Harold Chirino — OGILVIE

Harold Chirino P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 173 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%14.6%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%1.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	11	11	58	244	40	14	1	100%	5.2	11.1%	7.2%	4.0%	0.6%	3.12	3.38	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers	11	11	58	244	40	14	1	100%	5.2	16.4%	5.7%	10.7%	0.4%	3.12	2.67	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	16	11	47	226	44	29	6	69%	2.9	13.2%	16.0%	-2.8%	3.7%	6.94	6.05	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	16	11	47	226	44	29	6	69%	2.9	19.5%	12.8%	6.6%	2.7%	6.94	4.75	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Blue	19	0	34	147	41	15	0	0%	1.8	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	0.0%	3.74	3.11	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers Blue	19	0	34	147	41	15	0	0%	1.8	27.9%	10.2%	17.7%	0.0%	3.74	2.00	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	35	0	51	235	75	23	9	0%	1.5	24.6%	11.3%	13.3%	4.1%	3.88	4.73	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	35	0	51	235	75	23	9	0%	1.5	31.9%	9.8%	22.1%	3.8%	3.88	3.81	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	44	0	52	230	50	23	4	0%	1.2	17.6%	11.0%	6.6%	2.1%	3.29	4.14	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	44	0	52	230	50	23	4	0%	1.2	21.7%	10.0%	11.7%	1.7%	3.29	3.50	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	11	0	14	48	22	3	0	0%	1.3	45.8%	6.2%	39.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.02	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	11	0	14	48	22	3	0	0%	1.3	45.8%	6.2%	39.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.02	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	11	0	14	48	22	3	0	0%	1.3	45.8%	6.2%	39.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.60	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	45	218	48	32	7	0%	1.2	15.4%	15.1%	0.3%	2.8%	4.76	5.25	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	45	218	48	32	7	0%	1.2	15.4%	15.1%	0.3%	2.8%	4.76	5.25	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	45	218	48	32	7	0%	1.2	22.0%	14.7%	7.3%	3.2%	4.76	5.11	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	46	225	42	27	2	0%	1.1	15.5%	10.8%	4.7%	1.0%	5.91	3.71	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	46	225	42	27	2	0%	1.1	15.5%	10.8%	4.7%	1.0%	5.91	3.71	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	46	225	42	27	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.0%	6.7%	0.9%	5.91	3.60	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	SD	5	0	5	21	3	3	1	0%	1.0	14.6%	13.5%	1.1%	2.4%	5.29	5.29	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	56	237	36	32	6	0%	1.0	15.2%	13.3%	1.9%	2.6%	5.27	5.32	-0.5
2028	30	MLB MLE	SD	50	0	53	223	35	30	6	0%	1.1	15.5%	13.3%	2.2%	2.9%	5.33	5.42	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	20	0	21	89	14	12	2	0%	1.1	15.2%	13.3%	1.9%	2.6%	5.27	5.32	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	SD	28	0	29	122	19	16	4	0%	1.0	15.5%	13.3%	2.2%	2.9%	5.33	5.42	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		47	0	50	210	32	28	6	0%	1.1	15.4%	13.3%	2.1%	2.8%	5.31	5.00	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	129	113	24	0%	1.0	15.4%	13.3%	2.1%	2.8%	5.31	5.00	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		213	22	346	1573	274	184	33	10%	1.6	17.4%	11.7%	5.7%	2.1%	4.29	4.26	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	13	200	909	158	107	19	10%	1.6	17.4%	11.7%	5.7%	2.1%	4.29	4.26	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Harold Chirino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	14.6%	13.5%	2.4%	—	5.37	15.4%	2.1%	109	+0.08	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	89
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	88
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	84
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	84
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	81
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	81
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	81
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	81
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	81
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	80
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.54	15.4%	4.1%	79	+0.34	4.46	215	80
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	80
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	79
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	79
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	79
Casey Coleman R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	12.6%	11.4%	1.5%	.349	4.14	18.3%	8.9%	146	-0.18	2.95	306	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	15.1%	13.4%	1.02	5.30
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41