Darlin Alcántara
P
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.0%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles 2 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 66 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 12% | 1.8 | 19.6% | 17.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 6.28 | 3.61 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles 2 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 66 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 12% | 1.8 | 28.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 6.28 | 2.33 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles Black | 14 | 2 | 32 | 155 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 14% | 2.3 | 12.3% | 11.3% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 6.68 | 5.14 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles Black | 14 | 2 | 32 | 155 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 14% | 2.3 | 18.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 6.68 | 3.87 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 9 | 40 | 196 | 34 | 36 | 4 | 75% | 3.3 | 12.3% | 22.2% | -9.9% | 2.3% | 5.85 | 6.12 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 9 | 40 | 196 | 34 | 36 | 4 | 75% | 3.3 | 17.3% | 18.4% | -1.0% | 2.0% | 5.85 | 5.40 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 16 | 0 | 31 | 157 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 2.0 | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 8.04 | 4.61 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 16 | 0 | 31 | 157 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 2.0 | 16.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 8.04 | 3.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 12 | 118 | 574 | 75 | 88 | 13 | 24% | 2.4 | 13.1% | 15.3% | -2.1% | 2.2% | 6.71 | 5.16 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 20 | 200 | 973 | 128 | 148 | 22 | 24% | 2.4 | 13.1% | 15.3% | -2.1% | 2.2% | 6.71 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Darlin Alcántara (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 20 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 79 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .318 | 3.98 | 24.1% | 12.9% | 61 | -0.28 | 2.79 | 229 | 79 |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 78 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 78 |
| Joshua Loeschorn R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .272 | 4.60 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 67 | +0.86 | 3.04 | 135 | 78 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 77 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 77 |
| Jake Curtis R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.34 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 105 | 76 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 76 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 76 |
| Connor Schultz R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 76 |
| Ben Vespi R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 1.5% | .370 | 4.79 | 18.4% | 12.5% | 39 | +1.53 | 3.26 | 102 | 75 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 75 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 75 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.82 | 21.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.82 | 120 | 75 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 75 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 75 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 75 |