Irwin Ramirez

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.5 · 2032

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1383ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	12	8	34	3.97	3.78	20.6%	18.7%	—	K 14.0% · BB 23.4% · FIP 4.88
2025	18	ROKPIT	11	8	33	4.41	4.05	15.3%	17.4%	—	K 10.4% · BB 21.7% · FIP 4.97
2026	19	MIX2 levels	19	17	68	5.53	5.06	20.9%	18.6%	—	K 15.0% · BB 22.5% · FIP 6.33
2027PROJ	20	MLBPIT	—	—	0	6.27	6.27	16.4%	20.0%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPIT	5	5	23	5.73	5.58	18.2%	17.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBPIT	7	7	34	5.32	5.12	19.9%	14.7%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsKyle Larsen (age 21) · Jefferson Jean (age 19) · Ismael Agreda (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152144vR 136

ERA6.27

FIP6.27

K%16.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.6%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	8	34	155	32	29	0	67%	2.8	14.0%	23.4%	-9.3%	0.0%	3.97	4.88	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	8	34	155	32	29	0	67%	2.8	14.0%	23.4%	-9.3%	0.0%	3.97	4.88	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	12	8	34	155	32	29	0	67%	2.8	20.6%	18.7%	1.9%	0.0%	3.97	3.78	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	11	8	33	144	22	25	0	73%	3.0	10.4%	21.7%	-11.3%	0.0%	4.41	4.97	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	11	8	33	144	22	25	0	73%	3.0	10.4%	21.7%	-11.3%	0.0%	4.41	4.97	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	11	8	33	144	22	25	0	73%	3.0	15.3%	17.4%	-2.1%	0.0%	4.41	4.05	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	68	306	64	57	7	89%	3.6	15.0%	22.5%	-7.4%	3.0%	5.53	6.33	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	68	306	64	57	7	89%	3.6	15.0%	22.5%	-7.4%	3.0%	5.53	6.33	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	17	68	306	64	57	7	89%	3.6	20.9%	18.6%	2.3%	2.3%	5.53	5.06	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.4%	20.0%	-3.6%	3.0%	6.27	6.27	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	46	196	36	33	6	100%	4.7	18.2%	17.0%	1.2%	2.9%	5.85	5.70	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	46	196	39	29	6	100%	5.2	19.9%	14.7%	5.2%	2.9%	5.44	5.24	+0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	46	196	41	26	6	100%	5.2	21.0%	13.2%	7.8%	2.8%	5.11	4.93	+0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	46	196	42	24	5	100%	5.8	21.6%	12.2%	9.4%	2.8%	4.88	4.74	+0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	46	195	43	22	5	100%	5.8	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	2.8%	4.72	4.61	+0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	46	195	43	22	5	100%	5.8	22.1%	11.5%	10.7%	2.8%	4.64	4.59	+0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	45	191	42	22	5	100%	5.7	22.1%	11.6%	10.6%	2.8%	4.63	4.63	+0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	43	182	40	21	5	100%	6.2	22.0%	11.7%	10.3%	2.9%	4.68	4.71	+0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	40	170	37	20	5	100%	5.7	21.8%	11.9%	9.8%	3.1%	4.78	4.84	+0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	6	6	37	155	33	19	5	100%	6.1	21.4%	12.2%	9.2%	3.3%	4.93	5.02	+0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	5	5	23	97	18	16	3	100%	4.6	18.2%	17.0%	1.2%	2.7%	5.73	5.58	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	34	144	29	21	4	100%	4.9	19.9%	14.7%	5.2%	2.7%	5.32	5.12	+0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	39	165	35	22	4	100%	5.6	21.0%	13.2%	7.8%	2.6%	4.99	4.81	+0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	41	173	37	21	4	100%	5.9	21.6%	12.2%	9.4%	2.6%	4.76	4.62	+0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	42	177	39	20	5	100%	6.0	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	2.6%	4.61	4.50	+0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	43	182	40	21	5	100%	6.1	22.1%	11.5%	10.7%	2.6%	4.53	4.48	+0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	43	182	40	21	5	100%	6.1	22.1%	11.6%	10.6%	2.6%	4.51	4.51	+0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	41	173	38	20	5	100%	5.9	22.0%	11.7%	10.3%	2.7%	4.56	4.59	+0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	38	160	35	19	5	100%	6.3	21.8%	11.9%	9.8%	2.9%	4.65	4.71	+0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	35	148	32	18	4	100%	5.8	21.4%	12.2%	9.2%	3.0%	4.79	4.88	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	67	380	1604	343	200	43	100%	5.7	21.4%	12.5%	8.9%	2.7%	4.79	4.35	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	181	105	23	100%	5.7	21.4%	12.5%	8.9%	2.7%	4.79	4.35	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		42	33	135	605	83	136	9	79%	3.2	13.7%	22.5%	-8.8%	1.5%	4.87	5.63	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	49	200	896	123	202	14	79%	3.2	13.7%	22.5%	-8.8%	1.5%	4.87	5.63	+1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 41 IPFIP 5.36 → 6.76 (+1.40)K% 21.1% → 15.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.13%	—	×0.740	15.64%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	18.56%	—	×1.180	21.90%
HR / BF /BF	3.09%	÷1.000	×1.300	4.02%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.36 → 6.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 27 IPFIP 4.23 → 5.58 (+1.34)K% 20.5% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.54%	—	×0.680	13.96%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	18.75%	—	×1.250	23.44%
HR / BF /BF	0.89%	÷1.000	×1.400	1.25%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.23 → 5.58, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 33 IPFIP 4.01 → 4.97 (+0.96)K% 15.3% → 10.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.28%	—	×0.680	10.39%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	17.36%	—	×1.250	21.70%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 4.01 → 4.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKDSL Pirates Black · 34 IPFIP 3.73 → 4.88 (+1.15)K% 20.6% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.65%	—	×0.680	14.04%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	18.71%	—	×1.250	23.39%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 3.73 → 4.88, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Irwin Ramirez (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.0%	—	5.29	19.7%	4.7%	140	-0.98	—	—	—
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	88
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	88
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	86
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	86
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	85
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	85
Samuel Colmenares R 2024 · 6.21 FIP	19	SP-	6.21	17.3%	21.0%	3.5%	.292	3.85	15.8%	8.0%	31	-2.36	3.85	123	84
Darlin Alcántara R 2022 · 6.23 FIP	20	SP-	6.23	12.3%	22.2%	2.5%	.320	4.64	12.3%	2.5%	31	-1.59	3.61	118	84
Jorge Bautista R 2021 · 6.09 FIP	20	SP	6.09	13.1%	16.5%	3.6%	.297	4.86	16.8%	7.5%	231	-1.23	3.80	336	84
Hunter Stratton R 2017 · 5.73 FIP	20	SP	5.73	13.1%	20.3%	2.1%	.266	4.69	14.5%	0.1%	174	-1.04	3.02	529	83
Gage Stanifer R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	17.2%	21.4%	2.4%	.318	3.96	26.2%	11.6%	199	-1.69	2.85	301	83
Moises Nova R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	20	SP	5.61	14.2%	16.8%	2.9%	.263	4.05	18.3%	4.2%	110	-1.56	3.42	219	83
Jhonly Taveras R 2024 · 6.59 FIP	19	SP	6.59	13.0%	27.1%	2.1%	.311	5.00	12.1%	-11.0%	34	-1.59	5.00	133	83
Felix Cepeda R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	19	SP-	5.78	11.5%	14.6%	3.3%	.297	5.81	17.0%	-6.4%	71	+0.03	3.58	204	81
Marlon Nieves R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	19	SP	5.63	17.9%	20.0%	2.8%	.300	4.19	18.6%	1.2%	134	-1.44	3.82	187	81
Wilmer Blanco R 2024 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	14.9%	16.3%	3.4%	.364	5.82	14.1%	2.3%	47	+0.06	3.81	163	81
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	81
Camilo Sanchez R 2023 · 6.65 FIP	20	SP-	6.65	10.0%	18.5%	3.8%	.317	5.84	14.8%	0.8%	62	-0.81	3.57	117	81
Harold Chirino R 2017 · 6.05 FIP	19	SP-	6.05	13.2%	16.0%	3.7%	.327	3.11	19.0%	6.2%	34	-2.94	3.11	321	81
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	44	20.8%	13.4%	1.13	5.08
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*