Aneudis MordánC Aberdeen IronBirds
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 216 proj PA
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .249 / .291
PA216
HR4
K%31
BB%7
ISO105
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: -0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +6.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.40.3+$9M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Orioles 2 126113 14211 12491 31 124214186400 62206 3910 179 -5
202117 ROKDSL Orioles 2 126106 20311 19341 31 189317264582 75268 2715 279 71
202218 ROKDSL BAL Orange 130121 17300 6513 21 140200165365 25243 395 166 -15
202218 ROKDSL BAL Orange 130118 26500 9353 21 220292263555 42313 277 261 58
202319 ROKFCL Orioles 141126 22405 10444 20 175257325583 151218 317 259 56
202319 ROKFCL Orioles 141117 32607 19294 20 274393504897 231305 2113 395 160
202420 A2 teams 406374 628112 291522 58 166230289518 123238 377 230 34
202420 A2 teams 406357 7815113 461142 58 218311375686 157283 2811 310 95
202521 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 221196 32702 15732 12 163230230460 66246 337 195 7
202521 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 221191 38903 20562 12 199282293575 94263 259 257 55
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBBAL 216198 37704 15681 22 187248283530 96258 317 247 47 -13 -0 +0 +4 +6 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBBAL 35% 271247 49916 20812 33 198264316580 117263 307 259 56 -13 -1 +0 +5 +8 -0.1
202824 MLBBAL 46% 360327 661219 271053 44 202269327596 125266 298 267 63 -15 -1 +0 +6 +10 0.1
202925 MLBBAL 52% 412375 7614110 311193 54 203269325594 123268 298 272 66 -16 -1 +0 +7 +12 0.3
203026 MLBBAL 54% 443403 8215111 341273 55 203270328598 124268 298 274 68 -16 -1 +0 +8 +13 0.4
203127 MLBBAL 54% 456413 8616112 361314 65 208278339617 131268 298 274 68 -16 -1 +0 +8 +13 0.4
203228 MLBBAL 54% 461418 8616112 361334 65 206275335610 129267 298 273 67 -17 -1 -1 +8 +13 0.3
202723 MLBBAL 35% 9486 17302 7281 11 198266302568 105267 307 258 56 -5 -0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202824 MLBBAL 46% 166152 31604 12491 22 204267322589 118270 307 266 62 -7 -0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
202925 MLBBAL 52% 213193 42816 16612 22 218284363647 145272 298 271 66 -8 -0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203026 MLBBAL 54% 240218 46916 18692 33 211277344621 133272 298 273 67 -9 -1 +0 +4 +7 0.2
203127 MLBBAL 54% 247224 48917 19712 33 214282357639 143272 298 273 67 -9 -1 +0 +4 +7 0.2
203228 MLBBAL 54% 250226 48917 20722 33 212282354636 142272 298 272 66 -9 -1 -0 +4 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 12101099 23244432 9235010 1414 211278346624 135277 298 270 65 -48 -3 -0 +22 +34 0.5
/ 162G 650590 12524217 491885 88 212278346623 134278 298 270 65 -26 -2 -0 +12 +18 0.3
Career 36433311 629113884 271113332 4440 190258305563 115259 317 253 52 -198 -7 -1 +65 +103 -3.9
/ 162G 650591 11220115 482026 87 190257303560 113258 317 253 52 -35 -1 -0 +12 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Orioles 2 126106 20311 19341 31 189317264582 75268 2715 279 71 -4 +0 +4 -0.0
202218 ROKDSL BAL Orange 130118 26500 9353 21 220292263555 42313 277 261 58 -6 +0 +4 -0.3
202319 ROKFCL Orioles 141117 32607 19294 20 274393504897 231305 2113 395 160 +10 +0 +4 1.4
