Harold Chirino
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 173 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142132vR 123
ERA5.46
FIP5.46
K%15.5%
BB%15.3%
K-BB%0.2%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 11 | 11 | 58 | 244 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 3.12 | 3.38 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 11 | 11 | 58 | 244 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.4% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 0.4% | 3.12 | 2.67 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 16 | 11 | 47 | 226 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 69% | 2.9 | 13.2% | 16.0% | -2.8% | 3.7% | 6.94 | 6.05 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 16 | 11 | 47 | 226 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 69% | 2.9 | 19.5% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 6.94 | 4.75 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Brewers Blue | 19 | 0 | 34 | 147 | 41 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 3.74 | 3.11 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Brewers Blue | 19 | 0 | 34 | 147 | 41 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 27.9% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 3.74 | 2.00 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 35 | 0 | 51 | 235 | 75 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 3.88 | 4.46 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 35 | 0 | 51 | 235 | 75 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 31.9% | 9.8% | 22.1% | 3.8% | 3.88 | 3.81 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 44 | 0 | 52 | 230 | 50 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 3.29 | 4.13 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 44 | 0 | 52 | 230 | 50 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 1.7% | 3.29 | 3.50 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 11 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 45.8% | 6.2% | 39.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.02 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 11 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 45.8% | 6.2% | 39.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.60 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 218 | 48 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.3% | 17.6% | -1.3% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 5.66 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 218 | 48 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 4.76 | 5.11 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 40 | 0 | 46 | 225 | 42 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 5.91 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 40 | 0 | 46 | 225 | 42 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 5.91 | 3.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SD | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 38 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 15.3% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 5.46 | 5.46 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 38 | 35 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 14.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.42 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SD | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 36 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 14.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.57 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 14.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.42 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SD | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 14.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 34 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 14.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.15 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 125 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 14.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 213 | 22 | 346 | 1573 | 278 | 194 | 32 | 10% | 1.6 | 17.7% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 13 | 200 | 909 | 161 | 112 | 19 | 10% | 1.6 | 17.7% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Harold Chirino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.46 | 15.5% | 15.3% | 2.5% | — | 5.52 | 16.1% | 1.3% | 109 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 86 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 85 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 83 |
| Trey Haley R 2024 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 83 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.15 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 237 | 83 |
| Kyle McMyne R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 181 | 81 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 81 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 81 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 81 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 81 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.42 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% | .262 | 5.33 | 16.2% | -1.4% | 15 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 79 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 79 |
| Mike Hepple R 2024 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 78 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 78 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.27 | 8.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .365 | 4.44 | 11.4% | 3.1% | 109 | -0.83 | 4.15 | 152 | 78 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.11 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 5.81 | 16.3% | 3.1% | 79 | +0.70 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 5.72 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.72 | 10.4% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.59 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 31 | -1.13 | 3.64 | 204 | 77 |
| Jordan Gore R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 15.9% | 15.0% | 1.03 | 5.45 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |