45	42	199/261/293	94	286	8	4	32%	7%	57	-1.8	199/268/282	83	298	7	5	33%	8%	57	-1.8	174/254/236	62	263	5	4	33%	9%	40	-1.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	41→40	42→50	47→45	42	201/260/306	105	290	10	8	33%	7%	59	-1.6	187/250/307	120	297	13	5	39%	7%	57	-1.8	185/263/344	159	294	20	3	41%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	44→50	42→50	44→50	43	216/269/322	106	282	10	6	27%	6%	66	-1.1	235/294/368	133	322	13	11	29%	7%	87	+0.4	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	42	39→45	42→45	49	199/281/287	88	284	6	6	30%	10%	64	-1.3	180/242/262	82	268	8	5	34%	7%	43	-2.8	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Omar Alfonzo 2024 · A	20	43→41	41→45	48→40	51	206/298/303	97	298	9	5	31%	11%	74	-0.5	205/279/316	111	317	13	3	36%	9%	70	-0.9	192/266/301	109	300	14	1	38%	8%	59	-1.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2023 · A	20	39→43	47→50	48→30	43	197/269/333	136	279	14	5	33%	8%	70	-0.8	211/298/368	157	314	18	2	35%	11%	89	+0.5	200/293/350	150	295	17	1	35%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	212/254/309	97	284	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	212/248/354	142	283	18	3	31%	4%	66	-1.1	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43	44→50	48→40	45	215/283/328	113	270	12	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/296/343	127	275	13	4	25%	8%	83	+0.1	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	41→47	42→50	45	38	205/254/311	106	279	10	6	30%	5%	59	-1.7	206/263/350	144	289	15	8	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Deivy Grullón 2016 · A	20	41→45	42→55	47→30	35	202/240/301	99	280	9	2	31%	4%	51	-2.3	225/262/344	119	307	13	2	30%	5%	69	-0.9	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→48	42→55	45→50	49	189/279/298	109	272	9	7	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/296/340	135	284	14	9	30%	11%	82	-0.0	233/312/421	188	299	22	7	28%	10%	105	+1.6
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	41	38→45	48→40	42	200/250/274	73	255	5	3	23%	5%	49	-2.4	218/274/316	98	288	8	3	26%	6%	68	-1.0	201/288/304	103	283	11	2	30%	10%	70	-0.3

Steven Madero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps