Jorge Bautista
P
Dunedin Blue Jays
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 155 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.9%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%12.4%
IP52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 8 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 8.5% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 4.64 | +0.0 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Braves | 13 | 12 | 54 | 228 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 13.7% | 11.0% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 4.34 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 12 | 10 | 41 | 182 | 35 | 24 | 5 | 13.1% | 16.5% | 3.5% | 5.98 | 5.98 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 17 | 15 | 77 | 333 | 75 | 19 | 6 | 15.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 5.70 | 3.82 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Rome Braves | 22 | 15 | 107 | 444 | 111 | 41 | 12 | 18.8% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 4.04 | 4.79 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 11 | 10 | 56 | 241 | 46 | 22 | 10 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.63 | 6.75 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 21.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 49 | 21 | 7 | 22.3% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 49 | 21 | 7 | 22.4% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 48 | — | 48 | 205 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 43 | 19 | 7 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.68 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 41 | 19 | 7 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 21.3% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 4.85 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.95 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 5.06 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 5.19 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 83 | 62 | 346 | 1484 | 229 | 160 | 49 | 15.4% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.96 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 36 | 200 | 857 | 132 | 92 | 28 | 15.4% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.96 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jorge Bautista (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 21.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | — | 4.53 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 155 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.4% | .311 | 5.44 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.41 | 152 | 93 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 92 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.72 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | -0.01 | 3.05 | 290 | 90 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.68 | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .313 | 3.35 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 93 | -0.33 | 2.78 | 312 | 89 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 89 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 89 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 88 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% | .331 | 4.32 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 122 | +0.00 | 3.48 | 290 | 88 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.41 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.65 | 255 | 88 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.5% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 88 |
| Darin Gillies R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.82 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 4.2% | .294 | 4.84 | 23.2% | 12.8% | 106 | +0.02 | 4.22 | 295 | 88 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.99 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% | .272 | 5.30 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.31 | 4.99 | 105 | 88 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .273 | 3.93 | 27.1% | 13.7% | 63 | -0.76 | 2.39 | 191 | 87 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.97 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .255 | 4.63 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.66 | 3.16 | 253 | 87 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .232 | 4.70 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 139 | +0.45 | 3.60 | 246 | 87 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.05 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.60 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.45 | 3.20 | 386 | 87 |
| J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.65 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.72 | 3.31 | 125 | 87 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.52 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .244 | 3.73 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.21 | 3.18 | 253 | 87 |
| Jake Barrett R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.64 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .250 | 3.83 | 24.1% | 12.5% | 118 | +0.19 | 1.48 | 230 | 86 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 22.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .284 | 3.18 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 103 | -0.81 | 3.13 | 179 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.