Darlin Alcántara

Darlin Alcántara P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%21.5%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	8	1	14	66	19	9	0	12%	1.8	19.6%	17.0%	2.5%	0.0%	6.28	3.61	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 2	8	1	14	66	19	9	0	12%	1.8	28.8%	13.6%	15.2%	0.0%	6.28	2.33	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	14	2	32	155	28	14	3	14%	2.3	12.3%	11.3%	1.0%	2.9%	6.68	5.06	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Black	14	2	32	155	28	14	3	14%	2.3	18.1%	9.0%	9.0%	1.9%	6.68	3.87	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	40	196	34	36	4	75%	3.3	12.3%	22.2%	-9.9%	2.5%	5.85	6.23	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	9	40	196	34	36	4	75%	3.3	17.3%	18.4%	-1.0%	2.0%	5.85	5.40	—
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	16	0	31	157	26	13	3	0%	2.0	12.3%	9.8%	2.5%	2.4%	8.04	4.64	—
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	16	0	31	157	26	13	3	0%	2.0	12.3%	9.8%	2.5%	2.4%	8.04	4.64	—
2023	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	16	0	31	157	26	13	3	0%	2.0	16.6%	8.3%	8.3%	1.9%	8.04	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	BAL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.4%	12.1%	3.0%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.1%	13.0%	3.0%	4.44	4.40	+0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	9	0	9	38	8	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.1%	13.0%	3.0%	4.44	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.1%	13.0%	3.0%	4.44	4.02	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.1%	13.0%	3.0%	4.44	4.02	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		50	12	118	574	75	88	13	24%	2.4	13.1%	15.3%	-2.1%	2.3%	6.71	5.18	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	20	200	973	128	148	22	24%	2.4	13.1%	15.3%	-2.1%	2.3%	6.71	5.18	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Darlin Alcántara (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	21.5%	9.4%	3.0%	—	4.40	22.0%	13.0%	20	-0.10	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	84
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	83
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	83
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	81
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	81
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	80
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	80
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	79
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	78
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	77
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	77
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	77
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	76
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	76
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	76
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	76
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	76
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	76
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	76