Steven Madero — OGILVIE

Steven MaderoC FCL Tigers

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION145 act + 96 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .248 / .290

PA96

HR2

K%28

BB%6

BABIP247

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$23M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	126	27	4	0	2	12	44	2	1	2	214	293	294	587	79	294	30	8	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	120	34	5	0	3	18	30	2	1	2	283	386	400	786	117	337	21	12	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	DET	—	145	134	25	6	0	4	7	45	2	0	0	187	238	321	559	134	241	31	5	232	36	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
YTD	19	ROK	DET	—	145	129	34	9	0	5	11	31	2	0	0	264	329	450	778	186	305	21	8	339	118	+3	+0	+0	+3	+4	1.0
ROS	19	ROK	DET	0%	96	89	17	3	0	2	6	27	1	1	0	190	248	290	538	100	267	28	6	260	57	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		263	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	DET	—	145	135	25	6	0	4	7	45	2	0	0	185	238	319	556	133	239	31	5	232	36	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
TOT	19	ROK	DET	—	241	223	42	9	0	6	13	72	3	1	0	188	242	308	550	121	244	30	5	243	44	-15	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	DET	34%	264	242	51	10	1	6	17	72	3	4	1	211	271	335	606	124	269	27	6	269	64	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2028	21	MLB	DET	48%	382	349	75	14	2	9	26	102	4	6	2	215	277	344	621	129	272	27	7	276	70	-13	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2029	22	MLB	DET	54%	464	424	91	17	2	11	32	122	5	8	3	215	278	342	620	127	274	26	7	281	73	-14	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.8
2030	23	MLB	DET	57%	518	471	103	20	2	13	36	136	6	9	3	219	283	352	635	134	275	26	7	284	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2031	24	MLB	DET	57%	520	473	104	20	2	13	36	136	6	9	3	220	283	353	637	133	276	26	7	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2032	25	MLB	DET	57%	520	473	104	20	2	13	36	135	6	9	3	220	283	353	637	133	276	26	7	286	77	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2033	26	MLB	DET	56%	520	473	104	20	2	13	36	135	6	9	3	220	283	353	637	133	276	26	7	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2034	27	MLB	DET	55%	520	472	103	20	2	13	37	136	6	9	3	218	283	352	635	133	276	26	7	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2035	28	MLB	DET	55%	520	472	102	19	2	13	37	137	6	9	3	216	282	347	629	131	275	26	7	286	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2036	29	MLB	DET	53%	520	471	102	19	2	13	38	138	6	9	3	217	283	348	632	132	274	27	7	284	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2027	20	MLB	DET	34%	91	84	17	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	202	264	310	573	107	265	27	7	256	54	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	DET	48%	185	169	36	7	1	4	12	50	2	3	1	213	273	337	611	124	267	27	6	263	59	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	22	MLB	DET	54%	252	230	49	9	1	6	17	67	3	4	2	213	276	339	615	126	269	27	7	268	63	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	DET	57%	293	268	57	11	1	7	20	77	3	5	2	213	275	340	614	127	270	26	7	271	65	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	DET	57%	294	269	57	11	1	7	20	77	3	5	2	212	274	338	612	126	271	26	7	272	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	25	MLB	DET	57%	294	267	57	11	1	7	21	77	4	5	2	213	281	341	622	127	271	26	7	273	67	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2033	26	MLB	DET	56%	294	267	57	11	1	7	21	77	4	5	2	213	281	341	622	127	271	26	7	273	67	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2034	27	MLB	DET	55%	288	262	56	11	1	7	21	75	3	5	2	214	280	344	623	130	271	26	7	273	67	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2035	28	MLB	DET	55%	285	259	55	10	1	7	21	75	3	5	2	212	279	340	619	127	270	26	7	272	66	-11	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
2036	29	MLB	DET	53%	278	253	54	10	1	7	20	74	3	5	2	213	279	344	623	130	269	27	7	270	65	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2554	2329	495	94	9	61	179	674	29	43	17	213	277	339	616	127	271	26	7	270	65	-101	+2	-1	+46	+72	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	126	24	2	16	46	172	7	11	4	212	277	341	618	128	270	26	7	270	65	-26	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	4990	4535	983	186	19	121	349	1320	57	83	29	217	281	346	627	129	276	26	7	282	74	-145	+5	-2	+89	+141	9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	128	24	2	16	45	172	7	11	4	217	280	345	625	129	275	26	7	282	74	-19	+1	-0	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	146	120	34	5	0	3	18	30	2	1	2	283	386	400	786	117	337	21	12	344	121	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,708	67	45	218	280	351	+48	+24	5.1	4.7
	/162	664	16	11	218	280	351	+11.9	+5.9	1.2	pk7: 4
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Madero (OGILVIE)	19	33→38	42→47	43→48	49	188/242/308	121	244	6	1	30%	5%	44	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/290/334	120	285	13	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/330	117	277	14	2	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Alejandro Flores 2015 · A	19	40	41→50	48→40	43	199/259/294	95	265	9	5	28%	7%	51	-1.7	195/256/288	93	291	8	6	33%	7%	48	-1.9	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Ronny Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	45→40	48→40	46	206/276/327	122	267	12	5	27%	8%	67	-0.5	221/292/298	77	303	5	3	26%	9%	66	-0.6	221/297/311	90	280	10	1	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Jose Ovalles 2013 · A	19	40	42→45	45→40	47	199/278/308	110	248	9	5	23%	7%	64	-0.8	215/277/321	106	257	9	5	19%	6%	66	-0.6	219/276/329	110	242	9	3	14%	6%	66	-0.2
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→51	44→50	50→40	45	216/272/344	128	281	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	233/298/343	110	302	8	4	24%	9%	80	+0.4	236/304/339	103	303	8	2	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Gosuke Katoh 2014 · A	19	44→50	44→45	49→50	44	216/280/339	122	298	11	6	30%	8%	72	-0.2	189/264/271	82	322	6	11	39%	9%	47	-1.9	214/277/319	106	296	10	11	30%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	64	-0.8	211/277/355	144	271	15	17	27%	7%	75	-0.0	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Francisco Arcia 2009 · A	19	40	40	47→40	44	194/267/292	98	250	7	6	25%	6%	55	-1.4	209/271/298	89	265	6	5	22%	7%	57	-1.2	216/262/296	80	279	7	1	24%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Gleider Figuereo 2023 · A	19	37→38	45	52→45	43	192/259/316	124	259	13	8	30%	7%	57	-1.2	183/242/291	108	279	13	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	166/228/286	121	230	17	5	35%	6%	34	-2.0
✕Ryan Mount 2007 · A	20	42	42→50	49→50	42	207/266/309	103	292	10	8	32%	7%	58	-1.2	223/268/340	117	294	12	11	27%	5%	66	-0.6	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5