Irwin Ramirez — OGILVIE

Irwin Ramirez P Bradenton Marauders

Age 19 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.3 · 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.05

FIP6.05

K%17.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-2.1%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	8	34	155	32	29	0	67%	2.8	14.0%	23.4%	-9.3%	0.0%	3.97	4.88	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	8	34	155	32	29	0	67%	2.8	14.0%	23.4%	-9.3%	0.0%	3.97	4.88	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	12	8	34	155	32	29	0	67%	2.8	20.6%	18.7%	1.9%	0.0%	3.97	3.78	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	11	8	33	144	22	25	0	73%	3.0	10.4%	21.7%	-11.3%	0.0%	4.41	4.97	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	11	8	33	144	22	25	0	73%	3.0	10.4%	21.7%	-11.3%	0.0%	4.41	4.97	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	11	8	33	144	22	25	0	73%	3.0	15.3%	17.4%	-2.1%	0.0%	4.41	4.05	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	17	68	306	64	57	7	89%	3.6	15.0%	22.5%	-7.4%	3.0%	5.53	6.33	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	17	68	306	64	57	7	89%	3.6	15.0%	22.5%	-7.4%	3.0%	5.53	6.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	PIT	8	8	27	112	23	21	1	100%	3.4	20.5%	18.8%	1.8%	0.9%	3.67	4.23	—
2026	19	A RAW	PIT	11	9	41	194	41	36	6	82%	3.8	21.1%	18.6%	2.6%	3.1%	6.75	5.36	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	70	296	57	50	8	100%	4.7	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	2.8%	5.65	5.51	-0.5
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	74	311	63	46	9	100%	4.9	20.3%	14.6%	5.6%	2.7%	5.30	5.13	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	77	327	70	42	9	100%	5.2	21.4%	12.9%	8.5%	2.7%	4.97	4.78	+0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	80	339	75	40	9	100%	5.4	22.2%	11.7%	10.4%	2.7%	4.71	4.55	+0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	82	347	79	38	9	100%	5.5	22.7%	10.9%	11.8%	2.6%	4.51	4.38	+0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	83	352	81	36	9	100%	6.0	23.1%	10.4%	12.7%	2.6%	4.37	4.27	+0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	83	352	82	36	9	100%	6.0	23.3%	10.3%	13.0%	2.6%	4.30	4.25	+0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	82	347	81	36	9	100%	5.9	23.3%	10.4%	12.9%	2.7%	4.29	4.29	+0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	80	336	85	33	9	100%	6.1	25.2%	9.8%	15.4%	2.8%	4.18	4.10	+0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	76	321	80	32	9	100%	5.8	24.9%	10.0%	15.0%	2.9%	4.21	4.23	+0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	71	301	74	31	9	100%	6.0	24.6%	10.3%	14.3%	3.1%	4.33	4.41	+0.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	67	281	68	30	9	100%	6.1	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	3.3%	4.50	4.61	+0.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	62	260	62	29	9	100%	6.2	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.6%	4.70	4.84	+0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	35	148	29	25	4	100%	4.4	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	2.6%	5.54	5.40	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	54	228	46	33	6	100%	4.9	20.3%	14.6%	5.6%	2.5%	5.19	5.02	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	65	274	59	35	7	100%	5.0	21.4%	12.9%	8.5%	2.5%	4.86	4.67	+0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	72	304	67	36	7	100%	5.5	22.2%	11.7%	10.4%	2.5%	4.60	4.44	+0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	76	321	73	35	8	100%	5.4	22.7%	10.9%	11.8%	2.4%	4.40	4.27	+0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	78	329	76	34	8	100%	6.0	23.1%	10.4%	12.7%	2.4%	4.26	4.16	+0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	79	334	78	34	8	100%	6.1	23.3%	10.3%	13.0%	2.4%	4.19	4.14	+0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	78	329	77	34	8	100%	6.0	23.3%	10.4%	12.9%	2.5%	4.18	4.18	+0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	76	321	81	31	8	100%	5.8	25.2%	9.8%	15.4%	2.6%	4.07	3.99	+0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	72	304	76	30	8	100%	6.0	24.9%	10.0%	15.0%	2.7%	4.09	4.11	+0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	68	287	71	30	8	100%	6.2	24.6%	10.3%	14.3%	2.9%	4.20	4.28	+0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	63	266	64	28	8	100%	6.3	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	3.1%	4.36	4.47	+0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	59	249	59	28	8	100%	5.9	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.3%	4.55	4.69	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		154	154	874	3690	854	414	97	100%	5.7	23.2%	11.2%	11.9%	2.6%	4.43	4.00	+9.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	195	95	22	100%	5.7	23.2%	11.2%	11.9%	2.6%	4.43	4.00	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		42	33	135	605	83	136	9	79%	3.2	13.7%	22.5%	-8.8%	1.5%	4.87	5.63	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	49	200	896	123	202	14	79%	3.2	13.7%	22.5%	-8.8%	1.5%	4.87	5.63	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Irwin Ramirez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.05	17.9%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.13	20.4%	5.6%	221	-0.92	—	—	—
Jose Pena Jr. R 2022 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP-	5.48	15.0%	18.7%	2.3%	.269	4.62	19.2%	3.1%	124	-0.86	3.48	176	90
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	89
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	87
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	86
Brailin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	15.8%	17.8%	2.1%	.322	4.82	16.8%	2.1%	76	-0.37	4.15	168	86
Yerlin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	19	SP-	5.73	20.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.378	4.63	19.9%	0.7%	112	-1.10	3.84	244	85
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	85
Dennis Santana R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP	5.67	15.3%	20.0%	2.4%	.319	3.48	20.3%	8.8%	268	-2.19	2.82	776	85
Enrique Segura R 2023 · 6.44 FIP	18	SP	6.44	13.2%	21.3%	3.2%	.269	5.60	16.4%	2.4%	234	-0.84	4.12	313	83
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	83
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	83
Tyrone Yulie R 2021 · 6.80 FIP	19	SP	6.80	19.7%	22.1%	4.7%	.324	5.30	18.1%	2.7%	166	-1.50	4.87	265	83
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	82
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	82
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	81
Raudy Rivera R 2023 · 5.92 FIP	18	SP	5.92	19.2%	31.6%	0.8%	.321	5.34	22.7%	-0.8%	75	-0.58	3.65	111	81
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	81
Kenyi Perez R 2021 · 6.09 FIP	19	SP	6.09	15.6%	27.4%	1.5%	.349	6.38	21.0%	-13.4%	77	+0.29	4.33	193	80
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	80
Juan De La Cruz R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	18	SP	5.20	14.6%	17.7%	2.0%	.331	5.01	19.1%	-0.6%	136	-0.19	3.37	220	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.0	72	22.8%	11.6%	1.09	4.63
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81