202420 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 6562 13410 3230 00 210246306553 97333 355 247 48 -4 +0 +2 -0.2
202420 ADelmarva Shorebirds 341295 6511013 43912 58 220324390713 169272 2713 322 104 +2 -2 +10 0.9
202521 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 221191 38903 20562 12 199282293575 94263 259 257 55 -11 -1 +6 -0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,2123014206270333+22+120.80.8
/162664178+11.9+6.60.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Aneudis Mordán (OGILVIE) 22 30 30 40 40 187/249/291 104258 42 31% 7% 47 -0.7
David Narodowski
2011 · A
22 36 40 42→45 46 181/257/264 83246 87 29% 8% 43 -2.2 200/260/286 86282 78 29% 7% 50 -1.8 185/240/258732574728%7%30-0.7
Gerardo Bustamante
2008 · A
22 38 39→45 42→50 40 189/237/273 83260 84 30% 6% 36 -2.7 198/258/276 78271 55 27% 7% 46 -2.0 226/262/32599269141222%4%56-0.4
Steven Baron
2012 · A
21 33 40→45 45→50 36 171/214/256 85249 77 34% 5% 21 -3.7 187/224/281 94269 69 32% 4% 32 -3.0 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Claudio Finol
2022 · A
22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A
22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
Alex Lavisky
2013 · A
22 36 42→40 46→30 35 185/231/286 100277 113 36% 5% 37 -2.7 201/245/297 96268 103 28% 5% 46 -2.0 192/236/2768524110124%4%34-0.9
Marcus Greene Jr.
2017 · A
22 34 47→50 44→40 39 181/246/309 128264 155 36% 7% 50 -1.7 207/262/323 116285 124 30% 6% 60 -1.0 206/261/31410827612229%6%55-0.6
Willy Diaz
2016 · A
22 39 38→40 43→40 46 187/275/268 81281 63 33% 9% 53 -1.5 189/257/267 78337 45 41% 7% 43 -2.2 169/224/243753182444%5%20-1.2
Glenn Santiago
2023 · A
22 42 41→40 46→45 39 204/256/303 99288 98 31% 6% 52 -1.6 199/262/282 83293 79 32% 7% 50 -1.8 183/253/253702696832%7%37-1.1
Alex Todd
2012 · A
22 38 37→40 44→45 38 185/246/256 71259 44 29% 5% 37 -2.7 220/285/305 85299 66 27% 5% 65 -0.7 236/303/318833176526%5%73-0.1
Luis De La Cruz
2011 · A
22 39 40 47→30 38 193/229/294 101252 66 26% 4% 37 -2.6 234/265/316 82286 56 19% 4% 58 -1.2 263/286/335713104416%3%67-0.2
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Daniel Berg
2007 · A
22 37 42→40 44→40 41 186/254/294 107267 94 32% 7% 50 -1.8 194/262/277 83297 64 34% 7% 48 -1.9 186/258/258722915235%7%39-1.3
Andy Paz
2015 · A
22 38 38→40 45 44 185/245/261 75253 65 28% 7% 37 -2.7 210/264/277 67293 46 28% 7% 48 -1.9 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Franklin Tineo
2017 · A
22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
Narbe Cruz
2023 · A
22 41 38→40 44→45 40 197/250/273 76268 57 28% 5% 42 -2.3 215/268/305 90308 86 31% 5% 58 -1.2 215/271/305903139632%5%54-0.7
Antoni Lugo
2010 · A
22 38 43→45 42→45 44 194/252/299 105229 125 22% 6% 50 -1.8 217/278/338 121266 135 23% 6% 71 -0.3 218/282/34412625516321%6%70-0.1
Deivi Mejia
2011 · A
21 40 39→40 43→30 44 193/264/278 85266 75 29% 8% 50 -1.8 212/259/304 92276 74 25% 4% 53 -1.5 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
J.V. Martinez
2021 · A
22 39→34 42→45 44→30 40 193/252/295 103276 93 32% 6% 49 -1.8 199/255/310 111282 104 31% 6% 53 -1.5 184/241/29711325610131%6%42-1.0
Wilkin Grullon
2022 · A
22 40 37→30 46→45 41 189/263/263 74280 54 32% 7% 46 -2.0 197/259/295 98320 85 38% 7% 51 -1.7 156/214/26010425511042%6%20-0.7