Kevin Garcia — OGILVIE

Kevin GarciaC Wilson Warbirds

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 177 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION125 act + 83 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.166 / .216 / .268

PA83

HR2

K%37

BB%5

BABIP243

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	88	79	9	1	0	2	6	42	1	3	0	114	186	203	389	89	189	48	7	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	88	75	14	1	1	3	10	28	1	3	0	187	291	347	637	160	239	32	11	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	196	176	30	3	0	3	8	89	11	1	1	170	251	239	490	68	318	45	4	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	196	171	44	6	0	5	13	60	11	1	1	257	349	380	729	123	364	31	7	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	MIL	—	125	117	16	3	0	4	4	67	1	2	0	137	172	265	437	128	245	54	3	179	-5	-15	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.9
YTD	19	A	MIL	—	125	115	22	5	0	5	6	47	1	2	0	191	238	365	603	174	258	38	5	261	58	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
ROS	19	A	MIL	0%	83	78	13	2	0	2	4	31	1	1	0	166	216	268	484	102	262	37	5	229	34	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		259	—	—	217	25	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	MIL	—	125	118	16	3	0	4	4	67	1	2	0	136	172	263	435	127	240	54	3	179	-5	-15	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.9
TOT	19	A	MIL	—	208	195	29	5	0	6	8	98	2	3	0	148	190	266	456	118	244	47	4	199	11	-21	+1	+0	+4	+6	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIL	34%	279	258	48	9	1	6	15	98	4	5	1	186	242	298	540	112	266	35	5	243	44	-18	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.4
2028	21	MLB	MIL	48%	393	362	71	13	2	10	22	133	6	7	2	196	254	326	580	130	269	34	6	254	52	-21	+1	+0	+7	+11	-0.3
2029	22	MLB	MIL	54%	473	436	85	15	2	12	27	156	7	9	2	195	253	321	574	126	272	33	6	260	57	-23	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.0
2030	23	MLB	MIL	57%	520	476	95	17	2	14	31	169	8	10	2	200	260	332	592	132	273	32	6	264	60	-23	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.2
2031	24	MLB	MIL	57%	520	476	95	17	2	14	31	168	8	10	2	200	260	332	592	132	274	32	6	266	62	-23	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.3
2032	25	MLB	MIL	57%	520	476	95	17	2	14	31	168	8	10	2	200	260	332	592	132	274	32	6	267	62	-22	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.3
2027	20	MLB	MIL	34%	96	90	16	3	0	2	5	34	1	2	0	178	229	278	507	100	264	35	5	231	35	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	MIL	48%	190	174	34	6	1	5	11	64	3	3	1	195	255	328	583	132	267	34	6	240	42	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2029	22	MLB	MIL	54%	257	236	45	8	1	6	15	85	4	5	1	191	251	309	560	119	269	33	6	247	47	-15	+1	+0	+5	+7	-0.3
2030	23	MLB	MIL	57%	294	271	54	10	1	8	17	96	4	5	1	199	257	332	589	133	271	33	6	251	50	-17	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
2031	24	MLB	MIL	57%	294	270	54	10	1	8	18	95	4	5	1	200	260	333	594	133	271	32	6	253	52	-16	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
2032	25	MLB	MIL	57%	294	270	54	10	1	8	18	95	4	6	1	200	260	333	594	133	271	32	6	254	52	-16	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1425	1312	257	47	5	37	84	469	20	26	5	196	255	324	579	128	271	33	6	248	48	-83	+3	+0	+25	+40	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	117	21	2	17	38	214	9	12	2	196	254	323	577	127	271	33	6	248	48	-38	+2	+0	+12	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3072	2817	541	94	11	77	175	1054	54	56	12	192	253	315	568	123	272	34	6	254	53	-163	+6	+0	+55	+87	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	114	20	2	16	37	223	11	12	3	191	252	312	564	121	271	34	6	254	53	-35	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	88	75	14	1	1	3	10	28	1	3	0	187	291	347	637	160	239	32	11	284	76	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	54	50	15	2	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	300	352	340	692	40	375	19	6	318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	142	121	29	4	0	5	10	50	10	1	1	240	348	397	744	157	358	35	7	338	117	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,612	40	29	198	253	324	+29	+16	-0.1	0.2
	/162	664	16	12	198	253	324	+11.9	+6.6	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	41→46	45→50	42	148/190/266	118	244	6	3	47%	4%	11	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	44	-2.1	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	58	-1.2	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	46	-2.0	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	47→40	41	194/262/289	96	287	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	185/266/295	110	307	11	4	40%	9%	56	-1.3	155/253/274	119	262	13	2	42%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Victor Soto 2008 · A	19	39	39→45	48→60	39	189/241/283	94	268	6	12	31%	5%	40	-2.4	194/247/269	75	274	3	21	28%	5%	39	-2.5	184/234/247	64	257	1	30	27%	5%	25	-0.9
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/253	72	231	7	5	25%	6%	27	-3.3	197/248/283	86	230	7	3	17%	6%	43	-2.2	223/283/334	112	275	10	0	22%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Diego Cartaya 2021 · A	19	43→33	40→50	50→30	40	207/258/304	97	287	8	5	30%	6%	53	-1.5	205/285/365	160	292	20	3	35%	8%	82	+0.5	175/263/337	162	240	23	0	36%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	53	-1.5	194/251/315	121	295	13	5	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/360	160	283	18	5	35%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	39	-2.5	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	46	-2.0	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	34	-2.8	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	49	-1.8	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	33	-2.9	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	70	-0.3	221/275/340	119	279	13	9	25%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	37	38→45	50	37	178/235/261	83	285	5	10	37%	6%	32	-3.0	200/249/307	107	347	11	5	43%	6%	50	-1.7	161/215/285	124	297	17	1	50%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4